Charlie Campbell, Senior Draft Analyst
Last update: Saturday, March 31, 2018. Round 1 added.
Follow Charlie on Twitter @draftcampbell for updates.
Led all NFL media in draft rumor accuracy in 2015, 2016, and 2017
Led all NFL media in correct picks in 2017 NFL Draft 2019 NFL MOCK DRAFT - WALT'S | CHARLIE'S ROUND: 1
2018 NFL Mock Draft Pick (as of 3/26): Mike McGlinchey, OT
The Cardinals grab their quarterback of the future.
Lock set an SEC record with 44 touchdown passes as a junior while completing 58 percent of his passes for 3,964 yards and 13 touchdowns. There is no doubt that Lock (6-4, 225) has some arm talent and can pick apart a defense. He wisely returned to school for the 2018 season, because he could stand to improve his accuracy and footwork before going pro. While Lock's 2018 production might decline, he could end up becoming a better quarterback prospect for the NFL.
2.Indianapolis Colts:Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson
2018 NFL Mock Draft Pick (as of 3/26): Bradley Chubb, DE
The Colts grab a difference-maker for their front seven.
Lawrence totaled 34 tackles with 2.5 sacks in 2017. While his numbers were down over his freshman season, he helped create a lot of sacks for those around him.
The 6-foot-5, 340-pounder was a tremendous freshman to help Clemson win the 2016 season's National Championship. NFL sources were already raving about Lawrence in the 2017 preseason, as he was impossible to ignore in 2016. Lawrence was an All-Freshman selection all over the nation, plus was named the ACC Rookie of the Year. He totaled 63 tackles with 9.5 tackles for a loss, seven sacks and a pass batted for 2016. One national scout for a NFC team told me that they thought Lawrence was among the two most disruptive defensive linemen that season - along with Alabama's Jonathan Allen.
The Jets traded away Sheldon Richardson and lost Muhammed Wilkerson to free agency. Here is an edge rusher to go with Leonard Williams.
Bosa notched 34 tackles, 8.5 sacks, two passes batted and one forced fumble in 2017. He was the Buckeyes' best defensive end during the season, even though he rotated with Sam Hubbard and Tyquan Lewis. Bosa could explode as a junior with the departure of those latter two for the NFL, which should leave him playing every down. The 6-foot-4, 270-pounder played well for Ohio State in 2016, too, recording 29 tackles with seven tackles for a loss and five sacks.
4.Houston Texans:Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
2018 NFL Mock Draft Pick (as of 3/26): Mike Gesicki, TE (Round 3)
The Texans were wise to trade away Duane Brown. He is aging and declining, and struggled when the Seahawks needed him the most in 2017. Seattle hasn't even re-signed Brown yet. Without Brown, Houston has a big hole at left tackle and was unable to sign Nate Solder in free agency. This coming season could be a repeat of 2017 as the Texans' offensive line does not inspire confidence that Deshaun Watson will stay healthy. Here is a tackle who could help protect Watson in the long run.
Williams was a freshman starter at right tackle for Alabama in 2016 and did a nice job of opening holes in the ground game. The 6-foot-5, 296-pounder took over as the starting left tackle with Cam Robinson moving on to the NFL, and Williams played well on the blind side in 2017. He is a tough blocker who has the versatility to be effective in the run game and in pass protection. Williams could be the next Crimson Tide offensive lineman to emerge as an early-rounder.
The Bears made a huge commitment and investment of resources in Mitch Trubisky. While they paid Charles Leno in a contract extension, they could upgrade their line by taking a left tackle and moving Leno inside to guard or to right tackle.
In the first half of the 2017 season, Adams went out for the year after a torn ACL. Sources stated they didn't think that the torn ACL would have kept Adams from being a first-round pick in the 2018 NFL Draft, similar to Cedric Ogbuehi in the 2015 NFL Draft.
Adams is a smooth mover with length; it is tough to get by him. He plays with nice body lean and leverage that he uses to help sustain blocks. Adams has quick feet and is athletic on the edge. He could stand to add more power to knock defenders off the ball in the NFL. Adams would be a good fit in a zone-blocking system.
Adams was one of the top left tackles in the Pac-12 during 2016. The Huskies fielded a potent passing offense, and Adams did a nice job of keeping Jake Browning protected. The 6-foot-7, 302-pound Adams has length and size on the edge to go along with good quickness and athleticism. Sources have raved about Adams being one of the top talents for the 2018 NFL Draft class with franchise left tackle potential. They were impressed with his 2016 tape, including how well he did in one-on-ones with Alabama's edge rushers in the Huskies' playoff game.
The Giants grab an interior disruptor for their defensive line.
Once again, the Alabama factory churns out another freak defensive lineman. Following the example of Jonathan Allen and Da'Ron Payne, Davis looks like he is a future first-rounder as well. The 6-foot-7, 306-pounder had an excellent 2017 season for the Crimson Tide. He totaled 69 tackles with 10 tackles for a loss, 8.5 sacks, and an interception for his breakout sophomore campaign. Davis has a versatile skill set with a ton upside.
The Dolphins grab a tackle to replace Ndamukong Suh.
In 2017, Oliver had 73 tackles with 16.5 tackles for a loss, 5.5 sacks, three passes batted and two forced fumbles. The 6-foot-1, 290-pounder dominated at the point of attack in 2016, starting from his debut game against Oklahoma. All season, the freshman overwhelmed offensive linemen with his quickness, athletic ability, and physicality. He totaled 66 tackles with 22.5 tackles for a loss, five sacks, three forced fumbles and nine passes batted on the year.
Oliver is going to see a ton of double teams for the rest of his college career, but he is good enough to produce even with the extra attention. Like Dexter Lawrence, Oliver looks like a future top prospect for the 2019 NFL Draft.
Previous Mock Selections: 2/2-Clelin Ferrell, DE
12/23-Tremaine Edmunds, ILB
8.Buffalo Bills:Rashan Gary, DT, Michigan
2018 NFL Mock Draft Pick (as of 3/26): Baker Mayfield, QB and Donte Jackson, CB
The Bills could use multiple additions on the inside of their defensive line. Marcell Dareus was traded away, while Kyle Williams is nearing the end of a very good career.
In 2017, Gary had 65 tackles with six sacks, one forced fumble and 12 tackles for a loss. The 6-foot-5, 287-pounder is a rare athlete who could turn into a dominant defender. Scouting sources say Gary has high first-round potential if he puts everything together. That could definitely happen during his junior season.
2018 NFL Mock Draft Pick (as of 3/26): Derwin James, S
The Buccaneers grab a young defensive tackle to pair with Gerald McCoy. McCoy will be 31 by the time of the 2019 NFL Draft and has dealt with a lot of injuries in recent years.
In 2017, Wilkins made 60 tackles with 8.5 for a loss and four sacks. He was disruptive at the point of attack, showing speed to create havoc behind the line of scrimmage. Wilkins is a great athlete for his size and has the versatility to play a variety of techniques. The 6-foot-4, 310-pounder possesses a nice skill set with upside and could also fit as a 3-4 defensive end.
Wilkins played well for Clemson in 2016 as part of a tough defensive line that controlled the point of attack. The sophomore had 48 tackles with 13 tackles for a loss, 3.5 sacks and 10 passes batted on the year. Because of injuries, Wilkins played a lot of defensive end. He showed nice athleticism and versatility, but is at his best on the inside, using his mismatch speed against guards. Wilkins made 33 tackles and two sacks as a freshman in 2015.
Previous Mock Selections: 2/2-Joe Jackson, DE
10.Cincinnati Bengals:Devin White, ILB, LSU
2018 NFL Mock Draft Pick (as of 3/26): Billy Price, C/G
The Bengals could be looking to replace Vontaze Burfict before long. Here is a potential difference-maker.
White (6-1, 255) is a big inside linebacker with excellent instincts. He is a good athlete with the ability to cover in the passing game while also being a stout run defender. In 2017, White totaled 133 tackles, 14 tackles for a loss, 4.5 sacks, three passes broken up and one interception. It was a breakout sophomore campaign for White and if he could have entered the 2018 NFL Draft, he would have graded out similar to Virginia Tech's Tremaine Edmunds or Georgia's Roquan Smith.
The Lions grab an end to go across from Ziggy Ansah.
Clemson has a defensive line that is comprised of future first-round picks, and some sources think that Ferrell created some of the big plays for the other Clemson defensive linemen in 2017. The 6-foot-5, 250-pound Ferrell has superb speed with athleticism and the ability to bend around the corner. On the season, he totaled 66 tackles with 18 tackles for a loss, 9.5 sacks, one pass batted and two forced fumbles. Fellow defensive end Austin Bryant spent 2017 playing himself into being an early-rounder, but Bryant did well cleaning up a lot of scrambling quarterbacks running away from Ferrell. Ferrell looks like a future first-round pick in the 2019 NFL Draft.
The Ravens need to build up more talent on their offensive line. Here is a bookend to go with Ronnie Stanley.
Little showed a ton of potential as a freshman starter. He was up and down as a sophomore, but has plenty of upside. The 6-foot-6, 325-pounder has improved as he gains experience and should only get better as a junior. Little could end up being a good left tackle prospect.
2018 NFL Mock Draft Pick (as of 3/26): Hayden Hurst, TE
The Jaguars extended Blake Bortles, but it wasn't a contract that marries them to him for many years to come. Before long, Jacksonville will probably be looking for an upgrade.
Even though some other draft analysts reported Thorson was likely to enter the 2018 NFL Draft, WalterFootball.com was first to report that Thorson was planning on returning to Northwestern for 2018. Thorson then made that official prior to his bowl game against Kentucky.
Scouts who were through Northwestern last year told me that they were impressed with what they saw from Thorson (6-4, 225) on tape and in practice. He has shown that he has pro potential in terms of his skill set. Thorson can throw the deep out with a fastball that can be fit into tight windows. He also has quality mechanics with a quick delivery. Scouts say that Thorson has a very strong arm, is smart, athletic, and improved as a junior. He makes some mistakes from trying to do too much, but that is understandable because Thorson's supporting cast has been abysmal with an offensive line that is weak and wide receivers who can't separate either via speed or explosiveness.
Some team sources say that, for the 2018 NFL Draft, they gave Thorson a second-round grade, and one general manager told me they gave Thorson a late second-round/early third-round grade. But they all think he could rise in the leadup to the 2019 NFL Draft. The reason for that is he a good leader who gets along well with all of his teammates. While he is a devout Christian, he knows how to be one of the guys and get along with the different groups in the locker room. Thorson is super smart and will impress teams with his intelligence along with his character. They think that evaluators could fall in love with him during the interview process, driving him into being a first-round pick.
In 2017, Thorson completed 60 percent of his passes for 2,844 yards with 15 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. He had eight rushing touchdowns, too. As a sophomore, Thorson completed 59 percent of his passes for 3,182 yards with 22 touchdowns and nine interceptions.
2018 NFL Mock Draft Pick (as of 3/26): Minkah Fitzpatrick, S
The 49ers need a No. 1 receiver for Jimmy Garoppolo.
In 2017, Brown totaled 75 receptions for 1,252 yards and 11 touchdowns. He was injured in the game against California on his first target and missed the rest of the game.
Brown had a strong debut in 2016 with 29 receptions for 412 yards with two touchdowns. The 6-foot-1, 225-pound freshman showed some play-making potential, and it wouldn't be surprising if he puts together a big season in 2018.
15.Carolina Panthers:Brian Burns, DE, Florida State
2018 NFL Mock Draft Pick (as of 3/26): Sam Hubbard, DE
Carolina is going to need some young edge rushers soon.
In 2017, Burns had 48 tackles with 13.5 for a loss, 4.5 sacks and four passes batted, but also put more pressure on the quarterback than the numbers indicate. The 6-foot-5, 218-pounder notched 9.5 sacks in his debut season for Florida State and finished 2016 in impressive fashion. Scouts have said that Burns has a ton of athletic ability and upside. He should gain weight as he ages and fill out to being a starting edge defender.
16.Cleveland Browns:Parris Campbell, WR, Ohio State
2018 NFL Mock Draft Pick (as of 3/26): Sam Darnold, QB and Saquon Barkley, RB
The Browns grab another offensive weapon for Todd Haley. Jarvis Landry hasn't signed a long-term contract, Josh Gordon may not be a long-term answer, and Corey Coleman has disappointed thus far. Hence, Cleveland could be in the market for more receiving talent.
Campbell totaled 40 receptions for 584 yards and three touchdowns in 2017. He made only 13 receptions for 121 yards in 2016, but sources from multiple teams told me that Campbell has big-time ability and that they thought he would break out if Ohio State committed to getting him the ball. The passing limitations of J.T. Barrett held back Campbell and Ohio State's other wideouts in 2017. Those sources also think Campbell has serious receiver talent for the NFL. The 6-foot-1, 208-pounder is well put together with the explosive speed to take any catch the distance.