NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2015



NFL Picks (Preseason 2015): 7-10-1 (-$1,420)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2015): 10-6 (+$940)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2015): 9-7 (-$895)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2015): 7-9 (-$870)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2015): 6-8-1 (-$360)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2015): 6-6-2 (+$55)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2015): 5-8-1 (-$690)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2015): 4-9-1 (-$860)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2015): 5-8-1 (+$520)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2015): 8-5 (+$280)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2015): 6-8 (-$610)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2015): 5-6-3 (-$2,010)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2015): 6-10 (-$1,050)

NFL Picks (2015): 84-100-6 (-$6,970)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Dec. 7, 5:55 a.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


NFL Picks Week 13 - Early Games
Green Bay at Detroit, New York Jets at New York Giants, Arizona at St. Louis, Atlanta at Tampa Bay, Carolina at New Orleans, Seattle at Minnesota, Houston at Buffalo, Baltimore at Miami, Cincinnati at Cleveland, Jacksonville at Tennessee, San Francisco at Chicago

NFL Picks Week 13 - Late Games
Denver at San Diego, Kansas City at Oakland, Philadelphia at New England, Indianapolis at Pittsburgh, Dallas at Washington




Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week. Keep in mind that even if a team is listed here, that doesn't mean that I think lowly of them; they are simply overrated in Vegas' eyes. These are the squads that Vegas can boost the spread on.

Arizona Cardinals - There are some concerns with the Cardinals. They can't run the ball effectively anymore, and their offensive line isn't protecting very well. The 49ers averaged 1.9 more yards per play in Week 12, which is ridiculous.

New England Patriots - The Patriots' marquee wins have been against the Steelers, who didn't have Le'Veon Bell; the Bills, who have been exposed as a terrible team; the Jets, who have Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback; and the Giants, who dropped a game-winning interception and screwed up their time management at the 2-minute warning. New England's offensive line is a major concern, and the offensive weapons being out will hurt. Dont'a Hightower's injury will also be very impactful.

New York Giants - No one's really talking about why the Giants are struggling. They have so many injuries, it's getting ridiculous. Their offensive line is in shambles.



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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Philadelphia Eagles - Everyone is trashing the Eagles, and rightfully so, but the way people are talking about them sounds like they're regarded as one of the worst teams in the league. They have talent on defense and at running back, so they could rebound soon. They got crushed at Detroit, but the Lions have been hot lately, and not having Sam Bradford and Jason Peters hurt.

San Francisco 49ers - The 49ers outgained the Cardinals and averaged 1.9 more yards per play than them. They're a couple of points away from being 3-0 against the spread with Blaine Gabbert, who has been a huge upgrade over Colin Kaepernick.

Tennessee Titans - The Titans have some positive aspects to their team, including their pass rush and run defense. Marcus Mariota has played well for the most part; the Titans are 4-4 against the spread in games in which he hasn't been injured, and they could be 6-2 (or 5-2-1) if it wasn't for a fluky punt return and one of the worst calls I've ever seen.















NFL Picks - Nov. 17


2018 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 16


2019 NFL Mock Draft - Oct. 20


Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 6


2018 NBA Mock Draft - Aug. 23


NFL Power Rankings - May 5




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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 10, 2017): 8-5-1 (+$290)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 10, 2017): 1-2 (-$250)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 10, 2017): 1-1 (-$150)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 10, 2017): 6-8 (+$100)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 10, 2017): -$220

2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-1, 75.0% (+$1,120)

2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 74-86-4, 46.3% (-$3,305)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 18-25-1, 41.9% (-$2,470)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 10-11-1, 47.6% (-$980)
2017 Season Over-Under: 73-72-1, 50.3% (+$345)
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$370

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$2,360)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$1,055)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,513-2,329-147, 51.9% (+$5,610)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 803-728-39 (52.5%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 339-303-19 (52.8%)
Career Over-Under: 2,018-1,975-55 (50.4%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 38-23 (62.3%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 5-4 (2014-16: 23-27)
Bears: 5-4 (2014-16: 17-27)
Bucs: 3-5 (2014-16: 26-22)
49ers: 5-5 (2014-16: 32-15)
Eagles: 7-2 (2014-16: 23-25)
Lions: 4-5 (2014-16: 26-22)
Falcons: 4-5 (2014-16: 29-22)
Cardinals: 4-4 (2014-16: 24-27)
Giants: 7-2 (2014-16: 22-24)
Packers: 3-6 (2014-16: 31-21)
Panthers: 5-5 (2014-16: 26-26)
Rams: 7-2 (2014-16: 24-22)
Redskins: 4-5 (2014-16: 26-23)
Vikings: 4-5 (2014-16: 28-21)
Saints: 3-6 (2014-16: 25-21)
Seahawks: 3-5 (2014-16: 27-26)
Bills: 3-6 (2014-16: 24-21)
Bengals: 3-5 (2014-16: 16-31)
Colts: 5-5 (2014-16: 21-26)
Broncos: 4-4 (2014-16: 24-23)
Dolphins: 0-7 (2014-16: 28-19)
Browns: 2-7 (2014-16: 21-22)
Jaguars: 6-3 (2014-16: 18-28)
Chargers: 4-4 (2014-16: 25-23)
Jets: 5-4 (2014-16: 24-21)
Ravens: 4-5 (2014-16: 23-23)
Texans: 5-4 (2014-16: 23-26)
Chiefs: 3-6 (2014-16: 29-26)
Patriots: 4-5 (2014-16: 31-23)
Steelers: 5-4 (2014-16: 28-22)
Titans: 2-7 (2014-16: 23-20)
Raiders: 1-7 (2014-16: 23-26)
Divisional: 15-20 (2011-16: 266-272)
2x Game Edge: 9-12 (2011-16: 103-107)
2x Psych Edge: 26-21 (2011-16: 194-165)
2x Vegas Edge: 14-10 (2011-16: 241-255)
2x Trend Edge: 15-17 (2011-15: 181-159)
Double Edge: 13-9 (2011-15: 77-75)
Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-15: 6-3)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-15: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2012 Season:
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2013 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2013 Season:
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2014 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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2015 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2015 Season:
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2016 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2016 Season:
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2017 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2017 Season:
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