NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 6-9-1 (-$1,440)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2012): 3-13 (-$2,250)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2012): 8-7-1 (+$430)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2012): 7-9 (+$70)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2012): 7-8 (+$640)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2012): 7-7 (-$340)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2012): 9-5 (+$1,670)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2012): 7-5-1 (+$420)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2012): 6-8 (-$450)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2012): 8-6 (+$240)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2012): 8-6 (+$730)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2012): 6-7-1 (+$110)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2012): 5-9-2 (-$1,080)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2012): 8-7-1 (-$420)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2012): 8-8 (-$1,110)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2012): 5-11 (-$1,480)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2012): 11-5 (+$410)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2012): 7-9 (-$1,150)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2012): 2-2 (-$360)

NFL Picks (2012): 128-141-7 (-$5,360)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 13, 11:55 a.m. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 19 NFL Picks – Sunday Games

Baltimore Ravens (11-6) at Denver Broncos (13-3)
Line: Broncos by 9. Total: 43.5.
Walt’s Projected Line: Broncos -9.
Saturday, Jan. 12, 4:30 ET
Discuss Playoff Games, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Broncos.

Week 19 NFL Picks will be posted all day Wednesday, per the new schedule. I’ve received mix reaction to this, so voice your opinion via e-mail or in the comment box below. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.

WEEK 18 RECAP: I lost units (again), but I’d say I handicapped three out of the four games correctly. The Redskins were running away with that game until Robert Griffin got hurt. He couldn’t plant his foot after that, which was a bit of a problem.

I legitimately lost the Indianapolis pick, which was my top play. The Colts played the Ravens pretty evenly – they had the same amount of yardage, while Indianapolis won the time of possession by 16 minutes – but I’m kicking myself for not dropping the unit total after Bruce Arians was sent to the hospital. The replacement coordinator called the game super conservatively in the red zone, which cost the Colts because they settled for too many threes instead of sevens. Had Arians been OK, I’m confident Indianapolis would have covered. Mediocre Baltimore is definitely not seven points better as a host than the Colts.

Now, it’s time to review what the media overreacted to last week:

1. This week, the major overreaction is to the Texans. Everyone’s giving up on them after two losses.

Fading the media is now 13-4-1 since Week 12. There are two things the media’s overreacting to this time:

1. The Texans dominated the Bengals but only won by six, so they’re getting a ton of flak. No one’s giving them a chance against New England, yet they have the same record.

2. Everyone is just assuming the Seahawks are going to beat the Falcons. Michael Wilbon said that Atlanta winning would be a surprise. Umm… aren’t the Falcons favored?

As for Vegas, the sportsbooks lost a bit again, as all four favorites covered (though the Colts were a public dog). Almost every teaser cashed. E-mailer Patrick S. sent me this link detailing how much Vegas has lost this year.

HATE MAIL: Another week, another stack of hate mails. Here are some brief ones from my picks page comment board:

This is the BOTTOM LINE (-$5,360)

Well, the incomplete bottom line. Because you could add my 2011 losses and say that I’m $7,000 in the hole.

And now that it’s the postseason, Walt is still stuck in the shop with his football picks. Glad I faded him though. Sure hope you’re around doing this next year Walt cause I can’t wait to be a millionaire. Wish I would have seen this before the NFL season started.

Hey, there’s always next year. Anyone who reads this Web site can just fade me and make millions. All I ask is that you pass this along to your friends.

Walt’s butt must hurt as bad as RGIII’s knee after today.

Actually, my butt doesn’t hurt very much after a night of kielbasa man sex. You all should try it.

If you like money… Then do yourself a favor and go against Walt on his “favorite pick of the week.”

Is there anyone who doesn’t like money? If so, I’d like to meet them and introduce them to my Web site. They could lose money with my picks and be totally OK with it.

‘I still love the Colts.’ overrated team, which an inflated record from a chump schedule. You can have them. Looking forward to your rant in your recap, and seeing who you assign blame to for screwing up that pick, not just ATS, but outright. Ravens lost turnover battle, gave up more pens and penalty yardage… still won by 15. Why? Because they’re the better team. Good job, rocket scientist.

Luckily for me, there were a number of people I could have blamed for my wrong pick. It was pretty easy to come up with someone to blame, so it was a good day.

Also, pgup9’s mom allowed him to use the computer this week, so he sent me hate mail. I once again tried trolling him, but he didn’t respond, quite possibly because his mom only gave him 30 minutes on the family PC.

DENVER OFFENSE: Ray Lewis is back and doing crazy dances. The Ravens just limited the Colts to nine points. They have a legitimate chance of stopping Peyton Manning, right?

A chance? Maybe a small chance. But it’s probably not happening – because it never has. Manning is a perfect 8-0 straight up and against the spread versus Baltimore dating back to 2004 – which includes 2-0 in the postseason. He’s outscored them by an average margin of 26-10 and won both playoff matchups by more than the listed spread.

Manning went 17-of-28 for 204 yards and a touchdown in a blowout victory at Baltimore in Week 15. Those numbers could have been much better. Early on, Manning overthrew Demaryius Thomas in the end zone and then Thomas paid him back with a dropped first down. After that, a Manning pass fell incomplete on a 3rd-and-1 because he and Joel Dreesseen had a miscommunication. The Broncos were still able to establish a huge lead, so Manning didn’t have to throw much in the second half.

The Broncos didn’t need Manning to be perfect in that contest because they gashed the Ravens on the ground. Knowshon Moreno compiled 118 yards and a touchdown on just 22 carries, which includes one play where he impressively leapt over Ed Reed. Moreno figures to have a similar output; Vick Ballard nearly reached the century mark on Sunday.

BALTIMORE OFFENSE: While Manning played well in that Week 15 affair, Joe Flacco struggled. In fact, he was downright anemic. He was just 7-of-15 for 78 yards, a lost fumble and a pick by halftime, which was returned 98 yards by Chris Harris for a touchdown. Flacco, who telegraphed that throw, just looked completely lost. He padded his stats with junk-time yardage at the end, but that’s irrelevant. What’s important is that he was woeful at home – which is where he’s usually at his best. If he couldn’t excel against the Broncos at home, how is he going to succeed at Denver?

Flacco won’t have a chance in this contest because the Broncos are going to pressure him into oblivion. Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil have a monstrous advantage over Bryant McKinnie and Michael Oher. Flacco didn’t really have to worry about much of a pass rush versus Indianapolis, and he was able to complete big plays by torching any Colt corner not named Vontae Davis. That won’t work at Denver because he’ll be facing a much more talented and deeper secondary.

Ray Rice also has a tough matchup. Even if he manages to hold on to the football, he’ll have a tough time running against a Broncos’ stop unit ranked fourth versus ground attacks. Rice managed just 38 yards on 12 carries in the prior matchup.

RECAP: The Broncos are my favorite side of the week, which means there will be many people playing the Ravens. Well, for Baltimore to cover, it would mean it would do so for the first time against Manning since 2002.

Manning owns the Ravens. He routinely beats them soundly in the regular season and playoffs. Plus, this is the first time Manning has the better defense on his side. Baltimore just surrendered 400-plus yards of offense to a rookie quarterback playing behind a crap offensive line. It has no chance against Manning and his superior supporting cast.

SURVIVOR PICK: If you’re still alive in my survivor pool, I prefer Denver over New England.

FINAL THOUGHTS: This is still my top pick, so you’ll probably want to bet on the Ravens. In all seriousness, I expect Manning to improve to 9-0 straight up and against the spread versus Baltimore when this contest is over.

The Psychology. Edge: Broncos.

The Ravens know that Peyton Manning owns them.

The Vegas. Edge: Ravens.
Lots of action on the Broncos early on.

Percentage of money on Denver: 63% (108,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 14-22 ATS since 2003 (11-17 since 2005).

John Fox is 7-3 ATS in the playoffs.

Peyton Manning is 8-0 SU and ATS vs. Ravens since 2004 (2-0 in playoffs).

Peyton Manning is 4-10 ATS in the playoffs (excluding games against terrible QBs: Jake Plummer, Trent Green, Rex Grossman).

Peyton Manning is 3-6 SU vs. 3-4 Defenses in the playoffs (6-4 SU vs. 4-3 Defenses).

Opening Line: Broncos -9.5.

Opening Total: 45.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 20 degrees. Light wind.

Week 19 NFL Pick: Broncos 30, Ravens 13
Broncos -9 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$330
Under 43.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Survivor Pick (16-2)
Ravens 38, Broncos 35
NFL Game Recaps

Green Bay Packers (12-5) at San Francisco (11-4-1)
Line: 49ers by 3. Total: 45.
Walt’s Projected Line: 49ers -3.
Saturday, Jan. 12, 8:00 ET
Discuss Playoff Games, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Packers.

I have some exciting news. The Real John Moss is back! He has a new Facebook account, but check out a post of his:

Sexing womans? I have a picture of his girlfriend here:

The Real John Moss also posted a prediction for the upcoming 49ers-Packers game:

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: The final numbers of the Week 1 Packers-49ers game are very misleading. For example, the final score of 30-22 isn’t indicative of how much of a blowout it was because Green Bay scored a pair of fourth-quarter garbage-time touchdowns (one being a punt return that shouldn’t have counted because the replacement officials screwed up) to make the count look closer than it should have been. Also, Aaron Rodgers went 30-of-44 for 303 yards, two touchdowns and a pick, but he did not have a good game. He was constantly running for his life because his offensive line couldn’t protect him, which would explain why he completed just two passes longer than 25 yards.

The Packers’ blocking is still an issue. In fact, it’s actually worse now than it was back then. Right tackle Bryan Bulaga wasn’t very good, but he wasn’t terrible either. He’s out, and he’s been replaced by Don Barclay, who’s a human turnstile.

There are a couple of things in Green Bay’s favor this time around, however. First, Randall Cobb has become a big part of the offense. He’s been a tremendous safety valve for Rodgers, negating the pass rush because he’s such a potent intermediate target, capable of going the distance on any touch. Second, Justin Smith, one of the top defensive linemen in the NFL, tore his triceps in a Monday night affair versus the Patriots. He’s practicing and willing to play Saturday night, but keep in mind that one doctor said that he’d need 12 weeks of recovery time. It hasn’t even been half that amount yet, so Smith will undoubtedly be limited.

If that’s the case, Rodgers will have a much easier time in the pocket. The Packers will also run toward that side, as Aldon Smith can be exposed versus the rush if Justin isn’t assisting him.

SAN FRANCISCO OFFENSE: The 49ers didn’t need Colin Kaepernick’s big arm or mobility to beat the Packers the first time. Alex Smith did just fine, going a near-perfect 20-of-26 for 211 yards and two touchdowns. The Packers just seemed so discombobulated in pass defense. They had so many blown coverages, it was ridiculous.

That won’t happen again. I’m not saying Kaepernick won’t have success, but he won’t have a similarly easy time picking apart the Packers for two reasons. One is that I firmly believe that Green Bay wasn’t entirely focused for that previous contest because it had to battle the Bears just four days after that. As we saw all year, favorites struggled prior playing on Thursday night. Two is that the Packers are completely healthy on defense. Clay Matthews and Charles Woodson are back. They were on the field in the previous matchup, but young defenders like Casey Hayward and Sam Shields weren’t a factor whatsoever. They’ve blossomed and will help make sure their team doesn’t have nearly as many blown coverages.

If I’m making it sound like the 49ers won’t move the chains at all, then that wasn’t my intention. It won’t be a repeat of last year’s NFC Championship. The Packers are still susceptible to the run, ranking 24th against it (4.46 YPC). I know that they just put the clamps down on Adrian Peterson, but they didn’t have to worry about Joe Webb beating them downfield. Kaepernick is obviously a much greater aerial threat. Plus, he’s pretty potent on the ground as well, so Green Bay will have to account for that.

RECAP: I’m very torn on this game. I can make a strong case for both teams…

For the Packers: Betting against Rodgers is stupid. He has great spread records for a reason. Plus, he won’t have to worry about Justin Smith all the time. On the other side, Kaepernick is making his first playoff start. Quarterbacks seeing the field for the initial time in the postseason have a dubious track record as home favorites, going 3-10 against the spread since 2002.

For the 49ers: There’s a chance Smith could be healthy. If so, Rodgers won’t have any sort of pass protection. More importantly, San Francisco has circadian rhythms on its side. West Coast teams always play better at night because the human body tends to shut down between 8 and 10 p.m. This is a 5 p.m. local kickoff for the 49ers, who are a dominant 32-15 against the spread in night affairs dating back to 1989.

I don’t know whom to go with. As the saying goes, “when in doubt, take the points.”

FINAL THOUGHTS: I’m still torn on this game, but I am teasing the Packers, as you can see on the Sunday page.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: 49ers.

The Packers are a public dog.

Percentage of money on Green Bay: 70% (84,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Packers.

Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 14-22 ATS since 2003 (11-17 since 2005).

Aaron Rodgers is 43-23 ATS since 2009 (8-4 ATS as a favorite of 12+).

Aaron Rodgers is 22-11 ATS on the road as long as he’s not favored by 6.5 or more points.

Aaron Rodgers is 10-6 ATS as an underdog.

49ers are 32-15 ATS as favorites in night games since 1989.

Opening Line: 49ers -3.

Opening Total: 45.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 50 degrees. Light wind.

Week 19 NFL Pick: Packers 23, 49ers 20
Packers +3 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Under 45 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
49ers 45, Packers 31

Week 19 NFL Picks – Sunday Games
Seahawks at Falcons, Texans at Patriots

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 19 NFL Picks – Sunday Games

2024 NFL Mock Draft - April 23

NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22

Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19

NFL Picks - Feb. 12

SUB MENU

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 18, 2023): 10-6 (-$415)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 3-1 (+$460)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 1-1 (-$40)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 18, 2023): 7-9 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 18, 2023): -$15

2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-4, 20.0% (-$2,480)

2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-135-7, 50.4% (-$7,735)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 43-38-3, 53.1% (+$520)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 28-27-1, 50.9% (-$3,110)
2023 Season Over-Under: 139-128-3, 52.1% (+$100)
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,630

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 8-9	Bears: 11-4	Bucs: 6-11	49ers: 10-7
Eagles: 7-7	Lions: 9-8	Falcons: 8-9	Cardinals: 8-9
Giants: 7-9	Packers: 5-12	Panthers: 8-9	Rams: 8-9
Redskins: 14-3	Vikings: 6-9	Saints: 10-7	Seahawks: 7-9

Bills: 9-7	Bengals: 12-5	Colts: 7-10	Broncos: 9-6
Dolphins: 6-11	Browns: 11-5	Jaguars: 13-4	Chargers: 8-9
Jets: 8-9	Ravens: 11-6	Texans: 5-12	Chiefs: 5-10
Patriots: 7-9	Steelers: 11-6	Titans: 9-8	Raiders: 6-9

Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)	2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)	2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)	2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)	2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)	Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)	Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)

2024 NFL Mock Draft

NFL Hot Press: 2024 NFL Draft Week Rumors – Tuesday

2024 NFL Mock Draft – Round 1 (1-16) – Charlie Campbell

2024 NFL Draft Prospect Rankings

2024 NFL Mock Draft: Changes among defensive players in the top 10 – April 23

2024 NFL Mock Draft – Round 7 (221-257) – Charlie Campbell

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2012

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