Baseball Picks
Baseball Picks (April 1-3): 1-2 (-$305)
Baseball Picks (April 4-10): 6-5 (-$10)
Baseball Picks (April 11-17): 4-5 (-$200)
Baseball Picks (April 18-24): 1-6 (-$500)
Baseball Picks (May 2-8): 3-3 (+$25)
Baseball Picks (May 9-15): 6-4 (+$315)
Baseball Picks (May 16-22): 2-3 (-$255)
Baseball Picks (May 23-29): 7-0 (+$715)
Baseball Picks (May 30-June 5): 3-4 (-$255)
Baseball Picks (June 6-12): 4-3 (+$15)
Baseball Picks (June 13-19): 3-3 (+$10)
Baseball Picks (June 20-26): 3-3 (-$15)
Baseball Picks (June 27-July 3): 3-4 (-$345)
Baseball Picks (July 4-10): 5-1 (+$370)
Baseball Picks (July 11-17): 0-2 (-$220)
Baseball Picks (July 18-24): 4-4 (-$135)
Baseball Picks (July 25-31): 0-1 (-$120)
2011 Season Winnings: 55-53 (-$940)
Baseball Picks (April 4-10): 6-5 (-$10)
Baseball Picks (April 11-17): 4-5 (-$200)
Baseball Picks (April 18-24): 1-6 (-$500)
Baseball Picks (May 2-8): 3-3 (+$25)
Baseball Picks (May 9-15): 6-4 (+$315)
Baseball Picks (May 16-22): 2-3 (-$255)
Baseball Picks (May 23-29): 7-0 (+$715)
Baseball Picks (May 30-June 5): 3-4 (-$255)
Baseball Picks (June 6-12): 4-3 (+$15)
Baseball Picks (June 13-19): 3-3 (+$10)
Baseball Picks (June 20-26): 3-3 (-$15)
Baseball Picks (June 27-July 3): 3-4 (-$345)
Baseball Picks (July 4-10): 5-1 (+$370)
Baseball Picks (July 11-17): 0-2 (-$220)
Baseball Picks (July 18-24): 4-4 (-$135)
Baseball Picks (July 25-31): 0-1 (-$120)
2011 Season Winnings: 55-53 (-$940)
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox.
Line: Tigers -1.5 +100; White Sox +140.
8:00 PM ET (Game 927-928)
Sorry for the late pick today. I've been busy with the 2011 NFL Free Agent Cuts. I'm going with Justin Verlander today. The Tigers hit righties much better than the White Sox, so they SHOULD win this game.
Prediction: Tigers -1.5 +100 (1 Unit)
|
BIG TIME BRO!!!
02-07-2012
02:49 am
xxx.xxx.xxx2.37
(total posts: 154)
 0
 0
Congrats CHUCKSTER. Keep on chuggin fella. I didnt have time to post today. i almost had a monster night but the BLAZERS got screwed on a bad call (goaltend) by the refs. My rant/vent is in the basketball forum. Ended up slightly in the hole for the day but only minimal damage. Lookin to clean it up and get back on the poistive side. GL going foward fella
chuckster
02-07-2012
01:37 am
xxx.xxx.xxx2.60
(total posts: 13)
0
0
Good night as I got the first game of a three teamer in basketball. Now I just found out that Ana/Cal gme is in overtime at 2 to 2. Which is great because I've got that game Under 5.5 !! Good luck to everyone going forward.
chuckster
02-06-2012
11:11 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx2.60
(total posts: 13)
0
0
NHL: taking Ana/Cal game UNDER 5.5 tonight to start up a 2 team open parlay. Did not have time to post but for what it's worth took the Bulls -1 vs. Nets tonight in a three team eight point open teaser. Thought about teasing Philly/Lacker game up and going UNDER, but last minute decided not to, would have won that one to. At the time would have had the total at 186, final score was 95 to 90 Philly. No guts no glory, but to be fair Kobe missed a ton of shots after the first half. Good luck to all tonight and forward.
GStar
02-06-2012
04:57 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx66.5
(total posts: 269)
4
1
I went 3-1 yesterday 2-0 with NHL picks and 1-1 with Superbowl..
Today for NHL I'm betting PHX ML and EDM ML..
BC
02-06-2012
03:26 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx8.88
(total posts: 241)
1
1
(JAN 20th -EOS)
Current Bankroll = $88.03 Current Unit = 1 unit = $2.50(5%) System Plays - All ML YTD 13-3 ML +20.8 units 2/6/12 No Plays My Plays 2/4/12 1-1 ML, 0-0 RPL, 0-0 Parlay +1.1 Units YTD:8-3 ML, 6-4 RPL, Parlays 5-2 +15.21 Units NHL 2/6/12 ML ANA (-140) 2x Regulation PL TOR (-107) 1x Parlay NP Off the Record CAL/ANA Under 5.5
BIG TIME BRO!!!
02-06-2012
12:16 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx2.37
(total posts: 154)
5
1
Well fellas. Football is no more strictly Hoops and Hockey for the next few months till baseball starts up. congrats to the winners yesterday. Pats $hit down their leg again and dare i say......are getting old? Brady looked like a scared mouse in the pocket yest and was off target after Tuck sacked him. And that pass to Welker was on Brady. Wes could have caught it, but he was wide open and the old Brady puts that on the money and Weler would not have had to contort his small midget body. Still won 22 units ($2,200) for the week, but could have had MUCH MORE (like 90 aka 9k) ouch, but its gambling baby!!! GL today fellas. Gonna do some research on these hoop games
Okman
02-06-2012
12:16 am
xxx.xxx.xxx8.83
(total posts: 15)
2
2
Thank you Sir, I know there is tomorrow, ie, onto to NBA.
chuckster
02-06-2012
12:11 am
xxx.xxx.xxx2.60
(total posts: 13)
3
2
Well the total just crushed my small wager with NE +7.5 and NY +12.5 and Over 44. Congrats to all Giant and under wagers. Lost a little tonight, no big deal. Only surprise to me was the low scoreing of both offenses. Tomorrow is another day, Good luck to all going forward. Congrats Okman!
Okman
02-06-2012
12:03 am
xxx.xxx.xxx7.85
(total posts: 14)
6
2
Won 20 units on under 54.5 and lost 10 units on Patriots, overall up 9 units! Congratulations to all the winners tonight!
Nyyank
02-05-2012
09:10 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.101
(total posts: 1)
2
3
All over pats second half!! Giants owned them and are still down!
BIG TIME BRO!!!
02-05-2012
07:57 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx2.37
(total posts: 154)
2
2
@YANK
Did u take that HEADS/PATS win coin toss with me? Lol.....it actually hit. I won $250 on it.
speedy
02-05-2012
07:26 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx8.67
(total posts: 13)
2
2
My plays for the day so far
Under 27 ist half - looking for both teams to feel each other out and try an establish the coverages each SUPERSTAR QB will see and what if any wrinkles they may have...I also think Brady will be pressured early and often and unitl they figure out the blocking scheme to keep those monters off him he will likely struggle....Eli isn't a great 1st half QB. Teaser for the game...NYG plus 9 and Over 47....I don't beleive this will be a blowout either way and why wouldn't i take 9 points...also I EVERYONE is on the under..did we forget these defenses are 28th and 31st against the pass?? these two should go off in the second half and I see it being a close game with a final of 31-28 with a last scoring drive of 80 yard with 55 seconds! GL PLAYAS...oh yeah, what the f@#k do i know
BIG TIME BRO!!!
02-05-2012
07:09 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx2.37
(total posts: 154)
2
2
I have loved the GIANTS up until this week. I have been flippin and floppin like a fish out of water or a hooker out of work on this game. I am now on the PATS and i cant get off of them. Is it because of GISELE BUNDCHEN's plea for prayers for the PATS to win? NO!!! Its because of GISELE BUNDCHEN's HUSBAND......he scares the $hit outta me!!! Peeps on this site as well as analysts have been saying THOMAS BRADY will be in "F-U" mode. I disagree. I think he will be in F-EVERYBODY mode. He is what i think is going on in BRADY's head before this game. F-U GIANTS for beating me in the last SUPER BOWL. F-U ELI MANNING for out performing me in head to head matchups. F-U LUCAS OIL STADIUM and the city of INDY for all the $hit u have given me throughout the years in battles w/ PEYTON MANNING and the COLTS. Oh and yet another F-U GISELE BUNDCHEN......well not yet. Let me win this game 1st babe then i will "F-U". BRADY is pretty nuch saying F-EVERYBODY and F-EVERYTHING!!! Regardless of the outcome of the game. I will be finishing the week with my 3rd straight winning week and i am very thankful for that. GL to everyone whichever way u go!
PATS ML And small plays on some prop bets
bird
02-05-2012
04:58 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.191
(total posts: 1)
2
2
im thinking PATS & UNDER...
wanna win big on a super bowl play to cap off good season bird
chuckster
02-05-2012
03:54 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx2.60
(total posts: 13)
2
2
Should have posted OVER 44 in last post. GLTA.
|
San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies.
Line: Padres +230; Phillies -1.5 -120.
8:00 PM ET (Game 929-930)
Baseball is stupid. How did the Rangers score zero runs against a five-plus ERA guy? I can't wait for football to start.
The Phillies have the starting pitching, hitting and bullpen edge in this game, so they'll probably lose 3-0.
Prediction: Phillies -1.5 -120 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$120
Padres 5, Phillies 4
Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers.
Line: Blue Jays +190; Rangers -1.5 -110.
8:00 PM ET (Game 929-930)
Call me stubborn, but I'm going with the Rangers moneyline again. Texas has a huge advantage in terms of starting pitching, bullpen and hitting today; the team is batting .333 against lefties in its previous 10 games, so Brett Cecil is sure to give up a plethora of runs.
Prediction: Rangers -1.5 -110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Rangers 3, Blue Jays 0
Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers.
Line: Blue Jays +150; Rangers -1.5 +110.
8:00 PM ET (Game 979-980)
I'm going with the Rangers again today. They should be a larger favorite than -165; they once again have the edge in terms of starting pitching, bullpen and hitting. Texas' Matt Harrison has pitched well lately, while Toronto's Carlos Villanueva isn't very good. The Rangers are batting .270 against southpaws in their previous 10 games, so they should be able to force Villanueva out of the game fairly early.
Prediction: Rangers -1.5 +110 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Rangers 5, Blue Jays 4
Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants.
Line: Brewers +125; Giants -135.
10:00 PM ET (Game 915-916)
I have two baseball picks today because I couldn't decide between last year's World Series teams.
San Francisco, for some reason, continues to be undervalued. The team is batting .265 against righties in its previous 10 games. The Giants should be able to hit mediocre Shaun Marcum and get to Milwaukee's pedestrian bullpen.
Prediction: Giants -135 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$135
Brewers 4, Giants 2
Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers.
Line: Blue Jays +180; Rangers -1.5 -110.
8:00 PM ET (Game 925-926)
The Rangers have dropped two in a row after that torrid streak, but their bats are still hot; they're hitting .319 against lefties in their previous 10 games, so they should have no problem knocking around Jo-Jo Reyes. Texas has the superior starting pitcher and bullpen in this matchup, so it should win this contest easily.
Prediction: Rangers -1.5 -110 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Rangers 12, Blue Jays 2
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins.
Line: Tigers -1.5 -105; Twins +140.
8:00 PM ET (Game 965-966)
Man, am I glad I didn't lay -160 last night.
I'm not laying -160 tonight either, but I am going with the Tigers run line at just about even money. Justin Verlander is the best pitcher in baseball, so I feel like we're getting a pretty good deal with Detroit. The Tigers are batting .271 against righties in their previous 10 games, so they should be able to knock out mediocre Carl Pavano fairly early and beat up on Minnesota's weak bullpen.
Prediction: Tigers -1.5 -105 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Tigers 6, Twins 2
San Diego Padres at Florida Marlins.
Line: Padres +150; Marlins -1.5 +130.
7:00 PM ET (Game 909-910)
I can't pick the Giants again today because of Clayton Kershaw. Instead, I'll go against their in-state rivals. The red-hot Marlins have a huge edge in this game today. They're batting .266 against righties in their previous 10 games, while slumping San Diego is hitting just .142 in the same category.
Ricky Nolasco is a better starting pitcher than Aaron Harang. Harang's numbers may look better, but he can't pitch more than six innings most of the time. This presents a huge problem for the Padres, who have only two bullpen pitchers available coming off rest. Florida's bullpen situation is much more favorable.
I'm going with the run line because -160 is just too much to lay.
Prediction: Marlins -1.5 +130 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Padres 16, Marlins 3
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants.
Line: Dodgers +130; Giants -140.
10:00 PM ET (Game 965-966)
I'm going with the Giants again; for the second day in a row, they're not favored by enough. They have the superior starting pitching, bullpen and hitting. They're still batting .258 against righties in their previous 10 games. The Dodgers, meanwhile, are only slightly better against southpaws (.207) than they are against right-handed pitchers (.181).
Prediction: Giants -140 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Giants 5, Dodgers 3
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants.
Line: Dodgers +120; Giants -130.
10:00 PM ET (Game 911-912)
The Giants are too small of a favorite here. They have the superior starting pitching, bullpen and hitting. They're batting .258 against righties in their previous 10 games, while the Dodgers are hitting a meager .172.
Prediction: Giants -130 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Giants 5, Dodgers 0
Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Brewers +110; Rockies -120.
8:00 PM ET (Game 911-912)
The Rockies have been hitting well since the All-Star break, and I expect that to continue tonight. Zack Greinke has struggled in his past few starts. If Colorado can knock him out early, the team should continue to score runs against a bullpen that is in shambles right now - even with the addition of K-Rod.
Prediction: Rockies -120 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$120
Brewers 8, Rockies 7
Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners.
Line: Rangers -115; Mariners +105.
10:00 PM ET (Game 913-914)
I think the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Texas' Derek Holland isn't very good, so the Mariners, who are hitting lefties at a .265 clip in their previous 10 games, should be able to score some runs. The Rangers may not have as much luck against the superior Jason Vargas. Plus, Seattle has the bullpen edge.
Prediction: Mariners +105 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Rangers 5, Mariners 0
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates.
Line: Cubs +115; Pirates -125.
1:30 PM ET (Game 955-956)
The Pirates have a big pitching edge in this game. Pittsburgh is batting .294 in its previous 10 games against righties, and Chicago's Ramon Ortiz stinks. If the Pirates knock Ortiz out early, they'll continue scoring against the Cubs' inept bullpen. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh's Paul Maholm is a decent pitcher. Chicago is hitting .192 in its previous 10 contests against southpaws.
Prediction: Pirates -125 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Pirates 9, Cubs 1
New York Mets at San Francisco Giants.
Line: Mets +165; Giants -1.5 +125.
9:00 PM ET (Game 903-904)
Although Tim Lincecum hasn't been as dominant this year, San Francisco still holds a huge pitching advantage in this contest. New York, without Jose Reyes, should struggle to hit Lincecum. Meanwhile, the Giants are batting .282 against southpaws in their previous 10 games. Chris Capuano isn't very good, so if he's knocked out of the game early, San Francisco should be able to score a few runs against the Mets' anemic bullpen.
Prediction: Giants -1.5 +125 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$125
Giants 3, Mets 1
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox.
Line: Orioles +200; Red Sox -1.5 -115.
7:00 PM ET (Game 971-972)
This seems unfair. The Red Sox are hitting .267 against lefties in their previous 10 games, and Zach Britton isn't a very good pitcher. Boston should be able to knock him out early and then take advantage of a poor bullpen. Meanwhile, the Orioles (.224 against righties) won't have nearly as much luck against Josh Beckett.
Prediction: Red Sox -1.5 -115 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Red Sox 10, Orioles 3
Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers.
Line: Orioles +170; Rangers -1.5 -105.
8:00 PM ET (Game 979-980)
The Rangers are hitting .308 against righties in their previous 10 games, so they should be able to knock Jeremy Guthrie out of the game quickly. Baltimore's bullpen stinks, so Texas should win this game. Then again, Zach Duke became a Cy Young candidate last night, so I guess you never know.
Prediction: Rangers -1.5 -105 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Rangers 13, Orioles 5
Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers.
Line: Diamondbacks +145; Brewers -155.
8:00 PM ET (Game 909-910)
Zach Duke is one of the worst pitchers in baseball. The Brewers have been hitting the ball well lately, so if they can knock him out of the game fairly early, they'll have a field day against Arizona's overworked bullpen.
Prediction: Brewers -155 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$155
Diamondbacks 7, Brewers 3
Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers.
Line: Orioles +185; Rangers -1.5 -105.
8:00 PM ET (Game 977-978)
I stopped watching yesterday's game when the Phillies were up 4-1 with Cliff Lee on the mound. What the hell?
At any rate, the Rangers are hitting .284 against righties, so they should be able to knock out the crappy Chris Jakubauskas fairly early. Baltimore's pedestrian bullpen is overworked right now.
Prediction: Rangers -1.5 -105 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Rangers 13, Orioles 4
Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays.
Line: Phillies -175; Blue Jays +165.
1:00 PM ET (Game 905-906)
This is not just a play on Clifton Lee. The Phillies have been hitting well recently, so they should be able to knock the crappy J.J. Reyes out of the game rather quickly. If so, they'll have a field day against Toronto's overworked bullpen.
Prediction: Phillies -175 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$175
Blue Jays 7, Phillies 4
San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners.
Line: Padres +115; Mariners -125.
10:00 PM ET (Game 979-980)
Seattle has the much better starting pitcher, which makes me question why this line is so low. Doug Fister is very good, while Cory Luebke has never pitched more than six innings. The Mariners don't hit very well overall, but they're much better against lefties (.245) than righties (.207) so they should be able to knock Leubke out of the game fairly quickly.
Prediction: Mariners -125 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$125
Padres 1, Mariners 0
Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves.
Line: Orioles +165; Braves -175.
7:30 PM ET (Game 915-916)
Laying -175 may seem like a lot, but I think we're getting pretty good value with Atlanta tonight. The Braves have a big pitching edge with Jair Jurrjens and a rested bullpen. Baltimore, meanwhile, counters with a pedestrian Jeremy Guthrie and crappy, semi-overworked relievers. The Braves are batting a solid .256 against righties in their previous 10 games, so they should be able to get Guthrie out of the game somewhat quickly.
Prediction: Braves -175 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Braves 4, Orioles 0
New York Mets at Detroit Tigers.
Line: Mets +205; Tigers -1.5 -115.
1:00 PM ET (Game 955-956)
This is a rare occasion where I'll take the run line since -225 is too much to risk. The Tigers have a huge edge in this game, as Justin Verlander is the best pitcher in baseball right now (though Cliff Lee's strong run may say otherwise). Still, Verlander is awesome, while Mike Pelfrey isn't anything special. The Tigers are hitting .298 against righties in their previous 10 games, so if they can get to Pelfrey, the Mets will be in big trouble because their crappy bullpen is completely overworked right now.
Prediction: Tigers -1.5 -115 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Tigers 5, Mets 2
San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs.
Line: Giants -125; Cubs +115.
8:00 PM ET (Game 901-902)
Tim Lincecum seems to have gotten his act together after a few rocky starts. Both bullpens are fried today after yesterday's double-header, so that gives the Giants a huge advantage, as Lincecum is obviously much better than Ryan Dempster.
Prediction: Giants -125 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$125
Cubs 2, Giants 1
Cleveland Indians at Arizona Diamondbacks.
Line: Indians +145; Diamondbacks -155.
9:30 PM ET (Game 971-972)
Big advantage to Arizona today. The Diamondbacks have the superior starting pitcher, while Cleveland's bullpen is completely overworked. The Indians are batting just .208 against righties in their past 10 games.
Prediction: Diamondbacks -155 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Diamondbacks 6, Indians 4
Colorado Rockies at Chicago Cubs.
Line: Rockies -110; Cubs +100.
2:00 PM ET (Game 913-914)
I love the Rockies today. They have a huge pitching mismatch. Julius Chacin is a stud, while Matt Garza hasn't been able to last more than six innings, which is an issue because as Chicago's bullpen is a mess. The Rockies shouldn't have any problems hitting Garza; they're batting .276 against righties in their previous 10 games.
Prediction: Rockies -110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Cubs 6, Rockies 3
Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals.
Line: Cubs +120; Royals -130.
2:00 PM ET (Game 969-970)
Kansas City's Luke Hochevar isn't the best pitcher in the world, but he can go seven-plus innings and he's a billion times better than Chicago's Randy Wells. The Royals are hitting .265 against righties in their previous 10 games, so they should be able to score early and often against the Cubs; Wells really sucks, while his bullpen is a disaster area right now.
Prediction: Royals -130 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Royals 6, Cubs 3
Arizona Diamondbacks at Detroit Tigers.
Line: Diamondbacks +165; Tigers -175.
7:00 PM ET (Game 913-914)
I can't figure out why this line is so low. Justin Verlander is the best pitcher in baseball right now. Meanwhile, Detroit's offense should have no issues scoring runs against Josh Collmenter and Arizona's overworked bullpen; the Tigers are hitting .295 against righties in their previous 10 games.
Prediction: Tigers -175 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Tigers 6, Diamondbacks 0
Seattle Mariners at Washington Nationals.
Line: Mariners -110; Nationals +100.
1:00 PM ET (Game 903-904)
Both Seatte and Washington have overworked bullpens, which gives the former an advantage because Michael Pineda is vastly superior to Jason Marquis. I know the Nationals are hot, but Pineda is by far the best pitcher they've seen during this 10-1 surge.
Prediction: Mariners -110 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Nationals 1, Mariners 0
Oakland Athletics at New York Mets.
Line: Athletics -105; Mets -105.
7:00 PM ET (Game 971-972)
Gio Gonzalez is a much better pitcher than R.A. Dickey. Oakland's bullpen is also vastly superior, so if Dickey has to leave the game early, New York will be in trouble. Also, the Mets are batting just .205 against lefties in their previous 10 games.
Prediction: Athletics -105 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$105
Mets 3, Athletics 2
Colorado Rockies at Cleveland Indians.
Line: Rockies -130; Indians +120.
7:00 PM ET (Game 907-908)
Baseball makes no sense sometimes. Not only does Tim Hudson come out of nowhere to pitch eight shutout innings last night; he was also the sole player responsible for Atlanta's run production, hitting a two-run homer late in the game - despite the fact that he was batting .036 at that point.
At any rate, Julius Chacin should be able to take care of business against the Indians, who are batting just .207 against righties in their previous 10 games. Cleveland's Mike Talbot, meanwhile, doesn't have the greatest bullpen support today, so if he has to leave the game early, the Indians will be in a world of trouble.
Prediction: Rockies -130 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Rockies 4, Indians 3
Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves.
Line: Blue Jays +110; Braves -120.
7:00 PM ET (Game 959-960)
Based on the overall pitching matchup, I feel like the wrong team is favored. Tim Hudson has not been himself lately, which is not good news for the Braves because their bullpen is overworked. Toronto's Ricky Romero, meanwhile, has been much better recently, and will have the support of a rested bullpen. Atlanta, by the way, is batting just .167 against lefties in its previous 10 games.
Prediction: Blue Jays +110 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Braves 2, Blue Jays 0
Detroit Tigers at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Tigers -135; Rockies +125.
3:00 PM ET (Game 921-922)
With all apologies to Roy Halladay, Justin Verlander is the best pitcher in baseball right now. Verlander has a somewhat rested bullpen to support him this afternoon. Meanwhile, Aaron Cook, who may not be able to last six innings, doesn't have the same luxury.
Prediction: Tigers -135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Tigers 9, Rockies 1
Toronto Blue Jays at Cincinnati Reds.
Line: Blue Jays +140; Reds -150.
7:00 PM ET (Game 913-914)
The Reds definitely have a big pitching advantage tonight. Jo-Jo Reyes usually doesn't last longer than six innings, and the Blue Jays have an overworked and struggling bullpen. Cincinnati's Mike Leake, meanwhile, can go eight innings if he needs to. If he can't, his bullpen is completely rested.
Prediction: Reds -150 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$150
Blue Jays 3, Reds 2
Florida Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies.
Line: Marlins +220; Phillies -1.5 -125.
1:00 PM ET (Game 951-952)
I usually don't take the run line. But when I do, I prefer going against Javier Vazquez and no bullpen support. The Phillies have a HUGE pitching advantage in this contest and should easily dispatch the struggling Marlins. I refuse to lay -250 on the moneyline, however.
Prediction: Phillies -1.5 -125 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Phillies 3, Marlins 0
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs.
Line: Brewers +100; Cubs -110.
8:00 PM ET (Game 913-914)
The Cubs have a pitching edge in this game, yet are only priced at -110. Carlos Zambrano is much better than Chris Narveson, and since both teams are having some bullpen issues right now, I feel as though this gives Chicago a big advantage.
Prediction: Cubs -110 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Brewers 9, Cubs 5
San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks.
Line: Giants +105; Diamondbacks -115.
9:30 PM ET (Game 963-964)
The Giants might be underdogs tonight, but they have a huge pitching edge in this contest. The solid Matt Cain has a rested bullpen at his back, while Joshua Collmenter, who struggles to go beyond six innings, doesn't have the same luxury in the wake of last night's crazy 12-9 marathon.
Prediction: Giants +105 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$105
Giants 6, Diamondbacks 5
Arizona Diamondbacks at Florida Marlins.
Line: Diamondbacks +125; Marlins -135.
7:00 PM ET (Game 903-904)
The Marlins have a huge pitching edge in this game. Ricky Nolasco is much better than Zach Duke, while Florida has a much fresher bullpen to support its starter.
Prediction: Marlins -135 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$135
Diamondbacks 12, Marlins 9
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays.
Line: Red Sox -170; Blue Jays +160.
1:00 PM ET (Game 971-972)
The Blue Jays are having major bullpen issues right now, so it'snot good news that the struggling Kyle Drabek is taking the mound today. Meanwhile, the vastly superior Jon Lester is 7-3 in his previous 10 starts against the Blue Jays and has a much fresher bullpen to support him.
Prediction: Red Sox -170 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Red Sox 14, Blue Jays 1
Arizona Diamondbacks at Florida Marlins.
Line: Diamondbacks -120; Marlins +110.
7:00 PM ET (Game 909-910)
Both teams have overworked bullpens, which gives Arizona the advantage. Ian Kennedy is a good pitcher who can eat up innings, while Javier Vazquez often has issues getting through six.
Prediction: Diamondbacks -120 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Diamondbacks 9, Marlins 5
Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles.
Line: Rays -125; Orioles +115.
7:00 PM ET (Game 971-972)
Both the Tampa and Baltimore bullpens aren't very good. With that in mind, the Rays have a huge advantage tonight because Jeremy Hellickson can go the distance, while Jake Arrieta never pitches more than six innings. Oh, and by the way, in three starts against Baltimore, Hellickson has surrendered just one earned run in 20 innings.
Prediction: Rays -125 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$125
Orioles 7, Rays 0
Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox.
Line: Athletics +100; White Sox -110.
8:00 PM ET (Game 925-926)
I know the Ath-ah-let-ics have lost nine in a row, but I'm taking them today. I feel as though they have a huge pitching edge in this matchup. Trevor Cahill is a stud and has the support of a rested bullpen. Mark Buehrle, meanwhile, has struggled this year, and Chicago's bullpen is having major issues right now.
Edit: Oakland's manager has just been fired. I'm not sure if this will have any sort of effect on baseball players though. Guess we'll find out.
Prediction: Athletics +100 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
White Sox 9, Athletics 4
Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates.
Line: Diamondbacks +105; Pirates -115.
7:00 PM ET (Game 957-958)
Both teams don't have very good bullpen situations today, but that gives Pittsburgh the advantage. Paul Maholm can go seven innings, no problem. Zach Duke, on the other hand, may not even make it past five innings.
Prediction: Pirates -115 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Pirates 3, Diamondbacks 2
Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels.
Line: Rays +155; Angels -165.
10:00 PM ET (Game 929-930)
LUCKY win yesterday, though I guess it did make up for Florida not scoring any runs with the bases loaded and one out in the bottom of the ninth on Sunday. I actually thought I lost the Giants game last night. I awoke this morning pleasantly surprised to find that they rallied in the eighth and won in the 13th. Awesome.
I like the Angels today. Dan Haren and a rested bullpen should shut down Tampa (Haren is 3-0 against them in the past 10 months). The Rays' Alex Cobb won't be able to last long, meaning that they'll have to rely on their woeful and somewhat worn-down bullpen.
Prediction: Angels -165 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$165
Rays 4, Angels 1
Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants.
Line: Nationals +175; Giants -185.
10:00 PM ET (Game 959-960)
Taking the Giants may seem like a no-brainer here, but I actually think this line is too low at -185. San Francisco has a huge advantage tonight with Tim Linecum and a rested bullpen going up against John Lannan and an overworked bullpen.
Prediction: Giants -185 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Giants 5, Nationals 4
Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds.
Line: Dodgers +110; Reds -120.
1:00 PM ET (Game 903-904)
I love two games today. The Dodgers and Reds both have really overworked bullpens (especially Cincinnati), which gives Los Angeles a huge advantage. Chad Billingsley can go the distance, while Travis Wood hasn't pitched more than 6 2/3 innings in any of his previous 10 starts.
Prediction: Dodgers +110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$220
Dodgers 9, Reds 6
Milwaukee Brewers at Florida Marlins.
Line: Brewers +125; Marlins -135.
1:00 PM ET (Game 905-906)
The Brewers are in bad bullpen shape, which is not good news for today's contest. Starter Chris Narveson usually can't pitch more than six innings. In fact, he went just 7 1/3 innings in his previous two starts. The Marlins have a huge edge with Anibal Sanchez and a rested bullpen.
Prediction: Marlins -135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$270
Brewers 6, Marlins 5
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox.
Line: Tigers -125; White Sox +115.
7:00 PM ET (Game 973-974)
Justin Verlander is one of the top pitchers in baseball, and I can't imagine the White Sox are too thrilled about seeing him tonight; Verlander has won his previous six starts against Chicago. Meanwhile, Edwin Jackson has had trouble getting out of the sixth inning recently, which is not good news because the White Sox bullpen is in shambles right now.
Prediction: Tigers -125 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Tigers 4, White Sox 2
Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates.
Line: Phillies -150; Pirates +140.
7:00 PM ET (Game 901-902)
The Phillies have a huge pitching edge in this game - both in terms of the starter and the bullpen. Pittsburgh's bullpen isn't very good, which could be a problem tonight because Jeff Karstens never pitches seven innings. In his only career start against Philadelphia, he surrendered five earned runs in six innings.
Prediction: Phillies -150 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$150
Pirates 2, Phillies 1
Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks.
Line: Nationals +115; Diamondbacks -125.
9:30 PM ET (Game 955-956)
Washington's Jordan Zimmerman has gone past 6 1/3 innings only once this year - all the way back in April. If he can't eat up innings, the Nationals are in trouble because their bullpen is both overworked and struggling. Arizona has a better bullpen situation, while Zach Duke pitched seven flawless innings in his previous start.
Prediction: Diamondbacks -125 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$125
Nationals 6, Diamondbacks 1
Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays.
Line: Rangers -130; Rays +120.
6:30 PM ET (Game 967-968)
Texas has a huge pitching edge in this contest. C.J. Wilson is great, while Tampa's Alex Cobb pitched just 4 1/3 innings in his only start back on May 1. If Cobb fails to eat up innings again, that'll be a huge disadvantage for the Rays, since their bullpen is in shambles right now.
Prediction: Rangers -130 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$130
Rays 5, Rangers 4
Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers.
Line: Rockies +105; Dodgers -115.
8:00 PM ET (Game 913-914)
Colorado's Jason Hammel never goes more than seven innings, and he hasn't lasted past the sixth in any of his previous four meetings with the Dodgers. If he can't stay on the mound, the Rockies are in trouble because their bullpen is really overworked right now.
Prediction: Dodgers -115 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Dodgers 7, Rockies 1
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves.
Line: Reds +130; Braves -140.
8:00 PM ET (Game 965-966)
Johnny Cueto is regarded as an elite pitcher, but he has gone more than six innings in only one start this season. The Reds' bullpen is a mess right now, and they really can't handle another low-inning effort from Cueto. This gives Atlanta a huge advantage with Jair Jurrjens on the mound.
Prediction: Braves -140 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Braves 2, Reds 1
New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners.
Line: Yankees +125; Mariners -135.
10:00 PM ET (Game 929-930)
Neither team has a very good bullpen situation for tonight's game, which obviously gives Seattle a huge advantage tonight with Felix Hernandez going against Ivan Nova. Nova has pitched past the seventh inning only once in his career. Hernandez, meanwhile, is 5-1 against New York in his previous six starts against them.
Prediction: Mariners -135 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Mariners 5, Yankees 4
Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics.
Line: Orioles +150; Athletics -160.
10:00 PM ET (Game 977-978)
Baltimore's bullpen is overworked after yesterday's 12-inning affair with Kansas City. That definitely does not bode well for tonight because starting pitcher Chris Tillman has never pitched more than 6 2/3 innings. Oh, and Oakland starting pitcher Gio Gonzalez is 2-0 lifetime against Baltimore.
Prediction: Athletics -160 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Athletics 6, Orioles 2
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies.
Line: Reds +135; Phillies -145.
1:00 PM ET (Game 901-902)
Both bullpens are fried after last night's 19-inning marathon, so it comes down to the starting pitchers. Cliff Lee has an obvious advantage over Homer Bailey. Bailey is a solid pitcher, but he's never made it past 6 1/3 innings against Philadelphia.
Prediction: Phillies -145 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Phillies 10, Reds 4
Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Diamondbacks +115; Rockies -125.
8:30 PM ET (Game 963-964)
Both of these bullpens are fried after yesterday's double header. I think this gives Arizona a huge advantage today because the superior Ian Kennedy can go deeper into the game than Jason Hammel. Also, Kennedy is 5-1 against Colorado in his previous six starts against them.
Prediction: Diamondbacks +115 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$115
Diamondbacks 2, Rockies 1
Los Angeles Dodgers at Houston Astros.
Line: Dodgers -125; Astros +115.
8:00 PM ET (Game 905-906)
Houston's J.A. Happ just threw a career-high 119 pitches in his last outing, so I don't think he'll be on the mound very long tonight. If that's the case, the Astros are in trouble because they have only two bullpen pitchers available with an ERA better than 4.00.
Prediction: Dodgers -125 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Dodgers 5, Astros 4
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies.
Line: Reds +155; Phillies -165.
7:00 PM ET (Game 951-952)
This number seemed pretty low, so I checked the stats. This is pretty cool. In his career, Cole Hamels is a perfect 8-0 against the Reds, while Bronson Arroyo is 0-5 against the Phillies since 2001. Arroyo hasn't even made it to the sixth inning against Philadelphia in any of those starts.
Prediction: Phillies -165 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Phillies 10, Reds 3
Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks.
Line: Twins +150; Diamondbacks -160.
7:00 PM ET (Game 951-952)
I don't trust Francisco Liriano at all coming off a 110-pitch outing. The Twins have a worn-out bullpen, so Arizona should win this game.
Prediction: Diamondbacks -160 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Diamondbacks 3, Twins 2
Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers.
Line: Rockies +135; Brewers -145.
7:00 PM ET (Game 951-952)
Neither team has any fresh bullpen pitchers available, so I think that's a huge advantage for the Brewers. Milwaukee's Shaun Marcum can go the distance, while Colorado's Clayton Mortensen has never gotten past the sixth inning in his MLB career.
Prediction: Brewers -145 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Brewers 3, Rockies 2
Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays.
Line: Rays -105; Jays -105.
7:00 PM ET (Game 919-920)
HUGE pitching edge for Toronto today. Jeremy Hellickson is coming off his first nine-inning outing of his career. He threw 120 pitches - also a career high. And all of this is on just four days rest. The Rays also have an overworked bullpen. Toronto's Jesse Litsch, meanwhile, is coming off six days rest. He also has a fresh bullpen to support him.
Prediction: Blue Jays -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210
Rays 6, Blue Jays 5
San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Giants +130; Rockies -140.
3:00 PM ET (Game 955-956)
Maybe I'm stubborn, but I'm going with the Giants again. Colorado's Ubaldo Jimenez has really struggled this year; he hasn't pitched more than six innings in any outing. Colorado's bullpen has just two pitchers available coming off rest, and one of them happens to have a 6.60 ERA.
Prediction: Giants +130 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Rockies 5, Giants 3
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox.
Line: Orioles -110; Red Sox +100.
7:00 PM ET (Game 971-972)
I really like Boston. Zach Britton is a great, young pitcher, but he's coming off the first nine-inning outing of his career. It was also the second time he's ever thrown more than 100 pitches. After the first occasion, Cleveland knocked him around with eight hits and five earned runs.
The Red Sox are at home. They have the better lineup and bullpen situation. Baltimore has just one bullpen pitcher coming off rest, and he has a 5.28 ERA.
Prediction: Red Sox +100 (2 Units) -- Game postponed; no action
San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Giants -145; Rockies +135.
8:30 PM ET (Game 911-912)
This is more than just backing Tim Linecum. Colorado's Clayton Mortensen has never gone more than six innings. That's unfortunate for the Rockies, who have a worn-out bullpen right now, with only four guys coming off rest.
Prediction: Giants -145 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$145
Rockies 7, Giants 4
New York Mets at Houston Astros.
Line: Mets -120; Astros +110.
2:00 PM ET (Game 957-958)
The Mets have a huge pitching edge in this game. Houston's Anuary Rodriguez hasn't gone more than five innings in a start yet, which is not good news for the Astros because their bullpen is worn out right now. The red-hot Mets should win this one easily.
Prediction: Mets -120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Mets 7, Astros 4
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds.
Line: Cardinals +115; Reds -125.
4:00 PM ET (Game 911-912)
You know, it would be great if the teams I pick stop blowing big leads. The Cardinals were up 4-0, I started drinking, and the next thing I know, they're losing. What the hell?
I like the Reds today. St. Louis' pitcher just went eight innings for the first time in his career, which isn't good news because his bullpen is overworked.
Prediction: Reds -125 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics.
Line: White Sox +110; Athletics -120.
4:00 PM ET (Game 919-920)
Same situation with the White Sox - Gavin Floyd just went eight innings, while most of the bullpen pitchers are coming off no rest. I'm going with the Ath-ah-let-ics.
Prediction: Athletics -120 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds.
Line: Cardinals +100; Reds -110.
7:00 PM ET (Game 955-956)
I like the idea of getting St. Louis as an underdog. The Cardinals are 7-4 this season as a dog. They're the better team and appear to have the edge in the pitching matchup.
Prediction: Cardinals +100 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Padres +150; Rockies -160.
8:30 PM ET (Game 963-964)
The Padres, despite being +150 dogs tonight, are the better team right now. The Rockies are in a miserable slump, having dropped six of their previous seven.
Prediction: Padres +150 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs.
Line: Cardinals -150; Cubs +140.
2:20 PM ET (Game 901-902)
I like the Cubs for two reasons. First, betting against road favorites in the final game of a series is a very good proposition. And second, Cardinals pitcher Jaime Garcia just pitched nine innings in his previous outing. He's only gone the full nine twice in his career. In his following starts, he hasn't made it past the sixth inning. That's not good news for a worn-out St. Louis bullpen.
Prediction: Cubs +140 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Cardinals 9, Cubs 1
Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves.
Line: Nationals +165; Braves -1.5 +120.
7:00 PM ET (Game 907-908)
I can't see the Nationals sweep the Braves. That's just crazy, right? Only three of Atlanta's 20 victories have been decided by one run, so I think we're safe with the run line.
Prediction: Braves -1.5 +120 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Braves 6, Nationals 5
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins.
Line: Tigers +105; Twins -115.
1:00 PM ET (Game 967-968)
I'm going with the Tigers again because the Twins don't deserve to be favored. Minnesota appears to have the pitching edge, but that's not the case. Sam Baker is coming off an eight-inning outing. I've tracked how he's done after going eight or more innings throughout his career, and here are some stats pertaining to his next start:
- Baker is 6-7 after going eight or more innings.
- Baker has pitched more than seven innings in his next start just twice.
- Baker has pitched fewer than six innings in his next start eight times.
That last stat is important because Minnesota's bullpen is worn out from yesterday's game.
Prediction: Tigers +105 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$105
Tigers 9, Twins 7
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins.
Line: Tigers +100; Twins -110.
8:00 PM ET (Game 927-928)
The Tigers are on fire, having won six of their previous seven, yet they're somehow underdogs to this miserable Minnesota team. I don't get it.
Prediction: Tigers +100 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Tigers 10, Twins 2
Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers.
Line: Athletics +110; Rangers -120.
8:00 PM ET (Game 965-966)
Going against the Rangers this time. Texas is in a slump and might be sluggish coming off that beatdown against the Yankees.
Prediction: Athletics +110 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$110
Athletics 7, Rangers 2
Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles.
Line: Rays -120; Orioles +110.
1:30 PM ET (Game 919-920)
I'm going with the Orioles this time. I like the idea of taking a home divisional dog trying to prevent a sweep.
Prediction: Orioles +110 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Rays 5, Orioles 3
New York Yankees at Texas Rangers.
Line: Yankees -160; Rangers +150.
2:00 PM ET (Game 925-926)
I don't care who's pitching; this Rangers team shouldn't be +150 home dogs to anyone. I think this line is ridiculous.
Prediction: Rangers +150 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Yankees 12, Rangers 5
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres.
Line: Diamondbacks +130; Padres -140.
10:00 PM ET (Game 913-914)
The Padres stink, so I don't know why they're a $1.40 favorite over an Arizona squad that has won six of its previous 10, including two of three against the best team in baseball.
Prediction: Diamondbacks +130 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Padres 4, Diamondbacks 3
Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles.
Line: Rays +105; Orioles -115.
7:00 PM ET (Game 921-922)
The Orioles have played like trash after a hot start. The Rays, conversely, have been awesome after Manny Ramirez retired. The better team's the underdog.
Prediction: Rays +105 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$105
Rays 6, Orioles 2
Florida Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals.
Line: Marlins -130; Cardinals +120.
1:45 PM ET (Game 953-954)
I like the idea of getting the Cardinals as a home dog. I know Josh Johnson is on the mound for Florida tonight, but he can't keep this pace up, right? Plus, St. Louis has hit him in the past.
Prediction: Cardinals +120 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$120
Cardinals 6, Marlins 3
Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners.
Line: Rangers -110; Mariners +100.
10:00 PM ET (Game 971-972)
Another solid home dog. The pitching matchup is more even here.
Prediction: Mariners +100 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Mariners 3, Rangers 1
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles.
Line: Yankees -125; Orioles +115.
1:30 PM ET (Game 921-922)
I'm going with the only thing that has worked for me thus far this season with these two games: If you've been betting against teams that are road favorites in the last game of a series since 2004 (day games), you'd be 397-390, +$9,061 (11.5% ROI).
Prediction: Orioles +115 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels.
Line: Red Sox -130; Angels +120.
3:30 PM ET (Game 927-928)
Same applies to this game.
Prediction: Angels +120 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers.
Line: Astros +155; Brewers -1.5 +130.
7:00 PM ET (Game 961-962)
I usually don't like taking the run line, but the following trend applies here. Favorites coming off a 15-plus-hit game at home are 166-187 on the run line; that's +$2,940, +7.9% ROI since 2004.
Prediction: Brewers -1.5 +130 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Astros 9, Brewers 6
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals.
Line: Reds +120; Cardinals -130.
8:00 PM ET (Game 911-912)
I'm copy-pasting. These two games involve the following trend:
If you've played divisional underdogs in April in the first game of a series that outscored their opponent in a previous day of action, you would be 125-113, +$4,905 (20.6% ROI) since 2004.
Prediction: Reds +120 (1 Unit) -- No action
No action; Edinson Volquez scratched
Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers.
Line: White Sox +150; Tigers -160.
7:00 PM ET (Game 917-918)
The same trend above applies here.
Prediction: White Sox +150 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Tigers 9, White Sox 3
Houston Astros at New York Mets.
Line: Astros +125; Mets -135.
7:00 PM ET (Game 957-958)
The Mets stink, but the Astros can't possibly sweep a series on the road, can they? If you've played against road dogs that have won the first two of a three-game series since 2004, you would be 220-113, +$5,065 (9.6% ROI).
Prediction: Mets -135 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Mets 9, Astros 1
San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Giants -125; Rockies +115.
8:40 PM ET (Game 907-908)
These two games involve the following trend:
If you've played divisional underdogs in April in the first game of a series that outscored their opponent in a previous day of action, you would be 125-111, +$5,105 (21.6% ROI) since 2004.
Prediction: Rockies +115 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Giants 8, Rockies 1
Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers.
Line: Angels +130; Rangers -140.
8:00 PM ET (Game 917-918)
The same trend applies to the Angels. The Rangers could be on an emotional low after losing to the Yankees.
Prediction: Angels +130 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Rangers 7, Angels 1
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds.
Line: Pirates +155; Reds -165.
1:00 PM ET (Game 951-952)
Three picks today, beginning with the Reds. If you've played on favorites coming off a 15-plus hit game at home since 2004, you would be 447-252, +$7,220 (6.6% ROI).
Prediction: Reds -165 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$165
Pirates 7, Reds 6
San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks.
Line: Giants -110; Diamondbacks +100.
4:00 PM ET (Game 963-964)
These next two games involve the following trend:
If you've been betting against teams that are road favorites in the last game of a series since 2004 (day games), you'd be 394-389, +$8,838 (11.3% ROI).
Prediction: Diamondbacks +100 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Diamondbacks 6, Giants 5
St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers.
Line: Cardinals -120; Dodgers +110.
4:00 PM ET (Game 965-966)
The same trend applies to the Dodgers.
Prediction: Dodgers +110 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$110
Dodgers 2, Cardinals 1
Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Cubs +155; Rockies -165.
8:00 PM ET (Game 913-914)
I'm backing the red-hot Rockies tonight. If you've played against underdogs in a night game after a 5-plus run loss on no rest since 2004, you would be 187-93, $4,465 (10.3% ROI).
Prediction: Rockies -165 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$165
Cubs 8, Rockies 3
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox.
Line: Blue Jays +165; Red Sox -175.
7:00 PM ET (Game 971-972)
The Red Sox suck, and yet they continue to be overvalued. Going against them sounds like a good idea, especially when you consider that if you've played divisional underdogs in April in the first game of a series that outscored their opponent in a previous day of action, you would be 123-111, +$4,770 (20.4% ROI) since 2004.
Prediction: Blue Jays +165 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$165
Blue Jays 7, Red Sox 6
Florida Marlins at Atlanta Braves.
Line: Marlins +125; Braves -135.
7:00 PM ET (Game 905-906)
If the first two games of a series were a split, playing the underdog is usually lucrative. If you've been betting on the dog in this situation since 2004, you're 698-789, +$12,561 (8.4% ROI).
Prediction: Marlins +125 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$125
Marlins 6, Braves 5
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals.
Line: Phillies -120; Nationals +110.
7:00 PM ET (Game 901-902)
I like the Tigers, but that game starts in 25 minutes as of this writing. I'm just taking the Phillies today. I think the hitters know that they have to give 110 percent today with Joe Blanton on the mound.
Prediction: Phillies -120 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$120
Nationals 7, Phillies 4
Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros.
Line: Cubs -125; Astros +115.
8:00 PM ET (Game 953-954)
I feel like these teams are pretty even, so we're getting good value with Houston. If you want a stat, check this out: April divisional underdogs in the first game of a series that have outscored their opponent the previous day are 122-109, +$4,855 (21.0% ROI) since 2004.
Prediction: Astros +115 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Cubs 5, Astros 4
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox.
Line: Rays +140; Red Sox -150.
7:00 PM ET (Game 963-964)
I've had the misfortune of watching the Rays on several occasions this year. They're one of the worst teams I've ever seen, and they're a great fade right now. Here's another stat: Since 2004, if you've bet against teams teams playing in a night game (no rest) after losing by five or more runs, you would be 275-202, +$5,243 (8.3% ROI).
Prediction: Red Sox -150 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$150
Rays 16, Red Sox 5
Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks.
Line: Reds -110; Diamondbacks +100.
4:00 PM ET (Game 915-916)
If you've been betting against teams that are road favorites in the last game of a series since 2004 (day games), you'd be 391-386, +$8,835 (11.4% ROI).
Also, playing on the underdog in the final game of a series in which the two teams split the other two contests is lucrative; 693-784, +$12,493 (8.5% ROI) since 2004.
Prediction: Diamondbacks +100 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Diamondbacks 10, Reds 8
Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners.
Line: Indians +110; Mariners -120.
4:00 PM ET (Game 927-928)
You want to play against road dogs that have won the first two games of a series. Since 2004, that's 218-112, +$4,985 (9.5% ROI).
Prediction: Mariners -120 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$240
Indians 6, Mariners 4
Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks.
Line: Reds -105; Diamondbacks -105.
8:00 PM ET (Game 961-962)
The Reds were just blown out last night. I don't see them bouncing back from that in another night game on no rest.
Prediction: Diamondbacks -105 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$105
Reds 6, Diamondbacks 1
Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners.
Line: Indians +105; Mariners -115.
9:00 PM ET (Game 979-980)
The Mariners are in the same position as the Reds. Plus, they stink. The Indians should win this one.
Prediction: Indians +105 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$105
Indians 2, Mariners 1
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox.
Line: Yankees +125; Red Sox -135.
2:00 PM ET (Game 923-924)
I like two underdogs today. The first is the Yankees; Boston really sucks and can't hit at all right now.
Prediction: Yankees +125 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Red Sox 9, Yankees 6
Washington Nationals at New York Mets.
Line: Nationals +135; Mets -145.
4:00 PM ET (Game 901-902)
I'm taking the Nationals as well. The Mets figure to be down after the Phillies blasted them yesterday. These teams are pretty even in talent.
Prediction: Nationals +135 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$135
Nationals 6, Mets 2
Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers.
Line: Braves -115; Brewers +105.
1:40 PM ET (Game 955-956)
I'm having trouble deciding between two games, so why not put a unit on each? I like the Brewers here; as I wrote yesterday, going against road favorites in the final game of a series (especially when it's an afternoon contest) is a lucrative proposition.
Prediction: Brewers +105 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$105
Brewers 4, Braves 2
Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles.
Line: Tigers +120; Orioles -130.
7:00 PM ET (Game 969-970)
Betting the road underdog at the end of a series, on the other hand, is much more lucrative when the first two games were a split.
Prediction: Tigers +120 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
Orioles 9, Tigers 5
Los Angeles Angels at Tampa Bay Rays.
Line: Angels -115; Rays -105.
1:10 PM ET (Game 917-918)
The Rays have to get a win one of these days, right? The Angels aren't that good, so it could finally happen this afternoon.
This is a bad spot for the Angels. Typically, going against road favorites in the final game of a series (especially when it's an afternoon contest) is a lucrative proposition.
I also considered the Pirates, Mets, Reds and Royals.
Prediction: Rays -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210
Angels 5, Rays 1
Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds.
Line: Astros +145; Reds -155.
7:00 PM ET (Game 957-958)
I like the Reds today to stay undefeated and to keep the Astros winless. Betting on home favorites coming off a game in which they had 15-plus hits is a very lucrative proposition (443-251, +69.3 units since 2004).
I also considered Royals +105 over the White Sox.
Prediction: Reds -155 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Reds 8, Astros 2
Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles.
Line: Tigers +120; Orioles -130.
3:00 PM ET (Game 907-908)
I lost yesterday, but I'm encouraged. Of the seven games I was considering, I went 5-2, so I think I'm on the right track. I like the Orioles today. They're really good; that sweep in Tampa Bay was no accident. The Tigers just scored a ton of runs on the Yankees, so they may not have anything left for this early game.
My other leans are Brewers -105 and Rangers -155.
Prediction: Orioles -130 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Orioles 5, Tigers 1
Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays.
Line: Orioles -105; Rays -115.
1:40 PM ET (Game 977-978)
The Orioles have created a ton of buzz by winning the first two games in this series. Fortunately for us, we're getting a ton of value with Tampa Bay now. That's one of the reasons I like the Rays. Here are two more:
1. The Rays have a fresher bullpen. Since these two teams are playing at 1:40 after a night game, this is pretty significant.
2. Teams playing as a road dog after having won two of the three games in a series are a great fade. This is a get-away game for Baltimore. They've taken care of business in Tampa. The Rays need to salvage this series.
Prediction: Rays -115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$230
Orioles 5, Rays 1
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians.
Line: White Sox -130; Indians +120.
1:00 PM ET (Game 919-920)
A few reasons why I like the Indians:
1. Betting home divisional underdogs is usually a good proposition, especially when the money (on Chicago) and line movement (toward Cleveland) are contradicting each other.
2. The White Sox used their main bullpen guys yesterday, and Edwin Jackson usually doesn't go deep into games. He pitched fewer than seven innings in half his starts last year.
3. Teams that win by scoring a ton of runs on the road usually perform poorly the following day (though the track record for short road favorites isn't that bad).
4. This is a small sample size because it rarely happens, but home underdogs that score 10 or more runs and lose in their previous game are 12-6 since 2004 (48.1% ROI).
Prediction: Indians +120 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
White Sox 8, Indians 3
Anaheim Angels at Kansas City Royals.
Line: Angels -135; Royals +125.
8:00 PM ET (Game 969-970)
I feel like there's good value with the Royals. They aren't that much worse than the Angels, who are widely projected to finish below .500 this year. I'm interested to see how Kansas City's Jeff Francis will pitch now that he's out of Coors Field.
Prediction: Royals +125 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$125
Royals 2, Angels 1
Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.
2012 NFL Free Agency Rankings - Feb. 3
Charlie's 2012 NFL Mock Draft - Feb. 2
2012 NFL Mock Draft - Feb. 1
2012 NBA Mock Draft - Jan. 20
2013 NFL Mock Draft - Dec. 28
© 1999-2011 Walter Cherepinsky : all rights reserved
Privacy Policy
2 5 9
Leave a comment