Rodgers remains the most consistent fantasy quarterback out there, and there really is no argument. Yes, you can argue why another quarterback could be the No. 1 fantasy quarterback this season, but Rodgers has a track record that no other player has, besides maybe Antonio Brown.
2 Tom Brady, QB, Patriots.
I guess we'll have to wait for Brady's arm to literally fall out of the socket before knocking him down the rankings despite his AARP card. He is a great quarterback, probably the greatest of all time, but at this point, there's no doubt that his consistency at 41 years old has a lot to do with the Patriots' system, which should be good to go for yet another season.
3 Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks.
Wilson has such great upside, even in games where he isn't at his best, that I find it hard to not rank him second at the moment. I would love to see the Seahawks add some receiving weapons and offensive linemen, but no matter what, Wilson gets the job done on many fronts.
4 Cam Newton, QB, Panthers.
Carolina's coaching staff says they will let Newton run, which means I'm on board with him as a top fantasy player. He's too inconsistent, but when he hits, he's helping your fake football team.
5 Drew Brees, QB, Saints.
Brees lost a lot of fantasy points last season due to a crazy rushing-touchdown success rate out of Kamara and Ingram. There is a good chance that success rate goes down a bit and moves Brees' touchdowns back up. His days of No. 1 upside are likely gone, but his ability is still there and he likely will fare better statistically this year.
6 Andrew Luck, QB, Colts.
Luck appears to have bulked up and to be in great shape. He has also started throwing and reports no pain in his shoulder. If you can get a deep discount on him now, I'd go for it.
7 Deshaun Watson, QB, Texans.
Am I too high on Watson? Very possible, but if you are going to go after a quarterback early, they sure better have league-winning upside, and Watson sure has that. He led all quarterbacks in fantasy points per game last season and showed me enough to risk an earlier-round pick.
8 Philip Rivers, QB, Chargers.
Rivers finished as the eighth fantasy quarterback last season, and his health has been amazing so far in this league. He'll be a player I draft often if his ADP lets me.
9 Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Steelers.
If we could ink in Roethlisberger's second-half numbers from 2017, he would be a top-five quarterback, but he does go into slumps like he had to start last season and his road numbers will likely always be a bit of a letdown from his home numbers.
10 Matthew Stafford, QB, Lions.
Stafford has become much more consistent under Jim Bob Cooter and appears to be a lock for yet another top-10 finish. Unlike the running quarterbacks, Stafford doesn't have great upside, but his high floor is going to continue and you won't need to spend a high pick on him.
11 Kirk Cousins, QB, Vikings.
Cousins landed in a nice spot for his fantasy future. Even the very average Case Keenum was able to put up fantasy numbers throwing to Thielen, Diggs, and Rudolph.
12 Matt Ryan, QB, Falcons.
Ryan finished as the 15th-"best" fantasy quarterback last season after finishing as the third best the season before. The biggest change from those two years was the loss of Kyle Shanahan as offensive coordinator. Steve Sarkisian was not Shanahan, but neither was Shanahan in his first season with Atlanta. I don't expect any kind of repeat of 2016, although I do expect Ryan to move back closer to his average.
13 Carson Wentz, QB, Eagles.
Wentz will miss this offseason due to injury and might not be fully ready to go Week 1. He showed enough last season to keep the faith, but I don't think we should go all-in on him just yet, especially as he'll probably go fairly early after his MVP-caliber season.
14 Jimmy Garoppolo, QB, 49ers.
I loved what I saw from Jimmy G last season and that was with a poor group of receivers around him. He will get Pierre Garcon back along with a strong receiving running back in Jerrick McKinnon. His upside is great in a Shanahan led offense.
15 Alex Smith, QB, Redskins.
Smith is a good quarterback. Is he as good as last year's numbers? Probably, but he will be on a new team and the risk due to that change is high. The good news is that he'll be given more volume to compensate for lost efficiency.