2015 Fantasy Football Stock Report - Weeks of Aug. 31, Sept. 7
Victor Cruz, WR, Giants
Victor Cruz probably won't play until Week 4, according to ESPN Giants. So... why did he have a sixth-round ADP again? Cruz is likely won't play much this year, and I wouldn't draft him in any round of a 12-team league. He's been atop my Fantasy Football Busts list.
Duke Johnson, RB, Browns
Duke Johnson is likely to have a big role in the season opener, according to Mike Pettine. Johnson is over his concussion and is worth a late-round pick.
Scott Chandler, TE, Patriots
Scott Chandler is expected to have a bigger role in two-tight end formations with Brandon LaFell out. Gronkowski doesn't have the greatest injury history, either, so Chandler makes for a nice TE2.
Tevin Coleman, RB, Falcons
Tevin Coleman is listed as the starter on the depth chart with Devonta Freeman injured.
Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Titans
Ken Whisenhunt told the media that he's counting on Dorial Green-Beckham. As one of four receivers on the roster, the ultra-talented Green-Beckham will have some sort of role. He has immense upside.
Roy Helu, RB, Raiders
Roy Helu is listed on the third team offense behind Taiwan Jones. The coaching staff is annoyed that he hasn't been able to get over his hamstring injury.
C.J. Spiller, RB, Saints
C.J. Spiller is out for Week 1 with a knee injury, so keep that in mind if you plan on drafting him.
Victor Cruz, WR, Giants
Victor Cruz missed practice Monday with a calf injury. He'll continue to suffer through numerous leg injuries because he's not anywhere close to being recovered from his patellar tendon injury. Stay away.
Devonta Freeman, RB, Falcons
Devonta Freeman is dealing with a hamstring injury. Soft-tissue injuries tend to linger, so Freeman could miss Week 1 and perhaps more games after re-injuring himself.
Dion Lewis, RB, Patriots
Jonas Gray was released, so who's going to lead the Patriots in touches when LeGarrette Blount is out? What about Dion Lewis, who was solid in the preseason? It appears as though Lewis could have a substantial role in New England's offense, and yet he's not on anyone's radar. He's going undrafted in most mocks.
Tre Mason, RB, Rams
Tre Mason will be a game-time decision for Week 1, according to Jeff Fisher. Given that Mason doesn't have much starting time until Todd Gurley returns, this obviously hurts his stock.
David Cobb, RB, Titans
David Cobb has been placed on the Designated IR list with a calf injury. He's someone to monitor on the waiver wire down the stretch, but he shouldn't be on anyone's roster right now.
Isaiah Crowell & Duke Johnson, RB, Browns
Terrance West is gone, so Isaiah Crowell and Duke Johnson now have one fewer player to compete for snaps with. Crowell is the favorite to lead the Browns in carries, but even if he is overtaken by Johnson, he'll still be in the same position he was before the West trade, so he has more upside as a fantasy back now. Meanwhile, Johnson has no experience, but the coaching staff seems to like him. Perhaps their optimism toward him was the catalyst for the West move. With that in mind, he should be targeted late in drafts.
Daniel Herron, RB, Colts
Daniel Herron has been waived, for those of you in leagues with 16-plus teams.
James Jones, WR, Packers
James Jones is back in Green Bay, but unlike other publications, I'm not as optimistic about this. The Packers won't be getting the same Jones who thrived for them several seasons ago. That Jones is long gone, as he became fat and happy upon signing a big contract with the Raiders. Jones simply stopped trying, and it's not like the quarterbacks in Oakland can be blamed because he failed to make a Giants team that has nothing at receiver beyond Odell Beckham Jr. (Victor Cruz does not count because he won't be healthy anytime soon.) Having said that, Jones' familiarity with the offense, as well as his prior success with Aaron Rodgers, could earn him first dibs on the slot receiver position. He's worth adding for that reason. However, once the Packers realize how much of a bum Jones has become, they could go back to their original plan of having Ty Montgomery working as the third wideout.
Christine Michael, RB, Cowboys Christine Michael was traded to the Cowboys, and you can read my grade by clicking the link. Michael has a chance to overtake Joseph Randle and Darren McFadden as the starter in Dallas. Michael is more talented than both at this stage of everyone's career, but hasn't been able to put it together mentally yet. Perhaps a change of scenery could help.
Ty Montgomery, WR, Packers
Ty Montgomery, for the time being, appears to have been usurped by James Jones as the third receiver in Green Bay's offense. However, I wouldn't rush to cut Montgomery; Jones is a bum who stopped trying ever since he left Green Bay, so once the Packers realize that, they could go back to Montgomery as the third wideout.
Joseph Randle, RB, Cowboys
Joseph Randle will now have another running back to compete with in Christine Michael, who was acquired Sunday. Michael is the superior talent and could eventually emerge as the starter. Randle remains the favorite to lead Dallas in carries, but his situation is even more shaky now.
Thomas Rawls, RB, Seahawks
Robert Turbin has been waived, and Christine Michael has been traded. An injury to Marshawn Lynch is now the only thing standing in the way of Thomas Rawls producing RB2 numbers at the very least (I don't expect much out of the decrepit Fred Jackson.) He has suddenly become one of the top handcuffs to own.
Josh Robinson, RB, Colts
Daniel Herron has been waived, and Vick Ballard is injured, making rookie Josh Robinson the No. 2 running back in Indianapolis. Robinson was impressive in the preseason, and I think he's now one of the better handcuffs. Frank Gore is old and could break down at any moment, which would allow Robinson to serve as a productive fantasy back.
Terrance West, RB, Titans Terrance West was traded to the Titans, and you can read my grade by clicking the link. West couldn't overtake the lethargic Isaiah Crowell this offseason after failing to gain more than four yards per carry behind a talented offensive line last year. Perhaps being on a new team will help, but as for right now, West will be way behind Bishop Sankey on the depth chart. I wouldn't rush out and add him to your team, but he, as well as Sankey, need to be monitored.
Jonas Gray, RB, Patriots
In a surprising move, Jonas Gray has been cut. Lesson learned, kids: If you oversleep once, it could ruin your life forever.
Christine Michael & Thomas Rawls, RBs, Seahawks
With Robert Turbin waived, the two surviving Seattle running backs get a tick up in value. Both are OK handcuffs, but I'd rather go a different direction in the late rounds of a 12-team league.
Robert Turbin, RB, Seahawks
Robert Turbin has been waived. If you picked him up as a handcuff, drop him in favor of Christine Michael.
Reggie Wayne, WR, Patriots
Reggie Wayne has been released. I hope you didn't waste your time drafting him.
Alfred Blue, RB, Texans
A trusted source told me that Arian Foster is due back in Week 4 or so, meaning Alfred Blue has lost most of his value. Blue should still be drafted though, as Foster could easily get hurt again.
Arian Foster, RB, Texans
A trusted source told me that Arian Foster is not expected to go on the PUP list, and that he's likely to miss about three games. Unfortunately, he's still a big injury risk. I would take him around the seventh frame in a 12-team league, but I bet he goes earlier than that.
Montee Ball, RB, Broncos
Montee Ball split the workload with Kapri Bibbs in the preseason finale. That's not good news, as it appears as though he has now fallen behind Juwan Thompson as fourth on the depth chart. He's undraftable.
Dwayne Bowe, WR, Browns
Dwayne Bowe, per Solomon Wilcots of the team's telecast, is on the roster bubble. Bowe may have been considered in 16-team leagues before this report, but not now. He's undraftable in all formats until he officially makes the team.
Tom Brady, QB, Patriots
Tom Brady gets an up arrow in the fantasy stock report because he is no longer suspended. He'll be under center in Week 1. However, this does not mean you should pursue him in your draft. In fact, he'll soar to the top of my Fantasy Football Busts list, which has been updated. I'll explain more there, but make sure you stay away from Brady in your fantasy drafts this weekend.
Julian Edelman, WR, Patriots
Contrary to what the media believes, Brady is no longer a top-tier quarterback, so it wouldn't make sense for most of New England's skill-position players to receive a stock up for Brady's suspension being overturned. However, Julian Edelman is the exception. Jimmy Garoppolo would've taken more chances downfield, but Brady can't do that because his arm is shot. He'll continue to toss tons of checkdowns in Edelman's direction this season.
Jimmy Garoppolo, QB, Patriots
It goes without saying that Jimmy Garoppolo is no longer draftable because Tom Brady isn't suspended anymore.
LeSean McCoy, RB, Bills
LeSean McCoy is not looking good for Week 1. Rex Ryan talked about the "next man" stepping up and hoped that McCoy would be ready. Even if McCoy suits up, he may not get a full workload.
Ty Montgomery, WR, Packers
Ty Montgomery is reportedly ahead of Jeff Janis to be Green Bay's third receiver. Per the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, Janis simply hasn't earned Aaron Rodgers' trust. This could all change, but Montgomery is looking like a very strong late-round flier.
Jace Amaro, TE, Jets
Jace Amaro is out for the season, which only affects 2-TE leagues. Check out my Disaster Grades for more.
David Cobb, RB, Titans
David Cobb is in a walking boot, and as a consequence, he could be out for the first couple of weeks of the season. Cobb had some hype earlier in the summer, but he's not very draftable right now.
Randall Cobb, WR, Packers
Randall Cobb will be able to play in Week 1, according to FOX Sports. Cobb suffered a scary shoulder injury in the third preseason game, but he appears to be fine.
Victor Cruz, WR, Giants
Victor Cruz told the media that he's unsure if he'll be able to play Week 1. Cruz shouldn't be drafted at all; let alone at his sixth-round ADP. He's a poor bet to even come close to playing in more than half the games.
Jimmy Graham, TE, Seahawks
Per Pro Football Focus, Jimmy Graham has been used in run blocking on 36.5 percent of snaps this preseason, compared to 27.1 in New Orleans. Graham's numbers are set to take a dive this year, and he's being overdrafted right now.
Devin Funchess, WR, Panthers
Devin Funchess aggravated his hamstring during Monday's practice, putting his Week 1 status in doubt. Hamstring injuries tend to linger for receivers, so it's hard to like Funchess very much right now.
Robert Griffin, QB, Redskins
Robert Griffin has officially been benched. He wasn't on any non-2QB fantasy radars, but this makes him a non-factor in all formats. This might be the best thing to happen to Griffin; perhaps he'll stop being a prima donna obsessed with social media and focus on improving the mental part of his game instead.
Fred Jackson, RB, None
The Bills have cut Fred Jackson. The Patriots are rumored to be interested, but Jackson shouldn't be on your roster, regardless of where he ends up.
Trent Richardson, RB, None
The Raiders have released Trent Richardson. Perhaps someone was drafting him in a 20-team league, I don't know. He better hope the money he made from his rookie deal lasts a while, because he's not getting any sort of pay day in quite some time.
Tyrod Taylor, QB, Bills
The Bills have named Tyrod Taylor their starting quarterback. He can be started in 2-QB leagues because he'll pick up big-time rushing numbers. He's a backup with upside otherwise.
Julius Thomas, TE, Jaguars
Julius Thomas will be out 4-5 weeks with a broken hand. It sounds like he'll be back in early or mid October. This is obviously not ideal, so look for other tight end options. Having said that, don't hesitate to draft Thomas a high-upside player if he falls.
Tre Mason, RB, Rams
Tre Mason sprained his MCL and wil be questionable for Week 1. This is significant, as Mason was going to enter the season as the starter until Todd Gurley was cleared for action. With Mason banged up, his fantasy value has diminished considerably.