Baseball Picks

Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers.
Line: Mariners +135; Brewers -145.

Today's crappy baseball pick is on the Brewers. The Mariners stink almost as much as my picks.

Prediction: Brewers -145 (2 Units)

St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals.
Line: Cardinals +135; Royals -145.

Another baseball pick for you to bet against! I'm fading Zack Greinke; while he's a good pitcher, the Royals just suck too much to win when he's on the mound.

Prediction: Cardinals +135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers.
Line: Twins +145; Brewers -155.

The Brewers stink. They shouldn't be favored at $1.55 against the Twins; I don't care who's pitching.

Prediction: Twins +145 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals.
Line: Royals +230; Nationals -270.

I want you to think about this for a second. The Nationals are $2.70 favorites. Forget who's pitching. The perennial laughing stock of Major League Baseball is a $2.70 favorite. I'm fading.

Prediction: Royals +230 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$230



San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros.
Line: Giants -115; Astros +105.

We're getting Barry Zito at -115 against the craptastic Astros. I'll take that.

Prediction: Giants -115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$230



Chicago Cubs at Seattle Mariners.
Line: Cubs +165; Mariners -175.

The Mariners stink and can't score any runs. I'm picking the Cubs with my third selection today. Plenty of opportunities to bet against me on this Wednesday!

Prediction: Cubs +165 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Cleveland Indians at Philadelphia Phillies.
Line: Indians +175; Phillies -1.5 +100.

The Phillies are really struggling right now, but maybe that's because they've played only two games against teams with losing records since May 30. They should be able to beat up on the Indians. Philadelphia has covered the run line in its previous five wins.

Prediction: Phillies -1.5 +100 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

San Francisco Giants at Toronto Blue Jays.
Line: Giants +130; Blue Jays -140.

Not to complain, but how the hell did the Phillies blow a 9-4 lead in the ninth? Get this - I'm now 4-16 in games decided in the ninth or extra innings this year. Freaking 4-16! How does that happen? Did I urinate on an Indian burial ground or something?

At any rate, the Giants are struggling offensively, so they don't need to see Shaun Marcum and his 3.31 ERA.

Prediction: Blue Jays -140 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$140



Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners.
Line: Reds -130; Mariners +120.

The Mariners can't score any runs, but they should be able to hit Aaron Harang. Speaking of which, whom did Harang sleep with to be favored at $1.30 on the road?

Prediction: Mariners +120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$240

New York Mets at New York Yankees.
Line: Mets +180; Yankees -200.

This is one of a billion games I like today, so you'll have tons of opportunities to bet against me! The Yankees are struggling to score runs right now, and Mike Pelfrey is the last guy they need to see.

Prediction: Mets +180 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100



Minnesota Twins at Philadelphia Phillies.
Line: Twins +140; Phillies -155.

Living in Philly, I knew the Phillies snapped out of their slump when they beat the Yankees on Wednesday, but for some reason I didn't bet on them. I'm an idiot. But I do like them this afternoon against the Twins who suck on the road.

Prediction: Phillies -155 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$310



Arizona Diamondbacks at Detroit Tigers.
Line: Diamondbacks +115; Tigers -125.

If the Tigers are so much better than the Diamondbacks, why are they just -125 at home? Everyone's betting on Detroit today - but not me. Arizona should be able to hit Rick Porcello, who is really struggling right now.

Prediction: Diamondbacks +115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$230



Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Brewers -110; Rockies +100.

Like the Yankees, the Brewers are struggling to score runs. Going against Jon Francis won't be any easier.

Prediction: Rockies +100 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros.
Line: Rangers -135; Astros +125.

The Astros stink, but they should be able to hit Scott Feldman and his 5.28 ERA. I know the Rangers have won five in a row, but this just seems like a bad spot for them.

Prediction: Astros +125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds.
Line: Dodgers -115; Reds -105.

The Reds are having major problems scoring runs, so the last pitcher they need to see is Clayton Kershaw and his 3.13 ERA.

Prediction: Dodgers -115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals.
Line: Astros -125; Royals +115.

The Astros are playing especially horrid baseball right now and should not be favored. Yes, Roy Oswalt is on the mound, but Houston is just 5-8 in his starts.

Prediction: Royals +115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Baltimore Orioles at San Francisco Giants.
Line: Orioles +140; Giants -150.

The Orioles really suck. This line is so low because the Giants have an unknown pitcher going for them, but does it really matter?

Prediction: Giants -150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300

Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres.
Line: Blue Jays -105; Padres -105.

The Blue Jays are playing like crap right now. The Padres, meanwhile, are ridiculously undervalued. I like the host here.

Prediction: Padres -105 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110

Toronto Blue Jays at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Blue Jays +155; Rockies -175.

The Blue Jays can't hit at all right now, so this is not the ideal time for them to be seeing Jeff Francis.

Prediction: Rockies -175 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers.
Line: Pirates +165; Tigers -185.

The Pirates suck at life, but they should be able to hit Jeremy Bonderman, who is really struggling with his control right now.

Prediction: Pirates +165 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100

Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres.
Line: Mariners +135; Padres -145.

The Mariners are playing patheic baseball right now, and asking them to beat an undervalued San Diego team is a bit too much.

Prediction: Padres -145 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics.
Line: Angels -110; Athletics +100.

Save for one game, the Angels have beaten up on the Athletics in this series. They're coming off a blowout win, and I like them to keep that momentum going.

Prediction: Angels -110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers.
Line: Mariners +180; Rangers -1.5 -115.

The Mariners are playing like crap right now. I expect the Rangers to roll here. Texas has covered the run line in each of its previous six victories.

Prediction: Rangers -1.5 -115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds.
Line: Giants +105; Reds -105.

The Reds are coming off a shutout, so the last thing they need to see is a powerful pitcher like Jonathan Sanchez.

Prediction: Giants +105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200



St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers.
Line: Cardinals +100; Dodgers -110.

Like the Reds, the Cardinals will find it difficult to get back into a groove against a tough pitcher after a shutout.

Prediction: Dodgers -110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays.
Line: Blue Jays +135; Rays -145.

Last one like this - the last person the Blue Jays need to see following a shutout is David Price.

Prediction: Rays -145 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins.
Line: Royals +125; Twins -135.

The Twins are having a major problem hitting the ball right now, and I love getting Zack Greinke as a +125 underdog against a struggling offense.

Prediction: Royals +125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics.
Line: Angels +115; Athletics -125.

Going against the Angels this time. Check out this stat: In road games against teams with winning records, the Angels are 2-13 this year!

Prediction: Athletics -125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$250

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners.
Line: Angels +110; Mariners -120.

The Mariners can't seem to score at all right now. They're playing pathetic baseball, and I have a hard time seeing them win this game.

Prediction: Angels +110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$220

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles.
Line: Red Sox -1.5 -130; Orioles +180.

Yawn. This is getting too predictable. If a game is tied in the ninth or extra innings, I'm going to lose it. I think I'm 4-14 or something in those situations this year. I've never seen anything like this.

I really like the Red Sox in this matchup. I have no idea how Baltimore's anemic offense is going to hit Jon Lester. Boston has covered the run line in 17 of its 21 victories since May 1.

Prediction: Red Sox -1.5 -130 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates.
Line: Giants -115; Pirates +105.

Betting the Pirates is usually foolish, but I think they'll be able to hit Todd Wellemeyer tonight. In three matchups against Pittsburgh last year, Wellemeyer surrendered 14 earned runs in 16.1 innings.

Prediction: Pirates +105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$210

Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics.
Line: Twins -105; Athletics -105.

The Twins are struggling to score right now, so facing Dallas Braden isn't exactly what they need right now. Minnesota also sucks on the road, while Oakland is 18-9 at home.

Prediction: Athletics -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210

Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox.
Line: Athletics +110; Red Sox -120.

The Red Sox are hitting the hell out of the ball, and they should have no problem with Brett Anderson. Anderson has an ERA under two, but the five teams he has faced this year all struggle to score runs (Orioles twice, Mariners, Indians and Tigers).

Prediction: Red Sox -120 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$240

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers.
Line: Diamondbacks +135; Dodgers -145.

I'm starting to think that winning in baseball is impossible; the whole thing seems illogical and completely random to me. But I'll play it out until the NFL preseason begins because there's nothing else to do.

Arizona's offense is reeling and was just shut out. It doesn't seem like going up against a good pitcher is the right remedy.

Prediction: Dodgers -145 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers.
Line: Indians +155; Tigers -170.

This line is really favorable for the Tigers because they've just lost a bunch of tough games. Playing Cleveland should remedy their struggles. The Indians suck; they're on the road; and they have the inferior pitcher. Detroit should be laying $2 at least.

Prediction: Tigers -170 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$340



New York Mets at San Diego Padres.
Line: Mets -105; Padres -105.

I really like the Padres here, and not because they're the better team playing at home. Mike Pelfrey is 7-1 with a 2.58 ERA, but both his WHIP (1.29) and BB/K ratio (0.57) say he's way overrated. Thus, we're getting great value with San Diego.

Prediction: Padres -105 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$315

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves.
Line: Phillies +135; Braves -150.

Seriously, what the hell? Why do I always lose games in the ninth or extra innings? I don't know my exact record this season when a game is decided then, but off the top of my head, I'd say I'm 2-12; 3-11 at the very best. It's getting pretty ridiculous.

The Phillies are now 7-3 as underdogs. I'm taking them again.

Prediction: Phillies +135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200



Washington Nationals at Houston Astros.
Line: Nationals +170; Astros -190.

And I'm also taking the Nationals again because the Astros have no business being $1.90 favorites, no matter who's pitching.

Prediction: Nationals +170 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$340

Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins.
Line: Phillies +110; Marlins -120.

I wish I had known that the Dodgers pitcher would be intoxicated last night; otherwise, I wouldn't have bet on them. At any rate, the Phillies are 7-2 as underdogs this year.

Prediction: Phillies +110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200



Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres.
Line: Nationals +125; Padres -135.

The Nationals have the superior lineup and pitcher in this matchup. I'll take the plus money.

Prediction: Nationals +125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs.
Line: Cardinals +125; Cubs -135.

The Cardinals are the better team, and I don't think Carlos Silva's as good as his ERA (3.52) says he is; it was greater than eight last year. I also like the fact that the Cubs have never seen Adam Ottavino pitch before.

Prediction: Cardinals +125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200



Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Dodgers +110; Rockies -120.

The Dodgers have the better lineup and starting pitcher in this matchup. They're also 14-4 (+10.4 units) in divisional games. I love them at +$1.10.

Prediction: Dodgers +110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins.
Line: Phillies +105; Marlins -115.

The Phillies are 6-2 as underdogs this year. This one's a no-brainer.

Prediction: Phillies +105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$210



Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins.
Line: Rangers +115; Twins -125.

The Twins are perceived to be awesome at the Homer Dome, but they're just 6-6 as hosts in their past 12 games. Texas has the better pitcher on the mound in this matchup.

Prediction: Rangers +115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs.
Line: Dodgers +110; Cubs -120.

The Dodgers are the better team with the superior pitcher. I'll take them as dogs.

Prediction: Dodgers +110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200



St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres.
Line: Cardinals +120; Padres -130.

I don't know who this P.J. Walters character is, but he can't be much worse than Wade LeBlanc, whose WHIP (1.42) says that his ERA (3.32) is misleading.

Prediction: Cardinals +120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$240

Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals.
Line: Rangers -120; Royals +110.

The Royals have the better pitcher and they're at home. Texas' Scott Feldman has been particularly awful on the road (8.64 ERA).

Prediction: Royals +110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$220



Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles.
Line: Athletics +105; Orioles -115.

What did the Orioles do to deserve being favored? It's not like they even have the better pitcher on the mound in this contest.

Prediction: Athletics +105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$210

Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers.
Line: Astros +145; Brewers -155.

The Brewers stink, and this line is way too high. Milwaukee is 2-11 in its past 13 games. Houston's pitcher has the better WHIP in this matchup.

Prediction: Astros +145 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200



Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies.
Line: Diamondbacks +125; Rockies -135.

Arizona has the better offense and pitcher in this contest. I'll take the +$1.25.

Prediction: Diamondbacks +125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels.
Line: Blue Jays +115; Angels -125.

In the Cardinals-Angels capsule yesterday, I wrote, "It's really amazing how many games I've lost this year in the ninth or extra innings. I can't remember a season like this." Lo and behold, I lost the Cardinals-Angels game in the 10th after the Angels blew a big lead. FML.

The Blue Jays have the superior offense in the matchup, while their pitcher has the better WHIP. I'll take them at +$1.15.

Prediction: Blue Jays +115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$230

Los Angeles Angels at St. Louis Cardinals.
Line: Angels +150; Cardinals -160.

It's really amazing how many games I've lost this year in the ninth or extra innings. I can't remember a season like this.

At any rate, I like the Angels. They're the AL team and the pitching matchup is about even. Getting $1.50 is a great deal.

Prediction: Angels +150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200



San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners.
Line: Padres +135; Mariiners -145.

I don't know what the Mariners did to deserve being favored like this. Sure, Felix Hernandez is pitching, but his WHIP this year is 1.46. In fact, Seattle hasn't won a game with Hernandez on the mound since April.

Prediction: Padres +135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$270

Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins.
Line: Brewers +125; Twins -135.

The Twins are the better team and are hosts. And don't forget the AL superiority. This line is way too low.

Prediction: Twins -135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Chicago Cubs at Texas Rangers.
Line: Cubs +135; Rangers -145.

Same situation as the one above.

Prediction: Rangers -145 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$290

Colorado Rockies at Kansas City Royals.
Line: Rockies -120; Royals +110.

The Royals are the hotter team; they're at home; they have the pitching edge; and they have the AL superiority.

Prediction: Royals +110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$220



Toronto Blue Jays at Arizona Diamondbacks.
Line: Blue Jays +135; Diamondbacks -150.

Why is a 25-18 AL team a +135 underdog to an 18-24 NL squad? Makes no sense.

Prediction: Blue Jays +135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies.
Line: Cubs +110; Phillies -120.

OK, this is getting ridiculous. The Phillies are a billion times better than the Cubs, and should be favored by way more than -120. Maybe these games are fixed?

Prediction: Phillies -120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



New York Mets at Washington Nationals.
Line: Mets +105; Nationals -115.

The Nationals aren't getting enough respect. They're better than the Mets, and they're at home. This line should be -140 or so.

Prediction: Nationals -115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$230

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies.
Line: Cubs +125; Phillies -135.

How'd the Phillies lose as -350 favorites? How did they produce only one run against Zach Puke and the Pirates? Amazing. At any rate, the Phillies are a great bargain today at -135. This line should be -180 at the very least. And by the way, Philly is 4-2 after a home loss.

Prediction: Phillies -135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$270

Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies.
Line: Pirates +275; Phillies -1.5 -160.

The oddsmakers have finally set a legitimate, but unbettable line for the Phillies (-350). However, the run line still looks OK at -160. Remember, the Phillies are 7-2 on the run line (8-1 straight up) when favored at -200 or more.

Prediction: Phillies -1.5 -160 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$320

Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies.
Line: Pirates +195; Phillies -1.5 -115.

Might as well keep riding this team. The Phillies are 6-2 on the run line (7-1 straight up) when favored at -200 or more.

Prediction: Phillies -1.5 -115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers.
Line: Phillies -135; Brewers +125.

I'm going with the Phillies again. This line is just way too short considering the pitching disparity. Philly should be -160 at the very least.

Prediction: Phillies -135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers.
Line: Phillies -110; Brewers -110.

The Phillies are now 6-2 as underdogs. They're even money here, but the same principle applies; they're way too good to be getting even money against a mediocre squad like Milwaukee.

Prediction: Phillies -110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds.
Line: Cardinals -125; Reds +115.

It's amazing how many games I've lost in the ninth or extra innings this year. I can't remember anything like this, and it's really frustrating. At any rate, I think St. Louis' Jaime Garcia is a bit overrated; his ERA and WHIP are nice, but his BB/K ratio is pretty pedestrian. Aaron Harang is the better pitcher.

Prediction: Reds +115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200



Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers.
Line: Phillies +105; Brewers -115.

The Phillies have been underdogs seven times this year, and they're 5-2 in those contests. Milwaukee should not be favored.

Prediction: Phillies +105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$210

New York Mets at Florida Marlins.
Line: Mets +115; Marlins -125.

How often is Johan Santana an underdog? It happened once this year, and Santana won at St. Louis in that matchup. Opposing pitcher Josh Johnson has the better ERA and WHIP, but Santana's BB/K ratio is superior, so I think we're getting great value with the Mets.

Prediction: Mets +115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies - Game 1.
Line: Phillies -1.5 -125; Rockies +165.

Same game as yesterday, which was postponed: The Phillies are starting up another winning streak, and Roy Halladay is unhittable; Halladay is 4-1 on the run line this season when favored at -150 or more on the moneyline.

Prediction: Phillies -1.5 -125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$250

Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels
Line: Rays -1.5 +110; Angels +130.

The Rays just had a perfect game go against them, so they have to be pretty pissed off. I like that, as well as the fact that Matt Garza's going tonight as a moderately sized favorite. Garza has been pitching out of his mind this season.

Prediction: Rays -1.5 +110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets
Line: Giants -1.5 -125; Mets +170.

This is a "Tim Linecum is pitching out of his mind, so I'm playing him on the run line" bet.

Prediction: Giants -1.5 -125 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$250



New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
Line: Yankees +100; Red Sox -110.

I don't understand how the Yankees are underdogs. They're on fire, and the Red Sox aren't very good.

Prediction: Yankees +100 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics
Line: Rays -1.5 -110; Athletics +140.

Going with the Rays again; they're just unbelievably hot right now.

Prediction: Rays -1.5 -110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics
Line: Rays -1.5 +120; Athletics +145.

I'm taking the Rays on the run line again; they're playing really well right now.

Prediction: Rays -1.5 +120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$240

Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners
Line: Rays -1.5 +105; Mariners +140.

I'm embarrassed for the city of Seattle. The Mariners are terrible. They can't score any runs. The Rays are on a roll and they should continue their demolition of Seattle.

Prediction: Rays -1.5 +105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$210

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres
Line: Rockies +120; Padres -130.

Going with the Padres again - the better team at home with the pitching edge.

Prediction: Padres -130 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$260

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres
Line: Rockies +120; Padres -130.

If at first you don't succeed, keep betting until you go broke. The Padres are the better team, and they're at home with the pitching edge. There's a really good chance they win this game.

Prediction: Padres -130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics
Line: Rangers +125; Athletics -135.

I don't know what to tell you. I like the same teams again. Hopefully they'll actually score some runs for a change.

Prediction: Athletics -135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres
Line: Rockies -140; Padres +130.

The Rockies are favored because Ubaldo Jimenez is pitching. I personally think Jimenez is overrated; he threw that no-hitter, but he also walked six batters in the process. Jimenez actually has the higher BB/K ratio in this pitching matchup. Oh, and the Padres are the better team.

Prediction: Padres +130 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200



Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics
Line: Rangers +125; Athletics -135.

These teams are about even, but the Athletics are at home and have the pitching edge. Rich Harden has been awful this year; his BB/K ratio is 1.05 compared to Dallas Braden's 0.37.

Prediction: Athletics -135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$270

Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays
Line: Athletics +125; Blue Jays -135.

OK, let's try this again. Maybe the team I pick will actually be able to score some runs for a change.

Prediction: Blue Jays -135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners
Line: Rangers +100; Mariners -110.

I refuse to believe that Texas is going to waltz into Seattle and sweep the Mariners.

Prediction: Mariners -110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays
Line: Athletics +105; Blue Jays -115.

The Athletics have the slight pitching edge, but they're reeling now that they have to play their games on the road. The Blue Jays are undervalued.

Prediction: Blue Jays -115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$230

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians
Line: Twins +110; Indians -120.

The Indians are 9-12, but they've played so many games on the road that their record is deflated. They're a bargain at $1.20.

Prediction: Indians -120 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$240



Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners
Line: Rangers +140; Mariners -150.

The Mariners are another team that hasn't played much at home, where they're 7-2. The Rangers don't play well on the road. Seattle has the pitching edge with Clifton Lee.

Prediction: Mariners -150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300

Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers
Line: White Sox +125; Rangers -135.

Surprise, surprise - I'm going with the Rangers again. They're still incredibly undervalued.

Prediction: Rangers -135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$270

Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers
Line: White Sox +105; Rangers -115.

I'll keep betting on the undervalued Rangers; this crappy pitching matchup is even, so we're getting a great price with Texas.

Prediction: Rangers -115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

San Diego Padres at Florida Marlins
Line: Padres +120; Marlins -130.

I think San Diego's a little overrated right now because most of their recent wins have come at home or at Cincinnati. Florida should be able to beat them again in an even pitching matchup.

Prediction: Marlins -130 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$260



Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers
Line: White Sox +135; Rangers -145.

Despite last night's loss, I like the Rangers again because there's a lot of value with them. They're 8-11, but only because they played the Yankees and Red Sox (Texas is 7-6 against other teams). The Rangers have the pitching edge and are at home. Meanwhile, the White Sox are garbage. They're coming off a sweep, but that was at home against the crappy Mariners. I think Chicago will struggle on the road.

Prediction: Rangers -145 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers
Line: Tigers +125; Rangers -135.

I like the Rangers again because there's a lot of value with them. They're 8-10, but only because they played the Yankees and Red Sox (Texas is 7-5 against other teams). The Rangers have the pitching edge and are at home.

Prediction: Rangers -135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$270

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers
Line: Tigers +120; Rangers -130.

I think there's some value with the Rangers here. They're 7-10, but only because they played the Yankees and Red Sox (Texas is 6-5 against other teams). The Rangers have the pitching edge and are at home.

Prediction: Rangers -130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Cleveland Indians at Oakland Athletics
Line: Indians +140; Athletics -150.

The Athletics are the better team with the superior pitcher, and they're at home. There's much more than a 60-percent chance that Oakland wins this game.

Prediction: Athletics -150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300

Florida Marlins at Colorado Rockies
Line: Marlins +105; Rockies -115.

We're getting lots of value with the Rockies here. Their record is a bit deflated because they've just played a bunch of road games. This pitching matchup is about even, so I think this line is about 30 cents too short.

Prediction: Rockies -115 (2 Units) -- Game postponed; no action

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Line: Phillies +130; Braves -140.

Small play on the Phillies; we're getting great value with them as underdogs.

Prediction: Phillies +130 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$130

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
Line: Giants +115; Padres -125.

Turns out the Padres aren't that bad at home, and the Giants' hot start was overrated with their slew of home wins. San Diego at $1.25 is good value here.

Prediction: Padres -125 (2 Unit) -- Correct; +$200

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins
Line: Indians +145; Twins -155.

This seems like a good value line for the Twins; they're awesome in the Homer Dome, while the Indians racked up their previous four wins at home.

Prediction: Twins -155 (2 Unit) -- Correct; +$200



Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
Line: Orioles +125; Mariners -135.

This line is way too low. Seattle's good and Baltimore is garbage.

Prediction: Mariners -135 (2 Unit) -- Correct; +$200

Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
Line: Orioles +140; Mariners -150.

There's more than a 60-percent chance that Seattle wins this game; the Mariners are 4-2, impressively winning two series against Oakland and Detroit.

Prediction: Mariners -150 (2 Unit) -- Correct; +$200

Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves
Line: Rockies +135; Braves -145.

I'm expecting the Braves to bounce back from that no-hitter. They're still the better team, and they'll be angry after being embarrassed like that.

Prediction: Braves -145 (2 Unit) -- Correct; +$200



Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics
Line: Orioles +165; Athletics -175.

The line in each succeeding game in this series has risen, but I still think it's too low. This Baltimore team is epically bad. They've scored three or less runs in eight of their 12 games this year.

Prediction: Athletics -175 (2 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$350

Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves
Line: Rockies -120; Braves +110.

Atlanta's a much better team than Colorado, especially when you factor in that the Braves are at home. Yet, they're the underdogs here. I don't get it, but whatever.

Prediction: Braves +110 (2 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$200



Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics
Line: Orioles +155; Athletics -165.

Again, this line says there's a 62.3-percent chance Oakland will win (165/(165+100)). That's too low. The A's are pretty good, and Baltimore can't manufacture any runs. Plus, Oakland has the pitching edge.

Prediction: Athletics -165 (2 Unit) -- Correct; +$200

Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves
Line: Rockies +120; Braves -130.

Most of Colorado's wins have come at home, so I think their record is a bit inflated. Atlanta, meanwhile, has played most of its contests on the road, so the Braves are definitely better than 5-4. Having said that, getting Atlanta at $1.30 is a great deal; Vegas is telling us that there's only a 56.5-percent chance the Braves win this game (130/(130+100)). I'd say it's at least 60 percent.

Prediction: Braves -130 (2 Unit) -- Correct; +$200



Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics
Line: Orioles +135; Athletics -145.

Going with this matchup again. Oakland is undervalued, while Baltimore is simply terrible.

Prediction: Athletics -145 (2 Unit) -- Correct; +$200

Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics
Line: Orioles +140; Athletics -150.

This line says that there's a 60-percent chance Oakland wins this game. I think that's too low. Baltimore can't manufacture runs, while three of the Athletics' six wins have come on the road.

Prediction: Athletics -150 (2 Unit) -- Correct; +$200

Cincinnati Reds at Florida Marlins
Line: Reds +120; Marlins -130.

OK, let's try this again. I think the Marlins are the better team and have the pitching advantage. They're a bargain at $1.30. I've lost my last three games in the 11th, 10th and 10th innings, so it'll turn around now.

Prediction: Marlins -130 (2 Unit) -- Correct; +$200

Cincinnati Reds at Florida Marlins
Line: Reds +110; Marlins -120.

Losing a game in extra innings sucks. Losing two in the same day is ridiculous. I still think Florida is undervalued.

Prediction: Marlins -120 (2 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$240

Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians
Line: Rangers -115; Indians +105.

The Rangers have the better record, but they also feasted on two easy opponents at home for six games. The Indians, meanwhile, played six tough road games. Cleveland is the better team.

Prediction: Indians +105 (2 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$200



Cincinnati Reds at Florida Marlins
Line: Reds +130; Marlins -140.

This line is about 30 cents lower than it should be; the Reds' 3-3 record is a byproduct of six easy home games.

Prediction: Marlins -140 (2 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$280

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
Line: Mariners +140; Rangers -150.

I don't really like anything today, but I feel like we're getting good value with the Mariners at +140. I think there's a 50-50 chance they win this game; they're the better team.

Prediction: Mariners +140 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
Line: Padres +160; Rockies -170.

Based on the talent of these two teams, this line is about 20 or 30 cents lower than it should be. The Padres stink, while the Rockies are probably the best team in the NL West.

Prediction: Rockies -170 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$340

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks
Line: Pirates +140; Diamondbacks -150.

I'm going to continue to ride the Diamondbacks; they're undervalued, while the Pirates suck as usual.

Prediction: Diamondbacks -150 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers
Line: Blue Jays +135; Rangers -145.

I'm really not a big fan of this Toronto team. Texas is better, yet the line is low enough to create tons of value.

Prediction: Rangers -145 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$290

Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves
Line: Cubs +145; Braves -155.

I feel like this line is still too low based on th etalent of these two teams and the pitching edge Atlanta has tonight.

Prediction: Braves -155 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
Line: Padres +125; Diamondbacks -135.

We'll chalk last night's result as a fluke; San Diego sucks and won't win many games this year. Arizona is the better team.

Prediction: Diamondbacks -135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
Line: Padres +130; Diamondbacks -140.

Lots of value here with the Diamondbacks; this line is too low considering the talent level of these two teams.

Prediction: Diamondbacks -140 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$280

Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers
Line: Blue Jays +125; Rangers -135.

I don't get this line. The Rangers are better than the Blue Jays and they're typically good at home.

Prediction: Rangers -135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves
Line: Cubs +115; Braves -125.

Lots of value with the Braves here because Carlos Zambrano is pitching for the Cubs. Derek Lowe's not too shabby himself, and the Braves are better than the Cubs.

Prediction: Braves -125 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
Line: Yankees +105; Red Sox -115.

We're getting good value on the Red Sox here considering that they're at home. Plus, the Yankees have several slow starters on their team, including Mark Teixeira and Carsten Charles Sabathia, who is pitching tonight.

Prediction: Red Sox -115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200