4/6/21: At the North Dakota State pro day, Lance had a quality outing but also missed a few throws. Lance's one game of the 2020 season was a mixed outing. He missed some throws and made some mistakes, but considering the rust factor, those issues were somewhat understandable. Lance completed 15-of-30 passes for 149 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. He ran for 143 yards and two touchdowns on 15 carries as well. After his one game, he announced he would enter the 2021 NFL Draft.
Lance will need a lot of practice time with pro coaches. He has a great skill set with arm strength, size, running ability, and upside. An AFC general manager said they think Lance is worthy of being a pick in the back half of the first round because he needs development, although he probably will go much higher out of team need. Lance will need a lot of work with reading defenses, working through progressions, and overall pocket passing. Here's a breakdown of Lance from one area scout: "He's big with a strong arm and is a good athlete, but he has no touch or feel as a passer. Lance reminds me of Jason Campbell."
8/29/20: Lance produced a huge redshirt freshman season in 2019, completing 67 percent of his passes for 2,786 yards with 28 touchdowns and zero interceptions. He also ran for 1,100 yards with 14 touchdowns on the ground - his rushing yardage was actually bigger, but college football deducts sack yardage from a quarterback's rushing totals.
From a skill-set perspective, Lance fits in with other other recent first-round prospects. His size, arm strength, running ability, and big-play potential are in line with other recent Thursday picks. As a passer, Lance definitely has next-level ability.
Lance has a strong arm capable of making all the throws for the pros. He shows the ability to fire fastballs to the sideline and has no problem airing out deep balls. Overall, Lance has good accuracy, and his deep-ball precision is very impressive. One of Lance's impressive traits from 2019, especially for such a young player, was his poise. Lance looked very calm in the pocket, and when the rush was closing around him, it seemed to be a non-factor for him.
In speaking to some team sources who saw Lance in person while scouting North Dakota State, they feel the potential is there for Lance, but they also need to see more before feeling he is worthy of being a high first-round pick. As of late August, North Dakota State is going to play one football game in the fall. Lance needs more experience and development, but most of the season is gone because foolish decision makers in college football were looking to protect their job security over considering the science that football players are more likely to die in a car accident driving to practice than from COVID-19.
"I think [Lance is] a very good player, but at that position, I'm a firm believer in body of work and he has a very small sample size at this point," said a national scout. "He's got tools to work, and he's not the first young pup to be pushed up. Every year there's someone, but we have to let it play out."
"Recent history has not been kind to the 1-year-wonder surge guys. It has not been ideal for the picks of guys like Mitch Trubisky, Blake Bortles, Dwayne Haskins, DeShone Kizer, Paxton Lynch, etc. At [Lance's] level of competition, you definitely want to have more than good season. I like him though, but not ready to crown him just yet."
Career Passing Stats
Career Rushing Stats
Passing Stats Game Log