Mostly agree with your rankings; with the optimism bias from being a cardinals fan personally, I'd argue you could make a 1 star increase at each position, but their current rankings are also fair. I very much disagree with the 1 star ranking at special teams however, as we have a pro bowl gunner in Justin Bethel being joined by some high upside athletes in the kick coverage team and kick return game. Probably the best coverage unit in the game, which coupled with a punter who is below average (don't think he's as bad as stats show- his hangtime is rediculous, and it seems the staff went with him for this reason. I'd choose a distance leg with our coverage team, butI digress). In short, I'd say 3 stars is fair. A perfectly average special teams unit, whose only limitation really seems to be Drew Butler's distance and the uncertainty of a new long snapper (but both seem pretty reliable this far)
2012 Fantasy Football Draft: Forum Fantasy PPR Mock Draft
June 22, 2012.
This is a PPR 2012 Fantasy Football Mock Draft I took part in with 11 other members of the forum. As usual, I'll have analysis of my picks, as well as the best and worst selections from each two rounds.
Just a heads up that we have 2012 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts every Wednesday evening. Check out the fantasy mock draft thread for details.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 1-2: I've been harping about this all summer, but the running backs REALLY suck this year. I'm not going to reach for one at the end of the first round when all of the studs are off the board. Leagues can't be won in the first couple of rounds, but they can be lost there if you draft busts. Larry Fitzgerald is as safe as they get, while Andre Johnson should be able to rebound off an injury-plagued 2011 campaign. There's a misconception that Johnson always gets hurt, but that's not true. Read more about it in my 2012 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 1-2: Lucky 7 indeed. How'd Aaron Rodgers fall to the seventh-overall pick? He's dominant and as safe as they come. Meanwhile, B-True landing Rob Gronkowski at 2.10 was a great move. I would have taken the Gronk at 2.02 if Johnson wasn't on the board.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 1-2: Not sure what Boobs (Pick 9) is doing with Wes Welker in the first round and then Peyton Manning seven selections later. Welker is holding out, while Manning may not be the same player he once was. Those are two risky reaches.
Speaking of risky, I don't like Steven Jackson at 2.05. He's a decrepit player at this point, and I wouldn't touch him in the first three-and-a-half rounds.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 3-4: Larry Fitzgerald, Andre Johnson and Hakeem Nicks? I love my receiving corps. Doug Martin, meanwhile, was the top running back available on my PPR Cheat Sheet. He's going to be a big part of Tampa Bay's passing game, so he should be able to rack up at least 40 catches.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 3-4: I don't understand how Drew Brees was the fifth quarterback chosen. He was a major steal in the middle of Round 3. And speaking of the Saints, Boobs broke my heart by choosing Darren Sproles at 3.09. He's a PPR stud.
Another steal was Julio Jones, whom I probably would have chosen if Nicks weren't available.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 3-4: I didn't really hate anything in this round. With a gun to my head, I'd pick Isaac Redman and Frank Gore as the worst selections. Redman could lose his job to Rashard Mendenhall in the middle of the year, while Gore is always hurt. But again, these aren't terrible choices by any means.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 5-6: I had a couple of better running backs available than Jahvid Best in my rankings (James Starks was one I can recall), but none offered more upside than him. Best will probably get hurt, but he'll be a major producer until he does. I think he's worth taking a chance on at the end of Round 5.
I thought about picking Tony Romo at 4.02, so I was obviously thrilled that he was available two rounds later.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 5-6: Percy Harvin fell because of his trade request, but he's still practicing, so I don't see any risk there. I'll gladly take him in Round 5. Meanwhile, I don't understand how Philip Rivers dropped to the final pick in Round 6. He's another guy I would have considered at 4.02, but felt that at least one of the top quarterbacks available (Romo, Rivers, Eli Manning, Matt Ryan) would fall.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 5-6: I like Ben Tate as a mid-round fantasy prospect, but I think Round 6 is too early. He's not a starting running back at the present moment.
I'm not a fan of Boobs' Vincent Jackson choice. Jackson chased the money down to Tampa Bay, so he definitely doesn't care as much about his football career. I don't want him on my fantasy team unless he really drops.
Oh, and I'm not going to even mention a certain quarterback chosen in Round 6. It's not Romo or Rivers.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 7-8: Titus Young is a nice fourth receiver I can plug in during a bye or in the event of an injury. He can post WR2-type numbers if Calvin Johnson is subjected to the Madden Curse. Brandon Pettigrew would be another beneficiary.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 7-8: I really wanted C.J. Spiller to fall to me. Same with Jonathan Stewart. Lukic also gets another best pick with Matt Ryan because I would have been content with him at 6.02.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 7-8: Is Boobs distracted by his own icon? Randy Moss in the eighth round? What the hell is that about?
Two homer picks are also nominated for the worst selection: Token, a Raven fan, and Pheltz, a Jet supporter, snagged two of their pedestrian receivers in Round 8.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 9-10: Mark Ingram was a huge disappointment last year, so I'm glad to be buying him low. Maybe he'll suck again, but there's a chance he'll live up to expectations. I'll take the risk in Round 9. Michael Bush, meanwhile, will start in the event of a Matt Forte injury, which is possible because Forte is holding out. Bush will also get goal-line carries.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 9-10: Pheltz landed another runner with loads of potential in David Wilson. Also, I was considering Robert Griffin and Jay Cutler with one of my two picks as a high-upside backup to Tony Romo. Oh well.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 9-10: Ronnie Hillman hasn't been anywhere near the first team in OTAs thus far, probably because John Fox is anal about not using rookies. Another rookie, Justin Blackmon, was a reach in Round 10.
I also don't get why defenses went so early, especially the Eagles in Round 9. Bad Boobs. Ugly, Boobs.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 11-12: And so I've cornered the non-Darren Sproles Saints' running back market. If Mark Ingram gets hurt, so what? I'll have Pierre Thomas, who caught 50 balls in 2011. Another NFC South runner, Jacquizz Rodgers, will be a big part of the Falcons' passing attack this season.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 11-12: I thought Michael Crabtree and Ben Roethlisberger were good value choices. Shane Vereen and Kevin Smith offer lots of upside. I was going to take Smith at 11.11 as some insurance for Jahvid Best. Oh well.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 11-12: Boobs is just playing with his own at this point. LeGarrette Blount and Mike Williams? Yuck.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 13-15: OK, so, I forgot to take a kicker. I knew that FantasyFootballCalculator has only 15 rounds, but I had one too many bench spots on my sheet, so I miscalculated. But I'm happy with my backup tight end and quarterback. The Vikings play Blaine Gabbert in Week 1. Jared Allen will have four-plus sacks.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 13-15: Rashad Jennings is a good handcuff to Maurice Jones-Drew, who is holding out. Isaiah Pead offers lots of upside as Steven Jackson's backup. Kendall Hunter could produce once Frank Gore gets hurt again. And Mr. Irrelevant, Lestar Jean, may end up as Houston's No. 2 wideout.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 13-15: Andy Dalton offers very little upside as a backup quarterback. I'm also confused as to why Boobs thinks he needs three signal-callers. He's clearly distracted by something.
My Fantasy Team:
QB - Tony Romo, Cowboys
RB - Doug Martin, Buccaneers
RB - Jahvid Best, Lions
WR - Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals
WR - Andre Johnson, Texans
RB/WR - Hakeem Nicks, Giants
TE - Brandon Pettigrew, Lions
K - ROUND 16
DEF - Vikings Defense
BN - Titus Young, Lions WR
BN - Mark Ingram, Saints RB
BN - Michael Bush, Bears RB
BN - Pierre Thomas, Saints RB
BN - Jacquizz Rodgers, Falcons RB
BN - Brent Celek, Eagles TE
BN - Andrew Luck, Colts QB
I like this team a lot. I'm really stacked at receiver. My running back corps isn't too bad, while Tony Romo is a solid QB1. I'm also fan of my depth. Maybe I'll have to hunt for running backs on the waiver wire, but I think most people will walk away from their fantasy drafts thinking that way this summer.