This is an 'invititational' PGA Tour event in the same genre of
Bay Hill (Arnold Palmer Invitational), and Muirfield Village (hosted by Jack
Nicklaus). What that means is that it's a smaller field (120), than your
typical PGA Tour event.
For fantasy roster construction, that's an important
consideration because getting a 6/6 (players on your roster to make the weekend
cut), will trend slightly higher than your average week. This has a bearing on
what type of fantasy game you enter in (whether it be tournament style, or
50-50 style). Either way, you're probably going to need a 6/6 to have a chance.
Last week, my roster went 6/6 and I easily cashed on the 50-50, but my
tournament roster (a 148 player satellite tournament paying only 5 places),
barely missed, as I came in 9th). I also had the same lineup entered in 2 other
contests which both cashed... One was a weekend double up, and the other was an
8-1 payout (where the same lineup was only entered for the Thursday round).
The Genesis Open features a very strong field (TOP 10 players in
the world are all entered), so, it plays similar to a major. This is important
to understand when it comes to betting because just about any one of the top 40
players in the field could win this event. In roster construction, this typically
favors to avoid using a STARS & SCRUBS approach as you'll usually be able
to find good players with a more even distribution of salary range. This also
creates some unique opportunities because "ownership" of some
typically strong players could be way down based on recent form. An example
would be players like Jordan Spieth (who was highly owned at Pebble Beach 2
weeks ago, and Tony Finau (who was highly owned at Torrey Pines but then missed
the cut), will likely be very low owned this week). So, rostering Spieth or
Finau could provide more leverage in tournament style entries for those willing
to take the risk.
The other side of that are the more chalky entries (like John
Rahm, #1 player in the world, and Patrick Cantlay). Those high salary players are
likely to do well, but 'paying up' for them may not provide any additional
benefits if it means that you then have to fill out your roster by dumpster
diving into scrub territory.
Riviera had had a history of repeat success. Players in the
field like Bubba Watson, Adam Scott, Max Homa & others have multiple wins
here &/or have done well on a consistent basis (making cuts and top 20
finishes). Oddly ~ there have been comparisons to players who have also done
well in The Masters. Watson & Scott are both Masters winners (as was the
case with Tiger Woods & Phil Mickleson. Neither Woods nor Mickleson are
playing, but the Riviera~Augusta correlation is something to consider).
Riviera are poa annua greens (which are tricky to a lot of
players). This oddly means that great putters don't often do well here. Instead
~ putting tends to equal out because even good putters might lose some shots to
the field. Ball striking and position off the tee are more key as the course
plays long and players are generally facing more long iron shots into greeens
that they are on typical weeks that aren't majors.
So that's the tournament in a nutshell. I will be posting my
tournament picks later this afternoon.