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NFL Weekly Predictions
Week 1, 2008

Weekly write-ups and thoughts to be posted here. If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.


Washington Redskins (0-0) at New York Giants (0-0)
Line: Giants by 4. Total: .
Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Giants -8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
Thursday, 7:00 ET - Buy Tickets

The Game. Edge: .
Injuries:

Game write-up to be posted here.


The Psychology. Edge: Giants.
Defending Super Bowl champions have done fairly well in their first game of the following season. Without any worthy opponents on the horizon, the Giants will be completely pumped up and motivated.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: .
  • History: Giants have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current coaches are 54-44* ATS as divisional dogs of 7+ since 2002. ???
  • Giants are 7-14 ATS as favorites of 6.5 or more the previous 21 instances.
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:





    Houston Texans (0-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0)
    Line: Steelers by 7. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Steelers -9.5.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 1:00 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: Texans.
    This is an obvious Breather Alert for the Steelers, as they battle the Browns, Eagles, Ravens and Jaguars after the "lowly" Texans.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Steelers are 4-7 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Ben Roethlisberger is 44-17 as a starter (37-24 ATS).
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:





    Detroit Lions (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
    Line: Lions by 1. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Lions -1.5.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 1:00 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: .
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Lions are 4-10 ATS on the road since 2006.
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:







    St. Louis Rams (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
    Line: Eagles by 6.5. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Eagles -6.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 1:00 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: Rams.
    Like the Steelers, the Eagles have a couple of tough battles ahead, including Dallas and Pittsburgh. Breather Alert. That said, I don't think the Rams are considered a walk-over like the Texans are, even though the latter is probably a better team than the former.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Rams are 16-31 ATS in road games since 2001.
  • Rams are 9-21 ATS on grass since 2001.
  • Eagles are 46-30 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:





    Seattle Seahawks (0-0) at Buffalo Bills (0-0)
    Line: Bills by 2. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Seahawks -3.5.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 1:00 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 23-36 ATS since 2002 (Mike Holmgren 2-10).
  • Seahawks are 6-12 ATS on the road since 2006.
  • Matt Hasselbeck is 8-14 ATS as a road favorite. ???
  • Bills are 14-9 ATS as a dog under Dick Jauron. ???
  • Bills are 5-9 ATS in season openers the previous 13 years.
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:





    New York Jets (0-0) at Miami Dolphins (0-0)
    Line: Jets by 3. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Dolphins -2.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 1:00 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Jets have won 16 of the last 20 meetings.
  • Jets are 17-27-3 ATS as an underdog the previous 47 instances (10-10 under Eric Mangini). ???
  • Jets are 5-3 ATS as a favorite under Eric Mangini. ???
  • Dolphins are 9-6 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Dolphins are 29-17 SU in September since 1994.
  • Dolphins are 9-3 ATS as a home underdog after two straight losses the previous 12 instances. ???
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:








    Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at New England Patriots (0-0)
    Line: Patriots by 15.5. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Patriots -20.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 1:00 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: Chiefs.
    Excuses... The Patriots probably believe they should have won the Super Bowl. I doubt they'll be unfocused for the lowly Chiefs.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Super Bowl Loser Syndrome: Super Bowl losers are 3-11 ATS in their first game the following season.
  • Patriots are 38-27 ATS at home under Bill Belichick.
  • Tom Brady is 99-27 as a starter (76-48 ATS).
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:





    Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) at New Orleans Saints (0-0)
    Line: Saints by 3.5. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Saints -2.5.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 1:00 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Road Team has won 8 of the last 12 meetings.
  • Saints are 18-36 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Saints are 11-26 ATS as a home favorite since 2001. ???
  • Drew Brees is 26-16 ATS as a dog. ???
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:





    Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0)
    Line: Jaguars by 2.5. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Jaguars -2.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 1:00 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Jaguars have won 4 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Jaguars are 10-3 ATS as an underdog since 2006. ???
  • Vince Young is 17-11 as a starter (17-11 ATS).
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:








    Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
    Line: Pick. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Ravens -3.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 1:00 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: .
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Bengals have won 6 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Carson Palmer is 7-4 ATS as a road favorite. ???
  • Steve McNair is 7-4 ATS as a home dog since 2001. ???
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:





    Carolina Panthers (0-0) at San Diego Chargers (0-0)
    Line: Chargers by 8.5. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Chargers -13.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 4:15 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: Panthers.
    A Look-Ahead Alert for the Chargers, who play rival Denver next.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Jake Delhomme is 25-12 ATS on the road.
  • Jake Delhomme is 20-3 ATS as an underdog.
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:





    Arizona Cardinals (0-0) at San Francisco 49ers (0-0)
    Line: Cardinals by 3.5. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Cardinals -1.5.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 4:15 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: 49ers have won the last 2 meetings.
  • Matt Leinart is 9-4 ATS as a starter.
  • Matt Leinart is 3-2 ATS as a road dog. ???
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:







    Dallas Cowboys (0-0) at Cleveland Browns (0-0)
    Line: Cowboys by 3. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Cowboys -2.5.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 4:15 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Tony Romo is 4-0 ATS as a starter in September.
  • Tony Romo is 7-3 ATS on the road.
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:





    Chicago Bears (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0)
    Line: Colts by 9. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Colts -14.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Sunday, 8:15 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    The Colts have the Vikings next week, so they shouldn't be looking ahead.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Colts are 14-7 ATS vs. the NFC under Tony Dungy.
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:





    Minnesota Vikings (0-0) at Green Bay Packers (0-0)
    Line: Packers by 3. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Packers -3.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Monday, 7:00 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: Packers.
    The Packers will try to prove that they can survive without Brett Favre.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Packers have won the last 4 meetings.
  • Packers are 6-9 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:







    Denver Broncos (0-0) at Oakland Raiders (0-0)
    Line: Broncos by 2. Total: .
    Walt's Projected Line (As of April 16): Broncos -3.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Preseason): .
    Monday, 10:15 ET - Buy Tickets

    The Game. Edge: .
    Injuries:

    Game write-up to be posted here.


    The Psychology. Edge: Broncos.
    The Broncos play the Chargers next, so they may not take the Oakland ACLs too seriously.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Line analysis and betting trends to be posted here.
  • Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Broncos have won 16 of the last 21 meetings (Raiders 4-0 ATS since 2006).
  • Broncos are 5-16 ATS as a favorite since 2006. ???
  • Raiders are 8-22 ATS at home the previous 30 instances.
  • Raiders are 0-6 ATS as a favorite since 2006. ???
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .


    Fantasy Spin.
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .


    Prediction:




    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

  • Prop picks will be listed here.


    Second-Half Bets
    Check back at halftime to see if I have any plays posted.

  • Second-half picks will be listed here.



    Back to WalterFootball.com Home

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    Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.


    Last Week Against The Spread (Super Bowl XLII): 1-0 (+$300)
    Last Week's Money Picks (Super Bowl XLII): 1-0 (+$300)
    Last Week's Double Money Picks (Super Bowl XLII): 0-0 ($0)
    Last Week Over-Under (Super Bowl XLII): 1-0 (+$100)
    Last Week's Second-Half Picks (Super Bowl XLII): 0-0 ($0)
    Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Super Bowl XLII): 7-8 (+$345)

    2007 Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)

    2007 Season Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
    2007 Season Money Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
    2007 Season Double Money Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2007 Season Second-Half Picks: 15-12-1, 55.6% (+$80)
    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: 33-56, 37.1% (+$1,035)

    1999 Season Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
    2000 Season Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
    2001 Season Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
    2002 Season Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
    2003 Season Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
    2004 Season Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
    2005 Season Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
    2006 Season Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)

    2002 Season Money Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
    2003 Season Money Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
    2004 Season Money Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
    2005 Season Money Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
    2006 Season Money Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)

    2002 Season Double Money Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
    2003 Season Double Money Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
    2004 Season Double Money Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
    2005 Season Double Money Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
    2006 Season Double Money Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)

    2006 Season Second-Half Bets: 6-2 (75.0%)

    2006 Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)

    Career Against The Spread: 1,166-1,053-67 (52.6%)
    Career Money Picks: 378-317-16 (54.4%)
    Career Double Money Picks: 125-117-5 (51.7%)
    Career Over-Under: 755-753-21 (50.1%)
    Career Second-Half Picks: 21-14-1 (60.0%)
    Career Picks of the Month: 6-6 (50.0%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.

    Cowboys: 10-7
    Bears: 7-9
    Bucs: 9-8
    49ers: 7-8
    Eagles: 5-10
    Lions: 8-6
    Falcons: 9-7
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 11-8
    Packers: 6-11
    Panthers: 8-8
    Rams: 10-6
    Redskins: 8-7
    Vikings: 8-6
    Saints: 8-8
    Seahawks: 9-8
    Bills: 8-6
    Bengals: 9-6
    Colts: 9-8
    Broncos: 9-7
    Dolphins: 7-6
    Browns: 7-9
    Jaguars: 8-10
    Chargers: 13-6
    Jets: 8-7
    Ravens: 10-5
    Texans: 9-7
    Chiefs: 6-8
    Patriots: 12-7
    Steelers: 11-6
    Titans: 7-10
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-41
    2x Game Edge: 36-38
    2x Psych Edge: 33-36
    2x Vegas Edge: 55-66
    2x Trend Edge: 38-24
    Double Edge: 12-15
    Triple Edge: 5-6
    Quad Edge: 0-0

    2003 Preeason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 21
    2004 Preeason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21
    2005 Preeason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21
    2006 Preeason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21
    2007 Preeason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |


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