NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 6-9-1 (-$1,440)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2012): 3-13 (-$2,250)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2012): 8-7-1 (+$430)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2012): 7-9 (+$70)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2012): 7-8 (+$640)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2012): 7-7 (-$340)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2012): 9-5 (+$1,670)

NFL Picks (2012): 47-58-2 (-$1,220)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Oct. 22, 6:05 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 7 NFL Picks - Early Games



New York Jets (3-3) at New England Patriots (3-3)
Line: Patriots by 10. Total: 46.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Patriots -13.
Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6): Patriots -13.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6): Patriots -11.
Sunday, Oct. 21, 4:15 ET
Discuss Week 7 Games, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Patriots.

Another friendly reminder that Jerks of the Week for Oct. 15, 2012 is up, so just click the link. This week's jerks are jeans, clothes shopping and And1 shorts.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: The Jets impressively trampled the Colts, rushing for 253 yards. It was a great feat, as Shonn Greene showed that he could move horizontally for the first time in his professional career. Indianapolis' run defense, which was already putrid, lost Cory Redding early on and consequently had no chance because the team was in an early deficit. The Patriots, on the other hand, won't have any difficulty stopping Greene.

New England has one of the top ground defenses in the NFL, ranking fifth in the league (3.3 YPC). The team just shut down Marshawn Lynch, so I don't think it's going to have any sort of trouble containing Greene, who should be back to running on a two-dimensional plane this week.

The Patriots can be beaten downfield because their safeties suck, but Mark Sanchez just doesn't have the weapons (or the talent) to take advantage of this liability. Instead, he'll just struggle to avoid pressure, as New England has accumulated seven sacks in the past three games. Rob Ninkovich, who has two of those, has a clear-cut edge over beleaguered right tackle Austin Howard.

NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: Think Tom Brady is going to be pissed off after hearing the national media criticize him for all of his mistakes at Seattle? Brady will be in complete F-U mode against the hated Jets, so I like his chances in this matchup, even against a secondary that is still getting the job done in the wake of Darrelle Revis' injury. Antonio Cromartie has been been shutting down opposing No. 1 wideouts with ease, so he'll likely put the clamps on Brandon Lloyd. Fortunately for Brady, he has numerous other weapons, including Aaron Hernandez, who will be a week healthier.

The Jets have two issues defensively. First, they haven't been able to consistently rush the passer. That wasn't the case last week when Quinton Coples was finally producitve for the first time in his professional career, but that was against an Indianapolis front that lost right tackle Winston Justice during the game. The Patriots don't have a dominant offensive line, but they're decent and should do a solid job versus New York.

Second, the Jets can't stop the run. They surrendered at least 132 rushing yards in four of their six games this year. New England is pounding the ball extremely well with its plethora of running backs, so look for that to continue.

RECAP: I hate betting on double-digit divisional favorites this early in the season, but I'd take the Patriots if I had to. We're getting good line value with them; this spread was -13 a week ago, but it has dropped to -10 because of what happened this past weekend.

FINAL THOUGHTS: No change. I'll pass on this game.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: Jets.
A good lean on the host.

Percentage of money on New England: 66% (57,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: None.

History: Patriots have won 15 of the last 19 meetings.

History: Home Team has won 5 of the last 7 meetings.

Patriots are 39-21 ATS vs. AFC East opponents since 2001.

Tom Brady is 138-47 as a starter (108-73 ATS).

Tom Brady is 26-12 ATS off a loss (4-6 ATS as -7 or more).

Tom Brady is 18-8 ATS off a loss since 2003 (4-5 ATS as -7 or more).

Tom Brady is 17-24 ATS as a home favorite of -9 or more (7-17 ATS since November 2007).

Opening Line: Patriots -11.

Opening Total: 47.5.

Weather: .


Week 7 NFL Pick: Patriots 33, Jets 17
Patriots -10 (0 Units) -- Incorrect; $0
Over 46.5 (0 Units) -- Correct; $0
Patriots 29, Jets 26

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Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4) at Oakland Raiders (1-4)
Line: Raiders by 6. Total: 44.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Raiders -4.5.
Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6): Raiders -5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6): Raiders -5.
Sunday, Oct. 21, 4:15 ET
Discuss Week 7 Games, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Raiders.

It's time for some Migelini Madness! NFL.com sucks. They no longer have their regular GameCenter chat format; they installed a Facebook chat app instead, which really blows. This means that we won't be hearing from our favorite idiots anymore. No more pervy Aaron3619. No more stupid Migelini. No more childish Taton. No more insane Farim.

Well, I'm taking a stand against this via two methods. First, I have hundreds of unused GameCenter comments saved up, so I have enough to survive for a few more years. Second, I plan on re-creating our favorite GameCenter characters and having them troll the Facebook posters in the app. I made a Migelini account and my girlfriend, who was once harassed by Aaron3619, is the new Aaron. Feel free to re-create other ones!

Poor Migelini couldn't afford to go to Sunday's game. He was so desperate that he nearly fell for one of those e-mail scams:



Here's Migelini arguing that the Seahawks will beat New England because the Patriots don't have much of a history winning Super Bowls:



Of course, the Seahawks may have won because they were simply better than New England:



JACKSONVILLE OFFENSE: Matt Ryan struggled against the Raiders, so that means Blaine Gabbert will have similar problems, right? Well, I don't know if I'd look at it that way. Oakland had an extra week to prepare for a disinterested Atlanta team. The Raiders are still missing their starting cornerbacks, so advantage, Gabbert!

OK, maybe not. Gabbert sucks. The good news though is that everyone is healthy for the Jaguars, save for Laurent Robinson. The offensive line saw left guard Eben Britton and right tackle Cameron Bradfield miss some time, but they're both back in the lineup. They should be able to protect Gabbert from a non-existent Oakland pass rush.

Britton and Bradfield being back - try saying that five times fast - should help in the running game as well. The Raiders, despite limiting the Falcons to 30 rushing yards, are still susceptible to the run, ranking 19th against it (4.1 YPC). Oakland simply brought 110 percent at Atlanta, but it won't have nearly as much energy to contain Jones-Drew, as defensive tackle Tommy Kelly is sure to revert to sloth mode.

OAKLAND OFFENSE: The Jaguars are even worse than the Raiders are against the run. Ranking 25th in that department (4.8 YPC), they've surrendered at least 132 rushing yards to every opponent they've battled this year, save for the Colts. However, they're bound to improve in this category because they're going to have Pro Bowl outside linebacker Daryl Smith on the field for the first time all year.

Smith is going to help in coverage as well, which is a must because Jacksonville has absolutely no pass rush outside of Jeremy Mincey, who has just been OK this year. In fact, the team demoted rookie Andre Branch and free agent-to-be Terrance Knighton out of the lineup this week. Branch has been terrible, but I don't get the Knighton move at all; Tyson Alualu has been much worse of the two defensive tackles. But I guess benching him would force Gene Smith to admit that he was wrong in terms of reaching for him, and that simply can't happen, can it?

Regardless, Carson Palmer will have plenty of time in the pocket to locate his receivers. The Jaguars are used to signal-callers being able to do this. The difference though is that they're going to have their complete starting defensive unit on the field for the first time all season, so that has to count for something, right?

RECAP: I like the Jaguars a good deal for the following reasons:

1. The Raiders shot their load against the Falcons. That was their Super Bowl. They spent two weeks preparing to knock off undefeated Atlanta, but still failed to do so. Now, coming off a disappointing loss, they somehow to battle this blegh Jacksonville squad. Why would the Raiders, who have a tendency to take games off, show up for this contest?

2. Teams coming off spread losses of 25-plus tend to cover - even after a week off. The Jaguars have been hearing about how bad they are for two weeks now. They'll be playing for pride.

3. The Raiders will be an underdog in a divisional battle next week, so this is a bad spot for them.

FINAL THOUGHTS: This spread has risen to -6 because the Jaguars will be without Daryl Smith, Laurent Robinson and Dwight Lowery. It's not like the Raiders don't have their own injury issues with their two starting cornerbacks being out. With the spread reaching six, the Raiders now violate the Six and Six Rule, which states that teams finishing with six or fewer wins seldom cover the spread (23-64 against the spread since 2002). It's safe to say that Oakland will be 6-10 or worse at the end of the year, so I'm bumping this up to four units.


The Psychology. Edge: Jaguars.
The Raiders just suffered an emotional loss at Atlanta. They won't have any energy for the Jaguars.


The Vegas. Edge: Jaguars.
The Raiders hung with the Falcons, so they should be able to beat the Jaguars, right?

Percentage of money on Oakland: 68% (43,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Jaguars.

Jaguars are 13-29 ATS against non-divisional opponents since 2008.

Raiders are 15-25 ATS in October since 2001.

Raiders are 5-23 ATS at home vs. teams with losing records.

Raiders are 4-16 ATS as a favorite since 2006.

Opening Line: Raiders -5.

Opening Total: 42.5.

Weather: .


Week 7 NFL Pick: Raiders 26, Jaguars 24
Jaguars +6 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400
Over 44 (0 Units) -- Correct; $0
Raiders 26, Jaguars 23

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Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-3)
Line: Bengals by 1. Total: 45.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Steelers -3.
Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6): Bengals -1.5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6): Steelers -1.
Sunday, Oct. 21, 8:20 ET
Discuss Week 7 Games, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: None.

I can't wait until we have a whole army of former GameCenter personalities harassing people on Facebook. That's what NFL.com gets for getting rid of the GameCenter chat. My girlfriend is the new Aaron, while someone else has become another illiterate troller named Victor Valentino:



Meanwhile, the real Migelini did a great job of posting random messages in the Seahawks-Patriots GameCenter thread:



Not everyone on GameCenter falls for this, unfortunately. At least one person recognizes the Migelini brothers as trolls:



CINCINNATI OFFENSE: The Steelers will be good eventually - they just have to get everyone back from injury. This obviously includes Troy Polamalu, who's expected to be out yet again despite receiving extra rest following a Thursday night game. Pittsburgh has historically surrendered a touchdown extra when Polamalu is out of the lineup as opposed to when he's actually contributing on the football field.

The Bengals should be able to throw the ball well in this contest. After all, Matt Hasselbeck looked pretty functional on Thursday. Polamalu's absence will be felt yet again, while beleaguered Ike Taylor will continue to be abused. Andy Dalton and A.J. Green will torch Pittsburgh's secondary without much of a pass-rushing threat in non-blitz situations. The Steelers' defensive line simply isn't getting any pressure.

The Steelers have been weakest against the run; even Chris Johnson just had a solid game. However, BenJarvus Green-Ellis stinks. He's not good enough to take advantage of Pittsburgh's liability. After all, he could barely do anything versus a Cleveland stop unit that surrendered 200 rushing yards to Ahmad Bradshaw.

PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: Polamalu won't be the only key Steeler missing in this contest. Center Maurkice Pouncey also figures to be out. His absence was felt against the Titans, as replacement Doug Legursky was overwhelmed. As a result, the Steelers mustered just 42 rushing yards on 21 carries against a Titan front that had surrendered at least 97 yards on the ground in every game prior to that one. The Bengals, ranked 21st against the run (4.3 YPC), won't have to worry too much about Rashard Mendenhall coming out of the backfield.

Pouncey's absence will also be felt in pass protection. The Bengals have one of the top defensive tackles in the NFL in Geno Atkins. Atkins, along with Domata Peko, will pressure Ben Roethlisberger frequently, disrupting Pittsburgh's offense.

Of course, Big Ben will elude some of these sacks, as he always does. If he buys himself time in the pocket, he'll find open targets downfield because Cincinnati's back seven is atrocious. Rey Maualuga is one of the worst starting inside linebackers in the NFL, while the secondary is in shambles. Dre Kirkpatrick figures to be out again, meaning Terence Newman will have to start at corner, while Nate Clements will continue to play out of position at safety.

RECAP: I don't like this spread at all. The Steelers shouldn't be favored, given all of the injuries they have. At the same time though, I like Big Ben and Mike Tomlin coming off a loss, and I'm not sure the Bengals are ready to knock off a quality team yet. This one's a toss-up for me, but I'm going with the visitor.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I don't have a feel for this game, so I'll stay at zero units.

FINAL THOUGHTS II: I'm putting two units on the Steelers. They should not be an underdog against the Bengals, who perennially suck as favorites and in nationally televised games.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: Bengals.
The public is pounding the Steelers.

Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 70% (50,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

History: Steelers have won 9 of the last 11 meetings.

Ben Roethlisberger is 27-16 ATS vs. the AFC North.

Mike Tomlin is 16-10 ATS after a loss.

Ben Roethlisberger is 15-11 ATS as an underdog.

Bengals are 8-25 ATS as a favorite since 2007.

Marvin Lewis is 4-8 ATS in nationally televised games.

Opening Line: Steelers -1.5.

Opening Total: 45.5.

Weather: .


Week 7 NFL Pick: Steelers 27, Bengals 23
Steelers +1 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Over 45.5 (0 Units) -- Incorrect; $0
Steelers 24, Bengals 17

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Detroit Lions (2-3) at Chicago Bears (4-1)
Line: Bears by 6.5. Total: 46.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Bears -6.5.
Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6): Bears -6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6): Bears -6.
Monday, Oct. 22, 8:30 ET
Discuss Week 7 Games, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Bears.

This week on Monday Night Football, we're going to have Mike Tirico and Jon Gruden calling the shots instead of the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt and Matt Millen, annoying guys like Charles Davis and senile guys like Bob Greise. Here's what it would sound like if those five clowns were calling this game:

Kevin Reilly: Welcome to Chicago, a stupid place featuring a stupid game. Guys, there's something more important that we have to talk about. It's Mexican Heritage Month, so we must celebrate everything Mexicans have accomplished over the years. Emmitt, what's your favorite Mexican memory?

Emmitt: Keenan, to telled you the truth, I don't know many Mexican except for my old teammate Michael Irving, so my favorite Mexico memory when Michael score touchdown against Giant, and then he say defense do not wins championship, point wins championship. I could not agree with him more even if I wanted to.

Reilly: Umm... Emmitt, I don't think Michael Irvin was Mexican. Now, maybe if his name was Michael Sanchez or Michael Santiago, I could agree with you.

Emmitt: No, trust me, Karl. I ask Michael what he was up to one evening a few year ago, and he tolded me that he's going out for Mexican tonight. What do this mean beside the facts that he going to change his racism to Mexican?

Reilly: I don't think you can change your race on a whim like that, Emmitt. It requires lots of plastic surgery to do that. Guys, does anyone have any real, Mexican-related memories?

Tollefson: Kevin, I have to tell you that I once I had a Mexican maid growing up, and she was really hot. She couldn't speak a lick of English, but that made her even hotter because women shouldn't be allowed to speak in the first place. Whoever made it so they could speak should be rotting in hell right now.

Reilly: You're so sexist, Tolly.

Tollefson: Sexist? Are you mad? If I were sexist, I'd say women shouldn't even exist. But here I am, harping every week that women have three positive functions - sex, cooking and cleaning - and you're calling me sexist? You should be ashamed of yourself.

Griese: Yeah, he should be ashamed of himself! Wait, what were we talking about again?

Reilly: Mexicans, Griese.

Griese: Oh. Mexico doesn't stand a chance against the U.S. in this game!

Reilly: Good lord, you're out of it, Griese. Anyone else have any thoughts about Mexicans?

Millen: I had a bad experience with Mexicans, so I don't want to talk about it, Kevin.

Reilly: Really? I figured you'd say something about riding a young, Mexican stallion all night long or something.

Millen: Well, I thought I did after my Mexican kielbasa party last night. This Mexican stallion looked like 100-percent USDA Man. But a couple of hours into it, I realized that he was really a she. Guys, can you believe the horror? I was banging a female all night long! This young, Mexican stallion was really 100-percent USDA Woman.

Reilly: Oh, I feel so bad for you, Millen. And that brings us to... oh no. Charles Davis.

Davis: I have lots of great Mexican memories, Kevin. Growing up, I loved reading about Mexicans who've had a positive impact. How about Luis Miramontes, who invented the contraceptive pill? What about Victor Celorio, who built the technology for e-books? And there's Guillermo Gonzalez Camarena, who created an early color television system. How about Juan Lozano, who built the Rocket Belt? And who could forget Emilio Sacristanm who made an air-pressure powered driver? And don't forget about Benjamin Valles, who...

Reilly: Enough! You're just reading off the About.com link I sent you on Wednesday! Jesus Christ, stop slurping everyone and make some original thoughts of your own! We'll be back after a word from our local sponsors!

DETROIT OFFENSE: One of Bill Simmons' young and up-and-coming writers suggested that the Bears are the No. 1 team in the NFL right now. He argued this because their defense is so dominant. That is definitely true; Chicago's stop unit has been outstanding through six weeks even though Brian Urlacher hasn't even played that well coming off a knee injury.

The Bears are second against the pass. They limited Aaron Rodgers to just one real touchdown back in Week 2, so I think they should be able to shut down Matthew Stafford for the most part. Stafford made some strange decisions in the first three quarters against the Eagles, and if he does that again, there's no doubt that Chicago's ball-hawking secondary will turn his mistakes into turnovers.

Stafford will have to do all of the work because there's no way his team is going to be able to run the football. Chicago has permitted more than 59 rushing yards to only one opponent this season, and Detroit simply just doesn't have a strong enough ground attack to counter that.

CHICAGO OFFENSE: The Lions received a big boost last week with the return of Louis Delmas. The stud safety was a big difference-maker against the Eagles, improving a secondary that had been torched all season. Detroit still gave up some big plays, but not nearly as much as it would have allowed without Delmas.

The Lions' defensive backfield is still susceptible to the deep ball, so dealing with Jay Cutler will be difficult - unless Detroit constantly pressures him and forces him into make some poor decisions. That's certainly possible, especially if Nick Fairley continues to perform as well as he did at Philadelphia. Fairley was a monster, so he and Ndamukong Suh could definitely create some havoc inside for Chicago's beleaguered offensive line.

Like Detroit, Chicago won't be able to run the ball very well. Matt Forte and Michael Bush are healthy, but the Lions rank sixth against the run (3.4 YPC). They just limited the Eagles to only 12 rushing yards, which was an extremely impressive feat.

RECAP: I don't really have any sort of feel for this game. I'm going to take the Bears because of Cutler's track record on Monday Night Football (7-3 ATS), but I wouldn't bet on Chicago.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I think this spread is right where it needs to be. I can't really find an edge for either team, save for Cutler's success on Monday night.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: Lions.
Slight lean on the host.

Percentage of money on Chicago: 60% (101,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Bears.

History: Bears have won 12 of the last 15 meetings.

Lovie Smith is 2-5 ATS coming off a bye.

Jay Cutler is 7-3 ATS on Monday Night Football.

Opening Line: Bears -6.

Opening Total: 48.

Weather: .


Week 7 NFL Pick: Bears 31, Lions 20
Bears -6.5 (0 Units) -- Incorrect; $0
Over 46.5 (0 Units) -- Incorrect; $0
Bears 13, Lions 7



Week 7 NFL Picks - Early Games
Seahawks at 49ers, Titans at Bills, Cowboys at Panthers, Ravens at Texans, Browns at Colts, Cardinals at Vikings, Packers at Rams, Saints at Buccaneers, Redskins at Giants


Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Moneyline Underdog: Ravens +255 (0.5 Units) -- Incorrect; -$50

Moneyline Underdog: Redskins +220 (0.5 Units) -- Incorrect; -$50

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Pharma448 03-02-2013 05:41 am xxx.xxx.xxx1.43 (total posts: 1) 3     3 Very nice site! cheap cialis http://aieopxy.com/osoasvv/4.html Pharmb85 03-02-2013 05:41 am xxx.xxx.xxx03.1 (total posts: 1) 2     2 Hello! ccdbbdf interesting ccdbbdf site! I'm really like it! Very, very ccdbbdf good! BIG TIME BRO!!! 03-01-2013 07:22 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.24 (total posts: 1) 2     2 FINGER-A-FRIEND FRIDAY (or a stranger is fine. Totally acceptable for the 1st day of the new month) 1. WIZ +3 (KNICKS are overrated and the WIZ are great as a DOG, especially at HOME. I like them......wait for it......wait for it.... 2. WIZ ML +140 ("THE WRINKLE and THE SPRINKLE" or if you like another term i am "DOUBLE DIPPIN" like i banged a chick in the afternoon and treated myself to a different woman later in the evening. Or if u are into that kinky stuff....screwin your girlfriend, and then gaping her mom. I am making the NY KNICKS my B!TCHES tonight) 3. HAWKS/SUNS OVER 195 (i like the way the HAWKS are playing but do not like this as a FAV -4. Points please, on the total that is. This thing should flirt with 200) 4. CRAPTORS/PACERS UNDER 186 (i like the MILKY WAY here. Only 1 team should get to the 90's and T-DOT's has been playing pretty well. HIBBERT is back for INDY tonight so that should keep the scoring down with that big MULE patrolimg the paint) 4-PACK of PORK tonight boys. NO NHL for me even though instill like the OVER 5 in STL/EDM but too small of a board with big juice. Best of luck on this FINGER-ANYONE-FRIDAY fellas. Lets make a FINGER or 2 disappear. GL chuckster 03-01-2013 04:59 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44) 3     2 Gotta say this NFL site is beginning to get cobwebs! If it wasn't for BTB and maybe one or two others that I occasionally recognize, I believe I'd just post on Walters NBA site. Where have all the Veterans of long ago gone?? Anyway: Three team Par in NHL tonight with: Chicago and Anaheim one open spot. NBA: Three team eight point teaser with: Pacers +6.5, Clippers plus a half, Heat at Pick. Another three team teaser with: Indy/Tor game Under 193.5, Mavericks +11.5, Thunder +6.5. Good luck to all tonight. chuckster 03-01-2013 02:51 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44) 2     2 Decent enough outcome last night as I get my teaser win with the Lakers, taking care of Minnesota. I win a NHL parlay with Chicago and Boston coming through. I did mess up for a second consecutive night and picked another start up NHL par with Dallas, that did not come close to meeting my wagering requirements.... and paid the price for a second consecutive night. Got to stop doing that. Congrats to winners and GLTA. BIG TIME BRO!!! 03-01-2013 02:09 am xxx.xxx.xxx0.67 (total posts: 105) 2     2 T!TT! MILK THURSDAY re-cap WIN - VIRGINIA PICK EM (these guys played strong again at HOME and simply do not lose there often. LIGHT SKIN JOEY HARRIS went APE $HIT scoring 36. Kid has a good all-around game. 73-68 CAVS. Look for DUKE to bounce back at HOME against MIAMI this wkd) WIN - CAL -10.5 (these BAY AREA BEARS are rollin baby. Got off to another sluggish start, but started rolling towards the end of the 1st half and dropped the DONKEY D!CK in the 2nd HALF winning 64-46) LOSS - SOUTH CAROLINA +9.5 (they were playing with MIZZU for the 1st half, but theres a reason why SC is so terrible, because they are! This is exactly what i was talking about not liking to back bad teams no matter what the spread is. I should take my own advice. MIZZU destroys SC 90-68) 2-1 on my posted plays tonight, but again hitting my TOP 2 and the record for the week is 7-4-1 hope all did well tonight fellas speedy 03-01-2013 12:01 am xxx.xxx.xxx8.55 (total posts: 3) 2     2 i'm late! Lakers over 205 lakers minus 10 and over 205 in a parlay as well Gonzaga / BYU - why has the line stayed at 5...71% of the money on the zags...byu was blown out in january by 20 on the road. If vegas set a hook its deep in my belly! buying a point and taking the stormin mormons at plus 6 GL Playas BIG TIME BRO!!! 02-28-2013 09:00 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.67 (total posts: 105) 3     2 Sorry i am late. Played around in the NCAA forum too much today. I am on UNC ML and PACERS PICK EM so far but those games are well underway. Here cimes the squirt T!TT! MILK THURSDAY 1. VIRGINIA PICK EM (i wrote up about this game all day in the NCAA forum if u want my reasoning) 2. CAL -10.5 (i will buy the hook to get it at -10. CAL is rolling and avoided any hiccups on the ROAD trip in OREGON winning both games by a CUN+ hair. and i believe thats why this line isnt -13 or so. CAL should win by a bakers dozen. UTAH is not a good team and lose consistently on the road by double digits, or close to it. CAL is making a BIG TIME push to win the PAC-12. They cant take the UTES lightly. Did you say "UTES?". Yeah, UTES!!! Youths or UTES? UTES, the 2 UTES your honor! A little MY COUSIN VINNY and JOE PESCI for all you diry pricks out there!) SOUTH CAROLINA +9.5 (MIZZU is terrible on the ROAD and i know how bad SC is but i see this game like yesterdays PENN ST/MICH game. Too many points are being layed by a ROAD squad that is terrible away from HOME. MIZZU is 1-7 SU In last 8 ROAD games and 1-6 ATS in last 7 on the ROAD. Watch out fir the uspet again baby!!!!) I am just posing those 3 since i missed out in the early 2 plays. I do like ZAGA/BYU OVER 145 and STL ML in NHL to finally beat CHI. 76ers to cover 7.5 and MINNI +10 but not confident enough in them and didnt have time to do research. So just the 3 plays tonight GL fellas coalcracker 02-28-2013 07:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.131 (total posts: 42) 3     54 1 BIG PLAY TONIGHT....... MURRAY STATE -10 100000 units chuckster 02-28-2013 02:07 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44) 2     5 Much to my disgust (as a FAN of the NBA), I have to swallow down my own BILE and take the "Fakers" tonight at -2, on my ending three team teaser. This might be only the second or third time I've taken the "Fakers" all season, but the stats, trends, injuries are just to much in the favor of the Fakers tonight. I have a longer RANT on the Fakers on Walters NBA site. Good luck to all tonight. chuckster 02-28-2013 01:29 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44) 2     4 Yesterday: Lost a NHL par, (broke one of my wagering rules and paid the price.) Have an ongoing NBA teaser with first two spots coming in last night GS and Memphis...Now got to get the third. NHL today: Boston, Chicago, one open spot. Congrats to winners and GLTA. BIG TIME BRO!!! 02-28-2013 01:48 am xxx.xxx.xxx0.67 (total posts: 105) 3     2 Quick recap of WET MY WHISTLE WEDNESDAY WIN- PENN ST +13 (the FIGHTIN SANDUSKY'S were not only able to cover but these pricks won SU. They have really been playing hard the last few games. They deserved this win and got it. Good for these guys as they win on senior night. Michigan is serverly overrated btw) WIN - PISTONS +7 (they nearly turned back into the PISS-ONS as they flooded the DC area with piss beggin to give the game to the WIZ. I had the "wrinkle and the sprinkle" meaning i had ATS and ML for DETROIT so i had to seriously sweat it out down the stretch even though my BIG TIME play was on +7) WIN - GRIZZ/MAVS (did i see this right.....the MAVS score 5 3rd qtr points? And bkow a 25 pt lead??? LMDO! Ohhhhh they flooded the FED EX froum with all that $H!T that came down their legs. Total BJ (BOMB JOB) by DALLAS. My appologies to anyone on the MAVS tonight) LOSS - GEORGIA/VANDY UNDER 111 (this thing was 15-5 with under 8 mins left in the 1st half. How the hell did it end 34-22 going into half??? And then VANDY puts up 41 in the 2nd Half??? No comprende. VANDY killed it at the FT line tonight and when totals are this low, that kinda stuff cant happen. Neither can 34 (UGA) and 41 (VANDY) pts get scored in a half) LOSS - NEW MEXICO/SDSU OVER 131 (ahhhhh......i had UNM -5.5 as a personal pkay, but man this thing fell 1 pt shy as SDSU missed their last shot with 8 secs left and the game ends 70-60 LOBOS. Really awful shooting in this game by both teams. Especially SDSU from 3 pt range. 4-22? Ewwwwf. And shot under 70% from the FT line. And all we needed was 1 more pt for a push, or 1 more fg for a win. So rough) I am happy with a 3-2 night hitting my TOP 2 plays, but more angry than a 3-LEGGED NEUTERED DOG WITH PARKINSON'S DISEASE that i couldnt go 5-0 for the good peeps here in the forum. As i felt they were all solid plays and all looked promising as the games were unfolding. Anyways, hope all did well. The T!TTI MILK THURSDAY awaits in the ON-DECK CIRCLE. Hope you boys come thirsty 2morrow!!! @GMAN You are welcome fella. Glad you are outta the hole. Now STAY THE F OUTTA THERE! :) GL the rest of the way Gman 02-27-2013 10:45 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.42 (total posts: 5) 3     2 Big time nice thank u . U got me out of the hole. Keep em comin Callme dude thanks for picks dont get sensitive this is usa I couldn't bet them either be nice Maybe let us know how we can bet them callmethan 02-27-2013 10:04 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.186 (total posts: 2) 2     52 okay! I'll stop posting them F*** this forum @callmethan 02-27-2013 09:52 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.146 (total posts: 1) 3     2 How many thanks have you gotten,.....NOBODY CAN PLAY THEM Pages: 1 2 3 45 6 7 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 25


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)