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2018 NFL Mock Draft
Published at 4/24/2018 2:17:20 PM
Amateur Writer and Mock Draft Veteran of 10 years. This will be updated Thursday before the Draft. Comments are welcome.
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The belief last week was that this would be Josh Allen.
However, the Browns seem to be re-thinking that plan. This pick is down to two candidates and there is one clear choice, Sam Darnold.
Josh Allen is the potential (see Jake Locker, Jamarcus Russell, Aliki Smith) and Sam Darnold is the now (Andrew Luck, Jameis Winston, Carson Wentz).
Which grouping looks better to you? The Browns can't take a risk anymore. The need some kind of safety at taking yet another QB in round #1. Those arrows all point to Darnold, who is the best QB prospect in this class.
The Giants really believe in Eli.
If that's the case they need to give him play-makers and protection to succeed. Dez Bryant is interested in the Giants (they just cut Marshall to make room) and Barkley would be another skill player to assist in that vision.
GM David Gentlemen also was very transparent in drafting Christian McCaffrey last year and this is an eerie similar situation. Unless they are blown away, Barkley should be the pick.
The latest (Tony Pauline, who is usually solid) is that this is a done deal, even if Sam Darnold is on the board.
I really believe they liked Josh Allen early in the process and if the draft was in February, they would have taken. The Jets seem to be all in on Baker now.
Mayfield. I do not get it or understand it.
Remember how Johnny Manziel was a "polished passer" after his pro-day and projected Top 5 pick ? His Pro-Day even aired on NFL network. He subsequently went #22.
How is Baker Mayfield better for the NFL than him?
Quite simply, Baker Mayfield is a likely bust. He is a system QB with quick reads and an accurate passer. My player comp is Colt McCoy. Where does he excel over Bridgewater other than crotch grabbing? I don't see it.
**TRADE*** The Browns trade #4 for #12, #22, and a 2nd.
The Bills need a franchise QB and the Browns can exploit this. However, I do no believe any of the top 4 will fall to 12 and neither do they. The current regime hates mobile QB's, so Jackson is not an option and the Bills are not high on Mason Rudolph. If Barkley is off the board at #4, I think the Browns will open up this pick for Buffalo, Arizona, or Miami.
The Bills can offer the best package and are most desperate to get one of the Top 4, particularly Rosen and Darnold. With Darnold off the board, they acquire their franchise QB in Josh Rosen, who may be the most prepared to play now.
The Broncos wanted to do two things in FA with the QB position. Sign one in FA and Draft one.
They could take Josh Allen at #5 themselves but he is pretty much on the same field as Paxton Lynch, in my opinion.
Most likely this pick will be traded (maybe Arizona or Miami or someone else) but the result will be the same, Josh Allen.
If one of the Top 4 QB's are here at #5 someone is coming up for one.
Yes. Over Chubb.
Indy has become infatuated with Roquan Smith and he fills a dire need as well. The rumors are they will trade down but with who? The Bears can take him at 8 and San Fran will surely take him at 9. Unless Indy can bate the Bears to move up for Chubb, Indy will be stuck in the 6th slot and take their most coveted player.
Yes. Over Chubb AGAIN!
Why would TB take Nelson over Chubb?? Well..
1. They need to protect their franchise QB in Winston and Nelson is by far the best lineman in this draft.
2. Here are the current EDGE guys in TB. Vinny Curry, JPP, Noah Spence, and William Gholston. You can even add Will Clarke in that mix. There is no need for an Edge player in TB.
The minor slide stops.Chicago is Chubb's floor.
Chubb immediately slides in across from Leonard Floyd and over the unreliable Aaron Lynch. The Bears liked Chubb and are one of the few teams to work him out.
The 49ers are a mock draft wild card.
They could take a LB, as most project, but are very interested in other prospects specifically Cortland Sutton and Minkah Fitzpatrick.
Should they trade down, I see them taking Sutton but the rumors now are they are willing to stay put and take Fitzpatrick at #9, unless Roquan Smith falls.
I had Vita Vea for 3 months here and of course 4 days before the draft, I switch it.
The Raiders seem to be very interested in Ward and pairing him up with his college teammate and 1st round pick from 2017, Gareon Conley.
I am not sold on Ward as at Top 10 pick, watch the Indiana game, but he fills a need and gives Gruden some young CB's for the future.
The Dolphins are another draft wildcard.
They could move up for a QB, move back, or take a falling prospect. I have the latter.
I don't think Miami would blink if Edmunds fell to #11. He fills a need (maybe not the biggest) and is a legitimate Top 10 player that can play any LB position.
*Rumor is Jaire Alexander is a possibility at 11 for Miami and that would be a colossal reach. However, Miami has done that before.
The Browns would acquire this in a Bills trade.
The Browns need a tackle to replace the HOF-er Joe Thomas. McGlinchey is by far the best OT in the draft and there is a significant drop-off after him.
Dropping back to #12 and #22 with the Bills would be the perfect scenario to address their QB, OT, and either CB/DT need.
Washington is commonly mocked a DT or S. I had Payne or James here for 3 months but that was because Vea was a Top 10 pick.
Should he be available at #13, the Redskins will pounce. He is the best interior D-Lineman in the draft and the Redskins already met and worked him out.
Rumor is James is due to slide on draft day.
The Packers actually leaked their draft plans. I believe it is true and not smoke. While typically Ft. Knox, this new personnel staff has signed Free Agents and caught up with the current pace of the NFL.
This pick will be Jackson or Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick is off the board so Jackson is the pick.
Jackson is underrated and a ball hawk. He becomes an immediate starter for GB.
****TRADE** Arizona trades #15 for #27, a 3rd, and a 1st next year,
It's no secret New Orleans covets Jackson. They had scouts stationed year round and wanted Patrick Mahomes last year. They are not going to make the same mistake and wait.
The move from 27 to 15 is not that significant and allows NO to have a true successor to Drew Brees and exciting QB to groom. There are no obvious holes on the roster (Maybe RT) so the time is now for NO to strike.
I got off the Ridley train the last month because McGlinchey seemed to be an option here. With McGlinchey off the board, this pick becomes clear.
Why is Ridley projected to fall? He is athletically limited and ,to me, lacks true #1 potential of a Cortland Sutton or even a DJ Moore. Alabama receiver's, not named Julio Jones, have had a rough transition to the NFL and I think Ridley will struggle as well.
Debate or not, Joe Flacco is the QB next year to Baltimore. What happens after is a mystery but he is going to be the guy no matter who they select. They have to support him out wide or protection up front.