NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2015



NFL Picks (Preseason 2015): 7-10-1 (-$1,420)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2015): 10-6 (+$940)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2015): 9-7 (-$895)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2015): 7-9 (-$870)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2015): 6-8-1 (-$360)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2015): 6-6-2 (+$55)

NFL Picks (2015): 45-46-4 (-$2,550)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Oct. 19, 5:40 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


NFL Picks Week 6 - Early Games
Atlanta at New Orleans, Washington at New York Jets, Arizona at Pittsburgh, Kansas City at Minnesota, Cincinnati at Buffalo, Chicago at Detroit, Denver at Cleveland, Houston at Jacksonville, Miami at Tennessee

NFL Picks Week 6 - Late Games
Carolina at Seattle, San Diego at Green Bay, Baltimore at San Francisco, New England at Indianapolis, New York Giants at Philadelphia

BYE: Dallas, Oakland, St. Louis, Tampa Bay




Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week. Keep in mind that even if a team is listed here, that doesn't mean that I think lowly of them; they are simply overrated in Vegas' eyes. These are the squads that Vegas can boost the spread on.

Atlanta Falcons - The Falcons' wins over the Cowboys and Texans look so much less impressive now that Dallas has fallen off, while Houston couldn't even beat Matt Hasselbeck. Atlanta's a good team, but 5-0 good? Not sure about that.

Denver Broncos - When discussing the most vulnerable undefeated team, the media ignores the Broncos because they're afraid to criticize Peyton Manning. The future Hall of Famer has played like a dead animal this season, and the Broncos could have easily lost to the Chiefs, Vikings and Raiders.

New England Patriots - New England might be the best team in the NFL, but we don't know that for sure. The Patriots' best win, after all, was either against a team whose defense couldn't line up, or an opponent that was guilty of multiple penalties on almost every drive.



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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Baltimore Ravens - This might be a questionable one, but everyone has suddenly forgotten that the Ravens nearly beat the Bengals and managed to defeat the Steelers on the road.

Buffalo Bills - The Bills won an ugly game in Tennessee, but they triumphed by as many points as they were favored by. They didn't have their No. 1 receiver, top two running backs and starting safety. They'll be better once everyone returns, but the penalties need to stop.

Minnesota Vikings - The Vikings were a covering machine last year, and it appears as though they've picked up where they left off. Circadian rhythms got them in Week 1, but they've looked very good since.















NFL Picks - Nov. 18


2018 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 16


2019 NFL Mock Draft - Oct. 20


Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 6


2018 NBA Mock Draft - Aug. 23


NFL Power Rankings - May 5




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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 10, 2017): 8-5-1 (+$290)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 10, 2017): 1-2 (-$250)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 10, 2017): 1-1 (-$150)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 10, 2017): 6-8 (+$100)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 10, 2017): -$220

2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-1, 75.0% (+$1,120)

2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 74-86-4, 46.3% (-$3,305)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 18-25-1, 41.9% (-$2,470)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 10-11-1, 47.6% (-$980)
2017 Season Over-Under: 73-72-1, 50.3% (+$345)
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$370

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$2,360)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$1,055)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,513-2,329-147, 51.9% (+$5,610)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 803-728-39 (52.5%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 339-303-19 (52.8%)
Career Over-Under: 2,018-1,975-55 (50.4%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 38-23 (62.3%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 5-4 (2014-16: 23-27)
Bears: 5-4 (2014-16: 17-27)
Bucs: 3-5 (2014-16: 26-22)
49ers: 5-5 (2014-16: 32-15)
Eagles: 7-2 (2014-16: 23-25)
Lions: 4-5 (2014-16: 26-22)
Falcons: 4-5 (2014-16: 29-22)
Cardinals: 4-4 (2014-16: 24-27)
Giants: 7-2 (2014-16: 22-24)
Packers: 3-6 (2014-16: 31-21)
Panthers: 5-5 (2014-16: 26-26)
Rams: 7-2 (2014-16: 24-22)
Redskins: 4-5 (2014-16: 26-23)
Vikings: 4-5 (2014-16: 28-21)
Saints: 3-6 (2014-16: 25-21)
Seahawks: 3-5 (2014-16: 27-26)
Bills: 3-6 (2014-16: 24-21)
Bengals: 3-5 (2014-16: 16-31)
Colts: 5-5 (2014-16: 21-26)
Broncos: 4-4 (2014-16: 24-23)
Dolphins: 0-7 (2014-16: 28-19)
Browns: 2-7 (2014-16: 21-22)
Jaguars: 6-3 (2014-16: 18-28)
Chargers: 4-4 (2014-16: 25-23)
Jets: 5-4 (2014-16: 24-21)
Ravens: 4-5 (2014-16: 23-23)
Texans: 5-4 (2014-16: 23-26)
Chiefs: 3-6 (2014-16: 29-26)
Patriots: 4-5 (2014-16: 31-23)
Steelers: 5-4 (2014-16: 28-22)
Titans: 2-7 (2014-16: 23-20)
Raiders: 1-7 (2014-16: 23-26)
Divisional: 15-20 (2011-16: 266-272)
2x Game Edge: 9-12 (2011-16: 103-107)
2x Psych Edge: 26-21 (2011-16: 194-165)
2x Vegas Edge: 14-10 (2011-16: 241-255)
2x Trend Edge: 15-17 (2011-15: 181-159)
Double Edge: 13-9 (2011-15: 77-75)
Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-15: 6-3)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-15: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2012 Season:
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2014 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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2015 Season:
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2016 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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2017 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2017 Season:
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