NBA Picks Against the Spread

Lauri Markkanen
NBA Picks (Jan. 8-14) 8-8 (-$210)
NBA Picks (Jan. 15-21) 7-7 (-$120)
NBA Picks (Jan. 22-28) 8-6 (+$80)
NBA Picks (Jan. 29-Feb. 4) 11-6 (+$750)
NBA Picks (Feb. 5-11) 8-7 (+$315)
NBA Picks (Feb. 12-18) 5-3 (+$190)
NBA Picks (Feb. 19-25) 3-6 (-$410)
NBA Picks (Feb. 26-March 3) 12-2 (+$1,620)
NBA Picks (March 4-10) 8-7 (+$190)
NBA Picks (March 11-17) 8-5-1 (+$315)

2023-24 NBA Picks: 78-57-1 (+$2,710)
2022-23 NBA Picks: 61-69-4 (-$1,400)
2021-22 NBA Picks: 73-60-3 (+$2,815)
2020-21 NBA Picks: 98-96-5 (+$1,045)
2019-20 NBA Picks: 47-46-1 (+$450)
2018-19 NBA Picks: 114-98-4 (+$3,550)
2017-18 NBA Picks: 63-66-2 (-$1,850)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
2015-16 NBA Picks: 93-95-6 (-$1,305)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
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NBA Picks for the 2023-24 Season:





NBA Picks for Monday, March 18, 2024


Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread Utah Jazz NBA Picks Against the Spread
Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.5.

9:00 PM ET

The Timberwolves are banged up and have been on a 3-7 ATS skid as a result. Making matters worse for them, they have to battle the Nuggets tomorrow. This is a revenge game for the Jazz, who just lost by 19 to Minnesota on Saturday.

Player Prop: I like Jalen Johnson under 17.5 points. Johnson has been on a tear lately, but this is the second half of a back-to-back, and the Lakers defend fours rather well. The best number is under 17.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.


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I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.


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NBA Pick: Jazz +5.5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Johnson under 17.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM



NBA Picks for Sunday, March 17, 2024 (1-1, +$100)


Miami Heat NBA Picks Against the Spread Detroit Pistons NBA Picks Against the Spread
Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Heat by 5.

3:00 PM ET

The Heat are banged up and have been on a 2-5 ATS skid as a result. They continue to be overvalued, so Detroit looks like a great play today. The Pistons have been a covering machine since the new year, going 24-13 against the spread since Christmas.

Player Prop: I like Victor Wembanyama under 21.5 points. Everyone loves betting on Wembanyama, but he has a very difficult matchup tonight versus the Nets, who do a great job against centers. Wembanyama went under in the first matchup, and I think that happens again. The best number is under 21.5 -106 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pistons +5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama under 21.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105



NBA Picks for Saturday, March 16, 2024 (2-0, +$300)


Washington Bullets NBA Picks Against the Spread Chicago Bulls NBA Picks Against the Spread
Washington Bullets at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 10.5.

8:00 PM ET

The Bullets are a horrific basketball team, going 4-8 against the spread in their previous 12 games. The Bulls haven’t had a great record recently either, but they’ve played against so many tough opponents. They should be able to clobber Washington tonight.

Player Prop: I like Keyonte George under 18.5 points. George has been on fire lately, so everyone will want to bet his over. However, he’s on a second leg of a back-to-back and will be battling the team that has the best defense against point guards. The best number is under 18.5 -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bulls -10.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Keyonte George under 18.5 points -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Friday, March 15, 2024 (2-0, +$310)


Los Angeles Clippers NBA Picks Against the Spread New Orleans Pelicans NBA Picks Against the Spread
Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 6.5.

8:00 PM ET

Aside from their most recent slip-up, the Pelicans have been on a tear, as Zion Williamson has caught fire. The Clippers, conversely, played last night with five players logging 31 or more minutes. They’ll be too tired to battle the Pelicans tonight.

Player Prop: I like Kawhi Leonard under 23.5 points. Not even factoring in a lack of rest, Leonard is a great under bet against a tremendous defense. In three games against the Pelicans this year, Leonard has scored 20, 19, and 15 points. The best number is under 23.5 -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -6.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Kawhi Leonard under 23.5 points -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Thursday, March 14, 2024 (0-2, -$305)


Phoenix Suns NBA Picks Against the Spread Boston Celtics NBA Picks Against the Spread
Phoenix Suns at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 5.

7:30 PM ET

Jacob Camenker gave me the heads up about this terrible spot for the Celtics. They’re coming home from a long trip on the West Coast, and now they have to deal with a talented team that wants revenge from a recent defeat. Jayson Tatum played way too many minutes in a couple of games recently, so with that and the jet lag, the Celtics could be in for a long night.

Player Prop: I like DeAndre Ayton under 17.5 points. Ayton went nuts with 33 points last night, but he also logged 40 minutes. I imagine he’ll be exhausted against the top paint defense in the NBA, so he’ll struggle to score. The best number is under 17.5 -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Suns +5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton under 17.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105



NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 13, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


Atlanta Hawks NBA Picks Against the Spread Portland Trailblazers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Hawks by 4.5.

10:00 PM ET

The Hawks have played good basketball lately, beating the Knicks, Cavaliers and Magic recently. They’ll be able to handle this atrocious Portland team with ease and cover this low number.

Player Prop: I like Tyrese Haliburton under 19.5 points. The Bulls defend point guards very well, and Haliburton could have tired legs after playing 36 minutes last night. The best number is under 19.5 -125 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hawks -4.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton under 19.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 13, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


Atlanta Hawks NBA Picks Against the Spread Portland Trailblazers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Hawks by 4.5.

10:00 PM ET

The Hawks have played good basketball lately, beating the Knicks, Cavaliers and Magic recently. They’ll be able to handle this atrocious Portland team with ease and cover this low number.

Player Prop: I like Tyrese Haliburton under 19.5 points. The Bulls defend point guards very well, and Haliburton could have tired legs after playing 36 minutes last night. The best number is under 19.5 -125 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hawks -4.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton under 19.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 12, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


Boston Celtics NBA Picks Against the Spread Utah Jazz NBA Picks Against the Spread
Boston Celtics at Utah Jazz.
Line: Celtics by 5.

9:00 PM ET

The Celtics clobbered the Blazers by 20-plus points last night, so you’d think that many of their starters didn’t play that much. That, however, is not the case. Six Boston players logged 30-plus minutes, so the team will be fatigued tonight, especially given that it’ll be shorthanded without Jaylen Brown and Al Horford. The Celtics could also have one eye on their next matchup against the Suns.

Player Prop: I like Victor Wembanyama under 22.5 points. The Rockets have a great paint defense, which is why in three games against them this year, Wembanyama has scored 21, 15, and 10 points. The best number is under 22.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz +5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama under 22.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Monday, March 11, 2024 (1-0-1, +$100)


Phoenix Suns NBA Picks Against the Spread Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Phoenix Suns at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Suns by 6.

7:30 PM ET

We faded the Cavaliers last night, but we’ll be backing them today. None of their starters played more than 30 minutes yesterday, so there isn’t any worry about fatigue. Cleveland was saving its energy for this game, and the Suns have a game coming up against the Celtics.

Player Prop: I like Jusuf Nurkic under 11.5 rebounds. We lost on the hook with Nurkic a few nights ago, but I like him to go under again, as the Cavaliers are a great rebounding team and should keep him off the glass. The best number is under 11.5 -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +6 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Push; $0
NBA Player Prop: Jusuf Nurkic under 11.5 rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Sunday, March 10, 2024 (2-0, +$300)


Brooklyn Nets NBA Picks Against the Spread Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Brooklyn Nets at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 6.5.

7:00 PM ET

We faded the Nets last night, but we’re backing them today. They’re desperate for a win, while Cleveland is in a tough spot. The Cavaliers are coming off an overtime win versus Minnesots and will be playing tomorrow against the Suns, so they could have one eye on that game.

Player Prop: I like Jarrett Allen under 19.5 points. Allen is coming off a 33-point performance, so people will want to bet his over. However, the Nets defend well in the paint. They limited Allen to 14 and 12 points in two meetings earlier this year. The best number is under 19.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nets +6.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jarrett Allen under 19.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Saturday, March 9, 2024 (1-2, -$100)


Chicago Bulls NBA Picks Against the Spread Los Angeles Clippers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 7.5.

7:30 PM ET

There was some speculation that Kawhi Leonard and/or Paul George wouldn’t play this afternoon, but they’ll both be on the court. However, I expect the effort level to be low with a game against the Bucks looming tomorrow. Also, the Clippers are on a 3-9 ATS skid and remain overvalued.

NBA Pick: Bulls +7.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200

Brooklyn Nets NBA Picks Against the Spread Charlotte Hornets NBA Picks Against the Spread
Brooklyn Nets at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Nets by 5.5.

7:00 PM ET

Speaking of teams on skids, the Nets are overvalued as well on their 5-9-1 ATS funk. The Hornets have done a good job of keeping many of their games close, and it wouldn’t surprise me if they managed to pull the upset tonight.

Player Prop: I like Jusuf Nurkic under 10.5 rebounds. The Celtics are one of the better rebounding teams in the NBA, so it’s no surprise that in 10 career games against the Celtics in which Nurkic played 25 or more minutes, he’s had double-digits rebounds only three times. The best number is under 10.5 +100 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hornets +5.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jusuf Nirkic +100 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$100



NBA Picks for Friday, March 8, 2024 (2-0, +$300)


Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 3.

7:30 PM ET

Let’s try fading the Timberwolves again. They put a bit too much into the Pacers game last night, with Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert playing 38 and 40 minutes, respectively. They’ll have tired legs against the Cavaliers tonight.

Player Prop: I like Jimmy Butler under 22.5 points. Butler played 38 minutes last night, so he could be exhausted by the second half. Also, the Thunder defend wings well and could easily have a huge lead in this game, prompting Miami to sit Butler in the fourth quarter. The best number is under 22.5 +100 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jimmy Butler under 22.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Thursday, March 7, 2024 (0-2, -$300)


Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Minnesota Timberwolves at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 2.

7:30 PM ET

The Timberwolves have failed to cover their previous five games. They lost to the Clippers in a very favorable spot and then struggled to beat an injury-ravaged Portland team. Now, Minnesota goes on the road for the first time since Feb. 15. The Pacers should be able to win this game.

Player Prop: I like Rudy Gobert under 15.5 points. We’re seeing an inflated number because Karl-Anthony Towns is out, but the last time Gobert played without Towns, he scored just 13 points against the Spurs’ dreadful defense. The Pacers play good defense in the paint, so Gobert should be held to fewer than 16 points. The best number is under 15.5 +100 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers -2 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Rudy Gobert under 15.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 6, 2024 (1-2, -$120)


Los Angeles Clippers NBA Picks Against the Spread Houston Rockets NBA Picks Against the Spread
Los Angeles Clippers at Houston Rockets.
Line: Clippers by 7.

7:30 PM ET

As far as back-to-back games are concerned, this is a very difficult spot for the Rockets. They’re coming off a win in which four of their players were on the court for 36-plus minutes. They’ll have tired legs against the Clippers, who have Paul George rounding into shape as he returns from injury.



NBA Pick: Clippers -7 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200

Sacramento Kings NBA Picks Against the Spread Los Angeles Lakers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 1.

8:00 PM ET

We’re fading the other Los Angeles team tonight. The Lakers just had some big wins against the Thunder and Clippers, but they were in good spots in those games. They were also very fortunate in that comeback versus the Clippers. I expect things to turn against them tonight, as the Kings aren’t in a negative situation and should be able to win as a consequence.

Player Prop: This is from the first game, but I like Alperen Sengun under 21.5 points. He scored 46 points last night, so everyone’s going to want to bet his over. However, Sengun has gone over 21 points just twice in his previous 12 games, and this is a much tougher matchup than the one he had versus San Antonio. The best number is under 21.5 -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Kings +1 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Alperen Sengun under 21.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$120



NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 5, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


San Antonio Spurs NBA Picks Against the Spread Houston Rockets NBA Picks Against the Spread
San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 7.

8:00 PM ET

The Rockets are coming off a big win against a distracted Suns team, and they have to battle the Clippers tomorrow, so this is a rough spot for a team that’s 3-9 straight up in its previous 12 games. Victor Wembanyama is listed as questionable, but it’s only for “shoulder soreness,” so he should play with no game scheduled for tomorrow.

Player Prop: I like Jayson Tatum under 28.5 points. The Cavaliers are a great defensive team that has limited Tatum in two games, holding him to point totals that are less than his season average. The best number is under 28.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Spurs +7 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 28.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Monday, March 4, 2024


Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread Los Angeles Lakers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 1.

10:30 PM ET

Our winning streak was bound to come to an end at some point, but maybe we’ll be able to start a new one. I like the Lakers tonight. They’ve ramped up their minutes in an effort to make the playoffs, while the Thunder are coming off an exhausting win over Phoenix late last night. Four Thunder players were on the court for 30-plus minutes, so they could be feeling it tonight, especially after travel.

Player Prop: I like DeAndre Ayton under 15.5 points. We faded Ayton in this matchup recently, and I want to do so again. The Timberwolves are a great defensive team, and they’ll be motivated after yesterday’s loss. Also, this game could easily be a blowout, negating any fourth-quarter run for Ayton. The best number is under 15.5 +100 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Lakers -1 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton under 15.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — No action



NBA Picks for Sunday, March 3, 2024 (0-2, -$305)


Los Angeles Clippers NBA Picks Against the Spread Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread
Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 3.

3:30 PM ET

We’re going to fade the Clippers again. They haven’t played very well recently, so this number is short. The Timberwolves are a hungry team with lots to prove, so this seems like a statement game for them.

Player Prop: I like Kawhi Leonard under 24.5 points. The Timberwolves are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, which would explain why Leonard had just 18 points in the previous matchup versus Minnesota. The best number is under 24.5 -105 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Kawhi Leonard under 24.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$105



NBA Picks for Saturday, March 2, 2024 (2-0, +$300)


Houston Rockets NBA Picks Against the Spread Phoenix Suns NBA Picks Against the Spread
Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 9.

9:00 PM ET

The Rockets’ recent results haven’t been great, but they’ve played a very difficult schedule lately. Granted, this is another tough opponent, but this spread is so high. You have to wonder about the Suns’ incentive in this game as well; they just beat the Rockets two nights ago, and they have to battle the Thunder tomorrow.

Player Prop: I like Anthony Davis under 12.5 rebounds. The Nuggets are a great rebounding team, which would explain why Davis logged nine and eight rebounds against Denver in two matchups this year. Also, Davis has clocked in a ton of minutes in some recent games and is dealing with sore ankles, so perhaps he’ll get some more rest tonight. The best number is under 12.5 -105 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Rockets +9 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Davis under 12.5 rebounds -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Friday, March 1, 2024 (2-0, +$310)


Charlotte Hornets NBA Picks Against the Spread Philadelphia 76ers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Charlotte Hornets at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 10.

7:00 PM ET

This spread is ridiculous. The 76ers are 4-8 straight up and against the spread since losing Joel Embiid. They also haven’t won a single game by more than seven points without Embiid. Yet, this spread is in the double digits. I know the Hornets played last night, but only two starters logged more than 30 minutes. Also, Charlotte is 6-4 against the spread on the second leg of back-to-backs this year.

Player Prop: I like Tyrese Haliburton under 18.5 points. Haliburton has been in a swoon lately, going under 18.5 points in nine of his previous 12 games. It doesn’t project to get any better tonight because the Pelicans are a great defensive team. The best number is under 18.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hornets +10 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton under 18.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 29, 2024 (2-0, +$305)


Golden State Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks.
Line: Warriors by 5.

7:30 PM ET

We’re continuing our fade of the Knicks, who are now 6-7 straight up and 4-9 against the spread since Julius Randle suffered an injury. The Warriors, meanwhile, would have a much better record than they do now had Draymon Green not been suspended earlier in the season.

Player Prop: I like Alperen Sengun under 10.5 rebounds. The Suns are one of the best rebounding teams in the NBA, so they should be able to keep Sengun off the glass. The best number is under 10.5 -135 at BetMGM. There’s also under 9.5 +110 at FanDuel, but Sengun has so many games with exactly 10 rebounds, so I’d rather be safe. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Warriors -5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Alperen Sengun under 10.5 rebounds -135 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 28, 2024 (2-0, +$300)


Los Angeles Lakers NBA Picks Against the Spread Los Angeles Clippers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Los Angeles Lakers at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 3.

10:00 PM ET

I’ve recently talked about how the Clippers are fading a bit during this mid-season swoon of theirs. They are 1-6 against the spread in their previous seven games, and they’ll be without Paul George tonight.

Player Prop: I like Jarrett Allen under 16.5 points. Allen typically has trouble against Nikola Vucevic, scoring 13 and 10 in his previous two matchups against him. Allen also played 33 minutes last night, so there could be some fatigue. The best number is under 16.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Lakers +3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jarrett Allen under 16.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 27, 2024 (1-0, +$210)


New Orleans Pelicans NBA Picks Against the Spread New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread
New Orleans Pelicans at New York Knicks.
Line: Pelicans by 4.

7:30 PM ET

We’re fading New York again tonight. The Knicks are now 6-6 straight up and 4-8 against the spread without Julius Randle. They also must be exhausted from last night’s game in which three starters logged 34-plus minutes, including two with 40-plus minutes.

Player Prop: I like Jalen Brunson under 30.5 points. The Pelicans are great at shutting down point guards – he scored just 14 points against them in the previous matchup – and he logged 40 minutes last night, so he has to be exhausted. The best number is under 30.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -4 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson under 30.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — No action; $0



NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 26, 2024 (3-0, +$500)


Detroit Pistons NBA Picks Against the Spread New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Detroit Pistons at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 10.5.

7:30 PM ET

We have two sides tonight. The first is Detroit once again. I’ve been saying this for a while, but the Pistons are underrated. They have a terrible record, but they are often competitive. They’re 13-5 against the spread in their previous 18 games, and their ATS record could be so much better than that. Meanwhile, the Knicks are just 5-6 since Julius Randle went down, and they have just three wins of more than 10 points.



NBA Pick: Pistons +10.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200

Miami Heat NBA Picks Against the Spread Sacramento Kings NBA Picks Against the Spread
Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 6.

10:00 PM ET

We backed the Kings last night, but we’re going to fade them today. They had a huge victory versus the Clippers, but it came at a price with their four main guys logging 33 or more minutes. Battling the underrated Heat on no rest will be difficult.

Player Prop: I like Domantas Sabonis under 19.5 points. He has to be exhausted from last night, and Miami provides an extremely difficult matchup. The best number is under 19.5 -111 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Heat +6 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Domantas Sabonis under 19.5 points -111 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 25, 2024 (1-1, +$100)


Sacramento Kings NBA Picks Against the Spread Los Angeles Clippers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 4.5.

9:30 PM ET

The Clippers have tons of talent on their team, but they’re in a mid-season funk of sorts. They’ve covered just one of their previous six games and appear to be overvalued against a gritty Kings team that recently beat the Nuggets.

Player Prop: I like Nikola Vucevic under 18.5 points. He’s been hot lately, but there’s bound to be regression to the mean, especially against the Pelicans, who have a great interior defense. The last time Vucevic played against the Pelicans, he scored a whopping six points. The best number is under 18.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Kings +4.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic under 18.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$110



NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024 (1-1, +$95)


Orlando Magic NBA Picks Against the Spread Detroit Pistons NBA Picks Against the Spread
Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Magic by 7.

9:00 PM ET

We’ve bet the Pistons a couple of times recently. They have a terrible record, but they’re better than that. They’re 12-5 against the spread in their previous 17 games, and their past three non-covers were all very close to the spread.

Player Prop: I like Karl-Anthony Towns under 21.5 points. He’s been about 50 percent to go under that total in the past dozen games, yet he’s battling a Nets team that is pretty solid defensively in the paint. Also, Towns had a big game last night, so he could be limited on a back-to-back. In every single back-to-back game this year, Towns has scored equal or fewer points than he did in the previous game. The best number is under 21.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pistons +7 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns under 21.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115



NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 23, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


Milwaukee Bucks NBA Picks Against the Spread Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread
Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.

9:00 PM ET

Last night was a disaster, but hopefully we can rebound. Speaking of having to rebound, the Bucks were just 3-7 heading into the All-Star break. They’re an overrated and poorly coached team. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, have something to prove.

Player Prop: I like Tyrese Maxey under 25.5 points. This is about his seasonal average, yet he’s battling a Cavaliers team that defends guards extremely well. Maxey is coming off a 40-minute outing last night, so he could be a bit limited in this game. The best number is under 25.5 -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Maxey under 25.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 22, 2024


Phoenix Suns NBA Picks Against the Spread Dallas Mavericks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Suns by 1.

7:30 PM ET

The Suns have more talent than their record indicates, and that’s because they’ve taken one too many games lightly in the first half of the regular season. Given how long the season is, however, I can’t blame them. It’s the second half of the season now though, so I expect Phoenix to turn up the heat, especially in tougher matchups like this one.



NBA Pick: Suns -1 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200

Charlotte Hornets NBA Picks Against the Spread Utah Jazz NBA Picks Against the Spread
Charlotte Hornets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 10.

9:00 PM ET

We have a second pick tonight. I’m going with the Jazz even though they’re favored by 10. The public is all over Charlotte, probably because the Hornets have won three in a row. However, they’ve beaten pedestrian teams during that stretch. The last real opponent they battled, the Bucks, destroyed them, 120-84. Also, the Hornets lost all the momentum they had with this absurdly long break.

Player Prop: I like Jarrett Allen under 15.5 points. This is about his seasonal average, yet he’s battling a Magic team that defends the paint very well. In three games against the Magic this year, Allen has scored 14, four, and eight points. The best number is under 15.5 -128 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz -10 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jarrett Allen under 15.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$105



NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 15, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


Golden State Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread Utah Jazz NBA Picks Against the Spread
Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 1.

9:00 PM ET

The Warriors played a tough game against the Clippers last night. They lost, but many of their starters logged major minutes, so I could see them taking this game lightly tonight. The Jazz are coming off a blowout loss to the Lakers, so they’ll be motivated to rebound.

Player Prop: I like DeAndre Ayton under 14.5 points. He scored 22 points in this matchup a couple of nights ago, but the Timberwolves were coming off an exhausting back-to-back. Minnesota’s fresh legs will help the team use its great paint defense to shut down Ayton in what easily could be a blowout. The best number is under 14.5 -128 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz -1 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton under 14.5 points -128 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 14, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


Sacramento Kings NBA Picks Against the Spread Denver Nuggets NBA Picks Against the Spread
Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 6.

9:00 PM ET

We faded the Nuggets a couple of nights ago against the Bucks, and won. Denver was humiliated, so the team will be extra focused tonight, especially after losing to Sacramento recently. Speaking of the Kings, three of their starters played 37-plus minutes last night, and now they have to play a game in altitude on no rest. This seems like a very difficult spot, even with Jamal Murray likely sidelined for Denver.

Player Prop: I like Wendell Carter under 12.5 points. This is slightly above his seasonal average of 11.5, yet he’s battling a Knicks team that has a great paint defense. Carter has failed to score more than 10 points in three of his previous five games, and he’s coming off a 31-minute outing last night, so he could be a bit tired, given that he usually logs 26-28 minutes. The best number is under 12.5 -115 at ESPNBet, and if you don’t have that, you can get under 12.5 -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -6 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Wendell Carter under 12.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – ESPNBet — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 13, 2024


Miami Heat NBA Picks Against the Spread Milwaukee Bucks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 7.5.

8:00 PM ET

We bet the Bucks last night, but we’ll be fading them today. They’re coming off a great statement victory over the Nuggets, so it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they punted this game. The Heat, conversely, have a lot to prove, and they’ve been playing much better since getting healthier.

Player Prop: I like Domantas Sabonis under 13.5 rebounds. This is slightly above his seasonal average of 13.2, yet he’s battling a Phoenix team that cleans up the glass better than any other team. In two of his three matchups against the Suns, Sabonis has had 12 or fewer rebounds. The best number is under 13.5 -115 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.


NBA Pick: Heat +7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Domantas Sabonis under 13.5 rebounds -115 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$115



NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 12, 2024 (2-0, +$305)


Denver Nuggets NBA Picks Against the Spread Milwaukee Bucks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 1.

8:00 PM ET

I know Khris Middleton is out, but I still love the Bucks tonight. The Nuggets will be better come May and June, but they’re so poor on the road. They’re 10-17 against the spread, and they’ve been outscored overall, so it will be difficult for them to win in Milwaukee.

Player Prop: I like Jaren Jackson under 26.5 points. He’s been on a scoring tear recently, but he’s had a ton of easy matchups. The Pelicans are great at defending the paint, so Jackson could have issues tonight. The best number is under 26.5 -105 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.


NBA Pick: Bucks -1 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jaren Jackson Jr. under 26.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 11, 2024 (1-1, +$90)


Sacramento Kings NBA Picks Against the Spread Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread
Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 3.5.

7:30 PM ET

Yesterday, I wrote that not all back-to-back games are created equal. The Thunder played yesterday, but they got debacled. No one played 30 minutes. It was an embarrassing showing, so I think they’ll play for pride today. Meanwhile, the Kings are coming off a big statement win over the Nuggets and could be flat as a result.

Player Prop: I like Bam Adebayo to go under 10.5 rebounds. This is exactly his seasonal average, yet he’s battling one of the best rebounding teams in the NBA. In two matchups against the Celtics this year, Adebayo has grabbed five and seven rebounds. Also, with Jimmy Butler out, this could be a blowout, so Adebayo may not see fourth-quarter action. The best number is under 10.5 -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -3.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Bam Adebayo under 10.5 rebounds -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$110



NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 10, 2024 (1-1, +$75)


Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Picks Against the Spread Toronto Raptors NBA Picks Against the Spread
Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Cavaliers by 9.

7:30 PM ET

Not all back-to-back games are created equal. The Raptors played a very difficult game last night versus the Rockets in which five players logged 34 or more minutes. They’ll be exhausted against a superior team that has no reason not to be focused for this game. The Raptors beat the Cavaliers in their previous meeting, so Cleveland may want revenge.

Player Prop: I like Nikola Vucevic to go under 18.5 points. He’s hit at least 20 in four straight games, so there might be some hesitation. However, he’s battling the Magic, who have a great paint defense. In two games against New Orleans this year, Vucevic has scored 17 and 10 points. The best number is under 18.5 -125 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -9 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic under 18.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$125



NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 9, 2024 (2-0, +$310)


Denver Nuggets NBA Picks Against the Spread Sacramento Kings NBA Picks Against the Spread
Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 3.

7:00 PM ET

It was pretty obvious that the Kings were looking ahead to this game when they lost to the Pistons two nights ago. I think they’ll be up to the challenge against the Nuggets, who played a tough game against the Lakers last night.

Player Prop: I like Anthony Davis to go under 26.5 points. His seasonal average is less than that at 25.2, and he’s battling the Pelicans, who have a great paint defense. In two games against New Orleans this year, Davis has scored 20 and 16 points. The best number is under 26.5 -118 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Kings -3 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Davis under 26.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 8, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


San Antonio Spurs NBA Picks Against the Spread Orlando Magic NBA Picks Against the Spread
San Antonio Spurs at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 10.

7:00 PM ET

The Spurs were blown out by the Heat last night, but as I wrote a couple of days ago, there’s a big difference between Orlando and Miami despite their similar records. This should be a close game. And note that the Spurs shouldn’t be fatigued because no one on the team logged more than 32 minutes last night, with only two players even crossing 30.

Player Prop: I like Nic Claxton to go under 12.5 points. His seasonal average is just 10.4, and he’s battling the Cavaliers, who have a great paint defense. In two games against Cleveland this year, Claxton has a total of 20 points. The best number is under 12.5 -114 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Spurs +10 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Nic Claxton under 12.5 points -114 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 7, 2024 (2-0, +$305)


Detroit Pistons NBA Picks Against the Spread Sacramento Kings NBA Picks Against the Spread
Detroit Pistons at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 12.5.

10:00 PM ET

I’ve said this recently, but the Pistons have been a covering machine despite owning a terrible record. They’ve stayed within 11 points of the Clippers, Bucks (twice), Timberwolves and Cavaliers in the past month. They should be able to hang with the Kings, who might be distracted with a battle against the Nuggets coming up in two days.

Player Prop: I like Victor Wembanyama to go under 21.5 points. His seasonal average is lower than that (20.4), and he hasn’t gone over 21 points in his past three games. Now, he gets a Miami team that has a great paint defense in a game that could easily be a blowout. The best number is under 21.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pistons +12.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama under 21.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 6, 2024 (1-1, +$85)


Orlando Magic NBA Picks Against the Spread Miami Heat NBA Picks Against the Spread
Orlando Magic at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 3.5.

7:30 PM ET

Yesterday sucked. We had the Hawks +4, and they lost by five. We also had James Harden under 9.5 assists, and he had 10.

Let’s rebound with the Heat. Miami and Orlando have similar records, but the Heat have dealt with a ton of injuries this season. They’re finally all healthy, so I expect them to do quite well moving forward. With that in mind, this spread is short of what it should be.

Player Prop: I like Nikola Vucevic to go under 26.5 points + rebounds. His combined seasonal average (27.7) is a bit higher, but this is an incredibly difficult matchup. Minnesota just held Alperen Sengun to 25 points + rebounds even though his combined seasonal average is 30.9. The best number is under 26.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Heat -3.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic under 26.5 points + rebounds -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115



NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 5, 2024 (0-3, -$450)


Los Angeles Clippers NBA Picks Against the Spread Atlanta Hawks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Los Angeles Clippers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Clippers by 4.

7:30 PM ET

The Clippers have been on fire, but this is a tough scheduling spot for them. They’re coming off a tough win versus Miami last night, making this the second of a back-to-back and the third game in four nights. This is also the final game of their East Coast road trip. The Hawks, meanwhile, have beaten the Suns and Warriors recently, so they should be able to pull the upset.

Player Prop: I like James Harden to go under 9.5 assists. His seasonal average is 8.5, and he has failed to hit double-digit assists in three of his five previous games. The Hawks do a great job of limiting assists to opposing point guards, and the Clippers’ scoring could be down tonight because of the fatigue. The best number is under 9.5 -125 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

Player Prop: I’m betting the Miles Bridges under 24.5 points. His average is 20.7, and he has gone over 21 just once in his previous seven games. The Lakers have a great paint defense, so they should be able to limit Bridges rather well. The best number is under 24.5 -125 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hawks +4 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: James Harden under 9.5 assists -125 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$125
NBA Player Prop: Miles Bridges under 24.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$125



NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 4, 2024 (2-1, +$190)


Milwaukee Bucks NBA Picks Against the Spread Utah Jazz NBA Picks Against the Spread
Milwaukee Bucks at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 3.

8:00 PM ET

This spread is begging for the public to bet Milwaukee. The Bucks are coming off a game last night in which they erased a 24-point deficit, so they must be exhausted. Giannis Antetokounmpo, Damian Lillard and Khris Middleton all logged 38-plus minutes, so it wouldn’t completely shock me if some of them rested for this game. Also, consider that the Bucks have been a money pit this year. They’re 4-13 against the spread in their previous 17 games!

Player Prop: I like Terry Rozier’s under points prop, which is 15.5. His average on the season is north of 20, but he’s averaging just 10.8 points per game since joining the Heat. In fact, he’s gone over 15 points only once. The Clippers play outstanding defense against guards, so it’ll be difficult for Rozier to score 16-plus. The best number is under 15.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

Player Prop: I’m adding Alperen Sengun under points + rebounds. The Timberwolves have a great paint defense, and Sengun’s stats have decreased recently. He had just 24 points + rebounds the last time he played against Minnesota. The best number is under 28.5 -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Terry Rozier under 15.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$110
NBA Player Prop: Alperen Sengun under 28.5 points + rebounds -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 3, 2024 (2-1, $0)


Sacramento Kings NBA Picks Against the Spread Chicago Bulls NBA Picks Against the Spread
Sacramento Kings at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 2.5.

8:00 PM ET

This is a tough scheduling spot for the Kings. It’s their second of a back-to-back and third in four nights. The Bulls have covered five of their previous seven, so I like their chances of continuing to play well.

Player Prop: I like Anthony Davis’ under points prop, which is 26.5. His average is 25.3, so he’d have to exceed his average for us to lose against the Knicks, who have one of the best paint defenses in the NBA. Davis has gone over 26 points just once in his previous six games. The best number is under 26.5 -113 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

I’m adding an under points prop on Victor Wembanyama, which currently sits at 20.5. The Cavaliers have one of the best paint defenses in the NBA, so they should be able to hold Wembanyama under his seasonal average, which is also 20.5. The best number is under 20.5 +100 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bulls -2.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Davis under 26.5 points -113 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama under 20.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 2, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


Golden State Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread Memphis Grizzlies NBA Picks Against the Spread
Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Warriors by 7.5.

8:00 PM ET

It’s nice that I don’t have to change half the copy here because I’m once again going with the Grizzlies +7.5 with the same vig of +101. The Grizzlies have played extremely well lately, covering their previous six and 10 of their past 14. The Warriors, conversely, are 5-10 straight up in their previous 15 games. They don’t deserve to be favored by this many points on the road against a competitive team.

Player Prop: I like Kyle Kuzma’s under points prop, which is 22.5. His average is 22.0, yet he’s battling the Heat, a team that has one of the best paint defenses in the league. Also, Kuzma has failed to score more than 22 points in six of his previous nine games. The best number is under 22.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Kyle Kuzma under 22.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 1, 2024 (2-0, +$300)


Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Picks Against the Spread Memphis Grizzlies NBA Picks Against the Spread
Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Cavaliers by 7.5.

8:00 PM ET

We’re going to fade the Cavaliers again. Their spreads have been inflated too much, creating some great value with the opposing underdog. Memphis has been a live dog lately, covering their previous five and nine of their past 13. The Cavaliers could be tired from last night’s close call against the Pistons.

Player Prop: Even though I like Memphis to cover, I’m going to fade Jaren Jackson Jr. once again. His points prop continues to be inflated. The best number is under 25.5 +100 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jaren Jackson Jr. under 25.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 31, 2024 (2-0, +$310)


Detroit Pistons NBA Picks Against the Spread Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 12.

7:00 PM ET

The Cavaliers have been on a tear lately, but this spread has gotten out of control. Cleveland also plays against Memphis tomorrow night, so I’m not sure the team will be 100-percent focused for this game. The Pistons don’t have a good record by any means, but they’ve been a covering machine as of late.

Player Prop: We’ve gotten screwed on our previous two center props with opposing injuries. Hopefully that doesn’t happen tonight. I like Nic Claxton to go under 11.5 rebounds. His season average is 10.4, so we’re already over that. The Suns clean up the glass well, too. Claxton had just seven rebounds the last time he played against the Suns. The best number is under 11.5 -105 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pistons +12 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Nic Claxton under 11.5 rebounds -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 30, 2024 (1-1, +$85)


Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread Boston Celtics NBA Picks Against the Spread
Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 7.5.

7:30 PM ET

I’m confused as to why this spread is so high. The Celtics are short-handed with Al Horford out and Kristaps Porzingis and Luke Kornet potentially sidelined as well. They also must be exhausted from last night’s comeback victory against the Pelicans. The Pacers have been hot lately, and they’ll be getting Tyrese Haliburton back into the lineup.

Player Prop: Clint Capela’s season points average is 11.3. His prop tonight is 11.5, yet he’s battling one of the best paint defenses in the NBA. He’s gone over 11 points just once in his previous six games, so I like him to go under again. The best number is under 11.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers +7.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Clint Capela under 11.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115



NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 29, 2024 (1-2, -$35)


Philadelphia 76ers NBA Picks Against the Spread Portland Trailblazers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Philadelphia 76ers at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: 76ers by 9.5.

10:00 PM ET

The 76ers are pretty banged up and have a tougher game tomorrow night against the Warriors. I could see them taking it easy against the Blazers, who have been more competitive lately.

Player Prop: The Suns are one of the best rebounding teams in the NBA. Bam Adebayo’s rebounding prop is exactly his season average (10.5), so it shouldn’t be too hard to ask him to go under. He grabbed 10 boards in the previous matchup against the Suns, and that’s when everyone was out and his usage was way up. The best number is under 10.5 -115 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

Player Prop: The Celtics have an amazing defense, especially against fours. Zion Williamson is unlikely to score more than 21.5 points, which is about his average. Plus, there’s always a chance this game is a blowout. The best number is under 21.5 -122 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers +9.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Bam Adebayo under 10.5 rebounds -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Player Prop: Zion Williamson under 21.5 points -122 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$120



NBA Picks for Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread Detroit Pistons NBA Picks Against the Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Thunder by 13.

2:00 PM ET

The Pistons played most of their starters 35-plus minutes yesterday in an exhausting game against the Bullets, who play at the fastest pace in the NBA. Now, they have an early game against a far superior Thunder team that has been demolishing its competition. I don’t see this game being close.

Player Prop: Jaren Jackson’s points prop is 30.5. That’s an insane number, given that he’s gotten more than 30 points just twice since Dec. 15. I know other players are out for the Grizzlies, but the Pacers have an extremely strong paint defense. Also, this game has major blowout potential. The best number is under 30.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -13 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jaren Jackson under 30.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 27, 2024 (2-0, +$305)


Sacramento Kings NBA Picks Against the Spread Dallas Mavericks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Kings by 4.

9:00 PM ET

Luka Doncic had an amazing 73-point performance last night, so I imagine everyone’s going to want to bet him tonight, especially as an underdog. However, I imagine Doncic and his team will be exhausted after their track meet against the Hawks, so I like the Kings to cover tonight.

Player Prop: Joel Embiid’s under rebounds prop looks good. Embiid has gone over 10 rebounds just once in his previous seven games, and Denver cleans up the glass extremely well. Embiid had just seven rebounds in this very matchup recently. The best number is under 10.5 +100 at DraftKings. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

Player Prop: Kawhi Leonard’s points prop makes no sense to me. It’s 26.5, yet he has scored 27 or more in just one of his previous 10 games. His average on the season is just 23.5. And Boston has a great defense. The best number is under 26.5 -122 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Kings -4 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Joel Embiid under 10.5 rebounds +100 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — No action; $0
NBA Player Prop: Kawhi Leonard under 26.5 points -122 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 26, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread New Orleans Pelicans NBA Picks Against the Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 1.5.

8:00 PM ET

The Thunder have won four in a row and eight of their previous 10. Impressive stuff. However, most of the opponents they’ve beaten have been poor or injury-ravaged teams. This is a step up in competition compared to the opponents in most of their victories. Also, this is Oklahoma City’s third game in four nights, so there could be some fatigue.

Player Prop: Damian Lillard averages 11.1 rebounds + assists per game, so that’s a bit above his prop tonight of 10.5. However, the Cavaliers shut down point guards with ease. In three matchups against Cleveland this year, Lillard’s rebounds + assists totals have been: 5, 7, and 6. The best number is under 10.5 -115 at DraftKings. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -1.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Damian Lillard under 10.5 rebounds + assists -115 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 25, 2024 (2-0, +$300)


Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread Brooklyn Nets NBA Picks Against the Spread
Minnesota Timberwolves at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Timberwolves by 3.

8:00 PM ET

The Timberwolves played a tough game last night in which most of their starters played 35-plus minutes. It’s going to be tough for them to muster the same energy tonight against the rested Nets.

Player Prop: Joel Embiid just scored 70 points, so it’s reasonable to expect some regression to the mean. He averages 47.7 points + rebounds per game, yet the line today is 49.5. The Pacers defend the paint extremely well, so I like the Embiid under. The best number is under 49.5 -118 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nets +3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Joel Embiid under 49.5 -118 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 24, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


Portland Trailblazers NBA Picks Against the Spread Houston Rockets NBA Picks Against the Spread
Portland Trailblazers at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 11.

8:00 PM ET

The Blazers have to be exhausted from last night’s tight battle against the Thunder. It’ll be tough for them to muster the same sort of energy against the Rockets, whom they match up poorly against because they can’t defend bigs or point guards.

Player Prop: Speaking of being incapable of defending point guards, Fred VanVleet’s points + assists looks great tonight. VanVleet averages 25.8 points + assists, yet the line is just 24.5 despite him being in a great matchup. The best number is over 24.5 -1115 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Rockets -11 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Fred VanVleet over 24.5 points + assists -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 23, 2024 (0-2, -$320)


Denver Nuggets NBA Picks Against the Spread Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Nuggets by 5.5.

7:00 PM ET

The Pacers are in a tough scheduling spot. This is their fourth game in six nights, and they’ll be short-handed with Tyrese Haliburton ruled out. The Nuggets, conversely, are pretty well rested. I could also see Nikola Jokic being motivated after seeing Joel Embiid score 70 last night.

Player Prop: I like Jokic, but the best matchup in this game belongs to Aaron Gordon, who went for 20 points and 10 rebounds the last time he played Indiana. The Pacers are very weak to power forwards, so Gordon should have another big game in the points + rebounds categories. The best number is over 21.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -5.5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Aaron Gordon over 21.5 points + rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$120



NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 22, 2024 (1-1, +$95)


Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Picks Against the Spread Orlando Magic NBA Picks Against the Spread
Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Cavaliers by 3.

7:00 PM ET

Franz Wagner is back for the Magic, but playing a second leg of a back-to-back could have some stress on his endurance. This could mean that the Cavaliers win. Cleveland has been hot lately, so it should get another win tonight.

Player Prop: The Hornets have a horrific interior defense, so Rudy Gobert should be able to do anything he pleases tonight. Gobert averages 27.7 points + rebounds per game, so all he needs to do is get to his average in this easy matchup. The best number is over 27.5 -115 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -3 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Rudy Gobert over 27.5 points + rebounds -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$115



NBA Picks for Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024 (1-2, -$300)


Denver Nuggets NBA Picks Against the Spread Washington Bullets NBA Picks Against the Spread
Denver Nuggets at Washington Bullets.
Line: Nuggets by 13.5.

7:00 PM ET

I was wrong about the Bullets last night. Their loss to the Spurs was pathetic, and now they have to battle a Denver team that has battled nothing but tough opponents recently. This is a huge step down in competition for the Nuggets, who should be able to win this game easily.

Player Prop: We won with Isaiah Hartenstein’s rebounding prop several nights ago because the Bullets can’t rebound. This is why I like Nikola Jokic’s rebounding prop tonight. Jokic averages 11.9 rebounds per game, so all he needs to do is hit his average against the worst-rebounding team in the league. The best number is over 11.5 -125 at ESPN Bet. If you don’t have that, you can find -129 at Caesars and then -130 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -13.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic over 11.5 rebounds -125 (1 Unit) – ESPN Bet — Correct; +$100

Boston Celtics NBA Picks Against the Spread Houston Rockets NBA Picks Against the Spread
Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets.
Line: Celtics by 11.5.

7:30 PM ET

The Rockets used up all their energy in an overtime battle against the Jazz last night. It’s going to be tough for them to summon the strength to battle the Celtics tonight. Boston just crushed Houston by 32. If the Rockets had more time and energy, they could maybe tilt things in their favor in this game, but that’ll be difficult considering the circumstances.

Player Prop: Just one player prop today, which I have listed above.

NBA Pick: Celtics -11.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200



NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 20, 2024 (2-2, -$5)


San Antonio Spurs NBA Picks Against the Spread Washington Bullets NBA Picks Against the Spread
San Antonio Spurs at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 3.

7:00 PM ET

The Bullets have been terrible this year with their seven victories, but they’ve done well against the spread lately, posting a 3-1-1 record in their previous five games. I like them against the Spurs, who played a tough game against the Hornets last night.

The Spurs are terrible against point guards. Tyus Jones is coming off a poor performance, but he should play well tonight. Tyus Jones is averaging 12.5 points per game, so all he needs to do is hit his average versus a tired team that doesn’t defend well in the first place. The best number is over 12.5 -112 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bullets -3 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyus Jones over 12.5 points -112 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Picks Against the Spread Atlanta Hawks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Cavaliers by 3.5.

7:30 PM ET

The Hawks used up all their energy in their comeback against the Heat yesterday on Udonis Haslem jersey retirement night. This is a tough turn-around versus the Cavaliers, who are on fire with six consecutive victories.

Player Prop: Atlanta struggles against bigs, so I could see Jarrett Allen going off. I like Allen over 17.5 points. Without Evan Mobley this season, Allen is averaging 18.1 points per game, so we’re asking him to hit his average against a tired Atlanta team that can’t defend the paint. The best number is over 17.5 -106 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

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NBA Pick: Cavaliers -3.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jarrett Allen over 17.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105



NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 19, 2024 (2-0, +$305)


Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread Portland Trailblazers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Indiana Pacers at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Pacers by 4.5.

10:00 PM ET

The Pacers played a tough game against the Kings last night, so I could see them being a no-show in this game. The Blazers have made some lineup changes lately and should be more competitive.

Player Prop: I expect this game to be competitive, so I like Jerami Grant to go over 19.5 points. Grant averages 21.5 points per game, so we’re just asking him to hit his usual output against one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA. The best number is over 19.5 -135 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers +4.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jerami Grant over 19.5 points -135 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 18, 2024 (2-0, +$300)


Chicago Bulls NBA Picks Against the Spread Toronto Raptors NBA Picks Against the Spread
Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Bulls by 2.5.

7:30 PM ET

The Raptors are playing on no rest and will be short-handed tonight because of the Pascal Siakam trade. Toronto is 2-4 against the spread on no rest when playing a team with rest anyway, so it’s not like they handled this sort of situation well in the first place.

Player Prop: I’m not sure what sort of drugs Jonas Valanciunas was on last night, but he put forth no effort in that game. Hopefully we’ll have better luck with Isaiah Hartenstein tonight. Hartenstein has gone over his rebounding prop of 13.5 in four of his previous six games. Washington can’t rebound, so it’s not a surprise that he pulled down 19 boards against them in a recent matchup. The best number is over 13.5 +105 at DraftKings. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bulls -2.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Isaiah Hartenstein over 13.5 rebounds +105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 17, 2024 (0-2, -$300)


Charlotte Hornets NBA Picks Against the Spread New Orleans Pelicans NBA Picks Against the Spread
Charlotte Hornets at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 11.

9:00 PM ET

The Pelicans are in a tough scheduling spot. They just beat the Mavericks, and they have to take on the Suns in two nights. I can’t see them taking the Hornets seriously, so Charlotte should be able to keep this game close.

Player Prop: Because I believe this game will be close, I like the Jonas Valanciunas over points + rebounds. The Hornets can’t defend big men at all, so Valanciunas should have a big game. The best number is over 23.5 -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hornets +11 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jonas Valancinuas over 23.5 points + rebounds -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100



NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2024 (0-1, -$120)


Sacramento Kings NBA Picks Against the Spread Phoenix Suns NBA Picks Against the Spread
Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 4.5.

9:00 PM ET

Player Prop: I don’t see a side I like tonight, but I’m going to bet over on Bradley Beal points. The Kings are very weak defensively to shooting guards, and we’ve seen Beal score into the 20s recently. The best number is over 19.5 -120 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Player Prop: Bradley Beal over 19.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$120



NBA Picks for Sunday, Jan. 14, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


San Antonio Spurs NBA Picks Against the Spread Atlanta Hawks NBA Picks Against the Spread
San Antonio Spurs at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 7.5.

3:30 PM ET

We had success fading the Hawks a couple of nights ago, as they were inflated from their overtime victory against the 76ers. They’re still overrated and favored by way too many points. I like the Spurs to cover.

Player Prop: The Pacers play no defense, and Lauri Markkanen has been on a tear. I was suprised to see his points prop at only 24.5. The best number is over 24.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Spurs +7.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Lauri Markkanen over 24.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Sunday, Jan. 14, 2024 (0-2, -$320)


Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread Denver Nuggets NBA Picks Against the Spread
Indiana Pacers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 11.

3:30 PM ET

The Pacers are in for a rude awakening, as they discover how difficult life will be without Tyrese Haliburton. They’re 2-0 without Haliburton thus far, but they’ve played against two bad teams. The Nuggets are on another level, and I like how they responded after their loss to Utah.

Player Prop: The Blazers can’t defend anyone in the front court. In two games against the Blazers this year, Kevin Durant has scored 40 and 31 points, so I like him over his point total. The best number is over 25.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -11 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Kevin Durant over 25.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$120



NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024 (1-1, +$110)


Washington Bullets NBA Picks Against the Spread Atlanta Hawks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Washington Bullets at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 7.

7:30 PM ET

The Bullets have been more competitive recently, so they should have a chance to cover this spread with the Hawks coming off last night’s game. Atlanta is a bit inflated now from its overtime win versus the 76ers. Aside from that game, the Hawks are 1-8 against the spread in their previous nine games.

Player Prop: The Spurs are very weak to guards, especially point guards. They allow a ton of production to that position, so Coby White will have a chance to rack up lots of assists. He’s gone over 5.5 assists in four of his previous five games anyway. The best number is over 5.5 -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bullets +7 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
Player Prop: Coby White over 5.5 assists -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100



NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 12, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


Toronto Raptors NBA Picks Against the Spread Utah Jazz NBA Picks Against the Spread
Toronto Raptors at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 2.

8:00 PM ET

We’ve been on the Jazz twice this week, but this seems to be a good fade spot for them after they beat the Nuggets, Bucks, and 76ers. They have to play again tomorrow night, so they may take Toronto lightly. The Raptors nearly defeated the Clippers and Lakers in their previous two games, so they’re live to win.

Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama has the easiest matchup of the night for any big man. The Hornets surrender tons of production to bigs, so Wembanyama could go nuts. I like the over 31.5 points + rebounds. The best number is over 31.5 -113 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Raptors +2 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama over 31.5 -113 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 11, 2024 (1-1, -$100)


New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread Dallas Mavericks NBA Picks Against the Spread
New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Knicks by 4.5.

8:30 PM ET

Luka Doncic is out for the Mavericks tonight. Before you wonder if the Mavericks can muster a win without their best player, consider that Dallas is 1-3 without Doncic this year, and the one victory was against the crappy Blazers. Dallas is 6-7 in its previous 13 games overall, so it’s not like the team is playing well anyway. The Knicks, meanwhile, are on a tear, and they have a huge advantage in the paint against the Mavericks, who can’t rebound at all.

Player Prop: We lost a heart-breaker here last night. Let’s hope we rebound with Julius Randle. As mentioned, the Mavericks struggle against bigs, and Randle has cleared the points + rebounds over total of 37.5 in five of his previous seven games anyway. The best number is over 37.5 -106 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Knicks -4.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Julius Randle over 37.5 points + rebounds -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 10, 2024 (1-1, +$100)


Denver Nuggets NBA Picks Against the Spread Utah Jazz NBA Picks Against the Spread
Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Nuggets by 6.

10:00 PM ET

The Nuggets are currently in their mid-season malaise, as they’ve posted a 3-5 ATS record in their previous eight games. The Jazz, meanwhile, have been a covering machine, and the sportsbooks haven’t accounted for that yet. It’s no surprise to see sharp money coming in on Utah.

Player Prop: I like Paul Reed over 18.5 points + rebounds. Reed is usually productive when Joel Embiid is out, and the Hawks are very weak to centers. The best number is over 18.5 -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz +6 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
Player Prop: Paul Reed over 18.5 points + rebounds -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100



NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 9, 2024


Toronto Raptors NBA Picks Against the Spread Los Angeles Lakers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 5.

10:30 PM ET

It’s not surprising to see sharp action come in on the Lakers. The Raptors are in a tough spot tonight. They were already weak to guard play, and now they’ll be without Jakob Poeltl against Anthony Davis.

Player Prop: I like Austin Reaves over 5.5 assists. As mentioned, the Raptors give up a ton of production to guards, and Reaves has easily cleared 5.5 assists in three of his previous four games. The best number is over 5.5 -105 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Lakers -5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Austin Reaves over 5.5 assists -105 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 8, 2024


Utah Jazz NBA Picks Against the Spread Milwaukee Bucks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 8.

8:00 PM ET

The NBA picks are back now that the regular season is over. I’m going to kick things off with the Jazz, who are getting the sharp money tonight versus the shorthanded Bucks. Utah is weakest defensively versus guards, but Damian Lillard is out, so the Bucks can’t exploit that mismatch.

Player Prop: I like Jaylen Brown over 28.5 points. Jayson Tatum is out, and Brown averages 27.7 points per game in his career without Tatum. That’s about on par with the prop for tonight’s game, but it doesn’t take into account how bad Indiana is defensively. The best number is over 28.5 -105 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz +8 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
Player Prop: Jaylen Brown over 28.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100