Walters Football Site: Baseball Pick of the Day

Major League Baseball Picks

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Free Baseball Picks:
2008: April - May - June -
2007: April - May - June - July - August - Sept/Oct -

Last Week's Winnings (June 23-29, 2008): 7-9 (-$960)

2006 Season Winnings: -$655 (+$2,640 since Aug. 19)
2007 Season Winnings: -$5,840
2008 Season Winnings (as of June 29): -$3,995

Career Winnings (as of June 29): -$10,440

Monday, April 30, 2007 (3-1, +$335)

Baltimore Orioles (12-13) at Detroit Tigers (13-11).
Line: Orioles +135; Tigers -1.5 +145.

Looks like the Orioles didn't have the option to buy runs yesterday, as I predicted. Aww, too bad. Daniel Cabrera only has one road start this year, so we don't really know how good or bad he is away from home. However, he was pretty brutal last year, so I'm expecting a big Tigers victory.

Daniel Cabrera (R) is 0-1; 3.86 ERA; 1.43 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Jeremy Bonderman (L) is 0-0; 2.77 ERA; 0.77 WHIP; -3.1 Units at home.

Prediction: Tigers -1.5 +145.
Correct; +$145

Texas Rangers (10-14) at Toronto Blue Jays (12-12).
Line: Rangers +190; Blue Jays -2.5 +145.

I love going with Roy Halladay at home, especially against a fat pitcher like Vincente Padilla, who will be throwing for a crappy road team like Texas.

Vincente Padilla (R) is 0-2; 6.43 ERA; 1.86 WHIP; -4.2 Units on the road.

Roy Halladay (R) is 1-0; 1.56 ERA; 0.87 WHIP; -0.8 Units at home.

Prediction: Blue Jays -2.5 +145.
Correct; +$145

Washington Nationals (8-17) at San Diego Padres (13-12).
Line: Nationals 230+; Padres -2.5 +140.

Three things going against the Nationals here: They've lost four of five on the road, each of those losses being by three or more. They've yet to win a game with cheese-baller John Patterson on the mound. And they suck.

John Patterson (R) is 0-1; 6.75 ERA; 1.50 WHIP; -2 Units on the road.

Jacob Peavy (R) is 1-0; 3.65 ERA; 1.54 WHIP; +2 Units at home.

Prediction: Padres -2.5 +140.
Incorrect; -$100

Colorado Rockies (10-15) at San Francisco Giants (12-11).
Line: Rockies +130; Giants -1.5 +145.

The Rockies are a crappy road team I love to bet against. They're 4-8 as visitors. Josh Fogg is coming off a great start, meaning he's due to get torched.

Josh Fogg (R) is 1-0; 3.93 ERA; 1.26 WHIP; +2.6 Units on the road.

Noah Lowry (L) is 1-1; 1.93 ERA; 1.00 WHIP; 0 Units at home.

Prediction: Giants -1.5 +145.
Correct; +$145

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Sunday, April 29, 2007 (3-0, +$440)

Texas Rangers (10-13) at Toronto Blue Jays (11-12).
Line: Rangers +125; Blue Jays -1.5 +145.

I don't think I've suffered through so much BS in one betting season. How in the world can an umpire justify giving Baltimore an extra run three innings later? That had a huge effect on the game. Also, the Blue Jays, up two in the top of the ninth with two outs, blew it as closer Jason Frasor hit a batter. This is getting ridiculous. I'm confident here, however. Brandon McCarthy, like the rest of the Rangers, is garbage on the road.

Brandon McCarthy (R) is 0-2; 10.13 ERA; 2.25 WHIP; -2.1 Units on the road.

Tomo Ohka (R) is 0-2; 5.84 ERA; 1.14 WHIP; -2.3 Units at home.

Prediction: Blue Jays -1.5 +145.
Correct; +$145

Baltimore Orioles (12-12) at Cleveland Indians (13-8).
Line: Orioles +130; Indians -1.5 +145.

Hey, I have an idea. The umpires should give the Orioles eight runs if they're losing late in the game. And if eight's not enough, they should offer Sam Periozzo the ability to buy runs at a cheap price. That would be really cool.

Jaret Wright (R) is 0-1; 15.45 ERA; 3.86 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Fausto Carmona (R) is 0-1; 12.47 ERA; 2.08 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

Prediction: Indians -1.5 +145.
Correct; +$145

Kansas City Royals (8-16) at Seattle Mariners (9-10).
Line: Royals +135; Mariners -1.5 +150.

In fact, why don't we give every team I bet against the ability to buy runs and get hit by closers in the ninth? No, I'm not frustrated at all right now!

Brian Bannister (R) is 0-1; 6.24 ERA; 1.62 WHIP; -1 Units at home (no road stats).

Cha Seung Baek (R) is 0-0; 8.31 ERA; 2.31 WHIP; +1.4 Units on the road (no home stats).

Prediction: Mariners -1.5 +150.
Correct; +$150

Saturday, April 28, 2007 (0-3, -$300)

Texas Rangers (9-13) at Toronto Blue Jays (11-11).
Line: Rangers +105; Blue Jays -1.5 +165.

Kevin Millwood has given up five earned runs in each of his previous two starts, and I feel that could repeat itself today. Texas is not a good road team; in non-Robinson Tejeda starts (he's their ace), Texas is 1-9. All but one of those losses were by at least two runs.

Kevin Millwoood (R) is 1-2; 5.06 ERA; 1.56 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Gustavo Chacin (L) is 2-0; 3.08 ERA; 1.03 WHIP; +2.4 Units at home.

Prediction: Blue Jays -1.5 +165.
Incorrect; -$100

Cincinnati Reds (10-13) at Pittsburgh Pirates (11-10).
Line: Reds +135; Pirates -1.5 +140.

Doesn't it seem like we're getting away with armed robbery by taking Pittsburgh? The Pirates are on fire, having won five in a row -- I can't believe I just said that. The Reds aren't a good road team. Tom Gorzelanny, meanwhile, is pitching out of his mind.

Matt Belisle (R) is 1-0; 1.50 ERA; 0.67 WHIP; +1.5 Units on the road.

Tom Gorzelanny (L) is 0-0; 0.00 ERA; 0.57 WHIP; -1.3 Units at home.

Prediction: Pirates -1.5 +140.
Incorrect; -$100

Baltimore Orioles (11-12) at Cleveland Indians (13-7).
Line: Orioles +120; Indians -1.5 +150.

One of this year's disappointments has to be Erik Bedard, who hasn't pitched well at all, especially on the road. Cleveland should be able to pound him. By the way, the Indians blew a 5-1 lead yesterday to win by one. That's the second time they did something like that this week. Earlier, they allowed Texas to come back from 6-0. If it happens again, I'm going to lose it.

Erik Bedard (L) is 2-1; 6.75 ERA; 1.56 WHIP; +1.5 Units on the road.

Jeremy Sowers (L) is 1-0; 1.29 ERA; 0.86 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Indians -1.5 +150.
Incorrect; -$100

Friday, April 27, 2007 (2-1, +$200)

Cincinnati Reds (10-12) at Pittsburgh Pirates (10-10).
Line: Reds +140; Pirates -1.5 +140.

The Pirates are in second place? Huh!? How did that happen? And I'm taking them? What!? My head's spinning. But hey, Pittsburgh is hot (won four in a row) and Paris Milton is garbage. Ian Snell, meanwhile, has yet to surrender more than two earned runs in a single game this year.

Eric "Paris" Milton (L) is 0-3; 4.32 ERA; 1.32 WHIP; -3 Units at home (no road stats).

Ian Snell (R) is 0-1; 1.29 ERA; 1.00 WHIP; -1.1 Units at home.

Prediction: Pirates -1.5 +140.
Correct; +$140

Baltimore Orioles (11-11) at Cleveland Indians (12-7).
Line: Orioles +140; Indians -1.5 +130.

I may never bet on the Twins ever again. Watching that game yesterday was so frustratng. Can someone explain to me why Nick Punto attempted to steal a base in the first inning when Joe Mauer had a full count? Punto was thrown out, and Mauer was walked on the next pitch. Michael Cuddyer, the ensuing batter, hit a single, which would have knocked in Punto. The following inning, Alexi Castilla grounded out into double play with the bases loaded and one out. Justin Morneau did the same thing in the sixth or seventh. Ugh.

Anyway, to make this short, Baltimore is a crappy road team with a crappy pitcher on the mound. Indians are hot.

Steve Trachsel (R) is 0-2; 7.83 ERA; 1.45 WHIP; -2 Units on the road.

Jake Westbrook (R) is 0-1; 3.00 ERA; 1.50 WHIP; -1.2 Units at home.

Prediction: Indians -1.5 +130.
Incorrect; -$100

Kansas City Royals (7-15) at Seattle Mariners (8-9).
Line: Royals +125; Mariners -1.5 +160.

I can't believe I didn't get a win out of the Royals in Minnesota. Ridiculous. Seattle's going to sweep Kansas City.

Jorge de la Rosa (L) is 0-1; 6.17 ERA; 1.54 WHIP; -2 Units on the road.

Horacio Ramirez (L) is 1-1; 1.50 ERA; 1.67 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Mariners -1.5 +160.
Correct; +$160

Thursday, April 26, 2007 (2-3, -$5)

Texas Rangers (8-12) at Cleveland Indians (11-7).
Line: Rangers +130; Indians -1.5 +135.

Why's this game starting so early? Ugh. I'm rushing to get this pick up. More write-ups coming soon.

Kameron Loe (R) is 1-0; 0.00 ERA; 0.75 WHIP; +1 Units at home (no road stats).

Paul Byrd (R) is 1-0; 0.00 ERA; 1.17 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Indians -1.5 +135.
Correct; +$135

Kansas City Royals (7-14) at Minnesota Twins (11-10).
Line: Royals +145; Twins -1.5 +135.

Yesterday was ridiculous. Here's a brief summary of what happened: Colorado went into Shea and blew out the Mets. The Indians blew a 6-0 lead to the Rangers to win by a single run. The Athletics, who were 15-3 against Seattle the past three years at Oakland, were blanked by Jarrod Washburn. The Twins lost to the Royals at home! How bizarre of a day is that?

Zach Greinke (R) is 1-1; 6.75 ERA; 1.80 WHIP; +0.3 Units at home (no road stats).

Boof Bonser (R) is 1-0; 0.00 ERA; 1.17 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 +135.
Incorrect; -$100

Washington Nationals (6-15) at Philadelphia Phillies (9-11).
Line: Nationals +220; Phillies -2.5 +150.

What's with these early games, by the way? Don't they know that anyone who went to college can't function before 2 in the afternoon? How inconsiderate.

Shawn Hill (R) is 2-0; 2.77 ERA; 1.15 WHIP; +3.6 Units on the road.

Cole Hamels (L) is 1-1; 3.46 ERA; 1.00 WHIP; -0.4 Units at home.

Prediction: Phillies -2.5 +150.
Incorrect; -$100

Seattle Mariners (7-9) at Oakland Athletics (11-10).
Line: Mariners +125; Athletics -1.5 +150.

Look, I know Seattle somehow managed to beat Oakland yesterday, but Jarrod Washburn was just unhittable. Shouldn't happen again, especially with Miguel "I look lost, did I really make it to the Majors" Batista on the mound. Oakland now 15-4 against Seattle at home the past three years.

Miguel Batista (R) is 0-1; 9.00 ERA; 1.83 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Joe Kennedy (L) is 0-0; 1.80 ERA; 1.60 WHIP; -1.1 Units at home.

Prediction: Athletics -1.5 +150.
Incorrect; -$100

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (9-12) at Los Angeles Angels (11-10).
Line: Devil Rays +180; Angels -2.5 +160.

How about this stat that has nothing to do with my pick: Tampa Bay is 15-3-3 in Overs this season. That's crazy -- they're such an underrated hitting team. Unfortunately, with the exception of Scott Kazmir, James Shields and Al Reyes, they have no quality pitchers. That includes Jae Seo. Looking at his stats could make anyone's blood curl.

Jae Seo (R) is 0-1; 7.72 ERA; 1.96 WHIP; +3.2 Units on the road.

Bartolo Colon (R) is 1-0; 1.29 ERA; 1.00 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Angels -2.5 +160.
Correct; +$160

Wednesday, April 25, 2007 (2-4, -$140)

Colorado Rockies (8-13) at New York Mets (13-6).
Line: Rockies +160; Mets -1.5 +115.

The Rockies are undoubtedly a crappy road team, but the only reason I didn't bet against them yesterday was because Aaron Cook always seems to turn into Cy Young whenever I bet against him. It's a good thing I didn't; Colorado lost, but by only one run. Mets win big today.

Josh Fogg (R) is 0-0; 3.97 ERA; 1.24 WHIP; +0.7 Units on the road.

Mike Pelfrey (R) is 0-1; 5.06 ERA; 1.69 WHIP; -0.1 Units at home.

Prediction: Mets -1.5 +115.
Incorrect; -$100

Washington Nationals (6-14) at Philadelphia Phillies (8-11).
Line: Nationals +165; Phillies -1.5 +110.

I seriously thought I lost this game when I noticed the Phillies were down 3-2 in the top of the eighth inning. I turned the TV off and just grimaced at the wall for about an hour. Thank God for Washington's crappy bullpen. The stats don't show it, but John Patterson sucks too; his ERA at home is 8.52 in three starts. By the way, in case you were wondering, this game's at night, so you don't have to worry about Jon "Fat" Lieber melting in the sun.

John Patterson (R) is 0-1; 3.38 ERA; 0.93 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Jon Lieber (R) is 0-0; 0.00 ERA; 0.35 WHIP; -1 Units on the road (no home stats).

Prediction: Phillies -1.5 +110.
Correct; +$110

Texas Rangers (8-11) at Cleveland Indians (10-7).
Line: Rangers +190; Indians -1.5 -105.

I'm a bit anxious to bet on the Indians now that they came away with two consecutive victories in Minnesota. Oh, and this is weird, but I don't think I've bet on a pitcher one day and gambled against him the next. Thanks to yesterday's postponed game, I get to do that with Vincente Padilla.

Vincente Padilla (R) is 0-2; 6.88 ERA; 1.82 WHIP; -3.2 Units on the road.

C.C. Sabathia (L) is 2-0; 1.20 ERA; 1.33 WHIP; +2 Units at home.

Prediction: Indians -1.5 -105.
Incorrect; -$100

Kansas City Royals (6-14) at Minnesota Twins (11-9).
Line: Royals +135; Twins -1.5 +140.

The Royals are the ultimate crappola road team. If you bet against them as visitors in non-Gil Meche (their ace) starts, you'd have a 5-1 record. I'm a bit concerned that Sidney Ponson's on the mound for Minnesota, but this is a home game. Ponson won't have to carry around all the refrigerators he brings with him on the road.

Odalis Perez (L) is 0-2; 11.37 ERA; 2.84 WHIP; -2 Units on the road.

Sidney "Refrigerator" Ponson (R) is 1-1; 8.18 ERA; 2.18 WHIP; 0 Units at home.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 +140.
Incorrect; -$100

Seattle Mariners (6-9) at Oakland Athletics (11-9).
Line: Mariners +120; Athletics -1.5 +155.

This is almost the same situation as Vincente Padilla, but I'm betting against Jarrod Washburn two days in a row. I've done that before. By the way, check out this figure: Oakland is 15-3 against Seattle at home the past three years. Talk about domination.

Jarrod Washburn (L) is 1-2; 4.42 ERA; 1.31 WHIP; -1.1 Units at home (no road stats).

Joe Blanton (R) is 0-1; 4.05 ERA; 1.20 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

Prediction: Athletics -1.5 +155.
Incorrect; -$100

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (9-11) at Los Angeles Angels (10-10).
Line: Devil Rays +190; Angels -2.5 +150.

I hate laying 2.5, but Tampa Bay, while underrated, isn't that good on the road. I was going to lay off this game until I saw that Edwin Jackson was pitching. The Angels will score no less than nine runs tonight. Just look at his hideous stats.

Edwin Jackson (R) is 0-2; 8.30 ERA; 1.96 WHIP; -2 Units on the road.

John Lackey (R) is 2-0; 0.75 ERA; 1.25 WHIP; +2 Units at home.

Prediction: Angels -2.5 +150.
Correct; +$150

Tuesday, April 24, 2007 (1-1, +$50)

Seattle Mariners (6-9) at Texas Rangers (8-11).
Line: Mariners +115; Rangers -1.5 +155.

A weird day in baseball yesterday. Of the 11 games played, only four home teams won. Two of the victorious hosts were Philadelphia and Tampa Bay. Let's call Monday a fluke. Texas should rebound today, as Seattle is 1-4 in non-Felix Hernandez road contests.

Jarrod Washburn (L) is 1-2; 4.42 ERA; 1.31 WHIP; -1.1 Units at home (no road stats).

Vincente Padilla (R) is 0-1; 3.86 ERA; 0.71 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

Prediction: Rangers -1.5 +155.
Game postponed; no action

Washington Nationals (6-13) at Philadelphia Phillies (7-11).
Line: Nationals +; Phillies -2.5 +160.

You don't know how relieved I am that the Nationals are back to their losing ways on the road. I thought something was incredibly wrong with the universe when they beat the Mets and Marlins all those times. The Phillies are hot and should beat Washington easily. I suspect Ryan Howard could get going against cheese-baller Jason Bergmann.

Jason Bergmann (R) is 0-1; 0.83 ERA; 0.83 WHIP; +2.5 Units on the road.

Jamie Moyer (L) is 2-1; 3.05 ERA; 1.26 WHIP; +1 Units on the road (no home stats).

Prediction: Phillies -2.5 +160.
Correct; +$160

Cleveland Indians (9-7) at Minnesota Twins (11-8).
Line: Indians +205; Twins -1.5 -110.

And since when does Minnesota lose to Cleveland at home? I think we can count on Johan Santana. He has surrendered more than two runs only twice in seven career starts against the Indians. He's 6-1 against them.

Fausto Carmona (R) is 0-1; 3.00 ERA; 1.17 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Johan Santana (L) is 1-1; 5.54 ERA; 1.23 WHIP; -1.2 Units at home.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 -110.
Incorrect; -$110

Monday, April 23, 2007 (0-2, -$200)

Seattle Mariners (5-9) at Texas Rangers (8-10).
Line: Mariners +125; Rangers -1.5 +135.

The Mariners have four more road contests until they go home, and I'm confident we can go 3-1. In non-Felix Hernadez games, Seattle is 0-4 on the road, having lost three of those four contests by at least two runs.

Chae Seung Baek (R) is 1-0; 1.35 ERA; 1.05 WHIP; +1 Units on the road (2006).

Kevin Millwood (R) is 1-0; 4.50 ERA; 1.83 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Rangers -1.5 +135.
Incorrect; -$100

Cleveland Indians (8-7) at Minnesota Twins (11-7).
Line: Indians +105; Twins -1.5 +165.

I don't know why we're getting such a great price with the Twins, but I'll take it. By the way, I have to vent about Tampa Bay's manager, Joe Maddon. Maddon didn't have closer Al Reyes available yesterday, so with a 4-2 lead in the ninth inning, he decided to bring in Brian Stokes, whose ERA is well over nine. The thing is, starter James Shields was just coming out of a 1-2-3 eighth and showed no signs of fatigue. Given that Reyes wasn't available, why didn't Maddon just stick with Shields instead of brining in some dead-beat reliever? No wonder the Devil Rays haven't been to the playoffs in their existence. They hire idiots like him.

Jeremy Sowers (L) is 0-2; 8.30 ERA; 1.85 WHIP; -2.1 Units on the road.

Carlos Silva (R) is 1-0; 0.00 ERA; 1.35 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 +165.
Incorrect; -$100

Sunday, April 22, 2007 (2-2, +$75)

Washington Nationals (6-12) at Florida Marlins (7-10).
Line: Nationals +135; Marlins -1.5 +135.

I'm disgusted. Splitting the Giants and Marlins, the Angels were up 7-0 after six innings, and it looked like we were going to have a 2-1 record last night. Confident the game was in the bag, I went out to dinner. As you all know, the Angels surrendered six runnings in two innings, including five in the eighth, to win 7-6. Talk about bad beats.

Jerome Williams (R) is 0-1; 3.60 ERA; 1.60 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Wes Obermueller (R) is 1-0; 0.00 ERA; 0.25 WHIP; +1 Units at Washington in 2005 (no 2006 or 2007 stats).

Prediction: Marlins -1.5 +135.
Correct; +$135

Pittsburgh Pirates (6-10) at Los Angeles Dodgers (13-5).
Line: Pirates +125; Dodgers -1.5 +165.

I was surprised to see that the Pirates lost 7-3 last night, given that Ian Snell was pitching. Then, I saw the small, red "F/10" script right after the score on mlb.com. Well, what do you know? Pittsburgh is so crappy it managed to lose by four runs in extra innings. How does that happen? By the way, I'm aware that Tom Gorzelanny is 2-0 on the road. But keep in mind that he won at Houston and St. Louis, two teams that are really struggling right now. I think the Dodgers will make the universe right again.

Tom Gorzelanny (R) is 2-0; 2.03 ERA; 1.13 WHIP; +3.1 Units on the road.

Brett Tomko (R) is 1-0; 0.00 ERA; 0.67 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Dodgers -1.5 +165.
Incorrect; -$100

Cleveland Indians (7-7) at Tampa Bay Devil Rays (7-10).
Line: Indians -110; Devil Rays +100.

We're getting great value here, as the Rays are underdogs despite statistically owning the edge in both the batting and pitching departments. Cleveland has turned out to be a crappy road team. In non-C.C. Sabathia starts, the Indians are 1-5 as visitors. Margin of victory doesn't apply because we can take Tampa Bay on the money line.

Jake Westbrook (R) is 1-1; 20.24 ERA; 3.00 WHIP; 0 Units on the road.

James Shields (R) is 0-0; 5.54 ERA; 1.46 WHIP; -0.1 Units at home.

Prediction: Devil Rays +100.
Incorrect; -$100

Seattle Mariners (5-8) at Los Angeles Angels (8-9).
Line: Mariners +135; Angels -1.5 +140.

Angels, please don't choke away another big lead. I'm begging you. I might lose it if you do.

Jeff Weaver (R) is 0-1; 31.50 ERA; 4.50 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Ervin Santana (R) is 1-0; 2.57 ERA; 0.71 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Angels -1.5 +140.
Correct; +$140

Saturday, April 21, 2007 (1-2, -$65)

Arizona Diamondbacks (10-8) at San Francisco Giants (6-9).
Line: Diamondbacks +140; Giants -1.5 +150.

I'm lucky one of the well-respected posters on RX.com made this his pick of the day, as I would have simply ignored this contest because of the Diamondbacks' record. Sure, Arizona is 6-4 on the road, but four of those victories came at Washington, where anyone can win (more on this later). Take out those contests, and the Diamondbacks are 2-4. Those two victories came with ace Brandon Webb on the mound. So, that's an 0-4 road record in non-Nats, non-Webb games. Three of those four losses were by two runs or more. So, you're looking at a 3-1 record betting at least +120. You can feed a third-world country with that payout.

Edgar Gonzalez (R) is 1-0; 3.60 ERA; 1.80 WHIP; +1 Units at home (no road stats).

Barry Zito (L) is 0-2; 8.18 ERA; 1.64 WHIP; -2.5 Units at home.

Prediction: Giants -1.5 +150.
Incorrect; -$100

Washington Nationals (6-11) at Florida Marlins (6-10).
Line: Nationals +150; Marlins -1.5 +135.

I'm one loss away from calling it quits in regard to betting against Washington on the road. I know they suck, but they somehow keep on winning. It's infuriating. No way they get their seventh victory with a guy named Chico on the mound. I'm going with Anibal. Maybe he'll make Chico eat his own brain or something.

Matt Chico (L) is 0-1; 1.93 ERA; 1.93 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Anibal Sanchez (L) is 1-0; 4.50 ERA; 1.83 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Marlins -1.5 +135.
Correct; +$135

Seattle Mariners (5-7) at Los Angeles Angels (7-9).
Line: Mariners +135; Angels -1.5 +145.

As I said yesterday, a six-game losing streak can easily be fixed by playing one of these crappy road teams. Seattle is crappy. Angels win again.

Horacio Ramirez (L) is 1-0; 1.50 ERA; 1.67 WHIP; +1 Units at home (no road stats).

Bartolo Colon (R) is 2-0; 3.86 ERA; 0.93 WHIP; +2.2 Units against Seattle in 2006 (no 2007 stats).

Prediction: Angels -1.5 +145.
Incorrect; -$100

Friday, April 20, 2007 (2-1, +$170)

Washington Nationals (5-11) at Florida Marlins (6-9).
Line: Nationals +150; Marlins -1.5 +125.

Dear A-Rod,

You bailed me out a few weeks ago when you hit a grand slam against Baltimore. I never properly thanked you for that. When your team was down 6-2 in the bottom of the ninth with two outs yesterday, I stopped watching the game on the internet. I thought I was done. Later, I was confused when extra money was added to my sportsbook account. I discovered you smashed a three-run homer off Cleveland's closer, saving my behind again.

I'm sorry for ever calling you a choke artist, and I'll never do it again. You are the greatest baseball player... no... greatest man to ever walk the face of the Earth. If, for some reason, you manage to spend all $250 billion of your dollars and you need money, I'll help you out. If you're ever in Philly and need a woman, I'll find one for you. I got your back.

Your friend forever,

Walt

Shawn Hill (R) is 1-0; 2.57 ERA; 1.29 WHIP; +2.2 Units on the road.

Scott Olsen (L) is 1-0; 5.40 ERA; 1.60 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Marlins -1.5 +125.
Incorrect; -$100

Pittsburgh Pirates (6-8) at Los Angeles Dodgers (11-5).
Line: Pirates +160; Dodgers -1.5 +120.

We're actually getting a really good price here. Tony Armas stinks and the Pirates are garbage. Not too many people are aware of how bad they are just yet.

Tony Armas (R) is 0-1; 13.50 ERA; 3.25 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Randy Wolf (L) is 1-0; 4.50 ERA; 1.17 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Dodgers -1.5 +120.
Correct; +$120

Seattle Mariners (5-6) at Los Angeles Angels (6-9).
Line: Mariners +130; Angels -1.5 +150.

How in the world are the Angels on a six-game losing streak? They're my pick to win the World Series! Oops. They should be able to get back on track tonight, as Seattle is one of those crappy road teams I love to bet against. They just got swept at home by Minnesota for cryin' out loud.

Miguel Batista (R) is 1-1; 8.73 ERA; 1.59 WHIP; +0.1 Units at home (no road stats).

Joe Saunders (L) is 0-1; 4.76 ERA; 2.12 WHIP; -1.4 Units at home.

Prediction: Angels -1.5 +150.
Correct; +$150

Thursday, April 19, 2007 (2-0, +$265)

Cleveland Indians (6-5) at New York Yankees (7-6).
Line: Indians +145; Yankees -1.5 +120.

Cleveland has only played in five road games this year, so we don't really know if they're a crappy team yet. However, their recent blowout losses to the Yankees have been somewhat revealing, especially considering they were going with Jake Westbrook and Jeremy Sowers Mix. Fausto Carmona may have a cool name, but he's much worse than the two aforementioned hurlers. Plus, this is his first trip to Yankees Stadium, where he will undoubtedly crap his pants.

Fausto Carmona (R) is 0-1; 12.47 ERA; 2.08 WHIP; -1 Units at home (no road stats).

Darrell Rasner (R) is 0-1; 10.39 ERA; 2.31 WHIP; -1.4 Units at home.

Prediction: Yankees -1.5 +120.
Correct; +$120

Texas Rangers (6-8) at Chicago White Sox (6-7).
Line: Rangers +125; White Sox -1.5 +145.

I'm glad things returned to normal last night, as the White Sox crushed the Rangers. Texas will lose on the road again.

Vincente Padilla (R) is 0-2; 8.43 ERA; 1.97 WHIP; -2.2 Units on the road.

Javier Vazquez (R) is 1-0; 0.00 ERA; 0.75 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: White Sox -1.5 +145.
Correct; +$145

Wednesday, April 18, 2007 (2-2, +$140)

Kansas City Royals (3-11) at Detroit Tigers (9-5).
Line: Royals +190; Tigers -1.5 +100.

Sure, the Royals can rally back to get within one run. No problem. Ugh. Kansas City's still a bad road team; we just had some bad luck yesterday.

Gil Meche (R) is 0-0; 0.00 ERA; 1.33 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Jeremy Bonderman (R) is 0-1; 4.50 ERA; 1.17 WHIP; -1.1 Units at home.

Prediction: Tigers -1.5 +100.
Incorrect; -$100

Baltimore Orioles (7-7) at Tampa Bay Devil Rays (6-8).
Line: Orioles +120; Devil Rays -1.5 +160.

Well, what do you know? The Devil Rays aren't as bad as we thought they were. They're 6-8 and are scoring 5.4 runs per game. The problem is, they're yielding 6.6 runs per contest. That won't happen this afternoon, as Scott Kazmir will be on the mound. Meanwhile, Erik Bedard's road struggles should continue.

Erik Bedard (L) is 1-1; 6.94 ERA; 1.46 WHIP; +0.3 Units on the road.

Scott Kazmir (L) is 0-1; 5.14 ERA; 1.14 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

Prediction: Devil Rays -1.5 +160.
Incorrect; -$100

Pittsburgh Pirates (6-6) at Milwaukee Brewers (7-6).
Line: Pirates +120; Brewers -1.5 +170.

Despite yesterday's inexplicable victory, the Pirates still stink. They're still 3-6 after that fluke sweep at Houston. And Paul Maholm is garbage, especially on the road. Go Brew Crew.

Paul Maholm (L) is 0-1; 7.20 ERA; 1.80 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Claudio Vargas (R) is 0-1; 1.80 ERA; 1.00 WHIP; +1.1 Units on the road (no home stats).

Prediction: Brewers -1.5 +170.
Correct; +$170

Texas Rangers (6-7) at Chicago White Sox (5-7).
Line: Rangers +105; White Sox -1.5 +170.

I'm too tired and frustrated after losing this matchup 8-1 yesterday to write about how poor the Rangers are on the road. But since I'm betting against them, they'll probably win 4,943-2 or something.

Kevin Millwood (R) is 1-1; 3.27 ERA; 1.46 WHIP; 0 Units on the road.

Mark Buehrle (L) is 1-0; 6.77 ERA; 2.26 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: White Sox -1.5 +170.
Correct; +$170

Tuesday, April 17, 2007 (0-3, -$300)

Pittsburgh Pirates (5-6) at St. Louis Cardinals (6-6).
Line: Pirates +160; Cardinals -1.5 +125.

The Rockies lost 8-0? The team I was backing at -1.5 runs lost 8-0? How is that possible? Well, at least I know the Pirates will save me. They're horrible. Since inexplicably sweeping the Astros, they're just 2-6.

Tom Gorzelanny (L) is 1-0; 3.60 ERA; 1.60 WHIP; +1.5 Units on the road.

Adam Wainwright (R) is 2-0; 1.98 ERA; 1.39 WHIP; +2 Units on the road (no home stats).

Prediction: Cardinals -1.5 +125.
Incorrect; -$100

Kansas City Royals (3-10) at Detroit Tigers (8-5).
Line: Royals +180; Tigers -1.5 -105.

While most things have been stagnant in the early going, the Royals have been very profitable thus far. Of their six road losses in seven games, all but one has been by two or more runs.

Jorge de la Rosa (L) is 0-1; 6.35 ERA; 1.76 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Mike Maroth (L) is 2-0; 1.86 ERA; 0.88 WHIP; +3.1 Units at home (2006).

Prediction: Tigers -1.5 -105.
Incorrect; -$100

Texas Rangers (5-7) at Chicago White Sox (5-6).
Line: Rangers +125; White Sox -1.5 +150.

It looks like the Rangers are turning out to be a crappy team I didn't know was so bad at the start of the season. They're 1-5 on the road, and four of those five defeats have been by at least two runs.

Robinson Tejeda (R) is 1-1; 4.50 ERA; 1.33 WHIP; -0.5 Units on the road.

Jon Garland (R) is 0-1; 8.44 ERA; 2.06 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

Prediction: White Sox -1.5 +150.
Incorrect; -$100

Monday, April 16, 2007 (0-1, -$100)

San Francisco Giants (3-7) at Colorado Rockies (5-7).
Line: Giants +120; Rockies -1.5 +150.

Stupid Twins. How do you lose to the Devil Rays twice in one series? Ugh.

I think I've identified the Giants as a crappy team. They're 3-7 and have an over-the-hill Barry Zito on the mound. Zito has been horrendous in two starts and I see no reason he turns it around in home-run friendly Colorado.

Barry Zito (L) is 0-2; 8.18 ERA; 1.64 WHIP; -2.5 Units at home (no road stats).

Jeff Francis (L) is 1-0; 3.00 ERA; 1.50 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Rockies -1.5 +150.
Incorrect; -$100

Sunday, April 15, 2007 (0-1, -$100)

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (4-7) at Minnesota Twins (7-4).
Line: Devil Rays +160; Twins -1.5 +120.

Rebounded well yesterday. Hopefully my luck will continue today, as I'm going against Chico, but I'll betting on Boof. A very interesting Sunday. Of course, I don't mind putting money on Boof if I'm fading Seo. Can we please have some pitchers named Mike Brown or George Williams?

Jae Seo (R) is 1-1; 9.65 ERA; 2.47 WHIP; +1.6 Units on the road.

Boof Bonser (R) is 1-1; 6.97 ERA; 1.36 WHIP; 0 Units at home.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 +120.
Incorrect; -$100

Saturday, April 14, 2007 (2-1, +$155)

Washington Nationals (2-9) at New York Mets (7-3).
Line: Nationals +225; Mets -2.5 +140.

Quite frankly, I have to say that I'm embarrassed of my baseball picks the past few days. I'm still up for the year, but I expected to be winning more. I expect that as the season rolls along, and I figure out who the crappy teams really are -- I was dead wrong about Houston a few days ago -- we'll be able to win some money.

Shawn Hill (R) is 0-3; 8.10 ERA; 1.98 WHIP; -3 Units on the road (2006).

Orlando Hernandez (R) is 5-6; 4.67 ERA; 1.34 WHIP; -0.8 Units at home (2006).

Prediction: Mets -2.5 +140.
Incorrect; -$100

Kansas City Royals (3-8) at Baltimore Orioles (5-6).
Line: Royals +160; Orioles -1.5 +115.

I'm confident we can call the Royals a crappy team. They're 1-5 on the road, with all but one of those losses being by at least two runs. Any team that loses 8-1 to Baltimore can be classified as crappy.

Odalis Perez (L) is 0-1; 27.07 ERA; 6.02 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Daniel Cabrera (R) is 1-0; 2.35 ERA; 0.91 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Orioles -1.5 +115.
Correct; +$115

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (4-6) at Minnesota Twins (6-4).
Line: Devil Rays +130; Twins -1.5 +140.

Johan Santana was unbeatable at home until last night's loss to Tampa Bay. How in the world do you lose to the Devil Rays when you're playing at home. I wouldn't be surprised if Santana's family disowned him. I think the Twins bounce back. I know we're backing 600-pound Sidney Ponson here, but we're getting a good price to do so.

Edwin Jackson (R) is 0-1; 6.35 ERA; 1.59 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Sidney Ponson (R) is 1-0; 12.70 ERA; 2.29 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 +140.
Correct; +$140

Friday, April 13, 2007 (1-3, -$180)

San Francisco Giants (2-7) at Pittsburgh Pirates (4-5).
Line: Giants +135; Pirates -1.5 +135.

What a horrendous night. Two of the three teams I picked actually won, but only came through by one run. Not two. So, I lost both run lines. That's just bad luck. Let's turn it around tonight. I'm all for going against the Giants in this spot; they can't win on the road, and they're sending the worst pitcher in baseball to the mound. No way the Pirates score less than six runs.

Russ Ortiz (R) is 1-5; 12.60 ERA; 2.85 WHIP; -3.1 Units on the road (2006).

Zach Duke (L) is 9-4; 4.19 ERA; 1.43 WHIP; +4.6 Units at home (2006).

Prediction: Pirates -1.5 +135.
Incorrect; -$100

Washington Nationals (2-8) at New York Mets (6-3).
Line: Nationals +175; Mets -2.5 +180.

The one game I didn't mind losing last night was Washington. The Nats' victory brings the odds to a more reasonable level. And besides, that contest was clearly rigged. How does Jason Bergmann beat John Smoltz. Impossible under normal circumstances. Someone had to have told the Braves to throw the game.

John Patterson (R) is 1-2; 4.67 ERA; 1.15 WHIP; -1 Units on the road (2006).

Mike Pelfrey (R) is 1-1; 6.75 ERA; 1.72 WHIP; 0 Units at home (2006).

Prediction: Mets -2.5 +180.
Incorrect; -$100

Kansas City Royals (3-7) at Baltimore Orioles (4-6).
Line: Royals +155; Orioles -1.5 +120.

Stupid Orioles. Score more than two runs against the Royals, will ya? I know Erik Bedard has gotten off to a slow start this year, but don't worry just yet; he struggled on the road last year (6-7, 4.69 ERA, 1.413 WHIP, -2.1 Units). Now look at his home stats from 2006. Maybe he should start wearing ear plugs so he doesn't have to listen to the big, bad fans who yell like meanies at him.

Brandon Duckworth (R) is 0-3; 4.05 ERA; 1.61 WHIP; +1.3 Units on the road (2006).

Erik Bedard (L) is 9-4; 3.03 ERA; 1.30 WHIP; +3 Units at home (2006).

Prediction: Orioles -1.5 +120.
Correct; +$120

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (3-6) at Minnesota Twins (6-3).
Line: Devil Rays +190; Twins -1.5 +100.

You too, Minnesota. You can beat Tampa Bay by more than one run. We're lucky Scott Kazmir's going for the Rays tonight. Otherwise, we'd have to pay a heck of a price for Johan Santana, who just doesn't lose at the Homer Dome.

Scott Kazmir (L) is 0-0; 9.00 ERA; 2.00 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Johan Santana (L) is 1-0; 6.00 ERA; 1.50 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 +100.
Incorrect; -$100

Thursday, April 12, 2007 (0-3, -$300)

Seattle Mariners (3-2) at Boston Red Sox (4-4).
Line: Mariners +155; Red Sox -1.5 +120.

Went 2-3 yesterday and only dropped $35. In the NFL and NBA, that'd be a loss of $130. See why I love betting baseball? The Red Sox should be able to bounce back today against a less competent pitcher. Jarrod Washburn, who sucks on the road as you can see, has surrendered at least five runs in four of the past five meetings against the Red Sox. It's up to Tim Wakefield to keep his end of the bargain, and I'm confident he can do that at home.

Jarrod Washburn (L) is 2-9; 5.88 ERA; 1.48 WHIP; -2.8 Units on the road.

Tim Wakefield (R) is 3-4; 3.97 ERA; 1.17 WHIP; 0 Units at home.

Prediction: Red Sox -1.5 +120.
Game postponed; no action.

Washington Nationals (1-8) at Atlanta Braves (7-1).
Line: Nationals +260; Braves -2.5 +120.

When I tell people the Nationals have the potential to win less than 40 games, people frown, grimace and even heave. I just don't see why not. They can't hit. Their starting pitchers stink. Their bullpen is even worse. Bodog was scared of posting a -2.5 line yesterday, finally putting it up at 5 p.m. in hopes that no one would see it. That's how bad Washington is.

Jason Bergmann (R) is 0-0; 8.52 ERA; 1.82 WHIP; -0.6 Units on the road (2006).

John Smoltz (R) is 1-0; 3.00 ERA; 1.83 WHIP; +1 Units on the road.

Prediction: Braves -2.5 +120.
Incorrect; -$100

Kansas City Royals (3-6) at Baltimore Orioles (3-6).
Line: Royals +115; Orioles -1.5 +165.

I can't believe we're getting such a great price on the Orioles. Kansas City reverted back to its losing ways yesterday, and I have a feeling that's the way it's going to go unless Zack Greinke's on the mound.

Gil Meche (R) is 4-4; 5.14 ERA; 1.60 WHIP; +4.8 Units on the road.

Steve Trachsel (R) is 7-5; 5.52 ERA; 1.60 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Prediction: Orioles -1.5 +165.
Incorrect; -$100

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (3-5) at Minnesota Twins (5-3).
Line: Devil Rays +140; Twins -1.5 +120.

I forgot to write up an analysis for this game, so let me just make it simple: Tampa Bay can't win on the road. Free money!

Casey Fossum (L) is 2-4; 8.08 ERA; 1.95 WHIP; -1.4 Units on the road.

Carlos Silva (R) is 7-6; 4.85 ERA; 1.30 WHIP; +1.5 Units at home.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 +120.
Incorrect; -$100

Wednesday, April 11, 2007 (2-3, -$35)

Milwaukee Brewers (3-4) at Florida Marlins (5-2).
Line: Brewers +100; Marlins -1.5 +180.

Great betting day yesterday. My only regret was taking Red Sox -1.5 instead of the -2.5 at more juice. Whatever.

The Brewers are an OK team but I made money betting against them on the road last year. Dave Bush wasn't too hot as a visitor either, as you can tell below. If his first start (6 ERs in 6 innings against the Cubs at home) is any indication of how he'll be playing this season, Milwaukee's in trouble tonight.

Dave Bush (R) is 3-7; 5.38 ERA; 1.33 WHIP; -9.8 Units on the road.

Sergio Mitre (R) is 0-1; 1.80 ERA; 1.40 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

Prediction: Marlins -1.5 +180.
Incorrect; -$100

Seattle Mariners (2-2) at Boston Red Sox (4-3).
Line: Mariners +160; Red Sox -1.5 +120.

I have no idea how to spell this guy's name, and I'm not going to look it up every time I plan on typing it. So, I'm just going to call him Dice-K. Have a problem with that? I don't care. Why would his parents give him such a confusing name anyway? At least his middle name's not Houshmandzadeh.

Felix Hernandez (R) is 5-9; 5.47 ERA; 1.51 WHIP; -5.5 Units on the road.

Dice-K (R) is 1-0; 1.29 ERA; 1.00 WHIP; +1 Units on the road (no home stats).

Prediction: Red Sox -1.5 +120.
Incorrect; -$100

Kansas City Royals (3-5) at Toronto Blue Jays (4-3).
Line: Royals +160; Blue Jays -1.5 +115.

How did the Royals beat the Jays yesterday? Simple. Toronto's manager is an idiot. First of all, he messed up the lineup, benching a few starters and placing Alex Rios at the lead-off position. Secondly, he allowed Josh Towers, one of the worst pitchers in the history of mankind, to take the mound. I expect Toronto to rebound tonight.

Jorge de la Rosa (L) is 2-3; 5.46 ERA; 1.79 WHIP; +0.3 Units on the road.

Gustavo Chacin (L) is 6-1; 6.06 ERA; 1.61 WHIP; +8.9 Units at home.

Prediction: Blue Jays -1.5 +115.
Correct; +$115

Washington Nationals (1-7) at Atlanta Braves (6-1).
Line: Nationals +225; Braves -2.5 +150.

As I said yesterday, this Nationals team could go down as one of the worst of all time. They can't do anything right. Statistically, Jerome Williams is their second-best starting pitcher. His ERA is more than three runs greater than what the lineup averages. It's only a matter of time before Vegas has to start posting -3.5 lines for their opponents.

Jerome Williams (R) is 0-2; 9.82 ERA; 2.18 WHIP; -2 Units on the road (2006).

Chuck James (L) is 6-2; 3.66 ERA; 1.31 WHIP; +1 Units on the road.

Prediction: Braves -2.5 +150.
Correct; +$150

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (2-5) at Texas Rangers (4-4).
Line: Devil Rays +145; Rangers -1.5 +125.

Betting against the Devil Rays on the road isn't for everybody. I saw these teenagers hanging outside of a 7-11 when the store manager, who was in his 60s, ran outside and yelled, "You damn teenagers! Get away from here! Go enjoy your sex, drugs and betting against the Devil Rays on the road!" OK, maybe I just made that up. If you don't want to bet against Tampa Bay as a visitor, you obviously hate money.

James Shields (R) is 2-5; 5.65 ERA; 1.52 WHIP; -6.3 Units on the road.

Robinson Tejeda (R) is 1-0; 0.00 ERA; 0.71 WHIP; +1 Units on the road.

Prediction: Rangers -1.5 +125.
Incorrect; -$100

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Tuesday, April 10, 2007 (3-0, +$415)

Seattle Mariners (2-1) at Boston Red Sox (3-3).
Line: Mariners +170; Red Sox -1.5 -105.

If I'm not mistaken, five Seattle-Cleveland games were postponed this weekend because of Bud Selig's ineptness. As I said before, Selig should just step down and admit that he's in way over his head. Oh, and I nailed that "Game will be postponed -300." Too bad that wasn't available in my sportsbook.

Jeff Weaver (R) is 7-9; 4.18 ERA; 1.43 WHIP; -3.8 Units on the road.

Josh Beckett (R) is 7-6; 4.84 ERA; 1.25 WHIP; -4 Units on the road.

Prediction: Red Sox -1.5 -105.
Correct; +$100

Washington Nationals (1-6) at Atlanta Braves (5-1).
Line: Nationals +220; Braves -2� +170.

I'm not concerned with laying -2.5. The Nationals could go down as one of the worst teams in the history of Major League Baseball once everything is said and done. They're averaging just 2.6 runs per game, while their top two starting pitchers have ERAs of 4.63 and 6.00. The one victory they notched occurred because of a meltdown by Florida's bullpen.

Matt Chico (L) is 0-0; 13.50 ERA; 2.00 WHIP; +1.5 Units at home (no road stats).

Tim Hudson (R) is 6-6; 4.39 ERA; 1.43 WHIP; +0.3 Units on the road.

Prediction: Braves -2.5 +170.
Correct; +$170

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (2-4) at Texas Rangers (3-4).
Line: Devil Rays +135; Rangers -1.5 +145.

I wish Tampa Bay played all of its games on the road. We'd all be rich.

Let me use this space to mention that I'm never laying -1.5 with San Diego ever again, unless it's facing a really bad pitcher. Two days ago, Aaron Cook had a one-hitter through seven. Last night, Matt Cain maintained a no-hitter through six. How can any team be so inept on offense?

Jae Seo (R) is 1-0; 7.11 ERA; 1.90 WHIP; +2.6 Units on the road.

Jamey Wright (R) is 5-5; 6.42 ERA; 1.63 WHIP; +0.1 Units on the road.

Prediction: Rangers -1.5 +145.
Correct; +$145

Monday, April 9, 2007 (1-2, -$70)

Houston Astros (1-5) at Chicago Cubs (3-3).
Line: Astros +150; Cubs -1.5 +140.

I've mentioned this twice already, but I'm bringing it up for a reason. I bet against bad road teams. However, I hold back when I respect the visiting pitcher. One such guy is Baltimore's Erik Bedard. Another is Pittsburgh's Ian Snell. Well, I have to add Snell's teammate Zach Duke to the list. Duke has thrown brilliantly in two road starts this year.

Moving on, the Astros started the season 1-5, which includes three losses to the Pirates. I think we can classify them as crappy.

Woody Williams (R) is 8-4; 4.45 ERA; 1.45 WHIP; +7.1 Units on the road.

Ted Lilly (L) is 9-5; 4.08 ERA; 1.47 WHIP; +1.6 Units on the road.

Prediction: Cubs -1.5 +140.
Incorrect; -$100

Seattle Mariners (2-1) at Cleveland Indians (2-1). Game One.
Line: Mariners +165; Indians -1.5 +120.

I wonder if we're finally going to get a Seattle-Cleveland game in. Vegas should run odds on this: Game will be played +200; Game will be postponed -300. If I were Vegas, I'd run the following: Bud Selig is an idiot -44,000; Bud Selig is not an idiot +33,000. Yeah, I don't really know how that would work out, but it'd be a good time.

Jeff Weaver (R) is 7-9; 4.18 ERA; 1.43 WHIP; -3.8 Units on the road.

C.C. Sabathia (L) is 6-6; 3.62 ERA; 1.16 WHIP; -2 Units on the road.

Prediction: Indians -1.5 +120.
Game postponed; no action.

Seattle Mariners (2-1) at Cleveland Indians (2-1). Game Two.
Line: Mariners -130; Indians +120.

If this game actually takes place, I like the Indians. Felix Hernandez is a great pitcher, but like the rest of his team, he struggled on the road last year.

Felix Hernandez (R) is 5-9; 5.47 ERA; 1.51 WHIP; -5.5 Units on the road.

Fausto Carmona (R) is 0-2; 5.40 ERA; 1.44 WHIP; 0 Units on the road.

Prediction: Indians +120.
Game postponed; no action.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (2-3) at Texas Rangers (2-4).
Line: Devil Rays +140; Rangers -1.5 +130.

There aren't many things in life better than betting against the Devil Rays on the road. Just sit back, relax and watch the money roll in.

Edwin Jackson (R) is 0-1; 6.43 ERA; 1.29 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Brandon McCarthy (R) has no home stats.

Prediction: Rangers -1.5 +130.
Correct; +$130

San Francisco Giants (1-5) at San Diego Padres (4-2).
Line: Giants +120; Padres -1.5 +165.

It was really frustrating watching San Diego struggle against Aaron Cook yesterday. Cook, a renowned cheese-baller, held the Padres to just one hit through seven innings. He looked like the second coming of Cy Young. It was completely ridiculous. Hopefully San Diego can muster enough runs tonight.

Matt Cain (R) is 5-6; 5.72 ERA; 1.54 WHIP; -0.2 Units on the road.

Chris Young (R) is 5-5; 4.60 ERA; 1.27 WHIP; -4.8 Units on the road.

Prediction: Padres -1.5 +165.
Incorrect; -$100

Sunday, April 8, 2007 (0-2, -$200)

Pittsburgh Pirates (3-2) at Cincinnati Reds (4-1).
Line: Pirates +105; Reds -1.5 +175.

I'm not complaining about a bad beat for a long time. Down 7-6 in the 9th with two outs in the Yankees game, I thought I was doomed because I had the -2.5. New York somehow got the bases loaded, but perennial choke-artist A-Rod was up. I thought he was going to strike out or pop up. I can't believe he hit that grand slam. Unbelievable.

Zach Duke (L) is 1-0; 2.57 ERA; 1.29 WHIP; +2.1 Units on the road.

Eric Milton (L) is 3-6; 5.38 ERA; 1.29 WHIP; -6.6 Units on the road.

Prediction: Reds -1.5 +175.
Incorrect; -$100

Colorado Rockies (3-2) at San Diego Padres (3-2).
Line: Rockies +180; Padres -1.5 +120.

As I said a few days ago, my baseball system bets against bad teams on the road. I'm not 100 percent sure that Colorado stinks just yet, but given their history and the fact that I can't name three players on their squad, I have to believe that they suck.

By the way, I'm shocked that the Indians-Mariners game has been postponed. I didn't see that one coming. Why hasn't Bud Selig stepped down yet? When they actually play these games, Cleveland fans should chant "SE-LIG SUCKS!" the whole night.

Aaron Cook (R) is 4-8; 4.62 ERA; 1.51 WHIP; -4.5 Units on the road.

Jake Peavy (R) is 6-8; 3.95 ERA; 1.20 WHIP; -6.9 Units on the road.

Prediction: Padres -1.5 +120.
Incorrect; -$100

Saturday, April 7, 2007 (2-0, +$290)

Pittsburgh Pirates (3-1) at Cincinnati Reds (3-1).
Line: Pirates +160; Reds -1.5 +130.

So, I was sitting at my computer before I had to go out to dinner, and the Indians were up 4-0, as Paul Byrd was pitching a no-hitter. I thought it was money in the bank. So, I went out to dinner and when I came back, the game was postponed! How is that remotely fair, especially when the game was one strike away from being official? Did the grounds crew have money on the Mariners? How do you hold off a contest that is one pitch away from being finalized? So, instead of going 2-2 and making money, I was 1-2 and lost just a bit.

I wanted to bet on the Indians-Mariners double header, but it has been postponed due to the cold weather. Really? That's a surprise. Only a genius would have thought to play early April games in cities such as New York, Cleveland, Cincinnati, Philadelphia and Chicago. Bud Selig's a piece of work. How is this idiot the head of Major League Baseball? Selig should just admit that he's too inept to run a league and step down as commissioner. That'd be the honorable thing to do.

So, because of Selig's lack of foresight, this is my only play of the day.

Tony Armas (R) is 0-0; 0.00 ERA; 0.00 WHIP; 0 Units on the road.

Aarong Harang (R) is 1-0; 0.00 ERA; 1.14 WHIP; +1.1 Units on the road.

Prediction: Reds -1.5 +120.
Correct; +$120

Baltimore Orioles (1-3) at New York Yankees (1-2).
Line: Orioles +200; Yankees -2.5 +170.

OK, I guess it's not my only pick. This is a late addition, as I think the Yankees will rebound from two consecutive losses to Tampa Bay and Baltimore. Ouch. George Steinbrenner's blood pressure must be 6,000 over 900 right about now.

Steve Trachsel (R) is 8-4; 4.89 ERA; 1.71 WHIP; +7.7 Units on the road.

Kei Igawa (L) has no stats.

Prediction: Yankees -2.5 +170.
Correct; +$170

Friday, April 6, 2007 (1-2, -$25)

Seattle Mariners (2-1) at Cleveland Indians (2-1).
Line: Mariners +140; Indians -1.5 +135.

As I was watching my Yankees pick get flushed down the toilet last night, I got to thinking about the Bronx Bombers. Brian Cashman is the worst GM in all of sports. Period. He has all the money in the world to work with, yet the Yankees haven't won since 2000. With the funds he has, the Yankees should be winning at least once every three years. Maybe four. George Steinbrenner should come to his senses and fire him immediately.

Horacio Ramirez (L) is 3-1; 3.99 ERA; 1.46 WHIP; +6.4 Units on the road.

Paul Byrd (R) is 6-3; 5.64 ERA; 1.50 WHIP; +6.4 Units at home.

Prediction: Indians -1.5 +135.
Game postponed; no action.

Pittsburgh Pirates (3-0) at Cincinnati Reds (2-1).
Line: Pirates +100; Reds -1.5 +175.

I can't believe the Pirates are off to a 3-0 start. It's gotta be a fluke. There's no way they win more than 75 games this year. Their owner always trades away their best players because he's too cheap to keep them. Their promising pitchers always flop. I refuse to believe they've caught lightning in a bottle, much like the '93 Phillies or the Royals of a few years ago. Maybe I'm wrong. But I'm going to keep stubbornly betting against them.

Paul Maholm (L) is 3-8; 6.25 ERA; 1.77 WHIP; -1.6 Units on the road.

Matt Belisle (R) is 1-1; 0.93 ERA; 1.55 WHIP; +0.7 Units on the road (no home stats).

Prediction: Reds -1.5 +175.
Correct; +$175

Chicago Cubs (1-2) at Milwaukee Brewers (2-1).
Line: Cubs +110; Brewers -1.5 +175.

In case you haven't noticed, I like to bet against crappy teams on the road. Are the Cubs crappy? I'm not sure yet, but they're definitely having difficulty scoring runs. I do know one thing, however. Rich Hill sucks as a visiting pitcher. Just look at the stats he posted last year.

Rich Hill (L) is 1-5; 7.18 ERA; 1.60 WHIP; -4.4 Units on the road.

Dave Bush (R) is 9-3; 3.23 ERA; 0.95 WHIP; +8.4 Units at home.

Prediction: Brewers -1.5 +175.
Incorrect; -$100

Colorado Rockies (2-1) at San Diego Padres (2-1).
Line: Rockies +140; Padres -1.5 +145.

I'm not going to lie to you. I don't know much about either of these two teams. The only thing I'm aware of is the fact that the Rockies suck big time. And that they're playing on the road. That's why I like the Padres.

Jason Hirsh (R) is 3-1; 7.13 ERA; 1.75 WHIP; +3.5 Units on the road.

Greg Maddux (R) is 7-5; 3.41 ERA; 1.12 WHIP; -0.6 Units at home.

Prediction: Padres -1.5 +145.
Incorrect; -$100

Thursday, April 5, 2007 (0-1, -$100)

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (0-1) at New York Yankees (1-0).
Line: Devil Rays +250; Yankees -2.5 +100.

I love betting baseball. Going 2-1 in the NBA or NFL is a winning night but doesn't net much cash. However, 2-1 in baseball is very profitable, assuming you make sure you have positive juice on your side. I wish baseball was a year-round sport.

Anyway, I'm going to use this space to mention how much Jae Seo sucks. He was 3-11 last year with a 5.16 ERA. When he pitched, Tampa Bay was 7-19. Of those 19 losses, 14 were by two or more runs, and 11 were by three or more. That's why I'm not scared of taking the Yankees -2.5, which is something we must do to get the juice on our side. Besides, after seeing him the first time, New York clobbered Seo in the next two meetings; Seo surrendered nine earned runs to the Yankees in less than 11 innings of work.

Jae Seo (R) is 3-8; 4.95 ERA; 1.60 WHIP; -3.2 Units on the road.

Andy Pettitte (R) is 9-8; 3.79 ERA; 1.35 WHIP; -3.5 Units at home.

Prediction: Yankees -2.5 +100.
Incorrect; -$100

Wednesday, April 4, 2007 (2-1, +$200)

Pittsburgh Pirates (2-0) at Houston Astros (0-2).
Line: Pirates +140; Astros -1.5 +145.

Hurts to lose these 1.5 games by one run, but that's the risk we're taking to get the juice on our side. Anyway, I can't believe the Pirates are 2-0. For you football fans out there, this is the equivalent of the Arizona Cardinals, Houston Texans, Duke Blue Devils and Baylor Bears all starting 10-0. OK maybe not quite. I think the Pirates fall hard today. And trust me, they won't win the NL Central. That'll be St. Louis. Not even close.

Tom Gorzelanny (L) is 1-3; 3.72 ERA; 1.31 WHIP; -2.2 Units on the road.

Woody Williams (R) is 4-2; 2.97 ERA; 1.10 WHIP; +3.3 Units at home.

Prediction: Astros -1.5 +145.
Incorrect; -$100

Texas Rangers (0-2) at Los Angeles Angels (2-0).
Line: Rangers +135; Angels -1.5 +145.

Isn't it cool how I talk about the division winners in the analysis where two fellow members are playing? It's like I planned it or something. Los Angeles will claim the AL West with some resistance from Oakland. Let me just say that I think the Angels will win the World Series. They have great pitching and solid hitting. If the game goes to the eighth inning, it's over, as Scot Shields and K-Rod are impenetrable.

Brandon McCarthy (R) is 1-1; 3.86 ERA; 0.97 WHIP; +0.2 Units on the road.

Ervin Santana (R) is 10-2; 3.02 ERA; 1.10 WHIP; +8.4 Units at home.

Prediction: Angels -1.5 +145.
Correct; +$145

Baltimore Orioles (0-2) at Minnesota Twins (2-0).
Line: Orioles +120; Twins -1.5 +155.

Oops, I messed up. Oh well. I have the Diamondbacks winning the NL West. Three reasons: They were hot toward the latter stages of the 2006 season. They signed Randy Johnson. And their logo is now red instead of green. That's most important.

Jaret Wright (R) is 6-2; 4.06 ERA; 1.49 WHIP; +6.2 Units on the road.

Ramon Ortiz (R) is 7-9; 5.54 ERA; 1.51 WHIP; -1.9 Units at home.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 +155.
Correct; +$155

Tuesday, April 3, 2007 (0-1, -$100)

Baltimore Orioles (0-1) at Minnesota Twins (1-0).
Line: Orioles +120; Twins -1.5 +160.

I'm glad baseball's back. Of course, if I had two losing days instead of two winning ones, I'd probably be singing a different tune right now. Just to review, some of my division winners are the Mets, Yankees and Tigers. I'll list the rest but will go into more detail tomorrow: Cardinals, Diamondbacks and Angels. My darkhorse in the NL is Florida. I have no idea why no one is talking about them. I think they'll be the team to challenge New York in the East. I also have them claiming the Wild Card. I'm taking Boston as the Wild Card in the AL. I'll announce my World Series pick tomorrow.

Daniel Cabrera (R) is 3-5; 4.82 ERA; 1.59 WHIP; -4.1 Units on the road.

Boof Bonser (R) is 4-4; 3.83 ERA; 1.26 WHIP; -2.2 Units at home.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 +160.
Incorrect; -$100

Monday, April 2, 2007 (2-1, +$125)

Pittsburgh Pirates (0-0) at Houston Astros (0-0).
Line: Pirates +185; Astros -1.5 +115.

Feels good to start off the season with a victory. So, who's going to win the NL East? That's easy -- the Mets. Why wouldn't they? They clearly have the best lineup in the division and they have the bullpen to carry their mediocre pitching staff. They'll be in trouble once they reach the playoffs, but that's another story.

Zach Duke (L) is 1-11; 4.78 ERA; 1.57 WHIP; -15.2 Units on the road.

Roy Oswalt (R) is 11-5; 2.72 ERA; 1.06 WHIP; +2.1 Units at home.

Prediction: Astros -1.5 +115.
Incorrect; -$100

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (0-0) at New York Yankees (0-0).
Line: Devil Rays +160; Yankees -1.5 +125.

The team that will win the AL East is playing in this contest. Yep, that's right -- the Tampa Bay Devil Rays will win the division. What? You think I'm kidding? I'm super duper serial. Tampa Bay has so many weapons, like, uhh... that guy. And that other guy. The only reason this franchise exists is so I can bet against them. Thanks for creating them, Bud. In all seriousness, the Yankees will win the AL East and fall short in the playoffs again, thanks to another A-Rod choke job.

Scott Kazmir (L) is 6-7; 4.67 ERA; 1.57 WHIP; +0.8 Units on the road.

Carl Pavano (R) is 0-0; 0.00 ERA; 0.00 WHIP; 0 Units at home.

Prediction: Yankees -1.5 +125.
Correct; +$125

Baltimore Orioles (0-0) at Minnesota Twins (0-0).
Line: Orioles +195; Twins -1.5 +100.

ESPN's baseball preview has the Indians winning the AL Central. Right. They also have the Phillies claiming the NL East. Like that's going to happen. Way to pick two cursed cities to win their respective divisions. Detroit and Minnesota will battle it out, with the former coming out on top.

Erik Bedard (L) is 6-7; 4.69 ERA; 1.41 WHIP; -2.1 Units on the road.

Johan Santana (L) is 12-1; 2.20 ERA; 0.97 WHIP; +15.1 Units at home.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 +100.
Correct; +$100

Sunday, April 1, 2007 (1-0, +$140)

New York Mets (0-0) at St. Louis Cardinals (0-0).
Line: Mets +140; Cardinals -150.

I have a system that I use for baseball, which I'll have picks for tomorrow. But you can see the results it has had since August, when I first came up with it. This is not a system play, but I like the Mets in this contest at a +140 clip. These teams are about equal, and Chris Carpenter's first start last year wasn't too impressive; he surrendered four runs and nine hits to my pathetic Phillies. The Phillies will win the NL East this year. Actually, they probably won't but I can always hope.

Tom Glavine (L) is 12-6; 4.80 ERA; 1.47 WHIP; +5 Units on the road.

Chris Carpenter (R) is 18-9; 1.75 ERA; 0.95 WHIP; +4.2 Units at home.

Prediction: Mets +140.
Correct; +$140