NFL for me today: Start up three team open par with Vikings -2.5, Patriots -7, one open for the time being. If things go well here, more than likely I will be taking the Broncos to close out this par on Monday. I am risking two units on this par as I really like both chalk spreads here. Closing a two team 6 point teaser with the Pats at -1.5. I also have an ongoing 3 team 10 point teaser that I will probably use as a hedge against the above par play. That's it for me this NFL weekend, as I really don't like any other lined games. GLTA today.
Last update: Thursday, Feb. 25, 2010 - First edition.
Next update: TBA
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The Rams could take Ndamukong Suh here, but it would be a mistake for two reasons. 1) The Rams desperately need a franchise QB in order to get to the playoffs and 2) They've spent two recent first round picks on the DL (Adam Carriker and Chris Long), so it wouldn't make sense to draft another defensive lineman here.
Some believe McCoy is better then Suh, but personally I believe Suh will turn out the better prospect. Detroit still needs a lot of pieces, They had a great draft last year and need to build upon that. Suh is just what Detroit needs on the defensive line to cause havoc for the opposing offense. The offensive tackle out of Oklahoma State is eye catching, but I think Suh is better and Detroit could get a tackle at the top of the second round. If its my call, Suh would be the choice, no doubt about it.
The Chiefs have given up 45 sacks this year, which is absolutely terrible. A large part of that is due to the fact that Matt Cassel holds on to the ball way too long, but the line hasn't helped him out much either. Okung is the best pass blocker in the draft and would allow Branden Albert to move inside, probably to RG until Brian Waters retires, thus upgrading 2 positions with 1 pick. Obviously, he would really help solve Kansas City's offensive line problems
Seattle is in a good position, as they could potentially package some picks together to move up and take Bradford, a replacement for Hasselback. But, they need too much, they select the next Ed Reed. Remaining Needs; RB, QB, OT, DE Clausen is also an option, but Best player available is certainly Berry.
Like the Seahawks, the Bills two biggest needs are quarterback and left tackle. With no quarterback worthy of this pick left on the board, left tackle will most likely be addressed. Davis is not the slam dunk pick, as the Bills could take any tackle that they feel is the best fit for them. Also, with the Bills switching to a 3-4, don't count out Rolando McClain.
It is likely that Brandon Marshall will be traded this off season. Dez Bryant is a huge target for Kyle Orton that will fill the shoes of Marshall. If, however, Marshall and the Broncos can come to an agreement, they are in desperate need of an offensive line upgrade. The Bronco playbook is limited due to an O-line that doesn�t allow Orton to take seven step drops in the pocket. Teams started picking up on this and started to pick off Orton later in the year as a result.
Team Needs - WR, LB, NT, S. With Joey Porter on the way out and Jason Taylor approaching 36, the Dolphins are suddenly extremely thin at linebacker. McClain is exactly the type of player to fix this situation. McClain is the premier LB prospect of the draft and has been compared favorably to Patrick Willis. Add this to Bill Parcells history of taking linebackers at the top of the draft and this pick becomes a lock. If McClain is gone at this point then Dan Williams should be the next choice.
Seattle could go with a FS like Earl Thomas, or a DE like Jason Pierre-Paul (although I think JPP fits better as a 3-4 rush LB), but I think they need to make a splash on offense. I'm positive that some team will reach for C.J. Spiller, and that team is Seattle. Spiller gives them the versatile home-run threat they need.
Price is moving up on a lot of people's boards. He came out of UCLA early, and at the right time, having put up an amazing 23.5 tackles for a loss, and recording 7 sacks. One thing I noticed all year was how opposing O-Lines were able to do anything they wanted to against the Giants' D-Line. That cannot be acceptable to Tom Coughlin.
The Titans biggest problem last year was a lack of pass rush. Vanden Bosch probably won't be back, and Kearse is no longer an effective player. Griffen has a tremendous size-speed combination that will allow him to rush the passer and hold his own against the run. His work ethic and motor are concerns, but the Titans have proven to be one of the best at coaching up defensive linemen. This is an ideal spot for Griffen.