I'm slightly worried about Fournette's health, but he's still young and on a team that has such a strong defense, that he will be set up for good usage game in and game out.
17 Devonta Freeman, RB, Falcons.
Freeman had a down year but also missed three games. In a full season, he would have likely finished as a top-10 running back. Hopefully, the Falcons will up their offensive numbers as a whole in 2018, as this will be their second year in a new offense.
18 A.J. Green, WR, Bengals.
Green had a down 2017 but still finished as a top-10 fantasy receiver. We know his upside is much higher than that, but it would be tough to draft for that upside this season.
19 T.Y. Hilton, WR, Colts.
This ranking leans on the hope that Andrew Luck returns in 2018. The news isn't bad, but it's also not overly reassuring, so I wouldn't take Hilton too early just yet.
20 Davante Adams, WR, Packers.
Adams got a big new contract, while Jordy Nelson was released. Adams is the no-doubt No. 1 receiver now and has Aaron Rodgers throwing to him. Adams on any other team would be good, but Rodgers elevates him into a second-round pick.
21 Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers.
Rodgers remains the most consistent fantasy quarterback out there, and there really is no argument. Yes, you can argue why another quarterback could be the No. 1 fantasy quarterback this season, but Rodgers has a track record that no other player has, besides maybe Antonio Brown.
22 Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals.
Mixon wasn't good as a rookie but did show some flashes. Gio Bernard isn't going anywhere and the Bengals could always draft a running back at some point who could push Mixon, but he should be the No. 1 back.
23 Doug Baldwin, WR, Seahawks.
Baldwin continues to put up good numbers while not seeing the targets his talent level demands. If Jimmy Graham heads to a new team, I do think Baldwin will have more touchdowns than last season.
24 Jordan Howard, RB, Bears.
Howard was all over the map last season, but it didn't help that John Fox was awful. Matt Nagy will be a step up in play calling this season, and I expect Howard to get a bit more consistency and a higher ceiling.
25 Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs.
Kelce led all tight ends in fantasy points last season but will have a new quarterback and offensive coordinator for 2018. I like Patrick Mahomes quite a bit and think he could help Kelce put up even better numbers, but he's also a wild card. I won't be drafting any tight end early this season, so ADP will help dictate where my priorities lie.
26 Jerick McKinnon, RB, Vikings.
McKinnon landed in possibly the best spot for his ability and fantasy value when he was signed by San Francisco. In Kyle Shanahan's offense, I expect McKinnon to share work, but also be in a position to have extremely efficient numbers. As long as the 49ers don't go after someone else, I love his upside in their offense as the lead back.
27 Mike Evans, WR, Buccaneers.
Evans has now gone through a great season, a poor season, a great season again and then a poor season again. If the pattern holds, then we get a great season in 2018! Of course, that's not how this works, but we know what he can do and we know he's stayed relatively healthy and will continue to see good target numbers. His floor isn't as high as I'd like, but his ceiling is.
28 Tyreek Hill, WR, Chiefs.
Hill had plenty of doubters coming into last season, but he proved that he could take on the role of a No. 1 receiver and thrive. He'll have Pat Mahomes as his quarterback this season, so there will be some more doubt cast on this upcoming season, but even if there are some major learning curves, Mahomes looks good enough to keep Hill as a strong fantasy receiver.
29 Christian McCaffrey, RB, Panthers.
McCaffrey was just okay as a runner, but he did show improvement in that area as the season went on. His true ability, however, lies in his receiving ability, which netted him 80 receptions for his rookie year. He should see a slightly larger workload this coming season and out-touch Jonathan Stewart for the year. McCaffrey is a no-brainer PPR stud, but he does enough to be on your radar in non-PPR as long as you factor in that he will likely never be a double-digit touchdown scorer.
30 Demaryius Thomas, WR, Broncos.
Thomas' fantasy fate will rely on Case Keenum, which isn't exactly who you want to hitch your fate too, but Thomas' prospects are better than with Siemian, Osweiler, and company.