NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2014

NFL Picks (Preseason 2014): 8-7-1 (-$20)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2014): 8-8 (+$110)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2014): 7-9 (-$1,150)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2014): 6-9-1 (+$130)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2014): 6-7 (+$640)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2014): 9-4-2 (+$255)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2014): 5-9-1 (-$1,230)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2014): 10-4-1 (+$330)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2014): 4-11 (+$320)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2014): 9-4 (+$760)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2014): 9-4 (-$90)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2014): 8-6 (+$90)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2014): 7-8 (+$100)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2014): 5-11 (-$1,390)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2014): 8-8 (-$130)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2014): 6-9-1 (-$1,380)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2014): 11-5 (+$100)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2014): 10-6 (+$80)

NFL Picks (2014): 136-129-7 (-$2,475)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 4, 12:40 a.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 18 NFL Picks – Sunday Games





Arizona Cardinals (11-5) at Carolina Panthers (7-8-1)
Line: Panthers by 6. Total: 38.

Walt’s Projected Line: Panthers -3.5.
Saturday, Jan. 3, 4:30 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: Panthers.

WEEK 17 RECAP: Good news-bad news, once again. The good news is that I had another winning week. The bad news is that I lost my top plays. The Patriots, whom I took for five units, suffered an outright defeat. I don’t regret the bet though; Bill Belichick has won so much money for me over the years in Week 17, even in meaningless games, that he was bound to lose at some point. It happens.

The Minnesota loss bothered me though. The Vikings were in position to cover/push with a chip-shot field goal, and kicking it would’ve made sense to put the team up a full touchdown, but Mike Zimmer foolishly went for it and failed to convert the first down. Up until that point, with two minutes remaining, the vikings outgained the Bears by 100 yards and averaged 1.5 more yards per play, yet they won by just four. That’s the story of the season for me. I’ve caught no breaks in my big-unit plays.

REMATCHES: There are two rematches in this round of the playoffs, though only one interests me. The Colts host the Bengals after demolishing them at home earlier in the season. Based on history, will this be another blowout? The data says no, believe it or not…

The previous winners in same-site, non-divisional rematches are just 13-27-1 against the spread since 2002.

Last year, this dynamic lost once, as the Seahawks failed to cover as large favorites over the Saints after clobbering them in a Monday night affair earlier in the year.

As for the other rematch, believe it or not, this is only the fourth time in the past dozen years that there will be a rubber match between two divisional foes in which the home team has won both contests. The host is just 2-2 ATS in the third battle, so I there’s nothing to be gained from looking at that small data set.

ARIZONA OFFENSE: The Cardinals are holding out hope that Drew Stanton will be able to play this week. That’s how bad it has gotten for them. You really have to feel sorry for Bruce Arians, who is doing all he can with what he has left. Carson Palmer, Andre Ellington and even Stanton missing in the lineup has made things incredibly difficult.

Ryan Lindley will probably get the nod again. I suppose it’s encouraging that he actually didn’t look totally incompetent last week. He managed to throw a couple of touchdown passes, which was nice. However, as an Arizona bettor, I was scared to death every time he dropped back to pass. My LVH SuperContest partner said it best when he compared Lindley to a guy who won an online contest for a chance to play quarterback for an NFL team, which is why he didn’t care about throwing the ball downfield as hard as he could, even when there were no Arizona receivers in the area. “Lindley’s user name is probably Favre69,” he said.

The good news is that the Panthers are the softest defense Lindley will have faced thus far. He battled the Rams for a half, and then had to go up against the Seahawks and 49ers. Carolina has improved recently because of an upgraded pass rush and changes to the secondary, but Lindley should still be able to move the chains on occasion. It’s the potential for interceptions that will hurt, especially given that Carolina took two back to the house this past Sunday.

CAROLINA OFFENSE: The Panthers have improved on this side of the ball as well. There are two apparent reasons for this. The first is Cam Newton’s health. Newton was nursing multiple injuries earlier in the season, but he’s 100 percent now. He’s running read-options and scrambling nimbly all over the place. It’s quite evident, just based on watching him.

What’s not tangible is the second reason, which is the offensive line’s better play recently. The group has managed to keep Newton upright and blast open lanes for Jonathan Stewart. However, it’s fair to be skeptical, given Carolina’s previous four opponents: New Orleans, Tampa Bay, Cleveland and Atlanta. All four teams have horrific defenses, and the Panthers were even lucky enough to avoid Gerald McCoy for the most part. It’s going to be completely different going up against Calais Campbell and Dan Williams.

Having said that, the Panthers have the personnel to exploit Arizona’s defense. The Cardinals blitz a ton, so Newton could have plenty of opportunities to step up in the pocket and scramble for big gains, much like Colin Kaepernick did last week. Arizona also sucks at defending tight ends, which is bad news because Greg Olsen is having a great season.

RECAP: The overreaction to this game is tremendous. Everyone just saw what the Panthers did to the favored Falcons on a national broadcast, and now you have talking heads like Tony Dungy saying that Carolina is THE team to challenge the Seahawks in Seattle! Uhh… didn’t the Panthers just barely beat Johnny Manziel, Brian Hoyer and the Browns at home? Cleveland even led in that Week 16 game during the fourth quarter. Why can’t Arizona do the same thing?

I like the Cardinals. This spread is off because of the public overreaction. However, I’m not comfortable betting multiple units on Ryan Lindley making his first playoff start. Quarterbacks getting the nod for the first time in the postseason have a terrible track record of covering (11-22 ATS since 2002), but I think this is a special case because we’re getting nearly a touchdown with an equal team.

I’ll be posting NFL Picks all day Wednesday. Follow me at @walterfootball for updates.

FINAL THOUGHTS: There’s mixed sharp action on this game. They took it up to -6.5 in the first place, but there was buy-back at +6.5 from other professional bettors. The spread is now +5.5 everywhere, except for Bovada, where you can get +6. It’s telling that the squarest book on the Web wants people to not bet the Panthers. I still like the Cardinals, but only for a little bit.





The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: Cardinals.
I’m shocked there isn’t more money on the Panthers.
  • Percentage of money on Carolina: 58% (95,000 bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Opening Line: Panthers -4.5.
  • Opening Total: 39.
  • Weather: .


    Week 18 NFL Pick: Panthers 16, Cardinals 13
    Cardinals +6 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
    Under 38 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
    Panthers 27, Cardinals 16






    Baltimore Ravens (10-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5)
    Line: Steelers by 3. Total: 46.

    Walt’s Projected Line: Steelers -5.
    Saturday, Jan. 3, 8:00 ET
    Comment on this game

    The Game. Edge: TBA.

    VEGAS UPDATE: The books destroyed the public in the early Sunday games, winning with the Bills, Chiefs and Buccaneers, and only losing with the Colts. They gave back money later in the day though, as the Packers and Steelers covered. I was wondering if some mobster gave Martavis Bryant a suitcase full of money to tackle Antonio Brown on that spread-covering touchdown.

    Once again, follow @walterfootball for updates.

    HATE MAIL: Another week, another stack of hate mails. These are from the comment boards below:

    Wassup Wally Chump-insky, Howzit hangin beaver balls? Stop using the 4 unit play which is your jinx. The Vikings and Cardinals have been kind to the spreads this year. Are you just trying to defy the odds? Should’ve made em 5 unit plays for the win. Oh man, Jags? Browns? Redskins? Lucky if we win 1/3. C’mon turtledick I’m waiting for your next 7unit pick of the month.

    How does 2/3 sound?

    Hey Walter what’s your excuse for the Cowboys game this week? Cant wait to read it.

    Stupid post. I just didn’t think they’d play this hard.

    @Walter So last week the Colts didnt try hard enough and this week the Cowboys tried too hard. Lol what?

    Lot of derp posts by those idiots. I took a small wager on the Redskins on the assumption that the Cowboys might rest their starters or take this game easy. They didn’t. Oh well. The only reason they’re making a big stink about it is because they are insecure.

    Wassup Walterfudd, you ugly porcupine. Did you know that in Asian countries the number 4 is like the kiss of death? You jinxed the Vikes today but fortunately you changed the play on the Cards to 2. Call it superstition but you might want to avoid this number the rest of the season. C’mon turtledick, a winning January pick of the month is in order.

    So you’re saying my January Pick of the Month shouldn’t be a 4-unit play?

    Don’t @#$@ing tell me that the Cowboys are overrated when it is clear you will never give them any credit no matter what they do. That just makes you seem stupid.

    I’m glad it only makes me SEEM stupid!


    Check out Walter Football's LockerDome poll on LockerDome

    PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: Disaster appeared to strike in the second half of the season finale when Le’Veon Bell went down with what looked like a nasty knee injury. It turned out to just be a hyperextension, but it could cause Bell to miss this contest. His status appeared to be up in the air until the team signed Ben Tate on Tuesday.

    Tate is not Bell, obviously, so it goes without saying that the latter’s absence would be huge. Bell has done so much for the offense this year; not only is he a great runner and receiver out of the backfield, but he’s fantastic in terms of protection in obvious passing situations. The Ravens, who will be welcoming back Haloti Ngata, have a fierce pass rush that will get to Ben Roethlisberger. Not having Bell in the backfield would spoil Big Ben’s protection.

    Giving Roethlisberger time in the pocket will of course be key, given how bad Baltimore’s secondary is. The Ravens have had major issues covering receivers ever since losing Jimmy Smith to a season-ending injury. I have no idea how they’re going to contain Antonio Brown and the other Pittsburgh receivers, so they better hope their front seven can rattle Roethlisberger.

    BALTIMORE OFFENSE: The Ravens haven’t exactly played like the 1999 Rams or 2007 Patriots recently. They couldn’t even score on a Cleveland defense that the Bengals obliterated in a crucial Week 17 finale, though they finally caught fire at the very end of the game. The problem has been the offensive line, which has been missing both of its tackles. Ricky Wagner is done for the year, but Eugene Monroe could suit up; John Harbaugh told the media that there’s a chance his blind-side protector will be able to play.

    Monroe being on the field would be huge. The Steelers’ pass rush has been hot lately, racking up nine sacks in their previous two games. Monroe could help keep the Pittsburgh defenders at bay, allowing Flacco to have enough time to find the two Smiths downfield amid a Pittsburgh secondary that hasn’t been able to cover very well this season. Monroe would also be able to help blow open running lanes for Justin Forsett, who cooled off prior to the fourth quarter last week. The Steelers have the NFL’s 23rd-ranked run defense in terms of YPC, so Forsett will have a solid performance if he gets his left tackle back.

    On the flip side, if Monroe doesn’t play, I suspect the Ravens will have immense issues moving the football. The hot Pittsburgh pass rush will get to the struggling Flacco, who won’t be able to rely on much of a running game. Baltimore will still score some points because the Steelers can’t cover, but there will be plenty of punts from this offense.

    RECAP: Both teams have injury question marks, so I’ll revisit this pick later in the week – follow me @walterfootball – but for now, I’m leaning toward the Ravens. I’m not liking the lack of value we’re getting in this game, but the Steelers are in a bad spot, as they’ve struggled historically as favorites coming off victories. This is the game I have the least opinion on – I was hoping to get Ravens +5 or +6 – but that may change later in the week.

    FINAL THOUGHTS: It looked like the Cardinals were going to cover until Ed Hochuli, Phantom P.I., made some terrible calls throughout the second half. Hopefully the officiating won’t be as brutal in this contest. I like the Ravens a little bit; the sharps apparently agree, as this spread hasn’t moved off -3 despite the public betting the Steelers. I wish Eugene Monroe were playing – this would be a larger bet if he were – but not enough is being made about the Steelers missing Le’Veon Bell.





    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: Ravens.
    A slight amount of action on the Steelers.
  • Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 62% (100,000 bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • History: Home Team has won 20 of the last 27 meetings (Flacco 4-8 vs. Roethlisberger).
  • John Harbaugh is 0-6 ATS in divisional revenge games.
  • Steelers are 31-13 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Ben Roethlisberger is 39-19 ATS vs. the AFC North.
  • Opening Line: Steelers -3.
  • Opening Total: 47.
  • Weather: .


    Week 18 NFL Pick: Steelers 21, Ravens 20
    Ravens +3 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
    Under 46 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
    Ravens 30, Steelers 17




    Week 18 NFL Picks – Sunday Games







    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.


  • Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 18 NFL Picks – Sunday Games



    2024 NFL Mock Draft - March 26


    NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22


    Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19


    NFL Picks - Feb. 12




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    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 18, 2023): 10-6 (-$415)
    Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 3-1 (+$460)
    Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 1-1 (-$40)
    Last Week Over-Under (Week 18, 2023): 7-9 ($0)
    Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 18, 2023): -$15

    2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-4, 20.0% (-$2,480)

    2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-135-7, 50.4% (-$7,735)
    2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 43-38-3, 53.1% (+$520)
    2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 28-27-1, 50.9% (-$3,110)
    2023 Season Over-Under: 139-128-3, 52.1% (+$100)
    2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,630

    1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
    2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
    2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
    2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
    2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
    2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
    2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
    2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
    2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
    2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
    2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
    2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
    2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
    2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
    2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
    2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
    2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
    2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
    2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
    2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
    2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
    2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
    2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
    2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

    2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
    2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
    2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
    2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
    2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
    2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
    2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
    2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
    2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
    2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
    2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
    2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
    2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
    2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
    2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
    2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
    2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
    2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
    2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
    2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
    2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
    2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
    2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
    2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
    2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
    2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
    2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
    2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
    2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
    2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
    2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
    2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
    2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
    2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
    2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
    2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
    2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
    2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
    2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
    2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
    2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
    2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
    2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
    2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
    2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
    2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
    2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
    2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
    2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
    2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
    2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
    2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
    2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
    2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
    2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
    2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
    2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
    2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
    2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
    2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
    2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
    2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
    2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
    2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
    2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
    2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
    2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
    2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
    2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
    2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
    2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
    2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
    Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
    Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
    Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 8-9
    Bears: 11-4
    Bucs: 6-11
    49ers: 10-7
    Eagles: 7-7
    Lions: 9-8
    Falcons: 8-9
    Cardinals: 8-9
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 5-12
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 8-9
    Redskins: 14-3
    Vikings: 6-9
    Saints: 10-7
    Seahawks: 7-9
    Bills: 9-7
    Bengals: 12-5
    Colts: 7-10
    Broncos: 9-6
    Dolphins: 6-11
    Browns: 11-5
    Jaguars: 13-4
    Chargers: 8-9
    Jets: 8-9
    Ravens: 11-6
    Texans: 5-12
    Chiefs: 5-10
    Patriots: 7-9
    Steelers: 11-6
    Titans: 9-8
    Raiders: 6-9
    Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)
    2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)
    2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)
    2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
    2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)
    2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)
    Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)
    Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
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