College Football Picks (Week 1, 2014): 1-4 (-$480) College Football Picks (Week 2, 2014): 4-1 (+$245) College Football Picks (Week 3, 2014): 3-2 (-$30) College Football Picks (Week 4, 2014): 2-3 (-$460) College Football Picks (Week 5, 2014): 2-2-1 (-$360) College Football Picks (Week 6, 2014): 2-3 (-$270) College Football Picks (Week 7, 2014): 5-0 (+$700) College Football Picks (Week 8, 2014): 3-2 (+$380) College Football Picks (Week 9, 2014): 0-5 (-$990) College Football Picks (Week 10, 2014): 4-1 (+$780) College Football Picks (Week 11, 2014): 2-3 (-$360) College Football Picks (Week 12, 2014): 3-2 (+$160) College Football Picks (Week 13, 2014): 2-3 (-$590) College Football Picks (Week 14, 2014): 3-2 (+$380) College Football Picks (Week 15, 2014): 4-1 (+$790) College Football Picks (Pre-NYE Bowls, 2014): 4-1 (+$280) College Football Picks (Post-NYE Bowls, 2014): 2-4 (-$480)
College Football Picks (2014 Season): 46-39-1 (-$325) College Football Picks (2013 Season): 52-33 (+$3,970) College Football Picks (2012 Season): 45-34-1 (+$2,500) College Football Picks (2011 Season): 36-32-2 (-$390) College Football Picks (2010 Season): 37-31-2 (+$190) College Football Picks (2009 Season): 34-34-2 (-$3,820) College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)
Ole Miss vs. TCU. Line: TCU by 3. Wednesday, Dec. 31, 12:30 p.m.
As a disclaimer, don't go nuts with my college football picks. I'm much better at picking NFL games (at least I used to be). Follow @walterfootball for updates.
This one isn't technically a "Post-New Year's Eve" bowl, but I wanted to get this in, as I liked five earlier games. I think Ole Miss is the obvious side. The Rebels have to be motivated enough to play such a highly ranked team. TCU, meanwhile, was crapped on by the Selection Committee. They were stripped of their rightful place in the top four, and now they're not even playing on New Year's Day. I'm taking the points with the SEC team.
College Football Pick: Ole Miss +3 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Michigan State vs. Baylor. Line: Baylor by 3. Thursday, Jan. 1, 12:30 p.m.
Michigan State is +2.5 in most places, but there are +3s available at some books, including Bovada. I like the Spartans for the same reason I'm taking Ole Miss; Baylor can't be too excited about playing a Big Ten team that wasn't even in the conference championship, given that the team believes it should be in the four-team playoff. I thought the Bears were overrated all year, anyway. TCU should've been ranked ahead of Baylor despite the head-to-head win, as the Frogs probably would've won a neutral field.
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College Football Pick: Michigan State +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Florida State vs. Oregon. Line: Oregon by 8. Thursday, Jan. 1, 5:05 p.m.
This action is steaming toward Florida State. I think the Seminoles are the right side. I've been fading them all year, but they've been big favorites. This is a completely different role for them, and they have to feel extremely disrespected that everyone assumes they're going to lose to the Ducks, who happened to be missing their top defensive player, Ifo Ekrpe-Olomu.
College Football Pick: Florida State +8 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Ohio State vs. Alabama. Line: Alabama by 8.5. Thursday, Jan. 1, 8:35 p.m.
Not only is this yet another SEC-Big Ten mismatch (and I say this as a Penn State alumnus), but Ohio State is battling Nick Saban's defense with a third-string quarterback. Think about that for a second. I'll be shocked if Alabama doesn't win this by double digits, as the Buckeyes have no business being in the four-team playoff.
College Football Pick: Alabama -8.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
Toledo vs. Arkansas State. Line: Toledo by 4. Sunday, 9:00 p.m.
I hope you've enjoyed betting against MAC teams as much as I have during this bowl season - except, you know, that ridiculous Western Kentucky-Central Michigan game. Ugh. Don't get me started on that. At least we're taking the underdog this time.
College Football Pick: Arkansas State +4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Ohio State vs. Oregon. Line: Oregon by 7. Monday, Jan. 12, 8:30 p.m.
After whining about "Boycott the Bowls" and creating fake college football playoffs for more than a decade, it figures that I'd go 0-2 ATS in the real college football playoff. FML. Well, I don't think I necessarily had the wrong side in the Florida State-Oregon game. I'm not saying that the Seminoles were the right pick, but they had so many unforced turnovers in the second half, which capsized them. If they replay that contest 10 times, I could see each side covering five times.
Alabama-Ohio State, on the other hand, wasn't even close. I'm stupid for underestimating Urban Meyer's ability to coach as an underdog and with extra rest. He has unreal records in both scenarios, and that's what's happening here again. I also didn't trust the third-string quarterback, but Meyer's ability to have Jerome Bettis start in place of the other two signal-callers is unparalleled.
I like Ohio State, and the sharps agree, as they've bet the dog down from +7 to +6 in most places (but not Bovada) despite there being so much money on Oregon. I love Meyer as a dog with extra rest, and Bettis looks like a star. Meanwhile, Oregon's big win over Florida State was misleading, yet the public doesn't recognize that, so let's take advantage of the ignorance.