NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2010

NFL Picks (Preseason 2010): 9-6-1 (+$680)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2010): 8-7-1 (-$15)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2010): 7-8-1 (-$170)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2010): 10-6 (+$1,430)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2010): 7-7 (+$1,075)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2010): 8-6 (+$260)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2010): 4-9-1 (-$1,865)

NFL Picks (2010): 53-49-3 (+$1,395)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Oct. 25, 4:10 p.m. ET.

Go to Week 7 NFL Picks – Early Games

Arizona Cardinals (3-2) at Seattle Seahawks (3-2)
Line: Seahawks by 7. Total: 40.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 6): Seahawks -3.

Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 6): Seahawks -4.

Sunday, Oct. 24, 4:05 ET
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The Game. Edge: Seahawks.

Two opportunities to win money, if you’re into that sort of thing:

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Also, if you’re still alive, get your pick in for the WalterFootball.com 2010 NFL Survivor Pool. There are 317 entries remaining out of 1,946.

ARIZONA OFFENSE: Wow. Seattle’s defensive dominance in Chicago was unbelievable. The Seahawks suffocated Jay Cutler by sending multiple players into the backfield on seemingly every play, and shut down the run by limiting Matt Forte to just 11 yards on eight carries. And I don’t think that was a fluke – the Seahawks currently rank second against the rush, and coming into the Bears contest, they had collected eight sacks in their previous two contests.

With a rookie quarterback making his first start in a hectic environment, the Cardinals will have to establish Chris Wells to take some pressure off of Max Hall. Wells couldn’t even run the football against the Saints, so I don’t expect him to have much success at Seattle.

This will force Hall into unfavorable long-yardage situations. The Seahawks have a weak secondary, but that won’t matter if Hall constantly has pressure in his face.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: For the first time all year Sunday, Matt Hasselbeck didn’t throw an interception. Could this be a trend that continues? It’s very possible. Left tackle Russell Okung, taken No. 6 overall in the 2010 NFL Draft, is finally healthy again and did a great job against the Bears. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that Hasselbeck was finally error-free with his elite blind-side protector in the lineup.

The Cardinals won’t offer much resistance. They have just eight sacks in five games. With a clean pocket, Hasselbeck can torch a secondary that has surrendered at least 225 yards to each opponent it has battled this year.

Seattle will also have success using its new toy. Marshawn Lynch will have a solid performance running through the league’s 25th-ranked ground defense.

RECAP: I’m really not sure what to make of this Seattle team. I was very impressed by its victory at Chicago, but the blowout loss at St. Louis is still in the back of my mind.

I think you could say that I’m cautiously optimistic. The Seahawks have a pretty high ceiling if Hasselbeck stops throwing picks, Okung protects his quarterback, Mike Williams keeps producing and the defense continues to dominate.

At any rate, I like Seattle to cover this matchup. The Seahawks are just so good at home, and I don’t trust Hall making his first road start at Qwest Field.

SPREAD CHANGE: An e-mailer pointed out that I missed a potential Statfox Trend for the Seahawks; they’re coming off a close road win and are now favored at home. Arizona’s my play for two units.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
It’s the battle for first place in the NFC West!

The Vegas. Edge: Cardinals.

About three-quarters of the action is on the host.

Percentage of money on Seattle: 80% (128,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Cardinals.

History: Cardinals have won 6 of the last 7 meetings.

Statfox Trend: Home favorites coming off road wins of 1-3 points are 23-49 ATS since 2000 (Weeks 2-10 only).

Cardinals are 9-4 ATS vs. the NFC West since 2008.

Cardinals are 7-4 ATS as underdogs since 2009.

Seahawks are 11-4 ATS as home favorites since 2007.

Opening Line: Seahawks -3.5.

Opening Total: 41.

Weather: Rain, 52 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Week 7 NFL Pick: Seahawks 17, Cardinals 13
Cardinals +7 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Under 40 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Seahawks 22, Cardinals 10

New England Patriots (4-1) at San Diego Chargers (2-4)
Line: Chargers by 2.5. Total: 49.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 6): Chargers -3.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 6): Chargers -1.
Sunday, Oct. 24, 4:15 ET
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The Game. Edge: Patriots.

Another friendly reminder that Jerks of the Week for Oct. 18, 2010 are up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks are: 1) Toasts. 2) Lilliput. 3) Wawa Pirate Man.

SAN DIEGO OFFENSE: This goes without saying, but the Chargers are a mess right now. No. 1 receiver Malcom Floyd is out for this game. Kicker Nate Kaeding will also miss this contest. Meanwhile, Antonio Gates is questionable to play. Even if Gates suits up, he may not be 100 percent. If so, he could actually hurt San Diego more than help them, a la Andre Johnson in Week 5.

The Patriots actually rank 28th against the pass; they’ve surrendered at least 220 passing yards to every opponent this year, including Ryan Fitzpatrick and Carson Palmer. Philip Rivers is one of the elite quarterbacks in the NFL, but he can’t do it alone. If all New England’s secondary has to worry about is a hobbled Gates and Legedu Naanee, Patrick Crayton and Buster Davis, the Patriots will be fine.

San Diego’s running game won’t be effective either. While Ryan Mathews looked pretty solid at St. Louis, New England just shut down Ray Rice on Sunday, limiting Baltimore’s offense to 95 rushing yards on 31 carries.

NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: Chris Berman hit the nail on the head when he said that the Chargers have no playmakers on defense. In the past two weeks, San Diego has failed to prevent Sam Bradford and Jason Campbell from driving down the field against them.

If a rookie quarterback and a skinny version of JaMarcus Russell can accomplish that, Tom Brady shouldn’t have a problem doing so. He struggled in the first half against the Ravens – as most signal-callers would – but really picked it up in the second half once he began relying on Deion Branch.

The Brady-to-Branch should continue to work, as the Chargers have a lot of players they’ll need to focus on, including Branch, Aaron Hernandez, Wes Welker and Danny Woodhead.

RECAP: This is a must-win game for the Chargers. With the Chiefs playing the craptastic Jaguars, a loss could put San Diego two-and-a-half games behind Kansas City, with the tie-breaker going to the Chiefs.

However, as a wise man once said, “a team that needs to win probably isn’t that good to begin with.” That’s certainly the case here with Floyd out and Gates not 100 percent.

I mentioned this trend earlier – home favorites coming off back-to-back road losses are just 28-48 against the spread since 2002. That makes the Patriots an appealing play, as does getting points with Brady.

Still, the fact that this is so do-or-die for the Chargers will keep me from betting this game too heavily.

The Psychology. Edge: Chargers.

This is a must-win for the Chargers. The losing must stop now. They can’t afford to go to 2-5.

The Vegas. Edge: Chargers.

No one wants any part of the Chargers now.

Percentage of money on New England: 78% (153,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

Tom Brady is 112-37 as a starter (87-59 ATS).

Tom Brady is 13-7 ATS as an underdog since 2003.

Norv Turner is 8-3 ATS coming off a loss as a favorite.

Opening Line: Chargers -3.

Opening Total: 49.

Weather: Cloudy, 66 degrees. Light wind.

Week 7 NFL Pick: Patriots 24, Chargers 21
Patriots +2.5 (0.5 Units) — Correct; +$50
Under 49 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Patriots 23, Chargers 20

Oakland Raiders (2-4) at Denver Broncos (2-4)
Line: Broncos by 7.5. Total: 42.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 6): Broncos -7.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 6): Broncos -7.
Sunday, Oct. 24, 4:15 ET
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The Game. Edge: Broncos.

It’s time for Notes from NFL.com GameCenter – a list of a few stupid comments I found on NFL.com’s GameCenter and my thoughts on them (these are all from the same user, a Steelers fan):

1. “I cant what in 24 hours the game begins and then we shood get the ball frist and we shood go all the way SO LETS WIN STEELERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$.”

All of those dollar signs can’t buy you good grammar, my friend.

2. “HOW MY GOD WE ARE GOING TO WIN LETS GO BEN kEEP THAT OFFINS GOING GO STEELERS.ITS TIME TO Win SO GET THAT DEE GOING.”

I think this is the first time anyone has ever said the phrase, “How my God.” NFL.com GameCenter makes history yet again.

3. “T.paoulami is so good we are going to win.”

Ah, Troy Paoulami, the great Italian strong safety for the Steelers.

OAKLAND OFFENSE: Bruce Gradkowski has an injured shoulder. Jason Campbell believes he tore the meniscus in his knee. So, who does that leave? Kyle Boller!

It appears as though Boller will start this game. That’s the bad news. The good news is that Darren McFadden may play. Not that the Raiders need him to run the ball against Denver’s 22nd-ranked rush defense, but McFadden would provide an added element to Oakland’s aerial “attack” as a pass-catcher out of the backfield.

One thing in Boller’s favor is that Denver doesn’t have much of a pass rush. The team has just seven sacks in six games.

DENVER OFFENSE: I’m not sure how much we should see of Tim Tebow. Tebow did run in for a touchdown in the first quarter of Sunday’s game, but Josh McDaniels’ obsession with inserting Tebow into the Wild Horses formation may have disrupted Kyle Orton’s rhythm, a la Donovan McNabb with QB Dog Killer all last year.

The Raiders actually have been pretty decent against the pass if you exclude Philip Rivers’ Week 5 performance. Still, Kyle Orton should have a pretty big game with Oakland’s safeties being asked to constantly cheat up to the line of scrimmage to help contain the run. The Raiders are 31st against the rush, yielding an embarrassing 5.6 yards per carry to the opposition.

RECAP: There is no line on this game, but if Boller starts as expected, I can’t imagine it being any less than Broncos -10.

With Boller as the starter, there will be a ton of action on the Broncos. People will forget that the combination of JaMarcus Russell and J.P. Losman won as double-digit underdogs in Denver last year.

I don’t just like the Raiders in this matchup. They’re my favorite play of the week. I’ll give you four reasons why:

1. As I wrote last week, since 2002, teams that have gone 6-10 or worse are just 19-49 against the spread when laying six or more points. Obviously, this is a difficult system to follow because it’s hard to guess which teams will be 6-10 – I made this mistake by laying 6.5 with the Bengals two weeks ago – but I think we can be pretty sure that the Broncos aren’t going to win at least seven games this season.

2. The Raiders aren’t always properly motivated, but they always get up for divisional games, especially when they’re large underdogs. Under Tom Cable, Oakland is 4-2 against the spread as a divisional dog of seven or more points.

Furthermore, the Raiders are 5-1 against the number in road AFC West battles with Cable as their head coach. Their only spread loss was an ugly 34-7 defeat at San Diego in December 2008.

3. If the Broncos are laying double digits, the system I mentioned earlier comes into play: Teams favored by 10 or more are just 33-61 against the spread coming off a loss.

4. Denver just endured an emotional loss to the Jets. McDaniels had everything going, from Demaryius Thomas catching touchdowns to Tim Tebow running the Wild Horses. The Broncos came up short, and now have to battle this “crappy” Oakland team that just lost to winless San Francisco. I don’t know where the motivation is going to come from.

SPREAD POSTED: This line opened at -7 and has gone up to -8 in some places. I’m disappointed by this low number, though I think it’ll go up. Oakland is still my favorite pick of the week, though my third point above no longer applies (for now).

The Psychology. Edge: Raiders.

The Broncos brought the kitchen sink against the Jets, using the Wild Horses formation with Tim Tebow. They came up short, and now have to get up for lowly and crappy Oakland.

The Vegas. Edge: Broncos.
Slight action on the underdog.

Percentage of money on Oakland: 63% (97,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Raiders.

History: Broncos have won 18 of the last 25 meetings (Raiders 6-2 ATS since 2006).

Tom Cable is 4-2 ATS as a divisional underdog of 7+.

Raiders are 11-31 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.

Raiders are 10-22 ATS in October since 2001.

Broncos are 10-26 ATS as a favorite since 2006.

Broncos are 2-11 ATS as favorites of 3.5 or more in 2008.

Opening Line: Broncos -7.

Opening Total: 42.5.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 63 degrees. Mild wind, 12 mph.

Week 7 NFL Pick: Broncos 19, Raiders 13
Raiders +7.5 (5 Units) — Correct; +$500
Under 43 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Raiders 59, Broncos 14

Minnesota Vikings (2-3) at Green Bay Packers (3-3)
Line: Packers by 2.5. Total: 44.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 6): Packers -4.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 6): Packers -3.
Sunday, Oct. 24, 8:20 ET
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The Game. Edge: Packers.

More Notes from NFL.com GameCenter (these are all from the same Steeler fan from above):

1. “ben needs to wrok on his throuing our he will get sackt. so we need our dee and ofins lets go steelers! so now we to cheer for them. And then we are going to win. So let them pratis. lets go steelers! Now we shood win aginst the browns they suck!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!”

Let this be a lesson – If you’re a completely incompetent speller, try putting 20 exclamation points at the end of your sentence to deflect attention from all of the horribly misspelled words.

2. “i hope that ben doset rap a gril!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!”

I’m Big Ben, and I’m here to say… yeah, let’s hope he doesn’t rap.

3. “got to go i am going to buy 2 one for me and one for my gril frind i am 10 years old and she 10 to and my dad is going to take us ther got to buy them by be right back by.”

This guy’s allegedly 10 and can’t spell to save his life, and yet it sounds like he’s getting more action than Eric Mangini.

MINNESOTA OFFENSE: The Packers really struggled against the run last week, surrendering 144 yards on 36 carries, including some crucial big-gainers in overtime. This sets up nicely for Adrian Peterson, right?

Not really. The Packers get Ryan Pickett and Clay Matthews back from injury. Matthews, aside from being the league’s sack leader, is also very good in run support. Despite last week’s performance, Green Bay is still fifth against the rush, and should be able to contain Peterson just as the Cowboys did last week.

This of course, will make life very difficult for Brett Favre. Favre really got knocked around at Dallas, and will have to endure more of the same with Matthews breathing down his neck.

The Packers have allowed their previous four opponents to compile at least 220 passing yards. The opportunities will occasionally be there for Favre when he’s not getting sacked, but I still question his health. The Vikings mustered just 188 total yards of offense against Dallas, and 17 of their 24 points came off defensive plays or special teams.

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: One Packer who won’t be back this year is Jermichael Finley, who was placed on injured reserve a couple of days ago. This was a big blow for Green Bay’s scoring attack.

Finley’s absence did not prevent Aaron Rodgers from going 18-of-33 for 313 yards, one touchdown and an interception against Miami, however. Like the Dolphins, the Vikings have issues in their secondary with Cedric Griffin done for the year.

The problems the Packers have on offense are pass protection (Mark Tauscher is out) and running the ball. They won’t be successful in either department this Sunday; the Vikings have their prolific front line to wreak havoc on Rodgers, and their defense is 11th against the rush.

RECAP: The Packers will be out for blood because this is their first opportunity to beat Brett Favre after he embarrassed them twice last year. But it’s not like the Vikings are just going to roll over; dropping to 2-4 would put them in a big hole.

I like Green Bay to cover, but I wouldn’t bet on it. I just think they’re going to be a lot better with Matthews, Pickett and possibly Atari Bigby back in the lineup, and I’m really not impressed with how Minnesota has played all year.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
This is obviously a big game for both teams.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action after early money on Minnesota.

Percentage of money on Minnesota: 55% (137,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Vikings.

History: Vikings have won the last 3 meetings.

Mike McCarthy is 2-5 ATS as a favorite coming off a loss as a favorite.

Opening Line: Packers -3.

Opening Total: 44.

Weather: Possible thunderstorms, 61 degrees. Light wind.

Week 7 NFL Pick: Packers 20, Vikings 14
Packers -2.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Under 44.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Packers 28, Vikings 24 MISSING

New York Giants (4-2) at Dallas Cowboys (1-4)
Line: Cowboys by 3. Total: 45.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 6): Cowboys -3.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 6): Cowboys -3.
Monday, Oct. 25, 8:30 ET
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The Game. Edge: Giants.

It’s Monday Night Football, and unfortunately, we’re going to have Mike Tirico, Ron Jaworski and Jon Gruden calling the shots instead of Emmitt Smith, Herm Edwards, Bob Griese and former Philadelphia Eagles Television Network guy Kevin Reilly (a huge homer who called Maurice Jones-Drew “Maurice Drew-Jones” and Torry Holt “Terry Holt”). Here’s how it would sound like if Reilly, Emmitt, Griese and Herm were in the booth for this game:

Kevin Reilly: Welcome to Dallas, the city closest to Hell! Guys, I’ll be frank with you. I hope both the Cowboys and Giants lose tonight. Both teams are rivals of my beloved Eagles. Choosing to root for one of these two teams is like deciding whether to like your mother-in-law or father-in-law more. I’ll tell you what I did. I chloroformed my inlaws one night and drove them out to the desert, where I abandoned them. No one has heard from them ever since! Guys, we should do something like this to the Giants and Cowboys. Who’s with me?

Emmitt: Nobody with or without you, Kyle. Chlorophyll bad to give people. Chlorophyll good for plant, grass, tree, bush and lobster because it give them energy from the sunshine which they turned into power and strong.

Reilly: Emmitt, I’m talking about chloroform; not chlorophyll. You know, the thing that allows you to make people unconscious? I have two cases in my basement.

Herm: That’s weird! That’s strange! That’s odd! That’s freaky! That’s not normal! That’s immoral! That’s bad! That’s sad!

Reilly: Shut up, Herm! What would you have me do, hit people over the head with a baseball bat to knock them out? They could suffer brain damage that way. I’m no monster!

Griese: It’ll be interesting to see who has the ball first, the Cowboys or the Giants!

Reilly: Why the hell would that be interesting? Wait a second… that gives me a great idea. I’ll chloroform the football. One by one the players will drop, and there will finally be justice!

Emmitt: That is very dangerousness. If the players drop down on the ground, they could break their knee, arm or chinstrap. I know you hate the Cowboy and the Giant, Kenny. I play for the Cowboy a long times ago, and they made a movie about the Giant called The Little New York Giant where lesbian girl debacled little boys in football.

Griese: Tony Romo is a great football player for a number of reasons. One… uhh… two… uhh…

Reilly: Silence, Griese. So, Emmitt, you’re saying smacking the players with baseball bats is better than using chloroform? If you say so. You’re the expert.

Herm: No chloroform! No chlorophyll! No baseball bats! No hockey sticks! No players drop! No players flop! No players knocked out! No players’ lives in doubt!

Reilly: Herm, you were much less annoying when you weren’t rhyming! Come here, let me show you this soaked towel. Just sniff it, it smells really nice! Muhahahahaha! We’ll be back after a word from our local sponsors!

DALLAS OFFENSE: I can sit here, and rant and rave about how much talent the Cowboys have on offense. Tony Romo, Miles Austin-Jones, Dez Bryant, Felix Jones, Jason Witten and Roy Williams (when he’s trying) are all exceptional players.

But it doesn’t matter. No matter the week, time or location, the Cowboys continue to beat themselves. Whether it’s a holding call to bring back a long gain, a penalty after a touchdown, a dropped pass or a missed field goal, Dallas always seems to find a way to kill itself.

And if that’s not enough, the Giants boast a pretty strong defense. They have 21 sacks on the year, which is not good news for Romo because he’s two weeks removed from taking six sacks, and left guard Kyle Kosier is out. New York is also fourth versus the rush, so Jones and Marion Barber won’t get much on the ground.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: Like the Giants, the Cowboys bring a ton of pressure. They have 10 sacks in their previous three games. This, however, hasn’t helped their secondary, which is 22nd against the pass – a ranking that doesn’t even take into account all of Mike Jenkins’ pass interference yardage.

After allowing four sacks in Week 2, New York’s offensive front has done a great job of keeping Eli Manning’s pocket clean; Manning has taken just six sacks in the past four games despite playing fierce defenses like Chicago and Tennessee.

The Cowboys, at the very least, should have some success containing the impressive Ahmad Bradshaw. They just limited Adrian Peterson to just 77 yards on 25 carries.

RECAP: Like the Chargers, the Cowboys are in a must-win situation against a tough opponent at home. But I used the quote once, and I’ll repeat it: “A team that needs to win probably isn’t that good to begin with.”

Unlike the San Diego-New England contest, I’m going to pick the desperate team. My reasoning? The Chargers are missing personnel, and the Cowboys aren’t. If San Diego loses, it can blame injuries. Dallas has no more excuses. If Jerry Jones watches his squad drop yet another contest, he could very easily fire Wade Phillips despite the fact that he’s repeated that he has no interest in doing so.

I can’t advise betting on this game. The Cowboys are just too erratic. If they’re focused and disciplined for a change like they were at Houston, they’ll win. If they continue to shoot themselves in the foot, they’ll drop to 1-5.

The Psychology. Edge: Cowboys.

This is a must-win for the Cowboys, who cannot afford to fall to 1-5.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Dallas: 58% (198,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Giants.

History: Giants have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Giants are 26-11 ATS on the road since 2006.

Tony Romo is 25-17 ATS as a starter before Dec. 1.

Opening Line: Cowboys -3.

Opening Total: 44.5.

Weather: Retractable roof.

Week 7 NFL Pick: Cowboys 31, Giants 24
Cowboys -3 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Over 45 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Giants 41, Cowboys 35

Week 7 NFL Picks – Early Games
Bengals at Falcons, Redskins at Bears, Eagles at Titans, Jaguars at Chiefs, Steelers at Dolphins, Browns at Saints, Rams at Buccaneers, 49ers at Panthers, Bills at Ravens

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Moneyline Underdog: Giants +155 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$155

Small Parlay: Bears -3, Dolphins +3, Browns +13, Rams +3, Raiders +8.5, Giants +3 (.5 Units to win 23.6) — Incorrect; -$50

2024 NFL Mock Draft - April 16

NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22

Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19

NFL Picks - Feb. 12

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2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 8-9	Bears: 11-4	Bucs: 6-11	49ers: 10-7
Eagles: 7-7	Lions: 9-8	Falcons: 8-9	Cardinals: 8-9
Giants: 7-9	Packers: 5-12	Panthers: 8-9	Rams: 8-9
Redskins: 14-3	Vikings: 6-9	Saints: 10-7	Seahawks: 7-9

Bills: 9-7	Bengals: 12-5	Colts: 7-10	Broncos: 9-6
Dolphins: 6-11	Browns: 11-5	Jaguars: 13-4	Chargers: 8-9
Jets: 8-9	Ravens: 11-6	Texans: 5-12	Chiefs: 5-10
Patriots: 7-9	Steelers: 11-6	Titans: 9-8	Raiders: 6-9

Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)	2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)	2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)	2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)	2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)	Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)	Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)

NFL Free Agent Signing Grades – Latest Signing Grades for 2024 NFL Free Agency

2024 NFL Mock Draft

2024 NFL Draft Day 3 Sleepers

2024 Final

NBA Picks Against the Spread

NFL Hot Press: Penix in Play for Raiders

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2010

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