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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 2, 2011



NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 5-1 (+$420)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0)
Line: Steelers by 3.

Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I was cautious last week because of the lockout, but I think things should be back to normal now. Mike Tomlin looked like he was going to cry after the loss to Washington. He's one of the most intense people on the planet, so I have to believe that he'll rebound with a victory over Andy Reid, who doesn't care about the preseason.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Mike Tomlin is 13-5 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 4-0 after preseason losses.
  • Andy Reid is 19-30 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Steelers 23, Eagles 17
    Steelers -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
    Steelers 24, Eagles 14





    Washington Redskins (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0)
    Line: Redskins by 5.5.

    Friday, 7:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Colts don't give a damn about these silly preseason games. Curtis Painter and Dan Orlovsky should combine for half-a-dozen interceptions, as Mike Shanahan is going to put extra effort into figuring out who is quarterback is going to be.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Redskins.
  • Mike Shanahan is 44-21 in preseason games.
  • Mike Shanahan is 8-5 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • Jim Caldwell is 1-8 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Redskins 31, Colts 10
    Redskins -5.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400
    Redskins 16, Colts 3






    Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
    Line: Ravens by 6.5.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Preseason games are beneath Todd Haley, who has an abysmal 1-8 record in exhibition contests. After looking terrible in Week 1, the Ravens will look to prove that they aren't completely inept. I'd bet more units if this line wasn't so high.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • Todd Haley is 1-8 in preseason games.
  • Todd Haley is 0-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • John Harbaugh is 8-5 in preseason games.
  • John Harbaugh is 2-1 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 27, Chiefs 13
    Ravens -6.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
    Ravens 31, Chiefs 13


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    chris 11-03-2011 11:03 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.125 (total posts: 1)
    137     26

    I figured it out
    Bet just the opposite of Walter, worked for me last week
    Chad 11-03-2011 10:20 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.77 (total posts: 82)
    17     23

    Well if these coaches had an emergency phone, FSU would yank EJ Manuel and BC will hit the back door cover hehe
    Satan 11-03-2011 10:02 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191)
    15     29

    I kinda went with my gut, but for the 2nd night in a row, I'm about to be screwed because the wrong QB is in the game...

    I teased FSU (-8.5) with Akron (+21.5).

    Akron's coach left their starting QB in for 3 and a half quarters while he went 2-17 (30 yards!) before FINALLY pulling him in a 28-0 game. This QB was literally so weak-armed that his OPEN receivers were covered by the time the ball got there. The coach waited til the game was comfortably out of hand before putting in the backup, and even then the play calls were to just keep running the ball straight ahead into the d-line anyways.

    In the meantime, Temple's coach last night didn't even wait til the end of the 1st quarter to give his starter the hook, and the backup picked up the offensive slack to ruin my UNDER pick...

    I think these coaches have a red "emergency" phone on the sidelines and Vegas calls in and decides who gets to play quarterback for these sh*tty teams...
    Chad 11-03-2011 09:05 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.77 (total posts: 82)
    24     13

    Well it's not even halftime and I know picking BC was a mistake. I hope you went with your gut Satan! I think I'll stick to NFL.
    dijit44 11-03-2011 05:03 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.201 (total posts: 1)
    12     13

    Pretty hard to have Cutler as a whiner and too stoic (playoff injury).
    He has shown this year, however, he can play.
    I want to see that interview with Rivers Dance and Dog Killer in the hot seat.
    Then the guy could fawn all over Tebow for his great character traits.
    Fade Walt 11-03-2011 04:45 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.211 (total posts: 45)
    282     95

    Walterfootball.com Exclusive Interviews, Gangsta 4 Sho and WALT HATER KILLA is the same person. You have identical IP addresses...I guess you didn't take your medication because you make an ignorant comment then use a different name to reply to your own comment. God, what a loser.
    McLovin 11-03-2011 04:31 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.24 (total posts: 36)
    23     14

    walterfootballsucks.com is pretty cool.

    Can't walter sue you (or at least get your site shut down) because it's literally saying that his site sucks --> which is slander.

    Good Luck brahs for staying up longer than 2 more weeks.

    Cool Website Bro
    808allday 11-03-2011 04:24 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.102 (total posts: 1)
    50     37

    3 units each

    NO -8

    Dallas -13

    New England -8

    San Diego 4.5
    Chad 11-03-2011 04:05 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.66 (total posts: 65)
    14     17

    I can't give you any proof really. Kinda like how the Saints win 62-7 one week then come back the very next week and lose to the Rams. I don't think anyone could make a statistical argument to favor the Rams yet they won soundly.

    FSU very well could beat BC 34-7 and I wouldn't be surprised, but I just have a feeling BC puts up a fight tonight with both offenses a tad out of sync from the short week.

    Satan 11-03-2011 03:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191)
    24     15

    @Chad, in regards to FSU...

    I agree that this line is probably a tad high due to last week's FSU game, but even before last week, they had beaten their last 2 ACC opponents by a combined score of 82-32, and in the meantime, it could be argued that BC is the worst team in the conference.

    Also, take a look at the O/U. Vegasinsider has 90% action on the over right now, which is a very low 45.5. For it to be that low, with such an obvious talent gap between these two teams, seems to indicate to me that they don't give BC much of a chance of scoring, like, AT ALL. LIke we're talkin less than 14 points here.

    Maybe I'm just overthinkin it, but again, I need some kinda proof that BC can score enough to stay in this game.

    Al 11-03-2011 03:17 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.66 (total posts: 1)
    21     78

    I calculated the results for week 8 at $-1,285 but Walt is showing -$1,145 for a difference of $140. Has anybody detected this discrepancy? Did I calculate incorrectly?
    Thomas 11-03-2011 02:55 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.70 (total posts: 8)
    22     14

    I checked out their site too, where is anything stolen from Walt? if you look at their picks they have like 8 different picks..
    John 11-03-2011 02:42 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.208 (total posts: 3)
    24     24

    Vince, not sure where you see any grammatical errors and there isn't anything stolen from Walt, besides where they directly criticize him. There are only so many trends/way you can analyze a game anyway.
    Chad 11-03-2011 02:39 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.66 (total posts: 65)
    18     22

    @ Satan

    I think those of us who are backing Baltimore on Sunday are doing so more for their defense and less for their offense. These teams have met. They know each other. Both regular season meetings last season were decided by a field goal, and I'm expecting more of that this weekend.

    Slugfest, tight game. I'll take the 3.5
    Vince 11-03-2011 02:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.99 (total posts: 5)
    21     20

    Okay, waltersucks.com people, I looked at your site. Not only do you have a grammatical error in almost everything you write, but a lot of what you say is stolen directly from Walter.


    2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 25


    2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


    Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


    NFL Picks - Feb. 3




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    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
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    2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
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    2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
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    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 8-8 (W2)
    Bears: 6-10 (L1)
    Bucs: 8-7 (L1)
    49ers: 8-10 (W1)
    Eagles: 8-8 (L1)
    Lions: 8-7 (L2)
    Falcons: 4-12 (L4)
    Cardinals: 11-5 (W3)
    Giants: 6-9 (L6)
    Packers: 7-11 (L1)
    Panthers: 9-7 (W4)
    Rams: 9-7 (L1)
    Redskins: 9-8 (L1)
    Vikings: 6-10 (W1)
    Saints: 7-9 (W2)
    Seahawks: 9-9 (L3)
    Bills: 6-10 (L3)
    Bengals: 8-8 (W1)
    Colts: 9-8 (L2)
    Broncos: 4-13 (L1)
    Dolphins: 9-6 (W1)
    Browns: 7-8 (W1)
    Jaguars: 7-9 (L1)
    Chargers: 7-9 (L1)
    Jets: 8-8 (L1)
    Ravens: 12-8 (W2)
    Texans: 9-7 (W1)
    Chiefs: 8-8 (W2)
    Patriots: 10-7 (W1)
    Steelers: 7-8 (W1)
    Titans: 8-8 (L1)
    Raiders: 6-10 (L1)
    Divisional: 42-50 (2011: 48-43)
    2x Game Edge: 20-18 (2011: 21-22)
    2x Psych Edge: 28-31 (2011: 29-23)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-49 (2011: 49-55)
    2x Trend Edge: 28-31 (2011: 20-24)
    Double Edge: 6-17 (2011: 11-6)
    Triple Edge: 0-1 (2011: 1-0)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2012 Season:
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