2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks
These 2011 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings will be updated often throughout the summer, so make sure you check back from time to time. Also, be sure to check out my other 2011 Fantasy Football articles, which will include sleepers, busts, tons of 2011 Fantasy Football mock drafts and other material. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings - Quarterbacks (Sept. 5):
Top 10 | 11-20 | 21-35
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Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers. Bye: 8.
Aaron Rodgers should be the consensus No. 1 quarterback. In 14-and-a-half games, Rodgers compiled 3,922 yards, 28 passing touchdowns and 11 interceptions despite missing stud tight end Jermichael Finley for half the year. What separates Rodgers from Peyton Manning and Tom Brady are his rushing numbers; he compiled 356 rushing yards and four extra scores.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Stats: 4,250 passing yards. 31 passing TDs. 11 INTs. 325 rushing yards. 4 rushing TDs.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Points (ESPN Scoring): 328.
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Tom Brady, QB, Patriots. Bye: 7.
AUG. 19 UPDATE: Tampa's secondary had no answer for Tom Brady in New England's preseason victory. Brady went 11-of-19 for 118 yards and two touchdowns in one half of action. He led the Patriots to three touchdown drives in the first quarter. Brady could have posted better numbers, but Bill Belichick decided to run the ball most of the time in the second quarter. Brady is going way too low in most fantasy drafts. He's my No. 2 fantasy quarterback behind Aaron Rodgers.
Tom Brady started slow last season, but the Randy Moss trade and a weird loss to the Browns seemed to wake him up. Following that Cleveland defeat, Brady's numbers in his final seven games of the year look like this: 1,875 yards, 20 touchdowns, zero interceptions.
There's no reason to believe Brady will regress. He doesn't have to force the ball to an overrated Moss, and he'll be even more comfortable with his two young talented tight ends.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Stats: 4,250 passing yards. 37 passing TDs. 9 INTs. 30 rushing yards. 1 rushing TD.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Points (ESPN Scoring): 307.
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QB Eagles No. 7, QB, Eagles. Bye: 7.
AUG. 19 UPDATE: I wonder if Matthew Berry still thinks Philadelphia's quarterback should be the No. 1 overall pick in fantasy drafts. Playing against a blitz-happy, talented Pittsburgh defense, Philadelphia's quarterback predictably melted down, going 5-of-12 for 47 yards and three interceptions in one full half of action. He wasn't even as good as those miserable numbers indicate; he showed no awareness in the pocket, and all of the picks were legitimate. There could have been two more interceptions, as Troy Polamalu came within inches if hauling in his other throws. Opposing defenses figured out how to confuse QB Eagles No. 7 at the end of the 2010 season, and it appears as though that'll continue into 2011.
This guy is very overrated. The Monday night game against the Redskins caused everyone to overreact to what they witnessed on national TV. Late in the year, opposing teams figured out that they could confuse Philadelphia's quarterback with blitzes. He consequently struggled against the Vikings and Packers.
Philadelphia's quarterback is still a very good fantasy player if you don't mind rooting for him. However, as I wrote earlier, he's vastly overrated. There's also the fact that he's played a full 16 games in his pro career only once, back in 2006. The numbers below do not reflect a 16-game slate:
Projected 2010 Fantasy Stats: 3,400 passing yards. 21 passing TDs. 15 INTs. 680 rushing yards. 7 rushing TDs.
Projected 2010 Fantasy Points (ESPN Scoring): 300.
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Drew Brees, QB, Saints. Bye: 11.
AUG. 29 UPDATE: I'd say this was a far cry from two weeks ago. Drew Brees really struggled against the 49ers in the preseason opener, but he was in mid-season form at Oakland. In just three drives, Brees went 15-of-23 for 189 yards, as he completely abused Raiders rookie corner DeMarcus Van Dyke. He was unstoppable despite missing reliable slot receiver Lance Moore. The only reason Brees didn't throw a touchdown was because Mark Ingram and Pierre Thomas each scored on the ground on the first two possessions. The Saints managed a field goal on the third.
Drew Brees suffered through an MCL tear and the Madden Curse last year, yet he still managed to throw for 4,620 yards and 33 touchdowns. The interceptions (22) were a problem, but that number was a career-high; assuming Brees his healthy, his pick total should be in the lower teens again.
Brees is a bit of an afterthought despite being a top-four fantasy quarterback because of those 22 interceptions. You might be able to get him slightly lower than he should be drafted.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Stats: 4,600 passing yards. 33 passing TDs. 14 INTs. 25 rushing yards. 1 rushing TD.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Points (ESPN Scoring): 296.
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Philip Rivers, QB, Chargers. Bye: 6.
AUG. 12 UPDATE: Philip Rivers looked like he was in mid-season form against the Seahawks in the preseason opener. He went 5-of-6 for 87 yards and a touchdown, with the sole incompletion being a downfield shot to Vincent Jackson. Antonio Gates didn't play, making Rivers' performance that much more impressive.
Prior to 2010, Philip Rivers had never attempted more than 486 passes in his career. In 2010, Rivers threw the ball 541 times. The culprit was San Diego's anemic special teams; constantly trailing, Rivers had to fire the ball early and often.
That probably won't be the case in 2011, so I expect Rivers' passing numbers to revert to normal. Rivers might be a bit overvalued because of that, but he's still a very good third-tier fantasy quarterback.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Stats: 4,350 passing yards. 31 passing TDs. 9 INTs. 50 rushing yards. 1 rushing TD.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Points (ESPN Scoring): 291.
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Tony Romo, QB, Cowboys. Bye: 5.
The Cowboys stunk last year, but Tony Romo was actually enjoying a great fantasy campaign prior to being knocked out for the year in the Monday night game against the Giants. In five full contests, Romo had 1,566 yards, 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Those numbers translated over a full 16-game slate become: 5,011 yards, 32 touchdowns and 22 interceptions.
I don't think Romo will throw for 5,000 yards or anything, but he's slightly underrated right now because he hasn't played since October. Also, keep two things in mind: First, Romo will have a greater rapport with Dez Bryant this season, and second, Dallas' defense still sucks, so Romo will have to throw a lot.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Stats: 4,450 passing yards. 29 passing TDs. 15 INTs. 100 rushing yards. 1 rushing TD.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Points (ESPN Scoring): 280.
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Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Steelers. Bye: 11.
AUG. 29 UPDATE: Ben Roethlisberger threw nearly a third as many times as Matt Ryan in the preseason Week 3 contest, but finished with almost as many passing yards. Big Ben went 11-of-16 for 214 yards and two touchdowns, thanks to two separate deep bombs to Antonio Brown. With Brown and Emmanuel Sanders emerging, Roethlisberger has more weapons than ever. He could finish as a top-six fantasy quarterback this year.
AUG. 19 UPDATE: Though he was constantly pressured throughout the first half, Ben Roethlisberger torched Philadelphia's vaunted secondary, going 8-of-12 for 125 yards and two touchdowns in one-and-a-half quarters of action. As always, Big Ben evaded pressure and brushed off pass-rushers to find his receivers downfield. After the top six quarterbacks, Roethlisberger is arguably the No. 7 fantasy signal-caller.
Those who drafted Ben Roethlisberger last year definitely enjoyed his production after a four-game suspension. In 12 contests, Roethlisberger threw for 3,200 yards, 17 touchdowns and just five interceptions.
If the Steelers re-sign Willie Colon, Roethlisberger will be able to post improved numbers with better protection. Plus, the Steelers also get to look forward to the growth of Emmanuel Sanders and Antonio Brown, two young wideouts who flashed at times last year.
Projected 2010 Fantasy Stats: 4,100 passing yards. 27 passing TDs. 10 INTs. 150 rushing yards. 2 rushing TDs.
Projected 2010 Fantasy Points (ESPN Scoring): 279.
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Matthew Stafford, QB, Lions. Bye: 7.
AUG. 28 UPDATE: Matthew Stafford was possessed against the Patriots. He went 12-of-14 for 200 yards and two touchdowns in just slightly less than a half of action. The kicker is that one of his incompletions was a dropped 15-yard score by Nate Burleson. Definitely make an attempt to get Stafford on your team. Yes, the injury concerns are there, but if he can stay healthy, you're getting a potential top-six fantasy quarterback in the seventh or eighth round.
AUG. 14 UPDATE: Matthew Stafford played two drives against the Bengals in the preseason opener, and he was incredible. That's not an exaggeration by any means. He looked every bit as good as Philip Rivers did against the Seahawks on Thursday night. Stafford went 6-of-7 for 71 yards and two touchdowns. His sole incompletion was an easy drop by Jahvid Best out of the backfield. Even better, Stafford was not pressured on a single attempt. This will obviously change when he battles a tougher defense in the regular season, but it's encouraging nonetheless. If Stafford can stay healthy, he'll easily be a top-eight fantasy quarterback.
AUG. 8 UPDATE: Perhaps the Lions now regret passing on offensive tackles early in the previous three NFL Drafts. Detroit's top three offensive linemen, Jeff Backus, Gosder Cherilus and Jason Fox, are all out with various injuries. Matthew Stafford is brittle and needs all of the protection he can get. This is a huge concern.
I really liked Matthew Stafford last year and drafted him as a backup in nearly all of my fantasy leagues. Of course, Stafford suffered an injury in the first week of the season, which knocked him out until November.
Everyone is down on Stafford now, so buy low. Once upon a time, Matt Schaub and Phil Simms were considered extremely brittle due to a plethora of injuries early in their careers. They proved their critics wrong, and so could Stafford. He has the talent around him to be a fantasy stud.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Stats: 4,200 passing yards. 27 passing TDs. 14 INTs. 100 rushing yards. 2 rushing TDs.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Points (ESPN Scoring): 270.
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Matt Ryan, QB, Falcons. Bye: 8.
AUG. 29 UPDATE: I never thought I'd ever see a veteran starting quarterback attempt 42 passes in any preseason game, let alone in just one half of action. Matt Ryan did just that, going 22-of-42 for 220 yards, one touchdown and an interception prior to halftime at Pittsburgh. His stats could have been much better. He launched a beautiful 52-yard touchdown bomb to Julio Jones, but the rookie wideout had the ball bounce right out of his arms. Another potential score was nullified because of a Tony Gonzalez pass interference penalty. Ryan also had an uncharacteristic drop by Roddy White; the ball hit the All-Pro wideout right in the face mask.
I didn't like the Julio Jones trade because I think the Falcons surrendered too much, but there's no questioning his talent, especially in the red zone, where he'll be a massive target for Matt Ryan, who remains a solid starting fantasy quarterback.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Stats: 4,025 passing yards. 27 passing TDs. 11 INTs. 100 rushing yards. 1 rushing TD.
Projected 2011 Fantasy Points (ESPN Scoring): 263.
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Josh Freeman, QB, Buccaneers. Bye: 8.
AUG. 29 UPDATE: As surprising as it was to see Chad Henne light it up, it was equally shocking to see Josh Freeman struggle against Miami. Freeman went 12-of-23 for 149 yards, but that doesn't tell the whole story. He easily could have tossed two interceptions; the first was dropped by safety Yeremiah Bell on the opening drive. The second nearly occurred in the second quarter when Freeman tried to force the ball into LeGarrette Blount in between two defenders. Freeman threw only six picks last year, but he's going to have many more if he doesn't improve his decision-making.
Josh Freeman made major strides in 2010, throwing for 3,451 yards, 25 touchdowns and only six interceptions. Seventeen of Freeman's 25 scores came in the final nine games of the season, indicating that he developed a rapport with his young receivers. Freeman should be even better in 2011, and thanks to his rushing stats, he's a viable starting fantasy quarterback.
Projected 2010 Fantasy Stats: 3,725 passing yards. 25 passing TDs. 13 INTs. 330 rushing yards. 1 rushing TD.
Projected 2010 Fantasy Points (ESPN Scoring): 262.
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings - Quarterbacks (Sept. 5):
Top 10 | 11-20 | 21-35
More 2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
2011 Fantasy Football: Home
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings:
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 9/1 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 6/26 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Downloadable Spreadsheets - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Dynasty Rookie Rankings - 8/27 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Auction Values - 8/27 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Traditional - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 PPR - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Touchdown - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Real League Draft - 8/31 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Fake Mock - 8/25 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Experts Draft - 8/25 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum 2-QB Mock - 7/21 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Mock Draft Scenarios - 7/17 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Auction: Mock PPR Auction - 7/14 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum PPR Mock - 7/7 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum Mock - 7/3 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Four-Man PPR Draft - 6/19 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Draft: Fox Sports - 5/5 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
2011 Fantasy Football Injury Reports: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Week 2 Add/Drop - 9/13 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Training Camp Stock - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Start Em, Sit Em - 9/6 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Stock - 9/3 (Walt)
2011 Preseason Recap and Fantasy Football Notes - 9/3 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Targets - 9/3 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Late-Round Sleepers - 9/1 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Round-by-Round Strategy - 9/1 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Value Comparison - 9/1
2011 Fantasy Football: Must-Have Players - 8/24 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Busts, Players to Avoid - 7/25 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/24 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Sleepers - 7/23 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Various League Strategy - 7/18 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Three-Dimensional Running Backs - 7/16 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: ADP Analysis - 7/15 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: First-Round Bust History - 7/10 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/9 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/4 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Analysis - 7/1 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/18 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/12 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/5 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Up (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Down (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
2010 Fantasy Football: Buy Low - 4/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Defense Strategy - 4/8 (Walt)
Running Backs with Most Carries - 4/8 (Walt)
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Kev
06-17-2011
11:03 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx4.80
(total posts: 1)
13
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Not sure why Phillip Rivers is so low on this list. 3 straight 4,000 yard seasons, 34, 28, and 30 passing TD's. Plus he should have Vincent Jackson all year this time. He should easily be #4 or #5 behind Peyton Rodgers Brady and possibly Brees (although I think it's close). Vick Ben and Romo won't come anywhere close to Rivers' numbers.
Banned
06-15-2011
08:41 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx3.21
(total posts: 1)
13
13
I want Tebow's load in my mouth because Im a dumb fa ggot
rob
06-14-2011
01:46 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.108
(total posts: 1)
18
15
you are a tard if you think the ravens will cut boldin. he was their leading receiver last year
JaMarcus Russell
06-14-2011
02:12 am
xxx.xxx.xxx3.72
(total posts: 1)
15
16
I SHOULD B #1 QB!!!!I HAVE PURLE DRANK
buccaneersbg
06-10-2011
03:09 am
xxx.xxx.xxx.190
(total posts: 1)
14
16
GO BUCS ! FIRE THEM CANNONS !!!
Brian
06-07-2011
08:17 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx7.73
(total posts: 1)
17
15
Walter, under Alex Smith you wrote: "Jim Harbaugh says he wants to work with Alex Smith." This is just coach speak for "we really want to make it look like we're trying as we run out there the guy who can give us the best chance at the worst record in the league, guaranteeing us getting Andrew Luck next year."
Ty
06-07-2011
03:58 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.237
(total posts: 1)
16
16
Ponder the pro ready accuarte QB naw he is gonna do worse than cam newton with less weapons. or worse tan jake who can throw a straight pass to save his life.
Matt
06-07-2011
03:42 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx0.32
(total posts: 2)
16
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@Tosh
Idk. The guy who took Vick #1 overall is actually one of the better fantasy players at the website I play at. I'll be interested to see how it plays out. @HeyWalt Tebow can be a top ten fantasy QB. I don't think Eli and Bradford can. Tebow will be playing from behinds due to a bad Denver D. Not to mention all the rushing yards and TDs that will add up. But... if you are going into the season with any of the three as your starting QB, you've probably already lost. They are all QB2s, with the most upside going to Tebow.
GoBlue11
06-07-2011
03:30 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.220
(total posts: 1)
15
16
John Beck > Chad Henne?
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU-
HeyWalt
06-07-2011
02:52 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx2.44
(total posts: 1)
15
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I'm guessing based on your rankings you'd rather have Tebow, who you think will not play all 16 games, over Sam Bradford and Eli Manning. Mind explaining the thinking behind that?
Hot
06-07-2011
01:01 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx9.33
(total posts: 1)
16
15
Ron Mexico is back to sloth mode. He is NOT working out with his teammates in the offseason/lockout.
I would call that a red flag.
Tosh
06-07-2011
07:02 am
xxx.xxx.xxx.201
(total posts: 1)
17
15
@Matt Wow, seriously Vick at one? I would have loved to blast the guy who did that.
walt cherepensky
06-06-2011
06:12 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx6.51
(total posts: 1)
15
18
browns win against patriots wasn't fluke!!! and thank you for putting fantasy stuff up already your fantasy advice is best in the business
Jeremy
06-06-2011
05:56 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.164
(total posts: 1)
17
18
No Matt Schaub!
Matt
06-06-2011
02:36 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx0.33
(total posts: 2)
17
18
FYI - You have Vick and Rivers too low. Both can single-handedly win you a game, especially Vick. I can't say the same about Ben or Romo. Any time Vick is on the field he is capable of 40 fantasy points. So what if he gets dinged up and missed 2 weeks here and there? The QB position is so deep you can easily go out and pick up a replacement for those weeks he misses.
My advice: Wait on QB. Don't take one until the 4th round. They have been going in this order in early 12-team drafts I have been in. Vick: 1st to 2nd Round (I've seen him go #1 overall) Rodgers: 1st to 3rd Round (I've seen him go #1 overall) Brees: 3rd to 4th Round Manning: 3rd to 5th Round (I got him in the 5th) Brady: 3rd to 5th Round (I got him in the 5th) Rivers: 4th to 5th Round (I've seen him go over Brady and Manning) In my opinion, I would gladly spend a 4th round pick on Manning, Rivers, or Brady before spending a 1st or 2nd on Rodgers, for example. I don't think they are that far apart. The RB position is super thin this year. People are going to be going after RBs early and often because there are absolutely no good options at the RB position in the middle and later rounds. This will cause the stud QBs to fall into the middle rounds. Take advantage. |
2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - June 19
2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 18
Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 17
2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22
NFL Picks - Feb. 3
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