NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 4, 2014

NFL Picks (Preseason 2014): 8-7-1 (-$20)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2014): 8-8 (+$110)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2014): 7-9 (-$1,150)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2014): 6-9-1 (+$130)

NFL Picks (2014): 29-33-1 (-$930)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Sept. 29, 4:45 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

NFL Picks Week 4 - Early Games
NY Giants�at�Washington, Green Bay�at�Chicago, Tennessee�at�Indianapolis, Miami�at�Oakland, Detroit�at�NY Jets, Tampa Bay�at�Pittsburgh, Carolina�at�Baltimore, Buffalo�at�Houston

NFL Picks Week 4 - Late Games
Jacksonville�at�San Diego, Philadelphia�at�San Francisco, Atlanta�at�Minnesota, New Orleans�at�Dallas, New England�at�Kansas City

BYE: Cincinnati,�Cleveland,�Denver,�St. Louis,�Arizona,�Seattle

Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week. Keep in mind that even if a team is listed here, that doesn't mean that I think lowly of them; they are simply overrated in Vegas' eyes. These are the squads that Vegas can boost the spread on.

Atlanta Falcons - The Falcons are being overhyped because of their blowout against the Buccaneers. They still have a terrible defense.

Buffalo Bills - The Bills aren't as terrible as I thought they were, but they aren't good either. E.J. Manuel will weigh the team down.

Dallas Cowboys - I'm not buying the Cowboys because they beat Jake ~~Delhomme~~ Plummer and Austin Davis.

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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Cleveland Browns - Everyone's focusing on the Saints losing to the Browns, but Cleveland has a great defense and running game.

New England Patriots - The Patriots are having offensive issues, but too much is being made of their slim victory over the Raiders. New England has a terrific defense, which no one seems to be paying attention to.

Minnesota Vikings - The Viking defense is for real. They allowed the Saints to have just three scoring drives.

Fantasy Football Rankings - July 20

2019 NBA Mock Draft - June 22

2019 NFL Mock Draft - June 12

NFL Power Rankings - June 3

2020 NFL Mock Draft - May 10

NFL Picks - Feb. 4

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2017): 0-1 (-$330)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2017): 0-1 (-$330)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2017): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2017): 1-0 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21 and seasonal, 2017): -$720

2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)

2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$3,790)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$2,360)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$1,055)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,574-2,383-151, 51.9% (+$5,125)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 817-743-41 (52.3%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 349-314-19 (52.6%)
Career Over-Under: 2,080-2,031-56 (50.5%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 39-24 (61.9%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 9-6 (2014-16: 23-27)	Bears: 9-7 (2014-16: 17-27)	Bucs: 4-11 (2014-16: 26-22)	49ers: 9-7 (2014-16: 32-15)
Eagles: 12-7 (2014-16: 23-25)	Lions: 6-10 (2014-16: 26-22)	Falcons: 8-10 (2014-16: 29-22)	Cardinals: 9-6 (2014-16: 24-27)
Giants: 11-5 (2014-16: 22-24)	Packers: 6-10 (2014-16: 31-21)	Panthers: 7-10 (2014-16: 26-26)	Rams: 13-4 (2014-16: 24-22)
Redskins: 9-7 (2014-16: 26-23)	Vikings: 8-9 (2014-16: 28-21)	Saints: 6-12 (2014-16: 25-21)	Seahawks: 7-8 (2014-16: 27-26)

Bills: 9-8 (2014-16: 24-21)	Bengals: 7-8 (2014-16: 16-31)	Colts: 8-8 (2014-16: 21-26)	Broncos: 9-6 (2014-16: 24-23)
Dolphins: 4-10 (2014-16: 28-19)	Browns: 5-11 (2014-16: 21-22)	Jaguars: 11-8 (2014-16: 18-28)	Chargers: 5-9 (2014-16: 25-23)
Jets: 8-6 (2014-16: 24-21)	Ravens: 6-9 (2014-16: 23-23)	Texans: 9-6 (2014-16: 23-26)	Chiefs: 9-8 (2014-16: 29-26)
Patriots: 10-9 (2014-16: 31-23)	Steelers: 10-7 (2014-16: 28-22)	Titans: 7-11 (2014-16: 23-20)	Raiders: 4-10 (2014-16: 23-26)

Divisional: 46-40 (2011-16: 266-272)	2x Game Edge: 23-20 (2011-16: 103-107)	2x Psych Edge: 42-42 (2011-16: 194-165)	2x Vegas Edge: 18-20 (2011-16: 241-255)
2x Trend Edge: 26-33 (2011-15: 181-159)	Double Edge: 19-14 (2011-15: 77-75)	Triple Edge: 2-2 (2011-15: 6-3)	Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-15: 0-0)

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