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NCAA Football Weekly Predictions
Week 7



Note: My October Pick of the Month pushed, but I had a winning week. My second-half plays were 7-2. For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling.



Florida State (4-1) at Wake Forest (3-2)
Line: Florida State by 6.

Thursday, 7:45 ET

In case you haven't noticed, I love taking nationally televised live home underdogs, where tons of money is thrown on the favorite. With 70 percent of the betting public backing Florida State, I think the Demon Deacons walk away with the straight-up victory.

Prediction: Wake Forest 24, Florida State 16
Wake Forest +6 (3 Units - Money Pick) -- Correct; +$300
Wake Forest 24, Florida State 21



Purdue (5-1) at Michigan (4-2)
Line: Michigan by 5.5.

Saturday, 12:00 ET

Attention, gamblers! Purdue is now being exposed as a fraud. Please line up and throw tons of money on Michigan this week, and walk away from the books with some quick cash. Thank you!

Prediction: Michigan 27, Purdue 14
Michigan -5.5 (3 Units - Money Pick) -- Correct; +$300
Michigan 48, Purdue 21



Kent State (3-3) at Ohio State (6-0)
Line: Ohio State by 31.

Saturday, 12:00 ET

This is a late addition to my picks. I forgot that an e-mailer once pointed out to me that Jim Tressel sucks against MAC opponents, for whatever reason. Kent State can score because its quarterback, Julian Edelman, is a dual threat.

Prediction: Ohio State 34, Kent State 14
Kent State +31 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Ohio State 48, Kent State 3



Virginia Tech (5-1) at Duke (1-5)
Line: Virginia Tech by 13.5.

Saturday, 12:00 ET

Virginia Tech is coming off a huge victory against Clemson, and could be walking into a trap game at Duke. The Blue Devils have a great offense, led by quarterback Thaddeus Lewis, one of the top signal-callers in the ACC. With 96 percent of the money on the visitor, I'll take the points.

Prediction: Virginia Tech 23, Duke 20
Duke +13.5 (4 Units - Double Money Pick) -- Incorrect; -$440
Virginia Tech 43, Duke 14



Illinois (5-1) at Iowa (2-4)
Line: Illinois by 4.

Saturday, 12:00 ET

This is a tough spot for the Fighting Illini. They're coming off two huge home victories over Penn State and Wisconsin, and they have Michigan next week. Iowa isn't good, but it isn't as bad as its record indicates. With tons of action coming in on Illinois, I'll take the points.

Prediction: Illinois 20, Iowa 17
Iowa +4 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Iowa 10, Illinois 6



San Diego State (2-3) at Utah (3-3)
Line: Utah by 14.

Saturday, 3:00 ET

Following Utah's previous huge victory, a 44-6 drilling of UCLA, the team was blanked by UNLV, 27-0. The Utes also lost to Air Force. They're not that good. They could be flat as a double-digit favorite in a Mountain West rivalry.

Prediction: Utah 16, San Diego State 10
San Diego State +14 (2 Units - Money Pick) -- Incorrect; -$220
Utah 23, San Diego State 7



Wisconsin (5-1) at Penn State (4-2)
Line: Penn State by 7.

Saturday, 3:30 ET

Like Purdue, Wisconsin was also exposed as a fraud against Illinois. Now that their perfect season is over, I think the Badgers fall to Penn State. At first glance, taking the Nittany Lions to cover a touchdown seemed like a bit much. Then I thought about it - the oddsmaker is sending us a message by making Penn State -7. He wants bettors to take the points. Ninety percent of the money in Vegas is on Wisconsin. I'll take the Nits.

Prediction: Penn State 27, Wisconsin 10
Penn State -7 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Penn State 38, Wisconsin 7



LSU (6-0) at Kentucky (5-1)
Line: LSU by 10.

Saturday, 3:30 ET

I don't have a strong opinion on this game, but I've had so much success with Kentucky I thought I'd give them another shot. It's a shame the Wildcats aren't undefeated; Andre' Woodson had three horrendous turnovers and Rafael Little fumbled the ball twice against South Carolina, yet Kentucky was in the game. LSU could be flat after its victory over Florida, and I like how 90 percent of the public is on the Tigers.

Prediction: LSU 38, Kentucky 31
Kentucky +10 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Kentucky 43, LSU 37



Louisville (3-3) at Cincinnati (6-0)
Line: Cincinnati by 10.5.

Saturday, 7:00 ET

Call me crazy, but I don't think Cincinnati is ready to be favored by double digits over a solid team. I love taking the points with the better quarterback, and grabbing double digits in a big rivalry seems like the right thing to do anyway.

Prediction: Cincinnati 34, Louisville 31
Louisville +10.5 (4 Units - Double Money Pick) -- Correct; +$400
Louisville 28, Cincinnati 24


Second-Half Bets
Check back at halftime to see if I have any plays posted. All picks 2 Units, unless noted.

  • Kent State +13 -115 -- Correct; +$200
  • Duke +6 -- Correct; +$200
  • Nebraska -4.5 +100 -- Correct; +$200
  • Baylor +10 -115 -- Incorrect; -$230
  • USC -10 +100 -- Incorrect; -$200
  • Washington State +7 -105 -- Correct; +$200
  • Houston -13 +105 -- Correct; +$210



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  • 2004 Against the Spread: 57-51-2 (52.8%)
    2006 Against the Spread: 112-103-4 (52.1%)
    2007 Picks Against the Spread: 73-65-3, 52.9% (+$1,030)
    2008 College Football Picks: 49-38, 56.3% (+$3,020)
    2009 College Football Picks: 35-38-3, 50.0% (-$4,770)
    2010 College Football Picks: 37-31-2, 54.4% (+$190)
    2010 College Football Picks: 3-2, 60.0% (+$50)

    2004 2-3 Unit College Picks: 20-13-1 (60.7%)
    2006 2-3 Unit College Picks: 60-56-1 (51.7%)
    2007 2-3 Unit College Picks: 43-36-2, 54.4% (+$1,280)
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    2006 4-5 Unit College Picks: 13-16 (44.8%)
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    2006 NCAA Picks of the Month: 1-0 (100%)
    2007 NCAA Picks of the Month: 2-1-1, 66.7% (+$580)
    2008 College Football Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,260)
    2009 College Football Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

    Career College Football Picks: 471-429-15, 52.3% (+$40)
    Career 2-3 Unit College Picks: 192-160-6, 54.5% (+$2,810)
    Career 4-5 Unit College Picks: 60-64-2, 48.4% (-$2,650)
    Career Picks of the Month: 9-6-1, 60.0% (+$930)


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