Free Baseball Picks
Baseball Picks (April 5-12, 2009): -$1,220
Baseball Picks (April 13-19, 2009): +$1,500
Baseball Picks (April 20-26, 2009): -$480
Baseball Picks (April 27-May 3, 2009): -$1,480
Baseball Picks (May 4-10, 2009): -$130
Baseball Picks (May 11-17, 2009): -$1,515
Baseball Picks (May 18-24, 2009): -$1,000
Baseball Picks (May 25-31, 2009): -$175
Baseball Picks (June 1-7, 2009): +$1,810
Baseball Picks (June 8-14, 2009): +$390
Baseball Picks (June 15-21, 2009): -$1,330
Baseball Picks (June 22-28, 2009): +$1,060
Baseball Picks (June 29-July 5, 2009): -$10
2009 Season Winnings (as of June 29): -$2,570
Baseball Picks (April 13-19, 2009): +$1,500
Baseball Picks (April 20-26, 2009): -$480
Baseball Picks (April 27-May 3, 2009): -$1,480
Baseball Picks (May 4-10, 2009): -$130
Baseball Picks (May 11-17, 2009): -$1,515
Baseball Picks (May 18-24, 2009): -$1,000
Baseball Picks (May 25-31, 2009): -$175
Baseball Picks (June 1-7, 2009): +$1,810
Baseball Picks (June 8-14, 2009): +$390
Baseball Picks (June 15-21, 2009): -$1,330
Baseball Picks (June 22-28, 2009): +$1,060
Baseball Picks (June 29-July 5, 2009): -$10
2009 Season Winnings (as of June 29): -$2,570
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Line: Brewers +145; Cubs -155.
Going with the Cubs again - they haven't been too hot lately, but should be better at home versus an inflated Brewers squad.
Prediction: Cubs 6, Brewers 4
Cubs -155 (2 Units)
Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants
Line: Astros +185; Giants -200.
The Astros have been winning lately, but at home or against crappy teams on the road. Just one unit because the juice is way too high.
Prediction: Giants 3, Astros 1
Giants -200 (1 Unit)
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Line: Brewers +145; Cubs -155.
Damn you, Pirates, for blowing a 5-0 lead. Awesome job.
Going with the Cubs today - they haven't been too hot lately, but should be better at home versus an inflated Brewers squad.
Prediction: Cubs 4, Brewers 3
Cubs -155 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants
Line: Astros +110; Giants -120.
The Astros have been winning lately, but at home or against crappy teams on the road.
Prediction: Giants 3, Astros 1
Giants -120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Mets +125; Pirates -135.
Considering how bad Tim Redding is, I think we're getting a great deal on underrated Pittsburgh.
Prediction: Pirates 8, Mets 3
Pirates -135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$270
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Cubs -135; Pirates +125.
You had to see this one coming. I've been fading the Cubs and betting the Pirates, so this is a match made on WalterFootball.com.
Prediction: Pirates 3, Cubs 2
Pirates +125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Rockies +135; Dodgers -145.
As evidenced when the Rockies lost two of three against the Angels, they're winning streak has been largely the result of beating up on teams at home and crappy squads on the road. I'll take the Dodgers at a solid price.
Prediction: Dodgers 4, Rockies 3
Dodgers -145 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Cubs -125; Pirates +115.
You had to see this one coming. I've been fading the Cubs and betting the Pirates, so this is a match made on WalterFootball.com, despite the fact that Pittsburgh suddenly has a habit of trailing 3-0 every game.
Prediction: Pirates 4, Cubs 3
Pirates +115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$230
Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Rockies +160; Dodgers -170.
As evidenced when the Rockies lost two of three against the Angels, they're winning streak has been largely the result of beating up on teams at home and crappy squads on the road. I'll take the Dodgers at a fair price.
Prediction: Dodgers 4, Rockies 3
Dodgers -170 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$340
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Cubs +105; Pirates -115.
You had to see this one coming. I've been fading the Cubs and betting the Pirates, so this is a match made on WalterFootball.com.
Prediction: Pirates 5, Cubs 4
Pirates -115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$230
Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Rockies +125; Dodgers -135.
As evidenced when the Rockies lost two of three against the Angels, they're winning streak has been largely the result of beating up on teams at home and crappy squads on the road. I'll take the Dodgers at a great price.
Prediction: Dodgers 4, Rockies 2
Dodgers -135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Kansas City Royals at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Royals -155; Pirates +145.
The Royals just won two out of three, but they did so against the crappy Astros. The Pirates are actually a pretty solid team with their new lead-off hitter.
Prediction: Pirates 3, Royals 2
Pirates +145 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox
Line: Cubs -105; White Sox -105.
The Cubs had a nice winning streak, but they were able to build it by beating up on crap teams. The White Sox will continue where the Tigers left off.
Prediction: White Sox 7, Cubs 5
White Sox -105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Kansas City Royals at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Royals +145; Pirates -155.
The Royals just won two out of three, but they did so against the crappy Astros. The Pirates are actually a pretty solid team with their new lead-off hitter.
Prediction: Pirates 6, Royals 5
Pirates -155 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox
Line: Cubs -105; White Sox -105.
The Cubs had a nice winning streak, but they were able to build it by beating up on crap teams. The White Sox will continue where the Tigers left off... hopefully starting tonight.
Prediction: White Sox 3, Cubs 2
White Sox -130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Kansas City Royals at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Royals -130; Pirates +120.
The Royals just won two out of three, but they did so against the crappy Astros. The Pirates are actually a pretty solid team with their new lead-off hitter.
Prediction: Pirates 4, Royals 3
Pirates +120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$240
Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox
Line: Cubs -105; White Sox -105.
The Cubs had a nice winning streak, but they were able to build it by beating up on crap teams. The White Sox will continue where the Tigers left off.
Prediction: White Sox 6, Cubs 4
White Sox -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210
Cleveland Indians at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Indians -155; Pirates +145.
No way should the Indians ever be favored at a $1.55 clip on the road.
Prediction: Pirates 8, Indians 6
Pirates +145 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$290
Chicago Cubs at Detroit Tigers
Line: Cubs -120; Tigers +110.
The Cubs had a nice winning streak, but they were able to build it by beating up on crap teams. The Tigers, meanwhile, are on fire.
Prediction: Tigers 5, Cubs 3
Tigers +110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$220
Cleveland Indians at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Indians +120; Pirates -130.
The Pirates were beat up at Minnesota and Colorado, but they should be able to play much better at home. Let's not count yesterday's fiasco. Why does Ian Snell suck so bad now?
Prediction: Pirates 4, Indians 1
Pirates -130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Chicago Cubs at Detroit Tigers
Line: Cubs +115; Tigers -125.
The Cubs had a nice winning streak, but they were able to build it by beating up on crap teams. The Tigers, meanwhile, are playing really well right now.
Prediction: Tigers 7, Cubs 5
Tigers -125 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Cleveland Indians at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Indians +105; Pirates -115.
The Pirates were beat up at Minnesota and Colorado, but they should be able to play much better at home.
Prediction: Pirates 4, Indians 2
Pirates -115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$230
Chicago Cubs at Detroit Tigers
Line: Cubs +125; Tigers -135.
The Cubs have a nice winning streak, but they were able to build it by beating up on crap teams. The Tigers, meanwhile, are playing really well right now.
Prediction: Tigers 7, Cubs 3
Tigers -135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Angels
Line: Rockies +115; Angels -125.
Call me a skeptic (or an idiot) but I'm not completely buying into the Rockies. Most of their wins have come at home. The Angels, meanwhile, are nearly as hot, having just two losses since June 11.
Prediction: Angels 8, Rockies 6
Angels -125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$250
Baltimore Orioles at Philadelphia Phillies
Line: Orioles +170; Phillies -180.
I refuse to believe that the Phillies can get swept at home by the crappy Orioles.
Prediction: Phillies 4, Orioles 3
Phillies -180 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$360
Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers
Line: Brewers +115; Tigers -125.
The two pitchers here are about even, so I still think we're getting a great bargain on the Tigers.
Prediction: Tigers 9, Brewers 6
Tigers -125 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Tampa Rays at New York Mets
Line: Rays +100; Mets -110.
What I said about the Tigers can also be applied to the Mets.
Prediction: Mets 2, Rays 1
Mets -110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Baltimore Orioles at Philadelphia Phillies
Line: Orioles +155; Phillies -165.
Once again, compared to the Blue Jays, Red Sox and Mets, the craptastic Orioles will be a breeze for the Phils.
Prediction: Phillies 5, Orioles 3
Phillies -165 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers
Line: Brewers +100; Tigers -110.
The Tigers have struggled on the road recently, but they'll be more comfortable at home again. This is the cheapest you'll be able to get the Tigers at home for a while.
Prediction: Tigers 6, Brewers 4
Tigers -110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Tampa Rays at New York Mets
Line: Rays +115; Mets -125.
Like the Tigers, the Mets should be able to stop the bleeding at home. I can't believe we're getting Johan Santana at just $1.25.
Prediction: Mets 3, Rays 2
Mets -125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$250
Baltimore Orioles at Philadelphia Phillies
Line: Orioles +135; Phillies -145.
Compared to the Blue Jays, Red Sox and Mets, the craptastic Orioles will be a breeze for the Phils.
Prediction: Phillies 3, Orioles 1
Phillies -145 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$290
Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers
Line: Brewers +110; Tigers -120.
The Tigers have struggled on the road recently, but they'll be more comfortable at home again.
Prediction: Tigers 4, Brewers 2
Tigers -120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Tampa Rays at New York Mets
Line: Rays +105; Mets -115.
Like the Tigers, the Mets should be able to stop the bleeding at home.
Prediction: Mets 5, Rays 4
Mets -115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Arizona Diamondbacks at Kansas City Royals
Line: Diamondbacks -135; Royals +125.
Under no circumstances should Arizona be $1.25 favorites on the road. They're only 7-6 when Dan Haren pitches anyway.
Prediction: Royals 5, Diamondbacks 2
Royals +125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres
Line: Mariners +100; Padres -110.
The Padres have to win one of these days, right?
Prediction: Padres 5, Mariners 3
Padres -110 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Arizona Diamondbacks at Kansas City Royals
Line: Diamondbacks +155; Royals -165.
Day No. 5 of betting on the Royals, and I finally get to go with Zack Greinke.
Prediction: Royals 8, Diamondbacks 4
Royals -165 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres
Line: Mariners +115; Padres -125.
Nice job getting two hits last night, Padres. Maybe you'll be lucky and get three tonight.
Prediction: Padres 3, Mariners 2
Padres -125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$250
Arizona Diamondbacks at Kansas City Royals
Line: Diamondbacks +125; Royals -135.
I think the Royals are still pretty underrated, so I'm going to keep riding them.
Prediction: Royals 8, Diamondbacks 5
Royals -135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres
Line: Mariners -140; Padres +130.
The Mariners aren't very good, so I don't see how they can be $1.40 road favorites, even against the crappy Padres.
Prediction: Padres 6, Mariners 3
Padres +130 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Los Angeles Angels at San Francisco Giants
Line: Angels -115; Giants +105.
I'm upset that I can no longer take the Royals over the Reds, but the Giants look like a solid play tonight.
Prediction: Giants 2, Angels 1
Giants +105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Cincinnati Reds at Kansas City Royals
Line: Reds -130; Royals +120.
Whoa, I'm taking the Royals again? No way. I bet you didn't see that coming.
Prediction: Royals 7, Reds 5
Royals +120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$240
Cincinnati Reds at Kansas City Royals
Line: Reds +100; Royals -110.
If you haven't guessed by my pattern, I'm going with the Royals again.
Prediction: Royals 3, Reds 1
Royals -110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Cincinnati Reds at Kansas City Royals
Line: Reds +100; Royals -110.
Only one game I like tonight. Can't believe I'm taking the crappy Royals.
Prediction: Royals 4, Reds 2
Royals -110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles
Line: Mariners +150; Orioles -160.
I've been so hot with my baseball picks that it felt really weird to go 0-2 last night. I guarantee that it might happen again.
Prediction: Orioles 3, Mariners 2
Orioles -160 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$480
Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics
Line: Twins +100; Athletics -110.
If I do go 0-2 again, some teams may hire me to fade them again. That would be awesome.
Prediction: Athletics 8, Twins 7
Athletics -110 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles
Line: Mariners +100; Orioles -110.
Going against the Mariners again. Best analysis ever.
Prediction: Orioles 5, Mariners 2
Orioles -110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics
Line: Twins +115; Athletics -125.
I don't know how the A's have won seven in a row. They suck. Yeah, I'm ignoring last night's 10-0 loss.
Prediction: Athletics 6, Twins 3
Athletics -125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$250
Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles
Line: Mariners +115; Orioles -125.
I had such a great time betting on this Mariners team last week, I'm now going to fade them. Let's go Orioles!
Prediction: Orioles 6, Mariners 3
Orioles -125 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics
Line: Twins -110; Athletics +100.
Day 5 of betting against the Twins. I find it odd that they're favored, but whatever.
Prediction: Athletics 3, Twins 2
Athletics +100 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves
Line: Pirates +130; Braves -140.
My fourth day in a row betting against the Pirates. The people in Pittsburgh would hate me right now if I didn't have the Steelers in the top three of my 2009 NFL Power Rankings.
Prediction: Braves 4, Pirates 3
Braves -140 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics
Line: Twins +120; Athletics -130.
The fourth day in a row that I'm going against the Twins. The people in Minnesota would really hate me if I didn't refrain from making fun of Tarvaris Jackson and Brad Clueless all of the time. Whoops.
Prediction: Athletics 6, Twins 3
Athletics -130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros
Line: Pirates +110; Astros -120.
What happened to Roy Oswalt? When he become so terrible? I could ask the same thing about Ian Snell.
Prediction: Astros 3, Pirates 2
Astros -120 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners
Line: Twins +120; Mariners -130.
Sometimes it pays to be stubborn. Let's hope the Mariners take two out of three.
Prediction: Mariners 2, Twins 1
Mariners -130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros
Line: Pirates +145; Astros -155.
Damn Mariners had to ruin my streak. The Twins won the game in the 10th thanks to a fielding error.
Prediction: Astros 8, Pirates 4
Astros -155 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$310
Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners
Line: Twins -105; Mariners -105.
And on that note, I'm taking the Mariners again. I'm a stubborn man.
Prediction: Mariners 4, Twins 1
Mariners -105 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros
Line: Pirates +120; Astros -130.
Funny that the Pirates want to hire me to fade them after it didn't work on the Mets yesterday. It almost seems like I'm making all of this up.
Prediction: Astros 5, Pirates 4
Astros -130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners
Line: Twins +140; Mariners -150.
Twins hired me, yadda yadda yadda, go Twins.
Prediction: Mariners 6, Twins 4
Mariners -150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Mets -120; Pirates +110.
Well, the Orioles and Padres have fired me. The good news is the Mets have enlisted my services. Go Pirates!
Prediction: Pirates 4, Mets 3
Pirates +110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$220
Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays
Line: Royals +155; Rays -165.
The Royals are a mess, so they've hired me to clean up. Don't worry Kansas City, you'll be winning in no time.
Prediction: Rays 9, Royals 6
Rays -165 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres
Line: Phillies +110; Padres -120.
Both my picks won yesterday, and now both the Padres and Orioles are asking for refunds. So, I'm making these picks for free today. Damn it.
Prediction: Phillies 6, Padres 5
Phillies +110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$220
Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
Line: Orioles +115; Mariners -125.
I went 2-0 yesterday. That can't possibly happen again.
Prediction: Mariners 3, Orioles 1
Mariners -125 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres
Line: Phillies +165; Padres -175.
Jake Peavy is a tough pitcher, but the Padres are still paying me to fade them. Best job ever.
Prediction: Phillies 7, Padres 1
Phillies +165 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$330
Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
Line: Orioles +140; Mariners -150.
Ichiro got to third base on an error in the first inning last night with no outs. Seattle couldn't score him. That was the difference, as Baltimore won, 1-0. Only my picks can make such disastrous things happen. Let's go Orioles!
Prediction: Mariners 4, Orioles 2
Mariners -150 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres
Line: Phillies -115; Padres +105.
Phew. I lost both of my picks again. We can all sleep peacefully tonight.
Prediction: Phillies 9, Padres 3
Phillies -115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
Line: Orioles +115; Mariners -125.
The Orioles have caught of wind of my successful fading plan. They've decided to hire me to turn around all of their years of losing.
Prediction: Mariners 5, Orioles 1
Mariners -125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$250
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
Line: Padres +130; Rockies -140.
OK, at this point, I'm fading the Padres and Dodgers for free. I can't keep winners in baseball. As Emmitt would say, it's unpossible.
Prediction: Rockies 8, Dodgers 6
Rockies -140 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$280
Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
Line: Dodgers +125; Cubs -135.
Manny Ramirez is going to debacle me if the Cubs win this game. That's not good news for me, seeing as how he's all good and roided up.
Prediction: Cubs 5, Dodgers 3
Cubs -135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$270
Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
Line: Dodgers +130; Cubs -140.
Don't know how the Cubs won yesterday, but I'll make sure it won't happen again. Manny's pissed off at me, so my fade better come through.
Prediction: Cubs 3, Dodgers 1
Cubs -140 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
Line: Padres +110; Rockies -120.
The Padres are also asking for their money back. I told them I'd fade them today for free. Go Rocks!
Prediction: Rockies 7, Padres 4
Rockies -120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
Line: Dodgers -105; Cubs -105.
Manny just phoned it in. He sent me $200 to pick against his Dodgers again, so that's what I'm doing. L.A. should be able to beat a stupid Cubs team that doesn't know how to manufacture runs without hitting the ball out of the park. Seriously, stranding five base runners with less than two outs in the eighth and ninth innings last night? Nice job.
Prediction: Cubs 7, Dodgers 5
Cubs -105 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
Line: Padres +120; Rockies -130.
The Padres are once again utilizing my services. It's goinig to be a good race between San Diego and the Dodgers; the winner of the NL West will be the one that pays me the most money to fade them.
Prediction: Rockies 9, Padres 6
Rockies -130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
Line: Dodgers +110; Cubs -120.
I am awesome. I told you yesterday that the Padres were paying me to fade them, and it worked. San Diego won easily. Now, I just received payment from Manny Ramirez who was taking a break from using steroids. Manny asked me to go against the Dodgers so that they could win yet again.
Prediction: Cubs 8, Dodgers 4
Cubs -120 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$240
Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
Line: Pirates +165; Cubs -175.
At this point, teams should hire me to pick against them so they can win every night. Pittsburgh could realistically finish with 120 wins if they pay me to fade them every day. I'd do it for $100 bucks per game. Too bad their owner can't afford that.
Prediction: Cubs 4, Pirates 2
Cubs -175 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
Line: Padres -155; Diamondbacks +145.
Who is San Diego to be laying $1.55 on the road? I'll tell you who - the team that paid me to pick against them!
Prediction: Diamondbacks 3, Padres 1
Diamondbacks +145 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels
Line: White Sox +175; Angels -185.
My baseball picks are fail. But so is Bartolo Colon; the White Sox are 2-6 when he pitches. I'm going with the Angels.
Prediction: Angels 6, White Sox 3
Angles -185 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$185
Arizona Diamondbacks at Oakland Athletics
Line: Diamondbacks +120; Athletics -130.
My baseball picks are fail. They take a lot of time and research, and I can't seem to find any winning angles. Bah, stupid Angels bullpen. Anyway, Oakland seems like a solid play here at a cheap price. Jon Garland's BB-K ratio has been horrendous lately, while this Josh Outman character has been pitching well.
I like the Athletics, so I'm going with Arizona.
Prediction: Diamondbacks 7, Athletics 3
Diamondbacks +120 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Texas Rangers at Houston Astros
Line: Rangers -120; Astros +110.
That's it... that's it... it's become apparent that I can't handicap my way out of a paperbag when it comes to babseball. So, from now on, I'm going to fade myself. It's so crazy that it might just work.
Scott Feldman hasn't really pitched too well despite his 2.17 ERA. He's barely striking anyone out, and his BB-K ratio is just 0.62 on the year. Brian Mohehler's has been much better, especially at home (0.29). Houston as a home dog is worth a play.
I like the Astros, so I'm going with Texas.
Prediction: Rangers 6, Astros 2
Rangers -120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Angels +115; Dodgers -125.
John Lackey struggled in his only start this year, while Randy Wolf is always good at home. Despite last night's loss, the Dodgers are the better team and are good value here at -125. I like the Dodgers, so I'm going with Angels.
Prediction: Angels 5, Dodgers 1
Angels +115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees
Line: Phillies +140; Yankees -150.
From my twitter account (twitter.com/walterfootball): Brian Wilson hits a batter to walk in the tying run. Next batter hits the gw single. Thank you, SF Giants for sucking royally at life!
I think there's more than a 60-percent chance that the Yankees win this game. Brett Myers has surrendered 12 home runs this year, so he could get killed at Coors Field. The Yanks, meanwhile, have ripped off nine in a row with A-Rod back.
Prediction: Yankees 10, Phillies 5
Yankees -150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Angels +110; Dodgers -120.
Vegas is telling us that the Dodgers will win this matchup 54.5 percent of the time. I think that's too low; Los Angeles is outstanding at home and is playing as well as anyone in the NL right now.
Prediction: Dodgers 3, Angels 2
Dodgers -120 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$240
San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
Line: Giants -150; Padres +140.
This line is telling us that Tim Linecum beats San Diego on the road 60 percent of the time. Seems a bit low to me.
Prediction: Giants 4, Padres 1
Giants -150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves
Total: 8.0.
They don't have the name recognition, but Jorge de la Rosa and Javier Vazquez have been pitching lights out recently. De la Rosa has 22 strikeouts and one walk in his previous two starts. Vazquez, meanwhile, has a sterling BB/K ratio of 0.19, as he's recorded at least seven strikeouts in his previous six outings. With tons of strikeouts, there won't be many balls in play. I like the Under.
Prediction: Braves 3, Rockies 1
Under 8.0 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals
Line: Indians +115; Royals -125.
Kansas City at -125 means there's a 55.6 percent chance the win this matchup. That number is way too low. The Royals have played really well this year, while Fausto Carmona has thrown terribly. In his last four games, Carmona has registered 14 walks to just 12 strikeouts.
Prediction: Royals 8, Indians 5
Royals -125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$250
Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds
Line: Phillies -110; Reds +100.
I think the Phillies win this matchup 56-57 percent of the time, which means we're getting great value here. Sure, Johnny Cueto has put up much better numbers, but in his past two outings, he has four walks to just seven strikeouts. If the Phillies can put the ball in play, you know they're going to generate runs. Meanwhile, after a slow start, Cole Hamels has 16 strikeouts to just three walks in his previous two starts. Hamels is back; his 5.04 ERA is a product of his playing four games while injured.
At any rate, the Reds don't really impress me much, and we're not going to get Hamels this cheap often. Phils win their fifth in a row.
Prediction: Phillies 5, Reds 1
Phillies -110 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves
Line: Rockies +180; Braves -190.
The Rocks are worth a shot here. Though Jair Jurrjens seems like the better pitcher because of his ERA and WHIP, both Jurrjens and Jason Hammel are basically the same when it comes to BB-K ratio. Jurrjens has been luckier, while Hammel has had the misfortunate of pitching thrice at Coors Field.
Also, consider that the Braves are somehow just 6-11 at home, as they lost last night to Colorado. Atlanta does not win this matchup 65.5 percent of the time, so there's some value with the Rocks.
Prediction: Rockies 7, Braves 5
Rockies +180 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Oakland Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays
Line: Athletics +130; Rays -140.
Would the Rays win this matchup more than 58.3 percent of the time? I think so. The Athletics are garbage, and both pitchers suck, making that a wash.
Prediction: Rays 6, Athletics 3
Rays -140 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals
Line: Phillies -105; Nationals -105.
Wow, I didn't lose money yesterday. Go me. Anyway, this line is telling us that this game is a 50-50 proposition. That's BS. Chan Ho Park sucks, but it's not like Washington's pitcher is much better. The Phillies are a hot team, while the Nats just suck.
Prediction: Phillies 8, Nationals 5
Phillies -105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners
Line: Boston Red Sox -140; Mariners +130.
This line is telling us that the Red Sox are going to win 58.3 percent of these matchups. That seems low; the Mariners aren't very good and Justin Vargas doesn't throw many strikeouts, so Boston's going to put a lot of balls in play.
Prediction: Red Sox 7, Mariners 3
Red Sox -140 (1 Units) -- Incorrect; -$140
Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Line: White Sox +210; Blue Jays -230.
A third game because I have a great stat for you. In the past two years, Roy Halladay has pitched nine or more innings in 12 games. He's 4-7 in the next game after that. Those numbers add up to 11 because the 12th time just happened this week.
Prediction: White Sox 3, Blue Jays 2
White Sox +210 (1 Units) -- Incorrect; -$100
New York Mets at San Francisco Giants
Line: Mets -160; Mets +150.
I may suck royally at handicapping baseball, but I know one thing - baseball makes no sense if the Giants lose with Tim Lincecum and then go on to beat Johan Santana the next night.
Prediction: Mets 3, Giants 2
Mets -160 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees
Line: Twins +180; Yankees -190.
This will be the second game I lose. I feel as though Joba chamberlain and Nick Blackburn are about the same, and so I don't see what the Yankees did to be favored by $1.90.
Prediction: Twins 6, Yankees 4
Twins +180 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
New York Mets at San Francisco Giants
Line: Mets +155; Giants -165.
I feel really safe betting on Tim Linecum. He recently won at the Dodgers and Cubs, and San Francisco is 5-2 when he pitches.
Prediction: Giants 3, Mets 1
Giants -165 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$165
Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers
Line: Angels +105; Rangers -115.
After four mediocre starts, Joe Saunders has really found his groove; he has 13 strikeouts to just two walks in his past two games. I like the Angels here as a dog.
Prediction: Angels 5, Rangers 2
Angels +105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Houston Astros at Colorado Rockies
Line: Astros -115; Rockies +105.
Wandy Rodriguez is 5-2 with a 1.80 ERA and a 1.044 WHIP. That's why the Astros are favored on the road, but Rodriguez is not as good as those numbers indicate. Rodriguez has a 0.41 BB/K ratio, which is pretty high (0.67 on the road). That means he walks a good amount of batters and doesn't strike many out when playing in away games. I think Colorado's bats may hit some of those balls out of the park.
Prediction: Rockies 9, Astros 5
Rockies +105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Line: Yankees -135; Blue Jays +125.
I've made fun of the fact that Carsten Charles Sabathia showed up to Yankee camp out of shape, but he's been much better lately. Though two of the last three games have been losses, he's struck 20 batters and only surrendered two walks in that time span.
Prediction: Yankees 4, Blue Jays 2
Yankees -135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Line: Yankees -110; Blue Jays +100.
The Blue Jays are better than the Yankees. Scott Richmond (3.29 ERA, 1.20 WHIP) has been a stronger pitcher than Andy Pettitte (4.38 ERA, 1.36 WHIP) this year. Toronto is also at home. I'd say they win this matchup about 57-58 percent of the time. Yet, this line is telling us the Yankees would win 52.4 percent of the time here (110/[110+100]). Can you say "overvalued?"
Prediction: Blue Jays 4, Yankees 1
Blue Jays +100 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300
Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics
Line: Royals +105; Athletics -115.
This line is telling us that the Athletics would win this matchup 53.5 percent of the time (115/[115+100]). I don't see how that's possible. Kansas City is better on the road than Oakland is at home. Brian Bannister (1.48 ERA, 1.19 WHIP) is a much better pitcher than this Outman character (5.31 ERA, 1.66 WHIP). Kansas City should be -125 here, so we're getting very good value at +105.
Prediction: Royals 4, Athletics 3
Royals +105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Houston Astros at Colorado Rockies
Line: Astros +150; Rockies -160.
This line tells us that the Rockies at home with Jimenez (5.45 ERA; 1.61 WHIP) would beat the Astros with Paulino (2.55 ERA; 1.30 WHIP) about 61 percent of the time. I'm not buying it. Both of these teams are equal, and Houston's road record (6-7) is actually better than Colorado's home record (6-8). This line should be closer to +110/-120, so we're getting great value here.
Prediction: Astros 9, Rockies 6
Astros +150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Line: Yankees +125; Blue Jays -135.
Would the Blue Jays with Roy Halladay at home beat the Yankees and A.J. Burnett 57 percent of the time? I definitely think so; the hot-hitting Blue Jays are 6-1 when Halladay takes the mound, so laying $1.35 versus the overrated Yankees seems like a great proposition.
Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Yankees 2
Blue Jays -135 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
Line: Braves +180; Mets -190.
It'd be easier to take the run line, but the Mets haven't really supplied Johan Santana with much firepower this year. I'll lay the $1.90.
Prediction: Mets 2, Braves 1
Mets -190 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$380
Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants
Line: Nationals +130; Giants -140.
Speaking of firepower, the Giants have none. Their offense stinks, and I think there's a good chance the Nats cover the +1.5 run line.
Prediction: Giants 3, Nationals 2
Nationals +1.5 -165 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Giants -130; Dodgers +120.
I sided with the Dodgers yesterday. Today, it'll be the Giants. Tim Linecum FTW.
Prediction: Giants 3, Dodgers 1
Giants -130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins
Line: Mariners -115; Twins +105.
This may seem odd, but I'm laying -155 on the Minnesota +1.5 run line. I just feel there's so much more value there; I'm not expecting a lot of runs here.
Prediction: Mariners 2, Twins 1
Twins +1.5 -155 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$310
San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Giants +135; Dodgers -145.
I expect the Dodgers to bounce back after losing to the Giants last night. I think this is the first favorite I'm backing all year, so I guess I've switched over to the dark side.
Prediction: Dodgers 4, Giants 1
Dodgers -145 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks
Line: Nationals +115; Diamondbacks -125.
So much for taking favorites. I find it a bit odd that the pathetic Nats are just +115 on the road, so let's roll the dice with them.
Prediction: Nationals 3, Diamondbacks 1
Nationals +115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$230
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
Line: Yankees -155; Orioles +145.
Carsten Charles Sabathia is really overrated; in the wake of signing his huge contract, C.C. went on to eat dozens of pancakes every day, conveniently forgetting to stay in shape. Consequently, the Yankees are 2-4 when he pitches. I like getting a divisional home underdog at standard juice on the run line.
Prediction: Yankees 8, Orioles 7
Orioles +1.5 -110 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Line: Braves +160; Phillies -170.
The Braves seem to have Philly's number and Cole Hamels hasn't been the same pitcher this year. We get slightly more value on the run line than we do on the moneyline.
Prediction: Phillies 3, Braves 2
Braves +1.5 -130 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$260
Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals
Line: Pirates +180; Cardinals -190.
Not sure why Todd Wellemeyer and his 5.28 ERA are such big favorites. Let's go with the dog.
Prediction: Cardinals 5, Pirates 4
Pirates +1.5 -120 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$480
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees
Line: Rays +140; Yankees -150.
Brian Cashman has put together yet another failure (shouldn't this guy have been fired years ago?) so I feel comfortable taking any moderately sized underdog against the mediocre Yankees.
Prediction: Rays 6, Yankees 3
Rays +140 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$280
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Line: Phillies +235; Mets -255.
Yeah, because the Mets are so good that they deserve to be $2.55 favorites. Please.
Prediction: Phillies 3, Mets 2
Phillies +1.5 +105 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$420
Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays
Line: Orioles +175; Rays -185.
Once again, going with the Orioles; Tampa Bay should still be flat after its series against Boston.
Prediction: Orioles 5, Rays 3
Orioles +1.5 -120 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$480
Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays
Line: Orioles +205; Rays -225.
The Rays are coming off a series against the Red Sox, so they could be flat here. Plus, anything can happen in a divisional rivalry.
Prediction: Orioles 4, Rays 2
Orioles +1.5 +100 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Padres +215; Dodgers -235.
The Dodgers are a bit overpriced here and Sundays are usually a good day for the +1.5 run line.
Prediction: Dodgers 3, Padres 2
Padres +1.5 +105 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$400
Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees
Line: Angels +230; Yankees -250.
A day after complaining about balls not bouncing my way (that's what she said), I took the Marlins at +1.5, and watched them lose a 5-1 lead to conveniently lose by two. Awesome.
Prediction: Yankees 7, Angels 6
Angels +1.5 +110 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$440
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Line: Red Sox -125; Rays +105.
Tim Wakefield is on fire right now, so we're getting a good price on the Rays.
Prediction: Rays 9, Red Sox 6
Rays +105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Florida Marlins at Chicago Cubs
Line: Marlins +245; Cubs -265.
I've had three 4-unit games in April that I've lost either in the bottom of the eighth (which is a big deal on the run line) or in extra innings (which is very improbable if you're taking the run line on the road). The ball's just not bouncing our way.
Prediction: Marlins 8, Cubs 4
Marlins +1.5 +125 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$400
Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.
Free Baseball Picks:
2009: April - May and June
2008: April - May - June - July - August -
2007: April - May - June - July - August - Sept/Oct -
2006 Season Winnings: -$655 (+$2,640 since Aug. 19)
2007 Season Winnings: -$5,840
2008 Season Winnings: -$4,935
Career Winnings: -$11,380
© 1999-2009 Walter Cherepinsky : all rights reserved
Privacy Policy
2 5 9