College Football Picks (Week 1, 2015): 4-1 (+$490) College Football Picks (Week 2, 2015): 2-3 (-$40) College Football Picks (Week 3, 2015): 3-2 (+$270) College Football Picks (Week 4, 2015): 4-1 (+$690) College Football Picks (Week 5, 2015): 2-3 (-$250) College Football Picks (Week 6, 2015): 2-3 (-$370)
College Football Picks (2015 Season): 17-13 (+$790) College Football Picks (2014 Season): 46-39-1 (-$325) College Football Picks (2013 Season): 52-33 (+$3,970) College Football Picks (2012 Season): 45-34-1 (+$2,500) College Football Picks (2011 Season): 36-32-2 (-$390) College Football Picks (2010 Season): 37-31-2 (+$190) College Football Picks (2009 Season): 34-34-2 (-$3,820) College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)
Central Florida at Temple. Line: Temple by 21.5. Saturday, 12:00 p.m.
As a disclaimer, don't go nuts with my college football picks. I'm much better at picking NFL games (at least I used to be). Follow @walterfootball for updates.
I write this every year in the second half of the season, but the biggest difference between betting the NFL and college football is that horrible teams in the latter tend to quit. NFL players may not show up for a week or two, but they'll eventually play hard because they want a new contract. Athletes on horrible college teams, however, don't have a future in football, so they tend to mail it in as the year winds down. I think that'll happen to Central Florida, a truly miserable squad that hasn't been competitive at all this year. The Knights even lost to 1-AA Furman earlier. Temple, meanwhile, is 5-0. The Owls beat Penn State by 17 and have blown out their previous two opponents. Make it three in a row.
College Football Pick: Temple -21.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
Florida at LSU. Line: LSU by 9.5. Saturday, 7:00 p.m.
One of my favorite things to do in the NFL is to bet on good teams that lost their quarterback. It works in college, too. Notre Dame earlier in the season was one of my top plays, and Florida will hold that distinction this week. The Gators might have the better team in this matchup, as LSU is very unproven. Whom have the Tigers beaten? Crappy Auburn? The Old Quitter Ball Coach and South Carolina? The Tigers' victories just don't impress me. I think Florida can rally and win this one straight up.
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College Football Pick: Florida +9.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Louisville at Florida State. Line: Florida State by 7. Saturday, 7:00 p.m.
I bet against Florida State in Week 1. I lost, but it turns out as though I was on the right track because the Seminoles have failed to cover three of four since then. They're a bit overrated, while Louisville at 2-3 is underrated. The Cardinals have been competitive in every game, owning a 4-1 ATS record, and the one spread loss came to a very talented Houston squad. I think they can stay within this number.
College Football Pick: Louisville +7 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Penn State at Ohio State. Line: Ohio State by 17. Saturday, 8:00 p.m.
Speaking of teams that haven't covered in Week 1, the Buckeyes come in as losers of their previous five against the spread. They've been sleepwalking through this season, just as Florida State did last year, so I think Penn State can cover. I'm keeping this to just one unit, however, because the Buckeyes might snap out of it any week now and drill their opponent by seven touchdowns. Hopefully this won't be that week.
College Football Pick: Penn State +17 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Arizona State at Utah. Line: Utah by 7. Saturday, 10:00 p.m.
Sometimes, teams will have signature wins that the public latches on to, causing that squad to be overrated. We saw this with Michigan State back in Week 2. The Spartans beat the Ducks on national TV, and everyone thought Michigan State was the greatest thing since lesbian porn, yet Oregon was just terrible. I think the same thing happened to Utah. The Utes beat up on the Ducks, who have since gone on to lose to mediocre Washington State. Arizona State is a solid team that has been playing well lately, so I like it to cover the number.
Oh, and as for Michigan State, I'm not betting against them again this week because there's no more line value. People have A) figured out the Spartans are overrated and B) fallen in love with Michigan, so the spread in that contest is ridiculous. I'd bet the Wolverines if I had to, but I wouldn't touch that game.