NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2020

NFL Picks (Week 1, 2020): 9-6-1 (+$1,090)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2020): 13-3 (+$1,910)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2020): 12-4 (+$1,230)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2020): 6-7-2 (-$675)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2020): 9-5 (+$1,770)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2020): 5-9 (-$2,365)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2020): 6-7-1 (-$580)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2020): 9-5 (+$1,210)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2020): 3-11 (-$1,945)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2020): 5-8-1 (-$825)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2020): 3-11 (-$1,935)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2020): 10-6 (+$2,395)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2020): 6-9 (-$235)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2020): 10-6 (+$1,330)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2020): 6-9-1 (+$210)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2020): 11-5 (+$1,140)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2020): 8-7-1 (+$985)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2020): 1-5 (-$1,430)

NFL Picks (2020): 132-123-7 (+$3,280)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 16, 12:40 a.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 19 NFL Picks – Late Games








Los Angeles Rams (11-6) at Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Line: Packers by 6.5. Total: 45.5.

Saturday, Jan. 16, 4:35 PM


The Matchup. Edge: None.

WEEK 18 RECAP: The first round of the playoffs was a disaster, and it was also the strangest set of results I’ve ever seen. We were hurt by a Colts back-door cover, which was fine until we were somehow beaten by a quarterback with a broken thumb. The following day, the Titans blew a 10-0 lead and failed to cover despite the game being horribly mispriced. And finally, the Steelers decided that they could easily beat the coach-less Browns, so they didn’t bother to try hard. The Browns, missing a coach and many starters, won in a blowout. The result of this was 1-5 (-$1,430).

My Week 18 NFL Picks will be posted all day Tuesday. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

By the way, if you want to support this site, check out my new book!

A Safety and a Field Goal

In this book, I talk about the top NFL Draft busts, and what would’ve happened had each team gone a different route. Also, I discuss why Roger Goodell has banned us from the NFL Combine.

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: The Packers were by far my favorite to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl ahead of Week 17. That was because they were able to get Corey Linsley back from injury. We saw Green Bay dominate the Titans with a mostly intact offensive line. I expected this sort of play to continue for them heading into the playoffs.

Unfortunately, David Bakhtiari was lost for the year with a torn ACL. This was a horrendous turn of events, as Green Bay will now have to traverse the playoffs without two offensive linemen. The Packers could still win the Super Bowl, but it’ll be much more difficult for them to do so, especially in matchups like this one. The Rams, of course, have the best defensive line in the NFL. Assuming Aaron Donald plays, Los Angeles will dominate in the trenches and make things very difficult for Aaron Rodgers.

Meanwhile, the Rams have some elite defensive backs to shut down Rodgers’ weapons. Jalen Ramsey being on Davante Adams will be an intriguing matchup. Adams, like D.K. Metcalf last week, will win some of the battles, but he won’t be open on most occasions, so Rodgers will have to look elsewhere. This is where the Packers will regret not spending their first-round pick on a receiver like Chase Claypool, Michael Pittman or Tee Higgins.

LOS ANGELES OFFENSE: If the Rams had a healthy quarterback, they’d have a good chance to win this game. However, it’s unclear if either quarterback will be able to play. John Wolford – or Wolflord, if you prefer – suffered a neck injury in the opening quarter last week, while Jared Goff is still dealing with his broken thumb. Goff, continuing to be the luckiest quarterback in the NFL, was very fortunate to beat the Seahawks.

Either quarterback will have his work cut out for him in this matchup, especially if the injured Cooper Kupp isn’t available. Kupp’s potential absence will make things difficult for the Rams to move the chains because Jaire Alexander will erase Robert Woods. Green Bay has an excellent pass defense that will limit Los Angeles’ aerial attack.

That said, Cam Akers could have success on the ground. The Packers have been vulnerable to rushing attacks, and Akers was terrific in last week’s victory over the Seahawks.

RECAP: This is a difficult game to handicap. This is a high spread, so with the Packers being down two offensive linemen, they’re definitely vulnerable to a back-door cover because they won’t be able to score as much as they normally would. If the Rams were healthier, I’d pick them to cover.

However, there are two major things going against the visitor. First, the Rams have a pair of injured quarterbacks, and backing an injured signal-caller is seldom a profitable idea, despite what happened last week. Second, it’s going to be windy and in the mid-20s in Lambeau this Saturday evening. The Rams, of course, are a warm-weather dome team, so these conditions will be very difficult for them.

Our Week 19 NFL Picks will be posted all day Tuesday. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The Packers picked up Jared Veldheer to replace David Bakhtiari, but he won’t be eligible to play until the NFC Championship. That’s some bad news for the Packers. Here’s some good news for the Rams: Not only did Aaron Donald say that he feels great; Jared Goff practiced fully on Wednesday. Cooper Kupp missed practice, but I’m a bit more optimistic about the Rams today. I’m still no units on the Packers though.

SATURDAY NOTES: More good news for the Rams: This game won’t be as cold as initially anticipated. It’ll be in the low-to-mid 30s instead of the mid 20s, which is important for a warm-weather dome team. More bad news for the Rams: Cooper Kupp and David Edwards failed to practice all week, so they both could be out. I’m still very torn on this game.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps were silent on this game all week, but they pounced on the Packers at the very end. I think this is because of all the Rams’ injuries. The Rams won’t have Cooper Kupp, David Edwards and some role players on defense. Plus, don’t forget about Jared Goff’s potentially problematic thumb. This line has risen to -7 everywhere. I’m still not interested in betting this game because of the Packers’ offensive line issues, but if you want to bet Green Bay, -6.5 -120 at Bookmaker is the best line.






The Motivation. Edge: Packers.
It’s going to be windy and in the mid-20s in this game.


The Spread. Edge: Rams.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Packers -6.
Westgate Advance Point Spread: .
Computer Model: Packers -5.
DVOA Spread: .




The Vegas. Edge: Rams.
Slight lean on the Packers.

Percentage of money on Green Bay: 64% (31,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • Aaron Rodgers is 108-73 ATS since 2009.
  • Opening Line: Packers -7.
  • Opening Total: 46.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 32 degrees. Light wind.



  • Week 19 NFL Pick: Packers 24, Rams 16
    Packers -6.5 -120 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
    Under 45.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
    Packers 32, Rams 18




    Baltimore Ravens (12-5) at Buffalo Bills (14-3)
    Line: Bills by 2.5. Total: 50.

    Saturday, Jan. 16, 8:15 PM


    The Matchup. Edge: None.

    VEGAS UPDATE: I’ll be posting how the Vegas sportsbooks have done the previous week in this spot. The highest-bet sides were 44-40-2 last season and 33-39 heading into Week 17.

    Here are the teams getting the most bets last week:

  • Buccaneers -8.5
  • Bills -6.5
  • Saints -10
  • Steelers -6


  • The heaviest-bet sides were 1-3 last week, so it was yet another winning week for the books.

    Here are the teams getting the most bets this week:

    None

    There are no heavily bet sides this week! Everything is less than 65-percent action. Perhaps that’ll change later in the week.

    HATE MAIL: I will be posting hate mail here. We got a bit this week:



    Ah, the obligatory ZOMG COROONAVIRUS comment. I don’t understand why people are making such a big deal about it. Then again, at least he’s not the Most Cowardly Man on the Planet.

    Here’s an actual e-mail I found:



    This guy always shows up when I’m doing poorly. Unsurprisingly, he didn’t even congratulate me on my Supercontest finish. What a dick!

    BUFFALO OFFENSE: Josh Allen has shown incredible development from his second to his third year, but this will be the ultimate test. If he can defeat the Ravens with a strong performance, we’ll know for sure that he has entered the top tier of quarterbacks.

    I say this because Allen struggled in this matchup last year. In a 24-17 loss to the Ravens at home, Allen was just 17-of-39 for 146 yards and a touchdown. Here’s how I described his performance:

    Allen simply had no hope with all of the pressure he was constantly seeing, and on the occasions in which he had time in the pocket, he developed a habit of overthrowing his intended receivers deep downfield. Allen had three deep overthrows in the first quarter alone, though it’s worth noting that the heavy winds may have had something to do with it because one of Allen’s attempted bombs going the other way in the second quarter was woefully underthrown.



    Assuming there aren’t heavy winds in the forecast, I expect Allen to have a stronger performance. Not only has he gotten better; his supporting cast has improved as well. He didn’t have Stefon Diggs at his disposal last year. Diggs should have a solid performance, as he might mirror what A.J. Brown accomplished last week. The Ravens have some terrific defensive backs, but Allen has so many weapons at his disposal. Rather than heaving balls to a falling Khalif Raymond like Ryan Tannehill was doing, Allen will be targeting Diggs, John Brown, Cole Beasley, Gabriel Davis, Devin Singeltary and Dawson Knox.

    BALTIMORE OFFENSE: Lamar Jackson didn’t play well in that matchup either. He completed 16-of-25 passes and threw for three touchdowns, but he accumulated 145 passing yards and 40 rushing yards, and he threw an interception. Most of his production came on a 61-yard touchdown to Hayden Hurst in busted coverage. Jackson was pedestrian otherwise.

    The Bills had a great game plan for Jackson, and I don’t see why that would change this time. If they can limit Jackson to 40 rushing yards again, they should be able to clamp down on Baltimore’s offense. Remember, the Ravens had a much better offensive line last year when Ronnie Stanley was healthy and Marshal Yanda was still on the roster. Buffalo should be able to win in the trenches.

    There is one weakness Jackson should be able to exploit, however. The Bills have been weak to tight ends all year, so Mark Andrews figures to have a big game. I wouldn’t count on Marquise Brown replicating what he did last week though.

    RECAP: I don’t agree with the pricing on this game. The Bills are the better team, yet they’re not even -3 at home. My personal line says Buffalo should be -4.5, so we’re getting a ton of value with the host.

    The question is, why is this line so incorrect? Well, all I’ve heard from pundits is, “The Ravens are on fire” and “the Ravens have gotten their act together.” Have they? All they did late in the year was clobber terrible teams like the Jaguars, Giants and Bengals. They also snuck by the Browns on Monday night and beat the Titans last week, but those teams are just above average. The last time the Ravens played a team of Buffalo’s caliber, they lost to a much healthier Steeler squad in Week 8. Before that, they got blown out against the Chiefs at home.

    Line value is my only angle for betting this game, but I think it’s a good one. I’ll likely have two units on the Bills.

    THURSDAY THOUGHTS: There’s some sharp money coming in on the Bills now, which doesn’t surprise me. They seem like the right side. The one injury of note is that Matthew Judon missed both days of practice thus far with an illness. He could still play, but his absence would be a nice boost for Josh Allen.

    SATURDAY NOTES: Matthew Judon will play. In fact, there are no injury question marks for either side. I still like the Bills for a couple of units.

    FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps were mixed on this game. They were betting the Ravens early in the week, and there was other pro money on Buffalo leading up to today. I still think this line is mispriced and that the Bills should be favored by -4.5. Luckily, we’re still getting a number less than a field goal. The best spread is -2.5 -113 at Bookmaker. This remains a two-unit play for me.



    The Motivation. Edge: None.
    No edge found.


    The Spread. Edge: Bills.

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Bills -4.5.
    Westgate Advance Point Spread: .
    Computer Model: Ravens -1.
    DVOA Spread: .




    The Vegas. Edge: None.
    Equal action.

    Percentage of money on Buffalo: 58% (8,000 bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Bills are 25-37 ATS in their last 62 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Opening Line: Bills -3.
  • Opening Total: 50.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 32 degrees. Mild wind, 14 mph.



  • Week 19 NFL Pick: Bills 24, Ravens 17
    Bills -2.5 -113 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
    Under 50 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
    Bills 17, Ravens 3






    Week 19 NFL Picks – Sunday Games
    Browns at Chiefs, Buccaneers at Saints




    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.


    Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 19 NFL Picks – Late Games



    2024 NFL Mock Draft - March 26


    NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22


    Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19


    NFL Picks - Feb. 12




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    Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.


    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 18, 2023): 10-6 (-$415)
    Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 3-1 (+$460)
    Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 1-1 (-$40)
    Last Week Over-Under (Week 18, 2023): 7-9 ($0)
    Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 18, 2023): -$15

    2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-4, 20.0% (-$2,480)

    2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-135-7, 50.4% (-$7,735)
    2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 43-38-3, 53.1% (+$520)
    2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 28-27-1, 50.9% (-$3,110)
    2023 Season Over-Under: 139-128-3, 52.1% (+$100)
    2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,630

    1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
    2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
    2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
    2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
    2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
    2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
    2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
    2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
    2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
    2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
    2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
    2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
    2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
    2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
    2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
    2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
    2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
    2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
    2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
    2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
    2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
    2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
    2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
    2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

    2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
    2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
    2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
    2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
    2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
    2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
    2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
    2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
    2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
    2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
    2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
    2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
    2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
    2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
    2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
    2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
    2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
    2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
    2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
    2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
    2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
    2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
    2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
    2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
    2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
    2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
    2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
    2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
    2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
    2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
    2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
    2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
    2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
    2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
    2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
    2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
    2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
    2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
    2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
    2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
    2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
    2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
    2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
    2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
    2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
    2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
    2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
    2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
    2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
    2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
    2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
    2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
    2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
    2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
    2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
    2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
    2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
    2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
    2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
    2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
    2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
    2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
    2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
    2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
    2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
    2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
    2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
    2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
    2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
    2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
    2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
    2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
    Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
    Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
    Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 8-9
    Bears: 11-4
    Bucs: 6-11
    49ers: 10-7
    Eagles: 7-7
    Lions: 9-8
    Falcons: 8-9
    Cardinals: 8-9
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 5-12
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 8-9
    Redskins: 14-3
    Vikings: 6-9
    Saints: 10-7
    Seahawks: 7-9
    Bills: 9-7
    Bengals: 12-5
    Colts: 7-10
    Broncos: 9-6
    Dolphins: 6-11
    Browns: 11-5
    Jaguars: 13-4
    Chargers: 8-9
    Jets: 8-9
    Ravens: 11-6
    Texans: 5-12
    Chiefs: 5-10
    Patriots: 7-9
    Steelers: 11-6
    Titans: 9-8
    Raiders: 6-9
    Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)
    2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)
    2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)
    2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
    2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)
    2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)
    Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)
    Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
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