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Preseason Week 3, 2008



Wow, I don't think I've ever had a losing week in preseason, let alone a disastrous one like last weekend. I'm not sure what happened, but Robbie Gould missing a game-winning field goal for my 5-unit play didn't help. I apologize for last week's performance.



Green Bay Packers (0-2) at Denver Broncos (1-1)
Line: Broncos by 3.

Friday, 9:00 ET

The Game. Edge: .
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.


The Trends. Edge: Broncos.
  • Mike McCarthy is 3-7 in preseason games.
  • Mike Shanahan is 40-18 in preseason games.
  • Mike Shanahan is 7-4 in preseason Week 3 games.


    Prediction: Broncos 31, Packers 17
    Broncos -3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110




    Cleveland Browns (0-2) at Detroit Lions (2-0)
    Line: Lions by 3.

    Saturday, 4:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: .
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.


    The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Romeo Crennel is 8-6 in preseason games.
  • Rod Marinelli is 5-5 in preseason games.


    Prediction: Browns 27, Lions 24
    Browns +3 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330






    Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0)
    Line: Jaguars by 3.

    Saturday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: .
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Jack Del Rio is 15-7 in preseason games (coming off poor performance).
  • Jon Gruden is 29-15 in preseason games (coming off impressive win vs. NE).


    Prediction: Jaguars 20, Buccaneers 10
    Jaguars -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100




    Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1)
    Line: Steelers by 3.

    Saturday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: .
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Mike Tomlin is 5-2 in preseason games (coming off poor performance vs. BUF).
  • Brad Childress is 5-4 in preseason games (coming off win vs. BAL).


    Prediction: Steelers 28, Vikings 17
    Steelers -3 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440








    Arizona Cardinals (1-1) at Oakland Raiders (1-1)
    Line: Raiders by 3.

    Saturday, 9:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: .
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.


    The Trends. Edge: Raiders.
  • Ken Whisenhunt is 1-5 in preseason games.
  • Lane Kiffin is 3-3 in preseason games.


    Prediction: Raiders 24, Cardinals 10
    Raiders -3 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




    Buffalo Bills (1-1) at Indianapolis Colts (1-2)
    Line: Colts by 5.

    Saturday, 9:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: .
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.


    The Trends. Edge: Colts.
  • Dick Jauron is 11-19 in preseason games.
  • Tony Dungy is 10-18 in preseason games.
  • Dick Jauron is 1-6 in preseason Week 3 games.
  • Tony Dungy is 5-1 in preseason Week 3 games.


    Prediction: Colts 34, Bills 17
    Colts -5 (5 Units) -- Incorrect; -$550






    2009 NFL Mock Draft


    2010 NFL Mock Draft


    2009 NFL Mock Draft Database


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    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 11, 2014): 8-6 (+$90)
    Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 11, 2014): 1-4 (-$1,010)
    Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 11, 2014): 2-0 (+$1,000)
    Last Week Over-Under (Week 11, 2014): 9-5 ($0)
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    2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-1, 66.7% (+$1,070)

    2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 89-82-6, 52.0% (+$145)
    2014 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-26, 55.2% (+$800)
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    2014 Season Over-Under: 89-69-2, 56.4% ($0)
    2014 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$810

    1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
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    2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
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    2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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    2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
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    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
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    2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
    2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
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    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
    2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
    2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
    2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
    2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
    2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
    2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
    2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
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    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
    2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
    2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,103-1,926-116, 52.2% (+$12,560)
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    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 4-6
    Bears: 5-5
    Bucs: 8-2
    49ers: 3-6
    Eagles: 6-4
    Lions: 3-6
    Falcons: 5-5
    Cardinals: 5-5
    Giants: 3-7
    Packers: 7-2
    Panthers: 5-6
    Rams: 5-5
    Redskins: 7-3
    Vikings: 8-2
    Saints: 4-5
    Seahawks: 4-6
    Bills: 4-6
    Bengals: 4-7
    Colts: 5-5
    Broncos: 6-4
    Dolphins: 6-3
    Browns: 5-3
    Jaguars: 5-5
    Chargers: 3-7
    Jets: 6-4
    Ravens: 4-5
    Texans: 5-5
    Chiefs: 7-2
    Patriots: 5-5
    Steelers: 6-5
    Titans: 5-3
    Raiders: 3-7
    Divisional: 21-22 (2011-13: 141-137)
    2x Game Edge: 9-12 (2011-13: 55-62)
    2x Psych Edge: 12-18 (2011-13: 92-80)
    2x Vegas Edge: 25-28 (2011-13: 129-142)
    2x Trend Edge: 22-12 (2011-13: 72-78)
    Double Edge: 6-10 (2011-13: 27-33)
    Triple Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 2-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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