I've posted overrated and underrated NFL teams on my NFL Picks
page for a while, but I thought it deserved its own section. I'll update this page every week during the season as well as periodically during the offseason. Follow me @walterfootball
Updated April 4, 2020
NFL Overrated Teams:
Green Bay Packers
I love Aaron Rodgers, but I have worries about Green Bay's pass protection and defense. The Packers nearly lost at home to the Lions and Panthers, two victories that looked good at the time, but weren't as impressive late in the year. The Lions collapsed, while the Panthers were demolished the following week as hosts versus the Falcons, and then went on to lose to the Redskins at home. Green Bay's blowout loss at San Francisco shouldn't have surprised anyone. Then, in the season finale, the Packers nearly lost to Detroit again!
Given all of that, the Packers' blowout defeat at San Francisco in the NFC Championship shouldn't have been a surprise. Things have only gotten worse since, as Bryan Bulaga has joined the Chargers, while the front office failed to find players to improve Rodgers' supporting cast as well as the run defense.
The Titans reached the AFC Championship in 2019, but that result was a bit fluky. Now, the Titans will be worse because they traded away one of their top defensive players (Jurrell Casey) and saw their great right tackle, Jack Conklin, join the Browns. Derrick Henry will be exhausted from his 380 carries in 2019, and his blocking will be worse.
NFL Underrated Teams:
The Broncos would have finished 9-7 had they not gotten screwed by a pair of bogus roughing-the-passer penalties late in a couple of games earlier in the season. That would've put them into the playoffs because they beat Tennessee. You could also argue that they would've won one of their games with Brandon Allen had Drew Lock started instead (the Minnesota game comes to mind.) It's a shame that they didn't get to reach the playoffs, especially considering that I bet them at 95:1 to win the Super Bowl!
The Broncos had a great offseason. They traded for Jurrell Casey and improved their offensive line. Melvin Gordon will add some talent to the backfield. And then there was the draft, which saw the Broncos add several dynamic play-makers to the roster.
New York Giants
I love the Giants' potential in 2020. Daniel Jones and some of his young teammates should make big leaps in 2020, especially with a better coaching staff. They also used the No. 4 overall pick to improve the offensive line, and they found a stud safety (Xavier McKinney) to improve their awful pass defense. I could see them pushing for a playoff spot and even finishing 10-6 or 11-5.
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