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2018 NFL Mock Draft by ifthethunderdontgetya - 4.25
Published at 4/25/2018 5:31:35 PM
I'm not doing much, if any, team needs here. That stuff is interesting and makes for fine content. But I don't believe it helps your contest entry. Teams trade and they go by their board more often than need.
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Since my April 3 mock, consensus has shifted to Josh Allen. Mayock thinks it should be Darnold. I'm sticking with Darnold for now.
People now seem pretty sure if the Browns go QB at 1, the Giants take Barkley. Possibly, but trading out or a QB are both possible. So I'm putting Allen here. If the Browns take him at 1, I'll still get 4 points for being close.
If the Jets pick anyone else, congrats to them for fooling the hell out of everybody.
I don't think anyone but the Bills can afford trading up to this spot. And the Bills would either be trading against themselves only, or else paying up to get ahead of Denver. But they don't have to do that. I think they can just trade with Denver, for a little less.
Here's my trade. Almost everyone has Denver picking Quenton Nelson. And it wouldn't be a horrible pick! However, this draft is stacked with top-end interior o.l. talent. If Elway can make a good deal, I'm guessing he'll do it.
They might like Nelson, too. But the dropoff in pass-rushing talent is too severe, and the position is too highly valued, to pass on Chubb.
Hurrah for the Bucs, they got lucky. Otherwise, I believe they'd pick Derwin James. (Which wouldn't be bad at all for them, either.)
With the 4 QBs gone, the Bears don't get to trade. My next 4 values: Minkah Fitzgerald, Denzel Ward, Tremaine Edmunds, and Raquon Smith (and James, of course). They can't go wrong with any of these players, imo. But they need LB and pass rush and Edmunds has a ridiculously high ceiling.
I was all set to give the 49ers Edmunds, but now he's a Bear.
This leaves both safeties, Ward, and now the two NTs come into play for the Raiders. I can't leave the draft's best CB on the board any longer.
Dolphins could use Vea now that Suh is gone. And they might even trade for a QB (or draft Lamar Jackson, although I think this pick is too high for that). But I think it's going to be Minkah.
So here are the Broncos. (Although as I mentioned, I'm going way more by big board than by team need, so hopefully I stay in the ballpark.) They need OL, but I think this spot is high for McGlinchey. Not to mention any of the center/guards. Also, Vea could come off the board between 10 and 13, Broncos trade or not. So that's why Vea.
I don't think James should be on the board, but the NFL seems to have devalued safeties this year. (Note the free agents still out there.) And especially in-the-box types. So that's it's down to Payne and James. The pick has to be James, but it could easily be a trade-back because Payne could go several picks later. Hello Cowboys! It's not like we've never traded before.
The advanced draft picker doesn't much like Davenport here, but I do. He's raw, for sure, but could be as good as Chubb if he can be coached up. But Josh Jackson at CB is on the radar, too.
The Cardinals need protection for Sam Bradford, and I had Mike McGlinchey picked here last. But why bother, he's still going to get hurt anyway. They might as well take Lamar Jackson if they don't trade up for someone else. Or trade back with the Patriots, (for instance), a team that has looked at Jackson.
McGlinchey could be the guy here, too. Or maybe your favorite wideout. Calvin Ridley was a popular choice a couple months ago, now D.J. Moore and Courtland Sutton are gaining popularity. I'm going with McGlinchey because he might have been the pick at 15.