Rodgers remains the most consistent fantasy quarterback out there, and there really is no argument. Yes, you can argue why another quarterback could be the No. 1 fantasy quarterback this season, but Rodgers has a track record that no other player has, besides maybe Antonio Brown.
2. Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks. Bye: 5.
Wilson has such great upside, even in games where he isn't at his best, that I find it hard to not rank him second at the moment. I would love to see the Seahawks add some receiving weapons and offensive linemen, but no matter what, Wilson gets the job done on many fronts.
3. Tom Brady, QB, Patriots. Bye: 9.
I guess we'll have to wait for Brady's arm to literally fall out of the socket before knocking him down the rankings despite his AARP card. He is a great quarterback, probably the greatest of all time, but at this point, there's no doubt that his consistency at 41 years old has a lot to do with the Patriots' system, which should be good to go for yet another season.
4. Deshaun Watson, QB, Texans. Bye: 9.
Am I too high on Watson? Very possible, but if you are going to go after a quarterback early, they sure better have league-winning upside, and Watson sure has that. He led all quarterbacks in fantasy points per game last season and showed me enough to risk an earlier-round pick.
5. Cam Newton, QB, Panthers. Bye: 7.
Carolina's coaching staff says they will let Newton run, which means I'm on board with him as a top fantasy player. He's too inconsistent, but when he hits, he's helping your fake football team.
6. Matthew Stafford, QB, Lions. Bye: 10.
Stafford has become much more consistent under Jim Bob Cooter and appears to be a lock for yet another top-10 finish. Unlike the running quarterbacks, Stafford doesn't have great upside, but his high floor is going to continue and you won't need to spend a high pick on him.
7. Drew Brees, QB, Saints. Bye: 5.
Brees will have some games where his team will trail and he'll need to put up stats to compete, but that is no longer the norm for New Orleans. Brees is now much more of a game manager with a balanced offense and stronger defense. If the defense were to fall apart, then we could see him get closer to his old upside, but the Saint will still lean on the running game at times, which was explosive last season.
8. Carson Wentz, QB, Eagles. Bye: 4.
Wentz will miss this offseason due to injury and might not be fully ready to go Week 1. He showed enough last season to keep the faith, but I don't think we should go all-in on him just yet, especially as he'll probably go fairly early after his MVP-caliber season.
9. Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys. Bye: 7.
Prescott looked mildly rotten at times with Ezekiel Elliott suspended, but hopefully, that stretch will push Dallas to upgrade its passing game, while Elliott will be back to start the 2018 season. I expect Prescott returns to his consistent and efficient self with Elliott back in the mix.
10. Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Steelers. Bye: 8.
If we could ink in Roethlisberger's second-half numbers from 2017, he would be a top-five quarterback, but he does go into slumps like he had to start last season and his road numbers will likely always be a bit of a letdown from his home numbers.
11. Kirk Cousins, QB, Redskins. Bye: 9.
Much depends on where Cousins lands in free agency. I'm guessing he'll be in Denver, which has two good receivers and a team set up to win with a competent quarterback like Cousins. He would likely be in my third tier and make for a strong pick if he goes Mile High.
12. Philip Rivers, QB, Chargers. Bye: 11.
I want very much to rank Rivers higher than this, as I love Keenan Allen, Tyrell Williams and Hunter Henry, but Rivers can be inconsistent despite his great upside. He finished as the eighth fantasy quarterback last season, and his health has been amazing so far in this league. He'll be a player I draft often if his ADP lets me.
13. Jared Goff, QB, Rams. Bye: 8.
Goff showed good consistency and a nice ceiling against bad pass defenses in 2017. I think he will be a strong fantasy player in his second season with Sean McVay, and I have no qualms with him as a later-round starting fantasy quarterback.