NFL Betting Trends: First Loss



A couple of teams each year begin their season with a 5-0 mark or better. But what happens after they lose their first game?

In college, it's obvious. Those squads lose the next contest because of the NCAA's flawed BCS system.

In the NFL, however, the opposite seems to happen. Yes, 7-5 overall since 2002, but if you take out Tony Dungy's 1-3 mark, you'll see that betting on teams after their first loss can be lucrative.


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Team
Coach
ATS Record After Losing First Game After 5-0 Start or Better
As a Favorite
As a Dog
ARZ
Ken Whisenhunt
0-0
0-0
0-0
ATL
Mike Smith
0-0
0-0
0-0
BAL
John Harbaugh
0-0
0-0
0-0
BUF
Dick Jauron
0-0
0-0
0-0
CAR
John Fox
1-0
0-0
1-0
CHI
Lovie Smith
1-0
0-0
1-0
CIN
Marvin Lewis
0-0
0-0
0-0
CLE
Romeo Crennel
0-0
0-0
0-0
DAL
Wade Phillips
1-0
1-0
0-0
DEN
Josh McDaniels
0-1
0-0
0-1
DEN
Mike Shanahan
0-0
0-0
0-0
DET
Rod Marinelli
0-0
0-0
0-0
GB
Mike McCarthy
0-1
0-1
0-0
HOU
Gary Kubiak
0-0
0-0
0-0
IND
Jim Caldwell
0-1
0-0
0-1
IND
Tony Dungy
1-3
1-2
0-1
JAX
Jack Del Rio
0-0
0-0
0-0
KC
Herman Edwards
1-0
1-0
0-0
MIA
Tony Sparano
0-0
0-0
0-0
MIN
Brad Childress
1-0
0-0
1-0
NE
Bill Belichick
1-0
0-0
1-0
NO
Sean Payton
0-1
0-1
0-0
NYG
Tom Coughlin
0-1
0-1
0-0
NYJ
Eric Mangini
0-0
0-0
0-0
OAK
Lane Kiffin
0-0
0-0
0-0
PHI
Andy Reid
1-0
1-0
0-0
PIT
Mike Tomlin
0-0
0-0
0-0
SD
Norv Turner
0-0
0-0
0-0
SEA
Mike Holmgren
0-0
0-0
0-0
SF
Mike Nolan
0-0
0-0
0-0
STL
Scott Linehan
0-0
0-0
0-0
TB
Jon Gruden
0-0
0-0
0-0
TEN
Jeff Fisher
1-0
1-0
0-0
WAS
Jim Zorn
0-0
0-0
0-0
FA
Mike Tice
0-1
0-1
0-0
FA
Dick Vermeil
0-1
0-1
0-0
Total Record
9-10
5-7
4-3



Back to NFL Betting Trends Home


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