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NFL Betting Trends: Hello, Good Bye II

The little brother of the highly effective Hello, Good Bye Trend.

This one makes less sense and is less lucrative, but I thought the Hello, Good Bye II was worth mentioning because it's still pretty sharp (19-10 ATS since 2002).

The premise: Bet any underdog of 6.5 or more going into its bye. I guess a terrible (or perhaps winless) team is itching so bad for a victory that it plays extra hard going into the bye.

Team	Coach	ATS Record: Underdog of 6.5+ Going into Bye
ARZ	Ken Whisenhunt	1-0
ATL	Mike Smith	0-0
BAL	John Harbaugh	0-0
BUF	Dick Jauron	1-1
CAR	John Fox	3-1
CHI	Lovie Smith	0-1
CIN	Marvin Lewis	2-1
CLE	Eric Mangini	0-1
CLE	Romeo Crennel	1-0
DAL	Wade Phillips	0-1
DEN	Mike Shanahan	0-0
DET	Jim Schwartz	0-1
DET	Rod Marinelli	0-0
GB	Mike McCarthy	0-0
HOU	Gary Kubiak	1-0
IND	Tony Dungy	0-0
JAX	Jack Del Rio	0-0
KC	Herman Edwards	1-2
MIA	Tony Sparano	0-0
MIN	Brad Childress	0-0
NE	Bill Belichick	0-0
NO	Sean Payton	0-0
NYG	Tom Coughlin	0-0
NYJ	Eric Mangini	0-0
OAK	Tom Cable	1-0
OAK	Lane Kiffin	0-1
PHI	Andy Reid	0-0
PIT	Mike Tomlin	0-0
SD	Norv Turner	0-1
SEA	Mike Holmgren	0-0
SF	Mike Nolan	0-2
STL	Scott Linehan	0-1
TB	Raheem Morris	0-1
TB	Jon Gruden	0-0
TEN	Jeff Fisher	1-1
WAS	Jim Zorn	0-1

FA	Cam Cameron	1-0
FA	Dom Capers	1-0
FA	Bill Cowher	1-0
FA	Butch Davis	1-0
FA	Dennis Erickson	1-0
FA	Joe Gibbs	0-1
FA	Dennis Green	0-1
FA	Steve Mariucci	1-0
FA	Jim Mora Jr.	1-0
FA	Bill Parcells	1-0
FA	Bobby Petrino	1-0
FA	Marty Schottenheimer	1-0
FA	Art Shell	0-1
FA	Mike Tice	0-1

	Total Record	22-21

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