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2011 Fantasy Football: Mailbag



There will be many more 2011 Fantasy Football Rankings and features in the late spring and summer, including tons of 2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts and Player Rankings. I'll also have an extensive 2011 NFL Fantasy Football Preseason Stock Report. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.



2011 Fantasy Football - Mailbag (June 18):

The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings.


  • From Joe Legend:

    You named so many average #2and #3 WRs high. Anquan Bolden,Chad Ochoconco, Steve Smith (Former panther), Santanna Moss, and Randy Moss make plays no matter what. Yo have Cotchery over these guys. I'm not gonna go through your whole list again but you also have Jordy Nelson LOL really. Please let me in your FF league.


    --> You'd rather have Anquan Boldin or Randy Moss or Chad Ochocinco over Jordy Nelson? What are you, stuck in 2005? Someone, quick, get this man a time machine so he can return to the present!



  • From Wraith36444:

    Walt, what are the trends for WRs with ****ty QBs who get stabbed in the offseason?


    --> I'm definitely going to be watching Brandon Marshall closely this preseason. He may have Kyle Orton, which will help, but he hasn't worked out yet. I may drop him in my rankings soon.



  • From KcChiefs Fan:

    Hey Walt, do you really like Mario Manningham that much? I've been able to get him in as late as round 13 in my mock drafts this year. Also, in my opinion Dwayne Bowe didn't just have an 'outlier' year, he really improved and while Charlie Weis did help the offense, the Chiefs hired Jim Zorn to work with Matt Cassel in his place so I don't expect a big drop-off. Thanks for all you do, you're my favorite fantasy expert!


    --> Thanks, KcChiefs Fan. First, I do like Mario Manningham a lot because Steve Smith may miss a huge chunk of the 2011 season. When Smith was out last year, Manningham posted huge numbers.

    As for Dwayne Bowe, I'd be surprised if he scored double-digit touchdowns again. Charlie Weis is gone, and while Jim Zorn was a head coach before, there's a huge difference between Weis and Zorn. Weis turned mediocre talents like Jimmy Clausen and Matt Cassel into stud quarterbacks. Zorn wasn't able to do that with Jason Campbell.



  • From Automatic6:

    Walt. Good WR rankings so far but don't you think you have Greg Jennings a bit too high? Looking back at last season, he didn't do much until Finley went on IR and until Driver went down. Rodgers also had to throw much more with the running game being ineffective. Will Finley and Jordy Nelson eat into Jenning's production this season? As talented as Greg Jennings is, I'm not sure if he's worth taking before White and Fitzgerald (assuming Kolb is there).


    --> I love Greg Jennings. He's working out with Larry Fitzgerald, which paid big dividends for other receivers in the past like Sidney Rice. Yes, Jennings' numbers picked up when Jermichael Finley and Donald Driver disappeared. But Driver is a non-factor, and Finley may not be 100 percent coming off a nasty injury. Plus, the Packers started winning when Aaron Rodgers started going to Jennings often, so he may stick with what worked so well.






  • From Austin Collie:

    Im ahead of Dwayne Bowe? You are a f***ing idiot!


    --> Thanks, you too!

    Austin Collie in eight full games last year: 58 catches, 649 yards, 8 TDs.

    Extrapolate Collie over 16 games: 116 catches, 1,348 yards. 16 TDs.
    Dwayne Bowe's stats in 16 games: 72 catches, 1,162 yards. 15 TDs.

    See, I told you that you were a f***ing idiot! But don't worry, I'm a f***ing idiot as well. It's not that bad being a f***ing idiot. Trust me.



  • From Mekootlobo:

    No one has said John Beck is the official starter. Stop leading everyone on. But speaking of fantasy, I really hope the 'Skins shove all this hate right back in your face. Keep overvaluing the Cowboys just like every other sports commentator.


    --> If you say so. I wasn't going to overvalue the Cowboys, but since you asked so politely, I might as well oblige.

    By the way, Adam Schefter, who is tight with Mike Shanahan, said that John Beck is the starter: "It's his job to lose."

    So I guess someone did say Beck will be the starter.



  • From Satan:

    If you take away Britt's 40-point game, he had exactly as many fantasy points as Kevin Walter. He's a receiver you draft for upside, but having Locker at QB severely limits that upside. I wouldn't draft him before the 7th in a 12-teamer.


    --> Kenny Britt is very talented. The problem is that he has nothing at quarterback. The arrests are also an issue. I'd stay away from him unless he dropped to me late in the draft (9th-10th round in a 12-team league).



  • From Randall Cobb's Mother:

    Where is Cobb on here? If Jones is gone (which all signs point to) then the next best receiver is Driver who is past his prime. Cobb will make something happen


    --> Randall Cobb? You mean Green Bay's return specialist? Cobb won't play a huge role on offense this year. That'll happen down the road, but not in 2011.



    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Tight End Rankings.


  • From C.Bauer:

    I'm not sure how Owen Daniels can be considered a sleeper and be ranked #7. Maybe its because I live in Wisconsin but hes always one of the first few tight ends off the board come draft day.


    --> That's my bad. I didn't look at the ADP list. I assumed he would be going much later, but he's actually the sixth tight end selected on average.



  • From One Problem:

    Rudolph is going to finish in the top 15 TE's this year. Ponder is going to develop a quick chemistry with him and all the passing TD's will be going Rudolph's way. 64 rec 730 yds 8 tds


    --> The lockout really hurts both Christian Ponder and Kyle Rudolph. They haven't been able to handle normal practice reps or learn the system, so they are both way behind. Rudolph could very well post those numbers in 2012, but definitely not this season.



  • From Alastair F:

    Is there a reason Visanthe Shiancoe isn't on the list? I know he's not great, and there's a rookie QB, but I would think he'd at least be in the top 40.


    --> I really don't see the point in listing Visanthe Shiancoe because no one is going to draft him. Shiancoe is no longer an end zone target because Brett Favre is gone. Also, Kyle Rudolph will eat into Shiancoe's targets.



    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions came from my previous 2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag entries.


  • From NYCSportzFan:

    U drafted both Peyton Hillis and Mike Williams(bucs) on most your teams last yr? Sure you did....LOL Your full of it, i could see u picking em up early, as i did with Mike Williams, but there was just no reason to draft either player before the season began, it would of been extremely stupid if u did...


    --> Just because you suck at projecting fantasy players into the future doesn't mean that everyone else does.

    This is from last year's fantasy preseason stock page. Take a look at what I wrote about Mike Williams:

    Josh Freeman didn't play for the Buccaneers, but that didn't stop Mike Williams from producing. Williams caught three passes for 83 yards. His longest play was a 53-yard reception, which wasn't as impressive as it sounds because Jacksonville's corner fell down. However, Williams had a great back-shoulder reception in the third quarter. Quite simply, he doesn't look like a rookie at all. As I've been saying, make sure you get Williams on your team because he is a stud.

    And now go down to the Browns-Lions game and check out the Jerome Harrison capsule:

    Stay away from Jerome Harrison. A week after fumbling twice against the Rams, Harrison lost the football yet again in this contest. Harrison was benched afterward for the rest of the half. He ran for 34 yards on 11 carries, and was overshadowed by Peyton Hillis, who compiled 26 rushing yards on seven carries, 40 receiving yards off four catches and a touchdown. Hillis is awesome; it's a shame Cleveland spent such a high pick on Montario Hardesty because I'd like to see him get as many touches as possible.

    When Montario Hardesty went down with that season-ending injury a week later, I noted that Peyton Hillis would produce because Jerome Harrison sucks.

    Oh, and while you're on that page, take a look at what I wrote about Brandon Lloyd and Seattle's Mike Williams - two other guys who were on many of my teams.

    Make sure you check back throughout the summer, especially in August. I'll have loads of fantasy content available.



  • From Matt:

    This is the first year in a long time you haven't drastically overvalued rookies, especially rookie RBs. If I can recall correctly, you had early second round grades on Moreno and Mathews in their rookie years. And before they got injured last year you were already gushing over Tate and Hardesty. Yes, you hit on Mike Williams, but he is the exception, not the rule. Lockout or no lockout, you should stay away from rookies in the early rounds. Take the safe, proven player.


    --> Matt, was Adrian Peterson an exception too? How about Steve Slaton? Jonathan Stewart? Matt Forte? Mathews and Moreno were the exceptions (and only because they both got hurt); not Mike Williams.



  • From E-A-G-L-E-S:

    Your logic is wrong on Mccoy. so what if he doesnt get 250 plus carries when he is catching close to 80 balls a year?? Not only is that huge for ppr points, but also good for standard leagues since he averages almost 8 yards per catch. Those yards add up. He will get his 275 touches this year whether it is on the ground or thru the air.


    --> Oh, LeSean McCoy in a PPR league is a MUCH different story. He's easily top five there. But McCoy not getting 250 carries and not scoring touchdowns is a big factor in my ranking him No. 9 in my 2011 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings. He's only seven points behind the No. 6 running back though, so it's not like I hate McCoy or anything.



  • From Mike:

    you're pretty full of yourself huh? im suuure you had Foster as a sleeper before ANYONE else and you seriously respond to one of your readers by saying he has "sand in his vag"? very professional.


    --> Sounds like you have some sand in your vag as well, my friend.

    Look, I get my fair share of predictions wrong. I didn't like Reggie Wayne last year. I was also too high on Randy Moss, Shonn Greene and Ryan Mathews. But I will never lie about my past prognostications.

    Arian Foster blew up in that nationally televised Dallas preseason game. That was Week 3 of the preseason - two weeks after Ben Tate was lost for the year.

    But what happened in between? The Texans were blown out at New Orleans in Week 2 of the preseason, but one player stood out to me, per my fantasy preseason stock page (scroll down to Arian Foster):

    Save for one play, Arian Foster had a very good performance. He ran well, gaining 28 yards and a touchdown on six carries to go along with his two catches for 15 receiving yards. The blemish? Foster fumbled, which is a big no-no for Gary Kubiak. However, the fumble was a play in which Foster seemed to lose his footing once he obtained the ball from Matt Schaub. Foster was back in the game on the next drive, so he should be OK for now. If Foster limits his fumbles, he could have a monstrous statistical season (Steve Slaton played exclusively in the second half). That said, we've seen how quick Kubiak's hook is pertaining to running backs putting the ball on the ground.

    I did like Foster before almost everyone else. If you check back in August, I'll have my Preseason Fantasy Football Stock pages posted once again.

    Now go clean out that sand stuck in your vag!



    More 2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football: Home

    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings:
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 6/26 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Downloadable Spreadsheets - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Dynasty Rookie Rankings - 8/27 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction Values - 8/27 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Traditional - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 PPR - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Touchdown - 9/8 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Real League Draft - 8/31 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Fake Mock - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Experts Draft - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum 2-QB Mock - 7/21 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Mock Draft Scenarios - 7/17 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction: Mock PPR Auction - 7/14 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum PPR Mock - 7/7 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum Mock - 7/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Four-Man PPR Draft - 6/19 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Draft: Fox Sports - 5/5 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football Injury Reports: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Week 2 Add/Drop - 9/13 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Training Camp Stock - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Start Em, Sit Em - 9/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Stock - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Preseason Recap and Fantasy Football Notes - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Targets - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Late-Round Sleepers - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Round-by-Round Strategy - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Value Comparison - 9/1
    2011 Fantasy Football: Must-Have Players - 8/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Busts, Players to Avoid - 7/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Sleepers - 7/23 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Various League Strategy - 7/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Three-Dimensional Running Backs - 7/16 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: ADP Analysis - 7/15 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: First-Round Bust History - 7/10 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/9 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/4 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Analysis - 7/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/12 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/5 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Up (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Down (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2010 Fantasy Football: Buy Low - 4/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Defense Strategy - 4/8 (Walt)
    Running Backs with Most Carries - 4/8 (Walt)

    Leave a comment

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    Matt 06-12-2011 11:38 am xxx.xxx.xxx9.97 (total posts: 4)
    23     18

    "Matt, was Adrian Peterson an exception too? How about Steve Slaton? Jonathan Stewart? Matt Forte?"
    ----------
    Ok, with the exception of Adrian Peterson, all of those other guys were sleeper, late round, little risk-big reward type picks. I'm fine with spending an 8th or 9th round pick on a rookie RB if I think there is a chance he can develop into a stud for me. That is what happened with those guys. What I am not ok with is spending a 2nd round pick on an unproven rookie (Moreno, Mathews) and immediately labeling them as my RB1.

    That's all I am saying. Don't take the rookie RBs in the EARLY rounds and essentially wager your draft on them. Take them late. If they do good, then great. If not, so what? You already got your starters in the early rounds.
    @ Walter- this is 'Wow' 06-12-2011 11:03 am xxx.xxx.xxx.202 (total posts: 1)
    23     18

    Who said I had Charles at number 1? That was Evan Silva on Rotoworld. Arian Foster is my number one. And the point I was trying to make was, that last year you said they would be picking 4th in the draft. This year, on an early mock, 11th. I didn't look back far enough at all I guess... sorry about that.
    Imposter 06-12-2011 10:52 am xxx.xxx.xxx.201 (total posts: 1)
    18     26

    Hello, my name is Walter Cherepinsky, and I am better than ALL of you.
    Imposter 06-12-2011 09:17 am xxx.xxx.xxx3.21 (total posts: 1)
    25     22

    I suck
    WalterHatestheChiefs 06-12-2011 03:02 am xxx.xxx.xxx.239 (total posts: 1)
    22     22

    I think it's your own fault for being so disappointed with the Chiefs of previous years. Why would anyone ever have any expectations for a Herm Edwards team?
    Walter 06-11-2011 03:41 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.88 (total posts: 3)
    23     23

    @Yashi - But now Todd Haley has his awesome Thomas Jones to take all of the carries in the first quarter.
    Walter 06-11-2011 03:40 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.88 (total posts: 3)
    23     22

    Matt, was Adrian Peterson an exception too? How about Steve Slaton? Jonathan Stewart? Matt Forte?

    Mathews and Moreno were the exceptions (and only because they both got hurt); not Mike Williams.
    Matt Dingleberry 06-08-2011 12:07 am xxx.xxx.xxx2.97 (total posts: 2)
    18     23

    @Matt...he liked Tate because he was a big back in the Houston system. Had he known Arian Foster was going to start over the 2nd round pick...or that Tate would get hurt rather, he obvi would have liked Foster just as much. Probably the same for the Browns, pretty solid Oline there.

    My first year in fantasy football...I drafted some guy to be my third runningback. I said, "I'll take L. Taminson." Turned out to be Ladanian Tomlinson (rookie year), and I ended up taking him with my first round pick the follwing two years as well.
    Matt 06-06-2011 02:20 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.33 (total posts: 1)
    22     22

    Looks like you have finally learned your lesson after you extremely overvalued rookies Ryan Mathews and Knowshon Moreno the past two years. Can't trust rookies.

    --> Ehh... not really. I drafted Mike Williams in most of my leagues last year, and that worked out. I'm just not a fan of rookies this year because of the lockout.
    ----------
    This is the first year in a long time you haven't drastically overvalued rookies, especially rookie RBs. If I can recall correctly, you had early second round grades on Moreno and Mathews in their rookie years. And before they got injured last year you were already gushing over Tate and Hardesty. Yes, you hit on Mike Williams, but he is the exception, not the rule. Lockout or no lockout, you should stay away from rookies in the early rounds. Take the safe, proven player.
    yashi 06-06-2011 09:49 am xxx.xxx.xxx8.49 (total posts: 1)
    18     23

    Charles was the best RB in the league down the stretch in 09 after he was finally made the starter, and Charlie Weis was in South Bend at the time.
    John 06-05-2011 08:08 pm xxx.xxx.xxx88.9 (total posts: 2)
    25     23

    I can imagine Hillis going either way. If the Browns manage to develop a WR who can direct the defense's attention away from Hillis, he could have another good year. If Hillis is the only offense they have again, expect him to slow down sooner because defenses will clamp down on only him, and force the Browns to beat them with their WR corps.
    The only Jags Fan 06-05-2011 12:42 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.20 (total posts: 1)
    22     23

    I drafted Mike Williams late in my drafts on both of my teams last year base on Walts advice. Worked out pretty well for me too. Also, I drafted Fitzgerald last year in the 4th rd, and cringed when I did it, but he started every game and produced despite D. Anderson. Peyton Hillis was my suprise stud last year, but I got him on waivers in week 3. I wont be drafting him this year though. I am chalking him up to a 1 yr wonder. I loved Jamall Charles last year as well, but with Weiss gone, and a moron of a head coach still there, I agree he drops off this year too.
    doug 06-05-2011 11:34 am xxx.xxx.xxx33.1 (total posts: 1)
    25     23

    nycsportzfan-

    he had mike williams listed as one of his favorite sleepers, i'm sure you could find it archived on the site...i spent the majority of my final round draft picks on williams because of that piece of advice
    nycsportzfan 06-05-2011 11:13 am xxx.xxx.xxx2.44 (total posts: 1)
    23     23

    U drafted both Peyton Hillis and Mike Williams(bucs) on most your teams last yr? Sure you did....LOL Your full of it, i could see u picking em up early, as i did with Mike Williams, but there was just no reason to draft either player before the season began, it would of been extremely stupid if u did... Its just like any other fantasy yr, guys come outta nowhere, and are taken during the season... I'm sorry, i just don't buy u taking Hillis and Willimas on most your teams, at least drafting them..
    Walter 06-04-2011 01:41 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.88 (total posts: 3)
    22     23

    First comment... we're going to have comment boards like this all over the site soon. We're still working out the kinks, so this is not the finished product.




    2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - June 20


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 18


    Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 17


    2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


    NFL Picks - Feb. 3





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