Free Baseball Picks
Last Week's Winnings (May 5-11, 2008): 6-6 (-$310)
2008 Season Winnings (as of May 11): -$360
2008 Season Winnings (as of May 11): -$360
Wednesday, April 30, 2008 (1-1, $0)
Colorado Rockies (11-16) at San Francisco Giants (12-16)
Line: Rockies +100; Giants -110.
Ubaldo Jimenez pitched really well last year, but his control has been inexplicably off this season. When he struggled in an outing in 2007, he usually bounced back. Well, that hasn't happened yet this season, as he's pitched three consecutive clunkers. Meanwhile, Giants southpaw Jonathan Sanchez has been awesome, striking out 10 or more batters twice in five starts. Colorado's lineup strikes out a lot (7.1 times per game.)
Prediction: Giants 5, Rockies 1
Giants -110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Toronto Blue Jays (11-16) at Boston Red Sox (16-12)
Line: Blue Jays +150; Red Sox -160.
Playing the Blue Jays at Fenway might not seem like such a good idea until you consider they are 10-9 at Boston the past three years. Weird. Toronto right-hander Dustin McGowan is coming off his worst outing of the year, which is actually promising for the Jays. McGowan is a confident pitcher and has a history of bouncing back strong after poor performances. The only time McGowan battled the Red Sox in his young career was on Sept. 17, 2007, when he struck out nine in a 6-1 victory.
Prediction: Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 3
Blue Jays +150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Tuesday, April 29, 2008 (0-1, -$300)
Chicago White Sox (14-10) at Minnesota Twins (11-14)
Line: White Sox +105; Twins -115.
The White Sox are playing well and should be able to win this series behind the suddenly hot Gavin Floyd. Minnesota's Boof Bonser has had control issues lately and doesn't accumulate a lot of strikeouts, which might be disastrous for his team; Chicago takes a lot of walks and doesn't strike out often. The White Sox should be able to put a lot of balls in play tonight.
Prediction: White Sox 9, Twins 3
White Sox +105 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Monday, April 28, 2008 (0-1, -$200)
Cincinnati Reds (11-15) at St. Louis Cardinals (16-10)
Line: Reds +130; Cardinals -1.5 +150.
This is a situation I like - a crappy offense with a struggling pitcher on the road versus a team with a superior lineup.
Prediction: Cardinals 8, Reds 2
Cardinals -1.5 +150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Sunday, April 27, 2008 (0-1, -$210)
New York Yankees (12-13) at Cleveland Indians (12-12)
Line: Yankees -105; Indians -105.
It's tough to go against Chuck Wang, and C.C. Sabathia is about 500 pounds overweight, but the Indians have New York's number. Something weird's going to happen.
Prediction: Indians 3, Yankees 2
Indians -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210
Saturday, April 26, 2008 (1-0, +$200)
New York Yankees (12-12) at Cleveland Indians (11-12)
Line: Yankees +110; Indians -110.
I find it amusing that the Indians can't beat the Red Sox and the Yankees can't beat the Indians. Might as well go with Cleveland.
Prediction: Indians 10, Yankees 4
Indians -110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Thursday, April 24, 2008 (2-0, +$590)
Texas Rangers (7-15) at Detroit Tigers (9-13)
Line: Rangers +160; Tigers -1.5 +130.
Going with the Tigers for the same reason I've done so the past two days.
Prediction: Tigers 6, Rangers 2
Tigers -1.5 +130 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$390
Minnesota Twins (10-11) at Oakland Athletics (13-9)
Line: Twins +105; Athletics -115.
Same formula as Rangers-Tigers. The Twins are a poor offensive team on the road with a struggling pitcher on the mound versus a decent hitting club.
Prediction: Athletics 6, Twins 1
Athletics -115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Wednesday, April 23, 2008 (1-0, +$390)
Texas Rangers (7-14) at Detroit Tigers (8-13)
Line: Rangers +150; Tigers -1.5 +130.
Going with the Tigers for the same reason I did yesterday.
Prediction: Tigers 6, Rangers 3
Tigers -1.5 +130 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$390
Tuesday, April 22, 2008 (1-0, +$260)
Texas Rangers (7-13) at Detroit Tigers (7-13)
Line: Rangers +150; Tigers -1.5 +130.
The Rangers... ARE WHO I THOUGHT THEY WERE! If you recall, I tried fading them at the beginning of the year. They inexplicably got off to a hot start, but they've reverted to what they should be, losing four in a row and eight of 10. The Tigers, meanwhile, are 5-3 in their last eight.
Prediction: Tigers 7, Rangers 3
Tigers -1.5 +130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$260
Monday, April 21, 2008 (0-1, -$300)
New York Mets (10-7) at Chicago Cubs (12-6)
Line: Mets +125; Cubs -135.
It's weird to see a top-level team like the Cubs as just -135. I'm going with the Mets here.
Prediction: Mets 6, Cubs 4
Mets +125 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Sunday, April 20, 2008 (1-1, -$30)
San Diego Padres (8-9) at Arizona Diamondbacks (13-4)
Line: Padres +135; Diamondbacks -145.
I went with the Giants over Cardinals yesterday because I spotted a shady line. Well, this one takes the cake. Arizona, with Randy Johnson on the mound, is just -145 over woeful San Diego? I don't get it.
Prediction: Padres 3, Diamondbacks 2
Padres +135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$270
New York Mets (10-6) at Philadelphia Phillies (8-10)
Line: Mets +100; Phillies -110.
Domination, much? The red-hot Mets own the Phillies.
Prediction: Mets 4, Phillies 3
Mets +100 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Saturday, April 19, 2008 (2-0, +$500)
San Francisco Giants (6-11) at St. Louis Cardinals (12-5)
Line: Giants +100; Cardinals -110.
Taking another shot with the Giants. I don't know. Like I said, it's a shot. Just seems like this line is very shady.
Prediction: Giants 2, Cardinals 1
Giants +100 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
New York Mets (9-6) at Philadelphia Phillies (8-9)
Line: Mets -110; Phillies +100.
It seems like the Mets have gotten over their mental hump and are back to dominating the Phillies.
Prediction: Mets 7, Phillies 4
Mets -110 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Friday, April 18, 2008 (1-1, $0)
Detroit Tigers (5-11) at Toronto Blue Jays (8-8)
Line: Tigers -110; Blue Jays +100.
The Tigers lost yesterday, but I think they'll bounce back against the Blue Jays, who aren't playing all that well themselves right now.
Prediction: Tigers 5, Blue Jays 3
Tigers -110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
San Francisco Giants (6-10) at St. Louis Cardinals (11-5)
Line: Giants +130; Cardinals -140.
This is a pretty shady line. Why are the dominant Cardinals just -140 over the horrific Giants? Something's up.
Prediction: Giants 2, Cardinals 1
Giants +130 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Thursday, April 17, 2008 (0-1, -$200)
Detroit Tigers (5-10) at Cleveland Indians (5-10)
Line: Tigers +115; Indians -125.
Two in a row! w00t! I'm riding out this Tigers winning streak.
Prediction: Tigers 3, Indians 2
Tigers +115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Wednesday, April 16, 2008 (1-0, +$300)
Detroit Tigers (4-10) at Cleveland Indians (5-9)
Line: Tigers +150; Indians -160.
Holy crap, I got a baseball pick right yesterday. Drinks on me! Hopefully I can break out of my slump along with the Tigers. Detroit seems to have gotten its act together; with a win here, it'll have the same record as Cleveland.
Prediction: Tigers 5, Indians 3
Tigers +150 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Tuesday, April 15, 2008 (1-0, +$300)
Boston Red Sox (8-6) at Cleveland Indians (5-8)
Line: Red Sox -110; Indians +100.
Wow, so if the Houston Rockets coming back from nowhere to push wasn't bad enough, the Indians blew a 4-1 lead to the Red Sox. But I guess that's the point - Boston owns Cleveland. The Indians can't possibly come back from another meltdown, can they?
Prediction: Red Sox 5, Indians 4
Red Sox -110 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Monday, April 14, 2008 (0-2, -$1,025)
Boston Red Sox (7-6) at Cleveland Indians (5-7)
Line: Red Sox +115; Indians -125.
Let's hope my weekend off has somehow improved my baseball picking ability. Yeah, I know, dumb, but who knows?
I'm taking the Indians - the Red Sox are coming off a tough series with the Yankees and could be unfocused. Cleveland, meanwhile, wants revenge for losing to Boston in the Doggone Playoff.
Lots of units here, so I'm going with the money line.
Prediction: Indians 6, Red Sox 4
Indians -125 (5 Units) -- Incorrect; -$625
New York Yankees (6-7) at Tampa Bay Rays (6-6)
Line: Yankees -120; Rays +110.
Like the Red Sox, the Yankees could be a bit unfocused here. By the way, did you know that the Yankees are just 12-10 against the Rays the past two years? That's +7.1 Units on Tampa Bay if you bet them blindly.
Prediction: Rays 5, Yankees 1
Rays +110 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$400
Thursday, April 10, 2008 (0-1, -$300)
Detroit Tigers (1-7) at Boston Red Sox (4-5)
Total: 10.5 (-130/+110).
So, I thought I should try something different because my baseball picks have been tanking. Well, I've been doing some research and I think I've found something. Detroit and Boston have struggling offenses and both pitchers are at least semi-decent. Umpire Charlie Reliford has a huge strike zone, so there won't be too many walks in this game. This has the makings of a 3-2 contest.
Prediction: Tigers 3, Red Sox 2
Under -10.5 +110 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Wednesday, April 9, 2008 (0-2, -$600)
Cincinnati Reds (4-4) at Milwaukee Brewers (6-1)
Line: Reds +130; Brewers -1.5 +150.
My baseball picks keep sucking harder and harder than Aurora Snow does for a living. I have faith that this is going to turn around. I hope. Milwaukee should be able to pound Josh Fogg into submission.
Prediction: Brewers 9, Reds 5
Brewers -1.5 +150 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Minnesota Twins (3-5) at Chicago White Sox (5-2)
Line: Twins +115; White Sox -1.5 +160.
The Twins have one of the worst lineups in baseball, and I can't see them having much success on the road.
Prediction: White Sox 6, Twins 1
White Sox -1.5 +160 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Tuesday, April 8, 2008 (0-1, -$200)
Baltimore Orioles (5-1) at Texas Rangers (3-3)
Line: Orioles +130; Rangers -1.5 +135.
My baseball picks have sucked lately. When I've been wrong, I've been wrong, and when I've been right, I've had BS go against me. Well, what can you do? I don't have much faith in Baltimore's ability to win on the road, especially with Brian Burres.
Prediction: Rangers 5, Orioles 2
Rangers -1.5 +135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Monday, April 7, 2008 (0-1, -$200)
Florida Marlins (3-3) at Washington Nationals (3-4)
Line: Marlins +115; Nationals -1.5 +170.
The Angels really pissed me off on Saturday night. First, they couldn't get any runs in with the bases loaded and one out. Then, idiot manager Mike Scioscia decides to pull Jered Weaver amid a shutout on a 93 pitch count in the eighth inning. At least let him go eight, moron! Ugh. Texas hit a home run in that inning.
Prediction: Nationals 6, Marlins 2
Nationals -1.5 +170 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Sunday, April 6, 2008 (0-1, -$200)
Texas Rangers (2-3) at Los Angeles Angels (4-2)
Line: Rangers +155; Angels -1.5 +130.
Vicente Padilla is another overweight pitcher I just don't trust on the road. Too many restaurants, too many distractions.
Prediction: Angels 8, Rangers 5
Angels -1.5 +130 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Saturday, April 5, 2008 (0-2, -$500)
San Francisco Giants (1-3) at Milwaukee Brewers (3-1)
Line: Giants +170; Brewers -1.5 +125.
Going Brew Crew over Giants again today. San Francisco might be one of the worst teams baseball has ever seen. Oh, and by the way, Jason Kendall is pathetic. Milwaukee batted its pitcher eighth and Kendall ninth yesterday. I've never seen a pitcher hit eighth before. Congratulations, Jason Kendall! You suck.
Prediction: Brewers 7, Giants 3
Brewers -1.5 +125 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Texas Rangers (2-2) at Los Angeles Angels (3-2)
Line: Rangers +145; Angels -1.5 +140.
The Angels had plenty of opportunities last night but blew all of them. Their starting pitcher sucked too. Here's to hoping that was a fluke.
I don't trust Kevin Millwood on the road; I feel as though he's going to spend too much time looking for restaurants for after the game.
Prediction: Angels 9, Rangers 2
Angels -1.5 +140 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Friday, April 4, 2008 (1-1, +$160)
San Francisco Giants (1-2) at Milwaukee Brewers (2-1)
Line: Giants +180; Brewers -1.5 +115.
Just so you know, I'm never going to have more than two plays on a given day. I'm taking a pair today. Milwaukee should eat Jonathan Sanchez alive, and the Giants probably won't get much offense on the board.
Prediction: Brewers 9, Giants 1
Brewers -1.5 +115 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$460
Texas Rangers (1-2) at Los Angeles Angels (3-1)
Line: Rangers +130; Angels -1.5 +140.
I like the Angels a lot as well; they should be able to blow Texas out in two of these three games, especially with guys like Kason Gabbard on the mound for the Rangers.
Prediction: Angels 7, Rangers 3
Angels -1.5 +140 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Thursday, April 3, 2008 (0-1, -$200)
Pittsburgh Pirates (1-1) at Atlanta Braves (1-2)
Line: Pirates +130; Braves -1.5 +140.
The Pirates may have everyone in Pittsburgh excited about this 1-1 start, but I'm not buying it. I still say they stink. And I have no faith in Zach Duke, especially on the road.
Prediction: Braves 6, Pirates 3
Braves -1.5 +140 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Wednesday, April 2, 2008 (1-0, +$435)
Texas Rangers (1-1) at Seattle Mariners (1-1)
Line: Rangers +130; Mariners -1.5 +145.
Yeah, yeah, going with Seattle over Texas again. Hopefully this time, the Mariners' manager doesn't pull his starting pitcher in a 1-1 game on a pitch count of 90. Idiot.
At any rate, Texas' Jason Jennings is one of the worst pitchers in baseball. Fading him on the road seems like a good idea to me.
Prediction: Mariners 8, Rangers 5
Mariners -1.5 +145 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$435
Tuesday, April 1, 2008 (0-1, -$300)
Texas Rangers (0-1) at Seattle Mariners (1-0)
Line: Rangers +180; Mariners -1.5 +120.
Going with the Mariners again. Vincente Padilla is yet another fat Texas pitcher who can't be trusted on the road; if you faded him last year, you were 8-4 on the Run Line, which is like hitting 72-75 percent in the NFL or NBA when you factor in the positive juice.
Prediction: Mariners 8, Rangers 3
Mariners -1.5 +120 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Monday, March 31, 2008 (1-0, +$240)
Texas Rangers (0-0) at Seattle Mariners (0-0)
Line: Rangers +170; Mariners -1.5 +120.
We're getting poor value going with Erik Bedard here, who is a bit overrated, but nothing beats fading the obese Kevin Millwood, who's about two months away from showing up to the games with Dorito stains on his jersey. Millwood was 2-10 on the road last year.
Prediction: Mariners 7, Rangers 3
Mariners -1.5 +120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$240
Sunday, March 30, 2008 (1-0, +$300)
Atlanta Braves (0-0) at Washington Nationals (0-0)
Line: Braves -160; Nationals +150.
The Braves are a bit overrated, and the Nationals can't be any worse than they were last year - that's because they finished the season on a torrid streak. They're opening their new stadium, so this game means a lot more to them than it does to Atlanta.
Prediction: Nationals 4, Braves 2
Nationals +150 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$300
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Free Baseball Picks:
2008: April - May - June - July -
2007: April - May - June - July - August - Sept/Oct -
Last Week's Winnings (Aug. 18-24, 2008): 6-1 (+$1,880)
2006 Season Winnings: -$655 (+$2,640 since Aug. 19)
2007 Season Winnings: -$5,840
2008 Season Winnings (as of Aug. 25): -$6,895
Career Winnings (as of Aug. 25): -$13,340
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