Let's keep this hot streak going... the Rockies just won two of three from both the Dodgers and Padres, so they have to be feeling pretty good about themselves right now. I think they'll be flat down in Florida this evening.

Aaron Cook (R) is 3-2; 3.00 ERA; 1.25 WHIP; -4.7 Units on the road.

Scott Olsen (R) is 6-2; 4.18 ERA; 1.35 WHIP; +5.3 Units at home.

Like the Rockies, I expect the Cardinals to be unfocused for at least the first game of this series. They just took three out of four from the Brewers. They know they're not going to the postseason. Winning those contests against Milwaukee was their World Series. They'll be flat against Pittsburgh.

Adam Wainwright (R) is 4-2; 4.04 ERA; 1.46 WHIP; +6.1 Units on the road.

Paul Maholm (L) is 4-6; 4.44 ERA; 1.27 WHIP; -3.3 Units at home.

Always nice to bet against the most overrated team in baseball. The Yankees have done a great job beating up on crappy teams like Tampa Bay, Kansas City and Baltimore. While the White Sox belong in that elechon, I think there's real value with them tonight.

Jose Contreras (R) is 2-7; 5.59 ERA; 1.54 WHIP; -4.4 Units on the road.

Mike Mussina (R) is 3-4; 5.40 ERA; 1.24 WHIP; -6.1 Units at home.

The Indians are 5-1 against the Rangers this year. Texas, meanwhile, just allowed Kansas City to sweep them. And to top it off, I'm going against Fausto Carmona. Nice.

Brandon McCarthy (R) is 2-4; 6.16 ERA; 1.76 WHIP; +0.1 Units on the road.

Fausto Carmona (R) is 7-2; 3.68 ERA; 1.24 WHIP; +5.4 Units at home.

I meant to pick the Tigers but I nearly forgot. Almost the same reason as taking them yesterday - Oakland's pathetic lineup won't be able to hit a power pitcher like Justin Verlander. Meanwhile, the Tigers will muster just enough offense to get by one of the Athletics' sterling hurlers.

Justin Verlander (R) is 6-1; 2.97 ERA; 1.13 WHIP; +2.8 Units on the road.

Dan Haren (R) is 7-1; 2.45 ERA; 1.01 WHIP; +5.2 Units at home.

Four parlays in a row. Odds are I'm going to get one (or a million) wrong soon, but let's keep riding the streak.

Great week after about half a dozen rotten ones. I'm confident that I know what I'm doing now. Let's just hope the hot streak continues.

Dustin McGowan (R) is 3-4; 5.13 ERA; 1.46 WHIP; -1.8 Units on the road.

Andy Sonnanstine (R) is 0-3; 4.73 ERA; 1.31 WHIP; -4 Units at home.

After winning two of three in Cleveland, I think Minnesota will come out flat at the beginning of this series. Kansas City is 3-2 against the Twins this year.

Gil Meche (L) is 4-2; 2.97 ERA; 1.39 WHIP; +5.6 Units on the road.

Sam Baker (R) is 1-1; 5.85 ERA; 1.55 WHIP; +1.8 Units at home.

I'll take the unknown Jordan Tata against Oakland's pathetic lineup. The Tigers will rebound after getting swept by the Angels.

Jordan Tata (R) is making his first start.

Joe Blanton (R) is 4-4; 2.62 ERA; 0.97 WHIP; +3.9 Units at home.

The Twins/Mets parlay hit yesterday. Sort of. Because the Mets-Nats game didn't go 8.5 innings, it was NO ACTION. Thus, I got the money for the Twins money line, but that's it.

A sweet Saturday that could have been a lot better if it weren't for Milwaukee's blown 6-2 lead in the ninth. But I'm used to bad beats, what can I say?

I know the Indians dominate the Twins, but I feel the price is right for a solid Minnesota squad. Matt Garza has pitched well this year, and is a virtual unknown for Cleveland's hitters (they faced him once last year in a 3-2 victory).

Matt Garza (R) is 1-0; 0.00 ERA; 1.33 WHIP; +1 Units on the road.

C.C. Sabathia (L) is 9-3; 3.22 ERA; 1.14 WHIP; +5.5 Units at home.

I've said it countless times and I'll say it again. The Mets are overrated. Washington at +200 is a gift.

Billy Traber (L) is 0-1; 2.25 ERA; 1.00 WHIP; -1 Units at home (first road start).

John Maine (R) is 4-4; 3.52 ERA; 1.27 WHIP; -1.4 Units at home.

Another day, another rookie pitcher making his first start.

Tim Stauffer (R) is making his first start.

Jason Jennings (R) is 1-3; 4.30 ERA; 1.24 WHIP; -7.6 Units at home.

These are late picks, added at 6:30 p.m. ET. I'm going to keep riding the hot streak. Detroit and the Under look like very strong plays tonight, in my opinion. Only going with .5 Units on each because I don't want to risk all the winnings I've accumulated today.

Jeremy Bonderman (R) is 5-1; 4.11 ERA; 1.17 WHIP; +3.8 Units on the road.

Dustin Moseley (R) is 1-0; 1.50 ERA; 0.83 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Another day, another parlay. Let's hope this keeps winning.

Going with the Nats again. The Mets are so overrated. By the way, I mentioned this a few days ago, but I have to echo my thoughts again. What's with the 12:10 start time? Bud Selig apparently is on a mission to kill me, all people who have trouble getting up before noon and everyone on the West Coast.

Tim Redding (R) is 1-2; 2.92 ERA; 1.22 WHIP; +0.5 Units at home (first road start).

Orlando Hernandez (R) is 2-1; 2.37 ERA; 1.05 WHIP; 0 Units at home.

The fact that the Brewers are underdogs to the Cardinals is a joke. I don't care who's pitching.

Manny Parra (L) is making his first start.

Bradley Thompson (R) is 2-0; 3.86 ERA; 1.42 WHIP; +5 Units at home.

I love betting on pitchers making their first start, as you probably know if you've been reading my picks.

Joel Hanrahan (R) is making his first start.

Mike Pelfrey (R) is 0-4; 6.84 ERA; 1.84 WHIP; -4.6 Units at home.

I'm a big fan of going against old pitchers on the road. But Roger Clemens isn't old - he's a fossil. His stats speak for themselves. He can't handle the aches, pains and arthritis in other cities, especially ones close to large bodies of water. That would explain why two of his three worst starts this year came at Baltimore and Tampa Bay.

Roger Clemens (R) is 1-3; 5.96 ERA; 1.37 WHIP; -3.6 Units on the road.

Brian Burres (L) is 2-1; 4.44 ERA; 1.27 WHIP; +0.2 Units at home.

One of the parlays hit yesterday. The reason why I've brought them back can be found in yesterday's write-up.

Great line for the Pirates. Current NL co-MVP Chase Utley is out and Jamie Moyer has struggled recently. With the pitching matchup almost even and a powerful bat out of Philly's lineup, I think Pittsburgh has a great shot to win this game.

John Van Benschoten (R) is 0-1; 5.00 ERA; 1.78 WHIP; +0.6 Units on the road.

Jamie Moyer (L) is 2-2; 4.95 ERA; 1.21 WHIP; +0.4 Units at home.

Mike Bacsik has been a nice surprise for the Nats this year. Excluding a fluke against Milwaukee, he hasn't allowed more than a single run in any contest this month. I think he's worth a shot at +170.

Mike Bacsik (L) is 2-3; 4.66 ERA; 1.55 WHIP; -0.1 Units on the road.

Jorge Sosa (R) is 3-1; 3.03 ERA; 1.18 WHIP; +3 Units at home.

This is an amazing stat: The Devil Rays are 12-7 against the Red Sox in Tampa Bay the past three years. You read that right - 12-7! Boston, winning three out of four in Cleveland, will be flat this evening. Let's take the Rays and capitalize.

Tim Wakefield (R) is 4-5; 3.83 ERA; 1.24 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Jason Hammel (R) is 0-1; 4.50 ERA; 1.50 WHIP; -1 Units on the road (no home starts).

Tell me what's wrong with this picture: The Rangers just swept the Mariners in a four-game set. Now, they travel to Kansas City where they are underdogs. I'm assuming that everyone's on Texas in this spot. I think the team will be flat. Royals roll - if that's possible.

Jamey Wright (R) is 1-2; 3.18 ERA; 1.53 WHIP; -0.7 Units on the road.

Brian Bannister (R) is 3-3; 3.83 ERA; 1.49 WHIP; -1.1 Units at home.

The parlays are back. I see what I was doing wrong now. Instead of betting a lot on the parlays and a bit on the dogs, I should have been doing the opposite. Both dogs win on the same day more than I anticipated... I think a 5:2 ratio should do the trick.

Woah, what's with this early start? I can understand 1:05, but 12:10? Is Bud Selig trying to kill the fans of his league? C'mon Bud, quit it with the early start times.

Paul Maholm (L) is 2-6; 4.75 ERA; 1.32 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Oliver Perez (L) is 5-3; 3.30 ERA; 1.17 WHIP; -1.1 Units at home.

The Nats were up, 5-4, in the bottom of the ninth last night with two outs and no men on. I thought the game was in the bag. Jimmy Rollins then hit a ball to left-center, which was dropped by a Washington outfielder. Then, that same player underthrew the cut-off man, allowing Rollins to score on an inside-the-park home run. To everyone who has told me to stop complaining about bad beats: Ha! I am the king of bad beats! That's about 40 or so that I've been able to document on this Web site.

Moving on to this contest... wait a second... holy crap, it's John Lannan! One of the greatest musicians of all time! I have to bet on him (even though he's supposed to be dead).

John Lannan (L) is making his first start.

Adam Eaton (R) is 3-4; 6.33 ERA; 1.74 WHIP; -0.9 Units at home.

As I wrote yesterday, the Athletics have the Angels' number. Knowing that, a +160 price tag seems like an early Christmas present.

Joe Blanton (R) is 4-3; 4.50 ERA; 1.32 WHIP; +0.1 Units on the road.

John Lackey (R) is 5-3; 3.66 ERA; 1.31 WHIP; -0.3 Units at home.

I'm a Phillies fan saying this, so there's no bias: Philadelphia, under Charlie Manuel, doesn't deserve to be favored at a -235 clip over anyone. Not even with Cole Hamels on the mound. I like Washington at this price.

Matt Chico (L) is 0-5; 4.65 ERA; 1.53 WHIP; -1.5 Units on the road.

Cole Hamels (L) is 6-2; 3.52 ERA; 1.11 WHIP; +0.9 Units at home.

The Orioles, a -210 favorite? Thanks, Vegas!

Andy Sonnanstine (R) is 1-2; 5.91 ERA; 1.22 WHIP; -3 Units on the road.

Erik Bedard (L) is 3-3; 2.22 ERA; 1.13 WHIP; -0.2 Units at home.

Same situation as yesterday; the Tigers take their 33-17 road record into Chicago against the inept and woeful White Sox. Javier Vazquez is a decent pitcher, but Detroit is capable of hitting him hard. Pudge Rodriguez (.353), Placido Polanco (.429), Craig Monroe (.333), Brandon Inge (.286) and Carlos Guillen (.364) will expose him.

Jeremy Bonderman (R) is 5-0; 3.84 ERA; 1.16 WHIP; +4.9 Units on the road.

Javier Vazquez (R) is 3-3; 3.35 ERA; 0.99 WHIP; -1.4 Units at home.

Jason Bergmann struggles on the road, which spells trouble against the hard-hitting and hot Phillies. Charlie Manuel has found some magic with Kyle Kendrick, who has played exceptionally well thus far.

Jason Bergmann (R) is 0-3; 5.20 ERA; 1.35 WHIP; -1.2 Units on the road.

Kyle Kendrick (R) is 3-0; 3.51 ERA; 1.29 WHIP; +4 Units at home.

John Maine has cooled off after a hot start, so I think Pittsburgh has a good shot at winning this game behind the superb Ian Snell.

Ian Snell (R) is 1-4; 3.88 ERA; 1.28 WHIP; -1.2 Units on the road.

John Maine (R) is 3-4; 3.64 ERA; 1.33 WHIP; -2.4 Units at home.

This may surprise a lot of people, but the Athletics are 12-11 against the Angels in Anahiem the past three years. Oakland is also 5-2 versus the Angels this year. I'm not sure why, but the visitor seems to have the host's number in this matchup. I think a +165 price tag is worth a shot.

Lenny Dinardo (R) is 1-2; 2.53 ERA; 1.50 WHIP; +0.9 Units on the road.

Kelvim Escobar (R) is 6-2; 1.95 ERA; 1.04 WHIP; +4.2 Units at home.

The Tigers take their 32-17 road record into Chicago against the inept White Sox, who can neither hit nor pitch. Mark Buehrle just signed a huge contract, so he could be a bit lazy right now. Good value with Detroit.

Andrew Miller (L) is 2-2; 2.45 ERA; 1.46 WHIP; +0.7 Units on the road.

Mark Buehrle (L) is 3-3; 3.00 ERA; 1.13 WHIP; +1.6 Units at home.

Look at Roger Clemens' road ERA. I bet he keeps forgetting his arthritis medication when traveling. A nice stat: The Royals are 4-2 against the Yankees the last three years at Kansas City.

Roger Clemens (R) is 0-3; 7.47 ERA; 1.72 WHIP; -4.6 Units on the road.

Odalis Perez (L) is 1-5; 6.48 ERA; 1.72 WHIP; -4.9 Units at home.

A horrible Saturday to offset a great Friday. Let's rebound - or lose more cash.

James Shields (R) is 4-3; 4.00 ERA; 1.02 WHIP; -0.7 Units on the road.

Andy Pettitte (L) is 2-4; 3.44 ERA; 1.30 WHIP; +0.4 Units at home.

The Pirates will make quick work of Woody Williams, who struggles mightily on the road.

Woody Williams (R) is 1-8; 5.58 ERA; 1.42 WHIP; -4.9 Units on the road.

Shane Youman (L) is 2-1; 4.24 ERA; 1.59 WHIP; +1.7 Units at home.

The Phillies don't have the best pitching in the world, but they can tear the cover off the ball. They should be able to hit Jake Peavy, giving them a good chance to win.

J.D. Durbin (R) is 1-0; 1.50 ERA; 1.33 WHIP; +1.3 Units on the road.

Jake Peavy (R) is 5-4; 3.16 ERA; 1.22 WHIP; +0.3 Units at home.

Solid picking yesterday. Go me. I like the hot Cubs over the struggling Micah Owings.

Micah Owings (R) is 2-3; 7.56 ERA; 1.74 WHIP; +2.2 Units on the road.

Rich Hill (L) is 3-2; 3.99 ERA; 1.18 WHIP; -2 Units at home.

Devil Rays over Yankees. Ownage.

Jason Hammel (R) is making his first start.

Kei "Nurse" Igawa (L) is 1-1; 8.33 ERA; 1.79 WHIP; +0.7 Units at home.

I know the Tigers lost to the Royals yesterday, but I still think they'll be sluggish after sweeping the Twins.

Jorge de la Rosa (L) is 2-5; 4.59 ERA; 1.45 WHIP; -0.5 Units on the road.

Justin Verlander (R) is 5-2; 3.67 ERA; 1.15 WHIP; +2.2 Units at home.

Devil Rays over Yankees. Again. Even more ownage.

J.P. Howell (L) is 0-2; 12.33 ERA; 2.67 WHIP; -4 Units on the road.

Matt DeSalvo (R) is 0-0; 1.29 ERA; 0.86 WHIP; -1.8 Units at home.

Well, well, well... what a surprise. Two teams I needed to win - the Rockies and Yankees - blew big leads late in the game. I'm completely shocked. How could that possibly happen - it's never happened before!

All these bad beats are eating me up inside. I think I've aged 50 years since the beginning of June.

Kyle Lohse (R) is 2-8; 6.53 ERA; 1.57 WHIP; -6.1 Units on the road.

Scott Olsen (L) is 5-2; 4.37 ERA; 1.43 WHIP; +4.3 Units at home.

The Red Sox are a joke. Mark my words - they will not make the playoffs this year. The Yankees will pass them.

Jose Contreras (R) is 2-6; 4.77 ERA; 1.51 WHIP; -3.4 Units on the road.

Josh Beckett (R) is 6-3; 4.37 ERA; 1.28 WHIP; -1.3 Units at home.

Devil Rays over Yankees. Ownage.

By the way, I've scraped my whole parlay system. It's still winning in terms of units, but I figured out that betting the top two dogs every day is much more lucrative.

Edwin Jackson (R) is 2-6; 5.95 ERA; 1.56 WHIP; -2.4 Units on the road.

Mike Mussina (R) is 3-3; 4.74 ERA; 1.15 WHIP; -1.3 Units at home.

What a surprise, I lost all my picks again. How in the world did Boston (vs. Kansas City) and Johan Santana lose the same night?

This is a Wager Line fade - the Angels are being picked at a 73.6-percent clip.

Kelvim Escobar (R) is 4-1; 5.01 ERA; 1.31 WHIP; +3.1 Units on the road.

Andy Sonnanstine (R) is 0-2; 5.04 ERA; 1.37 WHIP; -3 Units at home.

The only reason the Rockies are -110, and not -130 is because no one's heard of this Jimenez character. But pitchers making their first starts usually win, so I'm siding with Colorado. I couldn't decide between two and three units, so I settled for 2.5.

Ubaldo Jimenez (R) is making his first start.

Matt Chico (L) is 4-1; 4.50 ERA; 1.45 WHIP; +8.1 Units at home.

OK, can both dogs stop winning for once? I need one favorite and one dog to win. Please! I'm increasing units today as a chase.

Can't say I'm surprised. The two individual teams I picked, the Blue Jays and the White Sox, both blew leads in the bottom of the ninth yesterday, eventually losing in extra innings. Toronto surrendered its advantage on a balk. Chicago permitted Cleveland to score twice in the last frame of regulation. Meanwhile, the top three underdogs won yesterday. Someone please shoot me.

The Wager Line consensus today is the Cubs at 72 percent. Can anyone tell me why they aren't -200 against a garbage team, given that Carlos Zambrano is on the mound? Seems like a trap to me.

Matt Cain (R) is 2-4; 2.83 ERA; 1.29 WHIP; -5.3 Units on the road.

Carlos Zambrano (R) is 4-5; 4.60 ERA; 1.37 WHIP; -6.5 Units at home.

I was so happy when the Royals won yesterday. And then my hopes, dreams and aspirations were crushed like tissue paper.

Nice start to the week. I really should scrap these single bets and focus on my parlay system, but fading the consensus on the Wager Line has worked so far. The Indians are at about 68 percent. The White Sox are actually 14-9 in Cleveland the past three years, so it's not like last night's win was a fluke. Plus, Paul Byrd should never be a -160 favorite over any AL squad not named the Royals or Devil Rays.

Jon Garland (R) is 4-1; 2.95 ERA; 1.22 WHIP; +0.7 Units on the road.

Paul Byrd (R) is 5-2; 5.63 ERA; 1.54 WHIP; +0.3 Units at home.

One last individual pick before we get to the parlays. One guy I know pointed this stat out to me: The Blue Jays are 13-3 in Roy Halladay's previous 16 starts the past three years when he is favorited by less than -130 or an underdog.

Roy Halladay (R) is 4-3; 5.79 ERA; 1.46 WHIP; +1.1 Units on the road.

Andy Pettitte (L) is 3-2; 5.76 ERA; 1.63 WHIP; -0.6 Units at home.

Got in a parlay two days in a row. Let's go for three. No run line on the Royals/Mariners because the Seattle money line is too low.

Going to take a stab with the Mets here for one unit. They tend to hit David Wells efficiently, while the Padres, including Adrian Gonzalez, haven't had much luck against Jorge Sosa. New York is 9-4 vs. San Diego the past three years.

Jorge Sosa (R) is 4-2; 4.67 ERA; 1.24 WHIP; +2.2 Units on the road.

David Wells (L) is 2-4; 6.25 ERA; 1.84 WHIP; -1.7 Units at home.

The parlays finally hit yesterday. Let's get them again tonight. No run line parlays, by the way; the favorites are too low on the money line.

I can't believe we can't hit these parlays. The system worked so well before. Just gotta hope it turns around soon...

Going with the Devil Rays against the Yankees is always a great proposition (+15.3 Units last three years). This is also the Wager Line consensus at 72 percent.

Mike Mussina (R) is 1-3; 4.46 ERA; 1.46 WHIP; -5.4 Units on the road.

Edwin Jackson (R) is 1-5; 9.00 ERA; 2.31 WHIP; -4.2 Units at home.

Like I said yesterday, I'm going to keep riding the Phillies until they lose; they're determined not to lose the so-called 10,000th game in franchise history, even though anyone with a clue knows this already happened two summers ago.

Adam Wainwright (R) is 2-2; 5.18 ERA; 1.56 WHIP; +3.6 Units on the road.

Adam Eaton (R) is 3-3; 5.76 ERA; 1.66 WHIP; +0.5 Units at home.

Ugh, three days in a row without hitting a parlay in a system that usually works 72 percent of the time. Let's hope that streak turns around today.

Another day without a winning parlay. Not how I wanted to start the second half of the season.

This is the Wager Line consensus of the day at 68.5 percent. Not sure why anyone would like the White Sox.

Javier Vazquez (R) is 3-3; 3.92 ERA; 1.14 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Daniel Cabrera (R) is 4-4; 5.77 ERA; 1.38 WHIP; +0.8 Units at home.

I'm going to keep riding the Phillies until they lose; they're determined not to lose the so-called 10,000th game in franchise history, even though anyone with a clue knows this already happened two summers ago.

Mike Maroth (L) is 5-0; 5.30 ERA; 1.64 WHIP; +7.3 Units on the road.

Cole Hamels (L) is 5-2; 3.25 ERA; 1.05 WHIP; -0.1 Units at home.

That's two days in a row the parlays haven't worked. Let's hope that turns around tonight. Making today's parlays was a bit confusing; there are four favorites of -220 or greater. Two of those are -225, while two are -220. I'm just taking the highest pair.

Not the way I like to start off a week, but remember, at least one of the top two dogs wins on any given day 72 percent of the time.

An opinion on the early game. I like the Astros at +165; they hit Carlos Zambrano pretty hard. Luke Scott (.571), Mark Loretta (.300), Carlos Lee (.343), Mike Lamb (.250), and Craig Biggio (.275) should help knock him out early. Meanwhile, Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez, Derrek Lee and Jacque Jones are a combined 7-of-36 (.194) lifetime versus Jason Jennings.

Jason Jennings (R) is 1-1; 3.66 ERA; 1.42 WHIP; +1.9 Units on the road.

Carlos Zambrano (R) is 3-5; 5.14 ERA; 1.43 WHIP; -7.5 Units at home.

Another weird line. I've come to realize that this is the set-up; not the contest yesterday. Everyone and their ugly stepsister is betting the Yankees today. So, naturally, this is the Wager Line consensus. I have a feeling the Yanks are going down, allowing Vegas to collect millions.

Roger Clemens (R) is 0-2; 6.97 ERA; 1.74 WHIP; -3.2 Units on the road.

Scott Kazmir (R) is 0-3; 4.11 ERA; 1.58 WHIP; -1.5 Units at home.

Woah, major overlay on the Twins. These two teams are about even. Is Johan Santana really worth a -245 price tag? I don't think so; I'll side with the A's.

Lenny Dinardo (L) is 1-1; 2.20 ERA; 1.35 WHIP; +1.9 Units on the road.

Johan Santana (L) is 3-4; 3.91 ERA; 1.19 WHIP; -6.8 Units at home.

I don't know if the All-Star Break cooled down the Rangers, but they're 12-6 in their previous 18 contests. I think they're worth a shot in this spot. Let's just hope Kevin Millwood isn't thinking about eating Doritos and Oreos after the game.

Kevin Millwood (L) is 2-4; 6.28 ERA; 1.72 WHIP; +0.8 Units on the road.

Kelvim Escobar (R) is 6-2; 2.05 ERA; 1.06 WHIP; +3.1 Units at home.

The parlays didn't work yesterday, but I'm confident we'll hit at least one two of the next three days.

Thank God baseball is back. I was going through withdraw symptoms. I like the Reds here; I think Bronson Arroyo is undervalued, and several Mets will be tired from the All-Star break. This is also the Wager Line consensus, as New York is 69 percent.

Bronson Arroyo (R) is 1-6; 3.88 ERA; 1.38 WHIP; -7.1 Units on the road.

Orlando Hernandez (R) is 3-3; 3.88 ERA; 1.19 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

What's up with this line? Yankees only -145? This seems like a big time set-up by Vegas after it lost money on the All-Star Game. Something to consider: Both Derek Jeter and A-Rod flew in this morning from the ESPYs. They'll both be tired against a team that is +15.9 Units against them the past three years.

Andy Pettitte (L) is 1-4; 3.32 ERA; 1.31 WHIP; -6.5 Units on the road.

James Shields (R) is 3-1; 3.65 ERA; 1.04 WHIP; +0.1 Units at home.

At least one parlay hit each day between Thursday and Sunday of last week. Let's keep it going!

Let me get this straight. The Angels have 12 more victories than the Yankees, yet are +185 dogs? Huh? I assume that's because of Ervin Santana's futility on the road. Check out these numbers, however: Other than Derek Jeter, no Yankee who has more than three at-bats against Ervin Santana hits better than .222 against him. This includes A-Rod (.083), Jorge Posada (.167), Hideki Matsui (0-for-6), Johnny Damon (.182) and Robinson Cano (.222). Meanwhile, the Angels regulars are a combined 15-of-43 (.349) versus Chuck Wang.

Ervin Santana (R) is 1-7; 7.45 ERA; 1.76 WHIP; -7.6 Units on the road.

Chien-Ming Wang (R) is 5-3; 3.14 ERA; 1.12 WHIP; -1.6 Units at home.

I went with the Indians yesterday and I like them again this afternoon. Toronto has not had success against Paul Byrd. Other than Royce Clayton (2-of-4) and Greg Zaun (2-of-5), no regular or semi-regular player hits better than .250 against him, with the exception of Vernon Wells (.273). Meanwhile, look at how the Indians destroy Josh Towers whenever they see him: Josh Barfield (.500), Casey Blake (.333), Ben Francisco (.333), Travis Hafner (.364), Victor Martinez (.333) and Trot Nixon (.474).

Paul Byrd (R) is 2-1; 4.14 ERA; 1.31 WHIP; +1.4 Units on the road.

Josh Towers (R) is 1-3; 5.27 ERA; 1.38 WHIP; -2 Units at home.

The Wager Line consensus at 69 percent. The Nats may win this, as the Brewers aren't exactly impressive on the road. Look for Austin Kearns to have a big game; he hits .636 against Chris Capuano.

Chris Capuano (L) is 2-3; 5.33 ERA; 1.82 WHIP; -2.3 Units on the road.

Tim Redding (R) is 0-1; 5.40 ERA; 1.40 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

Another instance where the better team is a huge dog. I know Ryan Feieraband surrendered a million runs to Kansas City in his last start, but he's the same pitcher who held Boston scoreless through five innings. The offensively challenged Athletics have never seen him, so he has an advantage there. Meanwhile, Seattle's regulars are 49-of-188 (.260) against Joe Blanton, which is much higher than the average Blanton has surrendered this season (.229).

Ryan Feierabend (L) is 0-2; 15.75 ERA; 2.50 WHIP; -2 Units on the road.

Joe Blanton (R) is 4-2; 1.69 ERA; 0.78 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

It was probably stupid to use a run-line parlay the past two nights, knowing I was going with medium-sized dogs. That's not the case today. Let's hit a pair of parlays going into the All-Star Break.

A strong opinion on the early game, but before we get to that, I have to complain about the Phillies. Their ownership is the worst in all of sports. Worse than the Clippers, Devil Rays, Pirates, Arizona Cardinals and Blackhawks. General manager Pat Gillick is clueless and has no idea what he's doing. Charlie Manuel doesn't know how to make a double switch. The entire bullpen belongs in the minor leagues. Why did Manuel keep Jose Mesa in for more than an inning? Why did Gillick sign Mesa? Why is the ownership employing someone who signs scrubs like Mesa? I'm not shocked the Phillies blew a 6-1 lead. They're a bunch of idiots.

Moving on, I think the Indians have a huge advantage in this game because the Blue Jays have not seen Fausto Carmona. Cleveland's regulars, on the other hand, hit .309 off Shaun Marcum. I think this contest goes under as well.

Fausto Carmona (R) is 4-2; 3.19 ERA; 1.32 WHIP; -0.3 Units on the road.

Shaun Marcum (R) is 1-0; 2.25 ERA; 0.96 WHIP; +0.7 Units at home.

I love betting on pitchers making their first start. Doing so probably hits 70-80 percent of the time.

J.J. Reyes (L) is making his first start.

David Wells (L) is 2-1; 2.56 ERA; 1.16 WHIP; -2.7 Units at home.

One of two games that are 70 percent or higher on the Wager Line. I think one of them will hit.

Jeff Suppan (R) is 3-5; 5.43 ERA; 1.50 WHIP; -1.2 Units on the road.

Jason Simontacchi (R) is 2-5; 8.39 ERA; 1.81 WHIP; -2.4 Units at home.

The Wager Line consensus fade of the day, as the Mets are 71.8 percent.

Tom Glavine (L) is 3-5; 5.40 ERA; 1.54 WHIP; +0.2 Units on the road.

Woody Williams (R) is 3-3; 5.35 ERA; 1.54 WHIP; +0.3 Units at home.

Like Seattle yesterday, Boston is a significant dog despite having the better record.

Kason Gabbard (L) is 0-0; 10.81 ERA; 3.60 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Jeremy Bonderman (R) is 5-1; 3.40 ERA; 1.21 WHIP; -0.3 Units at home.

Sadly, there are no -200 favorites today, so I'm forced to take Florida and Boston as +150-ish dogs.

Sergio Mitre (R) is 2-2; 3.16 ERA; 1.15 WHIP; +0.7 Units on the road.

Derek Lowe (R) is 3-2; 2.28 ERA; 1.16 WHIP; +1.9 Units at home.

Another dog hit, though it was close with the Phillies-Rockies. Unfortunately, the Run Line didn't cash. Let's go for three in a row tonight.

I've talked about bad beats before. I had something called an unfortunate beat yesterday. Yeah, I just made that up, what are you going to do about it? I predicted that the Dodgers would score plenty of runs on Tim Hudson - and they did. What I didn't count on was Brad Penny getting a blister and surrendering six runs himself. That's just tough luck.

This is the consensus pick on the Wager Line at 71 percent. And no, the public's not backing Washington. While the Brewers haven't really seen Mike Bacsik, the Nats hit Dave Bush hard. Check out what they do to him: Ryan Zimmerman (.333), Dmitri Young (.600), Brian Schneider (.714), Austin Kearns (.385) and Ronnie Belliard (.333). One unit on the Nats, and one unit on the Washington team total - just in case Bacsik gets a blister.

Dave Bush (R) is 2-3; 6.23 ERA; 1.57 WHIP; -1.9 Units on the road.

Mike Bacsik (L) is 0-2; 4.64 ERA; 1.41 WHIP; -4.1 Units at home.

I had a dream that the Reds would win tonight. Seriously. Then, I received an e-mail this morning from the Maddux Sports service, and their free pick was Cincinnati. Then I saw these numbers: The players on Arizona who have 200 or more at-bats are just 7-of-28 (.250) against Kyle Lohse. Not bad. Meanwhile, the hitters on Cincinnati who have 200 or more at-bats are 7-of-21 (.333) versus Micah Owings.

Micah Owings (R) is 2-1; 7.15 ERA; 1.81 WHIP; +4.2 Units on the road.

Kyle Lohse (L) is 2-3; 2.98 ERA; 1.22 WHIP; +0.5 Units at home.

Believe it or not, the Phillies are one of the top two dogs today. Weird. I think they have a good shot at winning. Anyone who has seen Jeff Francis on Philadelphia's roster is a collective 7-of-17 (.412) against him. Kyle Kendrick, meanwhile, has done an excellent job coming out of the minors; opposing hitters are just .250 against him. Colorado has not seen him yet.

Kyle Kendrick (R) is 1-0; 4.50 ERA; 1.00 WHIP; +1.6 Units on the road.

Jeff Francis (L) is 4-3; 3.94 ERA; 1.35 WHIP; +0.2 Units at home.

The only reason the Braves won yesterday was because Brad Penny got hurt. I'm going to continue fading them against good teams. A nice stat: Atlanta is just 4-of-27 (.148) versus Joe Germano.

Buddy Carlyle (R) is 0-0; 2.00 ERA; 1.00 WHIP; +1.1 Units on the road.

Justin Germano (R) is 2-1; 3.75 ERA; 1.04 WHIP; -0.7 Units at home.

The team with the better record is a +185 dog? They must have a really crappy pitcher on the mound. Oakland's top batters are 29-of-67 (.433) against Jeff Weaver. However, Weaver has been unhittable lately, surrendering no more than three earned runs in his previous five starts.

Jeff Weaver (R) is 0-4; 9.12 ERA; 1.99 WHIP; -3.7 Units on the road.

Dan Haren (R) is 6-0; 2.11 ERA; 0.95 WHIP; +6.1 Units at home.

Finally. A dog hit. Let's hope that happens again.

This isn't the consensus pick on the Wager Line, but it's pretty close. There are two teams hovering at 70 percent, and I'm confident that at least one of them will lose.

Four Pirates - Jason Bay, Ryan Doumit, Xavier Nady and Jack Wilson - hit .300 or better against Sheets. Prince Fielder, meanwhile, is out.

Ben Sheets (R) is 4-2; 3.88 ERA; 1.17 WHIP; -0.5 Units on the road.

Tom Gorzelanny (L) is 3-2; 3.00 ERA; 1.19 WHIP; -4 Units at home.

Another fade on the Yankees. A-Rod is out.

Kaitlin Slowey (R) is 3-0; 4.76 ERA; 1.59 WHIP; +4.3 Units on the road.

Kei "Nurse" Igawa (L) is 1-1; 8.86 ERA; 1.64 WHIP; -2.4 Units at home.

It really hurt to watch the Marlins go toe-to-toe with Chris Young and lose in the bottom of the ninth, 1-0. I'd rather lose 8-0 and not suffer the heartbreak.

Byung-Hyun Kim's a bit underrated; batters are hitting just .239 off him, and he's had a few solid outings this season. San Diego's offense is nothing special. I think Florida definitely has a shot to win this contest.

Byung-Hyun Kim (R) is 2-1; 3.54 ERA; 1.28 WHIP; +3.1 Units on the road.

Jake Peavy (R) is 5-2; 2.95 ERA; 1.22 WHIP; +4.3 Units at home.

Tampa Bay has to win one of these days. Right? Right!?!?!?!?!

J.P. Howell (R) is 0-1; 9.21 ERA; 2.25 WHIP; -3 Units on the road.

Josh Beckett (R) is 5-2; 4.67 ERA; 1.26 WHIP; -0.2 Units at home.

The consensus favorite on the Wager Line, with the Mets being picked at a 71-percent rate.

John Maine (R) is 6-1; 2.24 ERA; 1.03 WHIP; +6.2 Units on the road.

Jason Jennings (R) is 0-2; 3.71 ERA; 1.18 WHIP; -7.6 Units at home.

The Braves had a rare victory against a good team yesterday. Won't happen again. Check out how the Dodgers hit Tim Hudson: Juan Pierre (.300), Jeff Kent (.316), Luis Gonzalez (.333), Nomar Garciaparra (.400), Rafael Furcal (.462), Andre Ethier (.333). Can you say domination?

Tim Hudson (R) is 4-1; 2.25 ERA; 0.96 WHIP; +1.8 Units on the road.

Brad Penny (R) is 4-0; 1.37 ERA; 1.06 WHIP; +4.3 Units at home.

The top two favorites have now won three days in a row, which rarely happens in this league. Let's hope that turns around tonight.

We lost big again yesterday, which is unusual for the parlay system I'm running. I'm confident we'll win two of the next three days.

My fading of the Yankees has also failed the past two nights. I think that changes with Johan Santana on the mound. New York is just 3-8 as an underdog this year.

Jorge Posada and Bobby Abreu are out. Upgrading to one unit.

Johan Santana (L) is 6-2; 1.77 ERA; 0.92 WHIP; +2 Units on the road.

Mike Mussina (R) is 3-2; 4.78 ERA; 1.20 WHIP; -2.4 Units at home.

The Devil Rays have lost nine in a row, and I think I've had them for five of those contests. They should be able to hit Tim Wakefield, and Edwin Jackson's been hot lately. This could be the game that ends the losing streak. Here's a stat you may like: As a team, the Red Sox are only 3-of-17 against Jackson.

Edwin Jackson (R) is 0-3; 5.06 ERA; 1.50 WHIP; +4.4 Units on the road.

Tim Wakefield (R) is 4-3; 4.91 ERA; 1.43 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

If you've been reading my horrible picks for some reason, you know that I like going with guys making their first career start. And that it works.

Garrett Olson (L) is making his first start.

Jose Contreras (R) is 3-4; 5.44 ERA; 1.50 WHIP; -1.3 Units at home.

Despite his horrendous statistics, Josh Johnson's a really good pitcher. He's gotten off to an awful start (batters are hitting .444 off him), but I'm expecting him to rebound any night now. A price of +190 seems right. San Diego's offense just isn't that reliable.

This is also the Wager Line consensus fade, although the percentage is only at 66.

Josh Johnson (R) is 0-1; 9.81 ERA; 3.54 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Chris Young (R) is 3-1; 0.94 ERA; 0.94 WHIP; -0.2 Units at home.

Like I do with the Yankees, I'm going to start fading the Braves against good teams. Atlanta is a fraud; the squad has built its record by starting off hot and feasting on the Marlins, Nationals and Cubs.

Chuck James (L) is 5-3; 4.34 ERA; 1.43 WHIP; +0.9 Units on the road.

Mark Hendrickson (L) is 2-1; 4.32 ERA; 1.44 WHIP; +1 Units at home.

Probability states that I have to hit at least one of these two out of the next three nights. Let's hope that happens...

We lost yesterday, but I'm still confident in what we're doing. I've been tracking the top two favorites the past 12 days. Of the 12 days, one dog has won eight times, both dogs have been victorious twice, and both favorites won twice. Pretty good odds.

Carlos Silva (R) is 3-5; 4.62 ERA; 1.40 WHIP; -0.5 Units on the road.

Chien-Ming Wang (R) is 4-3; 3.58 ERA; 1.11 WHIP; -2.6 Units at home.

That said, I am concerned about going against two Asian sensations today, especially Dice-K versus a Tampa Bay team that's as cold as ice. The Devil Rays, who have dropped eight in a row, had the bases loaded with no outs down 3-2 yesterday. They got nothing. Of course, that really didn't matter because their bullpen surrendered eight runs the following inning.

Scott Kazmir (L) is 5-1; 4.47 ERA; 1.53 WHIP; +4.4 Units on the road.

Daisuke Matsuzaka (R) is 4-2; 4.81 ERA; 1.25 WHIP; +1.7 Units at home.

The Mets are once again the top consensus pick on the Wager Line at 69 percent. Still .5 Units until I see if this actually works.

Jason Vargas (L) is 1-0; 6.43 ERA; 0.86 WHIP; +1 Units at home (no road starts).

Aaron Cook (R) is 2-3; 6.43 ERA; 1.51 WHIP; -1 Units at home.

If this keeps up, at least one parlay will hit eight out of 12 times. Pretty good profit.

Coming off three horrendous weeks, it's clear to me what I have to do now. Do only what works, and stay away from what I think will work. So, that means less plays and more concentration on parlays.

I can't believe the Yankees are once again huge favorites over a better team. It's borderline insanity sauce.

Boof Bonser (R) is 2-1; 4.46 ERA; 1.40 WHIP; +0.3 Units on the road.

Roger Clemens (R) is 1-1; 3.65 ERA; 1.22 WHIP; -0.7 Units at home.

It's really hard to back a team that has lost seven in a row, but remember what I said before: At least one of the top two favorites loses 72 percent of the time.

Andy Sonnanstine (R) is 1-1; 7.11 ERA; 1.21 WHIP; -1 Units on the road.

Fausto Carmona (R) is 4-2; 4.85 ERA; 1.34 WHIP; +2.5 Units at home.

One other thing I'm going to do is bet against the top consensus team on the Wager Line if it's close to 70 percent. That seems to work. I'll start at .5 Units and increase if it hits often.

Tom Glavine (L) is 3-4; 4.97 ERA; 1.44 WHIP; +1.4 Units on the road.

Jason Hirsh (R) is 1-4; 5.63 ERA; 1.40 WHIP; -3.6 Units at home.

Figures that the first day I bet on the run-line version of the parlay was the first time it lost since I've been tracking this system.

It seems like everyone is assuming the Phillies are going to win this game because they're facing a home sweep. Well, I've got news for you. Philadelphia is 2-4 as a dog or -110 favorite facing a home sweep under Charlie Manuel. Plus, the Mets dominate the Phillies in the City of Brotherly Love.

Mike Pelfrey (R) is 0-1; 5.07 ERA; 1.31 WHIP; -1.2 Units on the road.

Kyle Kendrick (R) is 1-0; 5.25 ERA; 1.42 WHIP; +2 Units at home.

Another slumping team trying to avoid a sweep at the hands of a 46-33 squad at a -110 price. Coincidence? Probably. The Dodgers are just 2-3 trying to avoid a home sweep under Grady Little. This stat is more important: San Diego is a whopping 20-9 against Los Angeles the past two seasons.

Justin Germano (R) is 3-0; 1.80 ERA; 0.83 WHIP; +1.4 Units on the road.

Chad Billingsley (R) is 0-0; 8.21 ERA; 1.57 WHIP; +2.3 Units on the road (no home starts).

Dan Haren, the best pitcher in baseball, is a +120 dog. Ummm... what?

Dan Haren (R) is 3-2; 1.68 ERA; 0.93 WHIP; -0.2 Units on the road.

Andy Pettitte (R) is 3-1; 3.26 ERA; 1.40 WHIP; -0.3 Units at home.

Playing hot versus cold here. The Angels have dropped four of five, while John Lackey has pitched poorly in his last two starts. Baltimore, on the other hand, has claimed six of nine. Jeremy Guthrie's unhittable.

John Lackey (R) is 4-3; 3.57 ERA; 1.30 WHIP; -1.3 Units on the road.

Jeremy Guthrie (R) is 1-1; 2.29 ERA; 1.04 WHIP; -4 Units at home.

The Rangers are another hot club that's undervalued right now; they're 10-5 their last 15. Kameron Loe has also come around, shutting down batters in his previous three starts. Texas should be able to hit Julian Tavarez.

Kameron Loe (R) is 2-2; 5.23 ERA; 1.61 WHIP; +0.5 Units on the road.

Julian Tavarez (R) is 2-2; 4.94 ERA; 1.44 WHIP; -0.7 Units at home.

Can't believe the Twins are significant underdogs when they've clearly dominated this series.

Scott Baker (R) is 2-1; 4.26 ERA; 1.26 WHIP; +2.1 Units on the road.

Jeremy Bonderman (R) is 4-1; 4.00 ERA; 1.27 WHIP; -1.3 Units at home.

Love hitting those parlays... I'm going to do something a bit different here. I'll put a unit on the regular parlays, and one on the parlays with the money-line favorites replaced by the run line (-1.5 denotes the Run Line).