2020 Fantasy Football Busts (July 23):
This is a list of my top 2020 fantasy football busts - players you should avoid unless they fall far in your draft. The Average Draft Position (ADP) is found on FantasyFootballCalculator.com.
I was dead on with some of my busts over the past three years. My top busts for 2019 were Antonio Brown and Todd Gurley. I had some misses as well, but Brown and Gurley were two players I didn't want to select in the top three rounds.
More 2020 Fantasy Football Articles:
- Dalvin Cook, RB, Vikings. ADP: 1.05.
Dalvin Cook's ADP is 1.05, and he's the fifth running back chosen on average. I think that's crazy. Cook has a very dubious injury history, so I don't trust him to make it through the season. Also, Minnesota's offense took a hit this offseason, so Cook won't be in position to score as often as he did in 2019. Throw in a possible holdout, and Cook is the top player to avoid this year.
- Derrick Henry, RB, Titans. ADP: 1.04.
I'm shocked Derrick Henry's ADP wasn't in the first round to start, but it has moved there since. In fact, he's now projected to be the fourth running back off the board. This is a mistake ebcause of the workload he shouldered last year. Right tackle Jack Conklin's departure will hurt him as well.
- James Conner, RB, Steelers. ADP: 3.02.
The Steelers weren't pleased with James Conner last year, and they even said so this spring. They didn't find a clear-cut replacement for him, but between Benny Snell and Anthony "Not Booger" McFarland Jr., one of them could take over for Conner at some point in 2020.
- Marlon Mack, RB, Colts. ADP: 4.10.
I wouldn't mind drafting Marlon Mack as a contrarian option in the wake of the Jonathan Taylor selection, but in the fourth round? That's way too early, given that Taylor is likely to lead the team in touches late in the year.
- Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams. ADP: 3.07.
Cooper Kupp was once Jared Goff's favorite receiver, but it seems as though Goff "graduated" to Robert Woods down the stretch. In fact, Kupp's snap counts decreased in some games. Some people may not recognize this, which could mean Kupp will be overdrafted (and he is at 3.07.)
- Matt Ryan, QB, Falcons. ADP: 7.08.
Matt Ryan is the ninth quarterback off the board on average, which seems like a mistake. Ryan posted some big numbers last year, but most of his great performances came in the first half of the season when he was constantly throwing in garbage time. His stats weren't as great in the second half when his defense improved. I expect the stop unit to continue the momentum it had when Raheem Morris began coaching the defensive players, so Ryan could disappoint.
- Adam Thielen, WR, Vikings. ADP: 3.03.
Former coordinator Kevin Stefanski foolishly moved Adam Thielen out of the slot, which resulted in a diminished output for the talented receiver. Unless Thielen moves back into the slot - it's been reported that Justin Jefferson will play there - he'll likely be overdrafted in 2020. With Justin Jefferson on the roster, it seems likely that Jefferson will man the slot; not Thielen.
- Chris Godwin, WR, Buccaneers. ADP: 2.07.
Everyone expects Chris Godwin's stats to increase with Tom Brady, but I don't see why that would be the case. Godwin was just paired with a quarterback who threw for more than 5,000 yards and 30 touchdowns. Brady, who won't have to throw himself out of a hole like Jameis Winston often did, will be playing with more leads, which will lend the Buccaneers into utilizing a more conservative game plan. Also, Rob Gronkowski is now on the team, and he'll command some end-zone looks.
- Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens. ADP: 4.04.
Most NFL players have a greater chance of being struck by lightning than dying of Coronavirus, but that doesn't apply to those with diabetes like Mark Andrews. The Raven star tight end is more at risk than other players, so if a teammate tests positive, he may have to sit out a game or two. The fourth round is way too early to draft a tight end not named Travis Kelce or George Kittle anyway.
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Cardinals. ADP: 2.02.
Don't get me wrong; I don't hate DeAndre Hopkins this year. I just wouldn't use a first- or an early second-round fantasy pick on him. Hopkins will be playing with Kyler Murray, who will be running more than any other quarterback he has played with in his career. Murray will also spread the ball around frequently, as he has Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk and Kenyan Drake/Chase Edmonds as his other targets.
Fantasy Football Rankings
2020 Fantasy Football Rankings:
2020 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 6/29 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 8/7 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 8/6 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 8/6 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 5/2 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 5/2 (Walt)
Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings: Dynasty - 5/9 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
2020 Fantasy Football Mock Draft - 7/31 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
2020 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 250 - 8/6 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 250 PPR - 8/6 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 250 Half-PPR - 8/6 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 250 2-QB - 8/6 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 250 Touchdown League - 8/6 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Custom - 8/6 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Spreadsheets - 8/6 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Articles:
2020 Fantasy Football Stock Report - 8/6 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Sleepers - 7/23 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Busts - 7/23 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Week 1 Quarterback Streamers - 5/31 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Value Quarterbacks - 5/10 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Value Running Backs - 5/10 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football Value Wide Receivers - 5/10 (Walt)
2020 Fantasy Football: Running Backs with the Most Carries - 1/31 (Walt)
Fantasy Football Rankings - Aug. 5
2021 NFL Mock Draft - July 30
2022 NFL Mock Draft - May 13
2020 College Football Recruiting Rankings - April 14
NFL Power Rankings - April 5
NFL Picks - Feb. 2
2020 NBA Mock Draft - Sept. 27
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